The trading market is like an ecological jungle; each participant will ultimately find a survival position that matches their abilities. The debate between short-term and long-term trading is never-ending, but truly mature traders understand: both are like walking on two legs, and both are indispensable.
Cycle Positioning Determines Strategy Selection
Bull Market Long-term Reign: Theoretically, holding quality assets can yield exponential returns, but one must endure severe volatility. It is recommended to adopt a '30% base position + flexible replenishment' strategy, which not only seizes the main upward wave but also retains flexibility to deal with black swan events.
Bull Market Short-term Victory: 3%-5% of swing profits accumulated surpass blind bottom fishing. Even in a bull market, 8%-15% short-term opportunities can significantly enhance capital efficiency.
Three Realms of Position Management
Fixed Ratio Method: Strictly control each trade to 5% of total funds, suitable for disciplined players
Dynamic Adjustment Method: Flexibly adjust positions based on risk-reward ratios, requiring precise market judgment
Offensive and Defensive Transition Method: Expand offensive positions in a bull market, contract defensive positions in a bear market, requiring deep understanding of cycles
Twelve Principles of Practical Combat
Leading Coin Principle: BTC/ETH are basic configurations, prioritize top tokens in various sectors (e.g., SOL, XMR)
New Coin Guidelines: Only participate in projects backed by top institutions, stay away from follower coins with no substantive innovation
Cycle Discipline: Long only in a bull market, short only in a bear market; counter-trend trading equals suicide
News Dialectics: Good news not rising must be hiding risks, bad news not falling hides opportunities
Technical Priority: Coins with ample liquidity, K-line language is more reliable than news
Stop-loss Iron Rule: A single loss must not exceed 2% of capital, which is the baseline for long-term survival
Copy Trading Trap: Blindly following so-called 'big shots' will ultimately lead to being harvested as leeks
Domestic Currency Warning: Excessive Marketing + Anonymous Team Projects, 90% are Death Spirals
Outdated Coin Strategy: Heavily Locked Old Coins are Only Suitable for Quick In-and-Out in Pulse Markets
Mental Training: Do not get inflated when profitable, and do not be anxious when losing; this is the core of sustained profitability
Probabilistic Thinking: Trading is a mathematical game, six wins out of ten orders is excellent
Unity of Knowledge and Action: All failures can ultimately be attributed to a lack of execution capability
The market is indifferent to the weak, but always rewards those who realize their knowledge. Short-term practice hones market intuition, long-term cultivation nurtures perspective; only through the synergy of both can one continue to evolve in the cycle of bull and bear markets. Remember: your position structure is your survival strategy.
