加密尤
历经牛熊，见过大风大浪，深知市场冷暖，专注现货交易，精准推送优质标的，擅长短线操作，深耕链上生态，挖掘潜力金狗，推特，公众号同名加密尤
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When you are close to breaking even, the rebound suddenly stops.
When you profit and exit, the dark horse emerges.
When you are complacent, the plunge arrives as expected.
When you are broke, good coins are everywhere.
Bro, which stage are you in?
#鲍威尔发言 $RAY #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC
When you profit and exit, the dark horse emerges.
When you are complacent, the plunge arrives as expected.
When you are broke, good coins are everywhere.
Bro, which stage are you in?
#鲍威尔发言 $RAY #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC
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If you haven't become wealthy or turned your fortunes around yet, please don't rush.
Every bull market will present several opportunities to make easy money.
Just look at this bull market, in the early stages of runes and on-chain memes, it was really about making money with your eyes closed; what you bought today could easily become tenfold, dozens of times, or even hundreds of times overnight.
Wealth really doesn't come from being anxious; the more anxious you are, the less money you make. It's better to calm your mindset and patiently wait for your opportunity.
#以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC #币安Alpha上新 $RAY
Every bull market will present several opportunities to make easy money.
Just look at this bull market, in the early stages of runes and on-chain memes, it was really about making money with your eyes closed; what you bought today could easily become tenfold, dozens of times, or even hundreds of times overnight.
Wealth really doesn't come from being anxious; the more anxious you are, the less money you make. It's better to calm your mindset and patiently wait for your opportunity.
#以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC #币安Alpha上新 $RAY
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The Interest Rate Game Between the Federal Reserve and the White House: A Struggle with No Winners
The U.S. economy is caught in a rare policy deadlock. Trump recently criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell again, stating he is "utterly foolish" and hinted that he should be in charge of the central bank. Powell responded firmly, stating that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy framework "should not change with the turnover of chairmen"—which effectively directly rejected Trump's calls for interest rate cuts.
Behind this months-long confrontation lies a fundamental contradiction facing the U.S. economy:
The Dilemma of Debt and Inflation
The core reason the Trump administration urgently wants to cut interest rates is the continuously expanding interest payments on U.S. debt in a high-interest-rate environment. Currently, the scale of U.S. national debt has exceeded $34 trillion, and interest payments alone surpass the defense budget. If interest rates remain high, federal finances will face immense pressure.
On the other hand, the Federal Reserve's insistence on not cutting interest rates comes from persistently high inflation data. The latest CPI year-on-year still stands at 3.3%, and the core PCE price index far exceeds the 2% policy target. Powell's team is concerned that prematurely loosening monetary policy could repeat the "out-of-control inflation" scenario of the 1970s.
The Inevitable Result of Institutional Conflict
This game is essentially a product of the unique political structure in the U.S.: the White House focuses on short-term economic growth and debt sustainability, while the Federal Reserve must be responsible for price stability. When these two major policy objectives conflict, the institutional design inevitably pits the two power centers against each other.
Currently, the market generally believes that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to yield to political pressure before clear signs of a significant economic recession appear. The outcome of this power game may determine whether the U.S. economy falls into the quagmire of "stagflation" or achieves the rare feat of a "soft landing." Investors need to be wary that, regardless of which side ultimately gains the upper hand, the market could face significant volatility.
#美联储FOMC会议 $BTC
The U.S. economy is caught in a rare policy deadlock. Trump recently criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell again, stating he is "utterly foolish" and hinted that he should be in charge of the central bank. Powell responded firmly, stating that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy framework "should not change with the turnover of chairmen"—which effectively directly rejected Trump's calls for interest rate cuts.
Behind this months-long confrontation lies a fundamental contradiction facing the U.S. economy:
The Dilemma of Debt and Inflation
The core reason the Trump administration urgently wants to cut interest rates is the continuously expanding interest payments on U.S. debt in a high-interest-rate environment. Currently, the scale of U.S. national debt has exceeded $34 trillion, and interest payments alone surpass the defense budget. If interest rates remain high, federal finances will face immense pressure.
On the other hand, the Federal Reserve's insistence on not cutting interest rates comes from persistently high inflation data. The latest CPI year-on-year still stands at 3.3%, and the core PCE price index far exceeds the 2% policy target. Powell's team is concerned that prematurely loosening monetary policy could repeat the "out-of-control inflation" scenario of the 1970s.
The Inevitable Result of Institutional Conflict
This game is essentially a product of the unique political structure in the U.S.: the White House focuses on short-term economic growth and debt sustainability, while the Federal Reserve must be responsible for price stability. When these two major policy objectives conflict, the institutional design inevitably pits the two power centers against each other.
Currently, the market generally believes that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to yield to political pressure before clear signs of a significant economic recession appear. The outcome of this power game may determine whether the U.S. economy falls into the quagmire of "stagflation" or achieves the rare feat of a "soft landing." Investors need to be wary that, regardless of which side ultimately gains the upper hand, the market could face significant volatility.
#美联储FOMC会议 $BTC
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SOL Market Analysis: Swing Opportunities in Weak Fluctuations
Current Trend: Three Consecutive Days of Decline Signal Weakness
The daily SOL chart shows a small bearish candlestick with a doji pattern, and trading volume has decreased by about 20%, maintaining normal volatility levels. Compared to BTC and ETH, SOL is performing weaker, showing a typical three-day decline pattern — the rebound high points are gradually moving down, and the strength of the rebound continues to weaken. The daily MA30 moving average is maintaining a downward trend, confirming that all current increases are of a rebound nature.
Operational Strategy in Fluctuating Patterns
The price is fluctuating in a range between $120 and $164, with the $142 midpoint becoming a dividing line for bulls and bears. It is recommended for investors:
To consider taking short-term profits when encountering resistance in the $156-$165 pressure zone.
To gradually build spot positions in the $142-$134 support range when there is a pullback.
If it drops near the strong support level of $120, it has a higher allocation value.
Risk Warning: Obvious Characteristic of Following Decline but Not Rise
Be cautious of the amplification effect of SOL when BTC declines. If the $120 support is effectively broken, it may further test $110. In the current market environment, SOL is more suitable for a swing strategy of "buying big on big drops, buying small on small drops" to prepare for potential market recovery in advance. Investors should strictly control their positions and pay close attention to the competition around the $142 midpoint line.
#币安Alpha上新 $SOL
Current Trend: Three Consecutive Days of Decline Signal Weakness
The daily SOL chart shows a small bearish candlestick with a doji pattern, and trading volume has decreased by about 20%, maintaining normal volatility levels. Compared to BTC and ETH, SOL is performing weaker, showing a typical three-day decline pattern — the rebound high points are gradually moving down, and the strength of the rebound continues to weaken. The daily MA30 moving average is maintaining a downward trend, confirming that all current increases are of a rebound nature.
Operational Strategy in Fluctuating Patterns
The price is fluctuating in a range between $120 and $164, with the $142 midpoint becoming a dividing line for bulls and bears. It is recommended for investors:
To consider taking short-term profits when encountering resistance in the $156-$165 pressure zone.
To gradually build spot positions in the $142-$134 support range when there is a pullback.
If it drops near the strong support level of $120, it has a higher allocation value.
Risk Warning: Obvious Characteristic of Following Decline but Not Rise
Be cautious of the amplification effect of SOL when BTC declines. If the $120 support is effectively broken, it may further test $110. In the current market environment, SOL is more suitable for a swing strategy of "buying big on big drops, buying small on small drops" to prepare for potential market recovery in advance. Investors should strictly control their positions and pay close attention to the competition around the $142 midpoint line.
#币安Alpha上新 $SOL
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ETH Market Observation: Following BTC's Weak Fluctuations, Key Support Faces Testing
Daily Pattern: The Doji Hides Opportunities
Ethereum's daily chart shows a small bullish doji similar to Bitcoin's, with trading volume reduced by a third, maintaining within the normal fluctuation range. Technical indicators indicate: the MA30 moving average is continuing to flatten, while the MACD shows signs of increasing downward momentum above the zero line, suggesting that short-term adjustment pressure is accumulating.
Key Support Level: Beware of Breakout Risks
The current price has repeatedly found support around $2320, but the rebound strength is noticeably insufficient. It is worth noting that this level has been tested multiple times without triggering a strong rebound, and the effectiveness of the support is gradually weakening. If it follows Bitcoin's downward trend and effectively breaks below $2320, it may further test the strong support level at $2130—this level corresponds to the daily MA120 moving average and will provide a more attractive buying opportunity.
Pressure and Strategy: Opportunities in Following
The upper range of $2630-$2770 constitutes a dense pressure zone, making breakthroughs difficult. In terms of operation, it is recommended: if the support at $2320 is broken, consider gradually positioning short; if it pulls back to around $2130, it has a higher margin of safety, and one can actively position long. In the current market environment, Ethereum still lacks independent market momentum, and investors need to closely monitor Bitcoin's lead role in the market.
#币安Alpha上新 $ETH
Daily Pattern: The Doji Hides Opportunities
Ethereum's daily chart shows a small bullish doji similar to Bitcoin's, with trading volume reduced by a third, maintaining within the normal fluctuation range. Technical indicators indicate: the MA30 moving average is continuing to flatten, while the MACD shows signs of increasing downward momentum above the zero line, suggesting that short-term adjustment pressure is accumulating.
Key Support Level: Beware of Breakout Risks
The current price has repeatedly found support around $2320, but the rebound strength is noticeably insufficient. It is worth noting that this level has been tested multiple times without triggering a strong rebound, and the effectiveness of the support is gradually weakening. If it follows Bitcoin's downward trend and effectively breaks below $2320, it may further test the strong support level at $2130—this level corresponds to the daily MA120 moving average and will provide a more attractive buying opportunity.
Pressure and Strategy: Opportunities in Following
The upper range of $2630-$2770 constitutes a dense pressure zone, making breakthroughs difficult. In terms of operation, it is recommended: if the support at $2320 is broken, consider gradually positioning short; if it pulls back to around $2130, it has a higher margin of safety, and one can actively position long. In the current market environment, Ethereum still lacks independent market momentum, and investors need to closely monitor Bitcoin's lead role in the market.
#币安Alpha上新 $ETH
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BTC Market Analysis: Tug of War Continues, Key Support Faces Test
Short-term Trend: Game of Fluctuations
During the day, BTC showed slight upward fluctuations but shifted to a downward trend in the afternoon. The release of CPI data in the evening triggered intense volatility, with prices quickly oscillating before continuing a downward trend. A rebound occurred after three in the morning, but it fell back under the pressure of the 1-hour EMA52 line, indicating fierce contention between bulls and bears in the short term.
Daily Structure: Doji Hides Trend Change Signal
The daily line closed with a small bullish doji with upper and lower shadows, and trading volume decreased by about one-third compared to the previous day, which is within the normal fluctuation range. Notably:
MA30 moving average has shifted from flat to slightly downward, suggesting a potential weakening of the medium-term trend.
MACD is above the zero axis but with weakened downward momentum, indicating a need for technical correction.
Prices have repeatedly tested the EMA52 moving average but failed to form a strong rebound, and the effectiveness of support is gradually weakening.
Key Level Analysis: Risk of Breaking Higher
The current price has tested the daily EMA52 support multiple times, but the strength of the rebounds is decreasing, raising caution about downward break risk. The upper pressure zone of 106800-110300 constitutes strong resistance; if broken, it may test the 120400-130000 range. The lower support level to focus on is 102850; if lost, it will test the critical area of 97670-95930.
Strategy Tips:
The market is at a directional choice window, and it is recommended to closely monitor the effectiveness of the 102850 support. If it breaks down with increased volume, it may trigger accelerated declines; conversely, if it can stabilize above the EMA52 moving average and break through 106800, the short-term downward trend may be reversed. In the current market environment, position management is more important than directional judgment.
#Metaplanet增持比特币 $BTC
Short-term Trend: Game of Fluctuations
During the day, BTC showed slight upward fluctuations but shifted to a downward trend in the afternoon. The release of CPI data in the evening triggered intense volatility, with prices quickly oscillating before continuing a downward trend. A rebound occurred after three in the morning, but it fell back under the pressure of the 1-hour EMA52 line, indicating fierce contention between bulls and bears in the short term.
Daily Structure: Doji Hides Trend Change Signal
The daily line closed with a small bullish doji with upper and lower shadows, and trading volume decreased by about one-third compared to the previous day, which is within the normal fluctuation range. Notably:
MA30 moving average has shifted from flat to slightly downward, suggesting a potential weakening of the medium-term trend.
MACD is above the zero axis but with weakened downward momentum, indicating a need for technical correction.
Prices have repeatedly tested the EMA52 moving average but failed to form a strong rebound, and the effectiveness of support is gradually weakening.
Key Level Analysis: Risk of Breaking Higher
The current price has tested the daily EMA52 support multiple times, but the strength of the rebounds is decreasing, raising caution about downward break risk. The upper pressure zone of 106800-110300 constitutes strong resistance; if broken, it may test the 120400-130000 range. The lower support level to focus on is 102850; if lost, it will test the critical area of 97670-95930.
Strategy Tips:
The market is at a directional choice window, and it is recommended to closely monitor the effectiveness of the 102850 support. If it breaks down with increased volume, it may trigger accelerated declines; conversely, if it can stabilize above the EMA52 moving average and break through 106800, the short-term downward trend may be reversed. In the current market environment, position management is more important than directional judgment.
#Metaplanet增持比特币 $BTC
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6.19 Morning Report | The Market Ignores War Warnings, Funds Quietly Shift, Where is the Crypto Market Headed?
Market Dynamics:
1. BTC Decouples from US Stocks: Funds are flowing from cryptocurrencies to the stock market, BTC's independent trend ends, while the crypto market fades in the exuberance of the US stock market.
2. ETH is Suppressed: It should be strong but is constrained by overall sentiment. Will it gather momentum or continue to remain silent?
3. SOL Becomes a Short Target: A rebound seems unlikely, becoming the clearest shorting target in the current market. Bulls need to be cautious.
Global News Highlights:
1. New Remarks from the US Treasury Secretary: If Trump embraces crypto, it may instead consolidate dollar hegemony—this disruptive perspective sparks heated debate.
2. Crypto Unicorns Impacting IPOs: FalconX is preparing to go public in 2025, adding a new player to the US stock market from the crypto circle.
3. AI Arms Race Escalates: Sam Altman announces GPT-5 will launch this summer, accelerating technological iteration.
4. Criminal Groups' New Money Laundering Tactics: A gold money laundering case in the UK is exposed, with the crypto circle surprisingly becoming a 'civilized' choice.
5. Favorable US Policies: Ohio passes a bill exempting BTC payments under $200 from taxes, a friendly policy for Web3.
6. Institutions Calmly Respond to Elections: Japanese companies state that Trump's term is limited and refuse to adjust long-term strategies for short-term political fluctuations.
7. Federal Reserve Holds Steady: Interest rates remain at 4.25%-4.50%, Powell unusually admits: current forecasts are meaningless.
8. Accelerating Integration of Traditional Finance and DeFi: Ethena Labs collaborates with Securitize to achieve atomic swaps between BlackRock's tokenized fund BUIDL and USDt.
9. Coinbase Payment System Launches: The recent large-scale ban on Web3 cards is explained.
10. Paxos Makes a Comeback: Establishes Paxos Labs, focusing on institutional-grade DeFi access and customized stablecoin services.
Special Event:
The Virtuals.io project faced a sudden technical failure before its launch, resulting in a crash triggered only through contract claims, with Points’ price plummeting to 0.002 before a strong rebound.
Market Insights:
While the crypto circle remains concerned about geopolitical risks, Wall Street has already entered a festive mode. Behind this migration of funds is a fundamental shift in risk appetite. Whether one can grasp the pulse of the market depends on insights into trends and precise positioning.
Market Dynamics:
1. BTC Decouples from US Stocks: Funds are flowing from cryptocurrencies to the stock market, BTC's independent trend ends, while the crypto market fades in the exuberance of the US stock market.
2. ETH is Suppressed: It should be strong but is constrained by overall sentiment. Will it gather momentum or continue to remain silent?
3. SOL Becomes a Short Target: A rebound seems unlikely, becoming the clearest shorting target in the current market. Bulls need to be cautious.
Global News Highlights:
1. New Remarks from the US Treasury Secretary: If Trump embraces crypto, it may instead consolidate dollar hegemony—this disruptive perspective sparks heated debate.
2. Crypto Unicorns Impacting IPOs: FalconX is preparing to go public in 2025, adding a new player to the US stock market from the crypto circle.
3. AI Arms Race Escalates: Sam Altman announces GPT-5 will launch this summer, accelerating technological iteration.
4. Criminal Groups' New Money Laundering Tactics: A gold money laundering case in the UK is exposed, with the crypto circle surprisingly becoming a 'civilized' choice.
5. Favorable US Policies: Ohio passes a bill exempting BTC payments under $200 from taxes, a friendly policy for Web3.
6. Institutions Calmly Respond to Elections: Japanese companies state that Trump's term is limited and refuse to adjust long-term strategies for short-term political fluctuations.
7. Federal Reserve Holds Steady: Interest rates remain at 4.25%-4.50%, Powell unusually admits: current forecasts are meaningless.
8. Accelerating Integration of Traditional Finance and DeFi: Ethena Labs collaborates with Securitize to achieve atomic swaps between BlackRock's tokenized fund BUIDL and USDt.
9. Coinbase Payment System Launches: The recent large-scale ban on Web3 cards is explained.
10. Paxos Makes a Comeback: Establishes Paxos Labs, focusing on institutional-grade DeFi access and customized stablecoin services.
Special Event:
The Virtuals.io project faced a sudden technical failure before its launch, resulting in a crash triggered only through contract claims, with Points’ price plummeting to 0.002 before a strong rebound.
Market Insights:
While the crypto circle remains concerned about geopolitical risks, Wall Street has already entered a festive mode. Behind this migration of funds is a fundamental shift in risk appetite. Whether one can grasp the pulse of the market depends on insights into trends and precise positioning.
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Recently, there have been many cases of frozen withdrawals again——
As always, the mainland will only become stricter regarding this matter;
With the latest big data monitoring and the increasing understanding of cryptocurrency domestically, as well as clearer funding channels, it has become almost impossible to evade detection. If one is still physically present in the mainland, finding a good withdrawal path is almost one of the most important things;
Otherwise, earning money but being unable to spend it, or even having to stay in for a few days, is an extremely unwise situation!
#币安钱包TGE $SPK
As always, the mainland will only become stricter regarding this matter;
With the latest big data monitoring and the increasing understanding of cryptocurrency domestically, as well as clearer funding channels, it has become almost impossible to evade detection. If one is still physically present in the mainland, finding a good withdrawal path is almost one of the most important things;
Otherwise, earning money but being unable to spend it, or even having to stay in for a few days, is an extremely unwise situation!
#币安钱包TGE $SPK
See original
SOL Market Analysis: Following Market Fluctuations, Waiting for Trend Clarity
The recent trend of SOL has completely followed Bitcoin's fluctuations, lacking independent market movement. The daily candle has formed a bearish candle with upper and lower shadows, and the trading volume is basically the same as the previous day, indicating a cautious market sentiment. The current daily MA30 still shows a downward trend, suggesting that the recent rise is merely a rebound rather than a trend reversal. The MACD indicator continues to entangle below the zero axis, and has not given a clear directional signal.
From a technical perspective, SOL's short-term trend will still be dominated by Bitcoin. If Bitcoin continues to adjust, SOL may also test support levels; conversely, if Bitcoin stabilizes and rebounds, SOL will follow suit and rise. Investors can engage in short-term swing trading between key support and resistance levels, while gradually accumulating spot positions in the daily support area to prepare for potential market recovery.
Key Reference Levels
Resistance Levels: 156 → 165 → 177
Support Levels: 142 → 134 → 120 → 110
The overall market remains in a volatile pattern, making it difficult for SOL to show independent performance in the short term. It is recommended that investors remain patient, gradually build positions at key support levels, and wait for further clarity in market trends.
#以色列伊朗冲突 $SOL
The recent trend of SOL has completely followed Bitcoin's fluctuations, lacking independent market movement. The daily candle has formed a bearish candle with upper and lower shadows, and the trading volume is basically the same as the previous day, indicating a cautious market sentiment. The current daily MA30 still shows a downward trend, suggesting that the recent rise is merely a rebound rather than a trend reversal. The MACD indicator continues to entangle below the zero axis, and has not given a clear directional signal.
From a technical perspective, SOL's short-term trend will still be dominated by Bitcoin. If Bitcoin continues to adjust, SOL may also test support levels; conversely, if Bitcoin stabilizes and rebounds, SOL will follow suit and rise. Investors can engage in short-term swing trading between key support and resistance levels, while gradually accumulating spot positions in the daily support area to prepare for potential market recovery.
Key Reference Levels
Resistance Levels: 156 → 165 → 177
Support Levels: 142 → 134 → 120 → 110
The overall market remains in a volatile pattern, making it difficult for SOL to show independent performance in the short term. It is recommended that investors remain patient, gradually build positions at key support levels, and wait for further clarity in market trends.
#以色列伊朗冲突 $SOL
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ETH Price Analysis: Following BTC's Fluctuations, Key Support Levels Determine Future Direction
Ethereum's recent movements have largely mirrored Bitcoin, lacking independent trends. The daily chart shows a small bearish candle with noticeable upper and lower shadows; the body is shorter compared to BTC. Trading volume remained the same as the previous day, with no significant increase or decrease signals. Currently, the daily MA30 is flat, while the MACD shows an increase in bearish momentum above the zero axis, indicating continued adjustment pressure in the short term.
From an hourly perspective, ETH initially rose and then fell, with the price retracing to the lower edge of the red oscillation zone (which is also near the daily EMA52 moving average) where it found support, followed by a slight rebound in line with BTC. Overall, ETH remains in a wide oscillation pattern; as long as the daily EMA52 support holds, the price is likely to continue fluctuating within this range.
If Bitcoin weakens further, ETH may follow suit and test the support around 2320. If this level stabilizes, a rebound is expected. A stronger support level is around 2450 (daily MA120); if prices pull back to this level, it will present a good buying opportunity.
Key Reference Levels
Resistance Levels: 2680 → 2770 → 2960 → 3060
Support Levels: 2450 → 2320 → 2200 → 2130
Currently, market correlation is strong, and ETH's movements are still dominated by BTC. Short-term traders can look for opportunities to buy low and sell high within the range, while medium to long-term investors may wait for positioning opportunities near key support levels.
#美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
Ethereum's recent movements have largely mirrored Bitcoin, lacking independent trends. The daily chart shows a small bearish candle with noticeable upper and lower shadows; the body is shorter compared to BTC. Trading volume remained the same as the previous day, with no significant increase or decrease signals. Currently, the daily MA30 is flat, while the MACD shows an increase in bearish momentum above the zero axis, indicating continued adjustment pressure in the short term.
From an hourly perspective, ETH initially rose and then fell, with the price retracing to the lower edge of the red oscillation zone (which is also near the daily EMA52 moving average) where it found support, followed by a slight rebound in line with BTC. Overall, ETH remains in a wide oscillation pattern; as long as the daily EMA52 support holds, the price is likely to continue fluctuating within this range.
If Bitcoin weakens further, ETH may follow suit and test the support around 2320. If this level stabilizes, a rebound is expected. A stronger support level is around 2450 (daily MA120); if prices pull back to this level, it will present a good buying opportunity.
Key Reference Levels
Resistance Levels: 2680 → 2770 → 2960 → 3060
Support Levels: 2450 → 2320 → 2200 → 2130
Currently, market correlation is strong, and ETH's movements are still dominated by BTC. Short-term traders can look for opportunities to buy low and sell high within the range, while medium to long-term investors may wait for positioning opportunities near key support levels.
#美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
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BTC Trend Analysis: Weak Rebound After Overselling, Short-term Downward Risk Remains
Yesterday morning, BTC experienced a wave of weak rebound after overselling on the hourly chart, but market sentiment weakened afterward, and the price began to decline, even showing a rare 13 consecutive bearish candles. After the U.S. stock market opened, selling pressure intensified, and Binance's spot price dipped to around 103,371, followed by a slight rebound in the early hours, currently trading around 104,800.
From the daily chart, BTC formed a long bearish candle with significant upper and lower shadows, and the trading volume increased by about one-third compared to the previous day. Although there was an attempt to break through the daily MA30 resistance during the day, it ultimately failed to hold, and the price slightly rebounded after falling back to around EMA52.
It is worth noting that the EMA52 moving average still provides some support, but with multiple failed rebounds, its support function is weakening, and market bullish confidence is gradually being eroded. A rebound may still occur during the day today, but if it cannot hold the key resistance level, there may be another downward test.
Key Levels Reference
Resistance Levels: 106,800 → 110,300 → 120,400 → 130,000
Support Levels: 102,800 → 97,670 → 95,860 → 93,530
The current market is still suppressed by macro factors, and short-term trading requires caution. If the rebound is weak, further pullback risks should be anticipated.
#Strategy增持比特币 $BTC
Yesterday morning, BTC experienced a wave of weak rebound after overselling on the hourly chart, but market sentiment weakened afterward, and the price began to decline, even showing a rare 13 consecutive bearish candles. After the U.S. stock market opened, selling pressure intensified, and Binance's spot price dipped to around 103,371, followed by a slight rebound in the early hours, currently trading around 104,800.
From the daily chart, BTC formed a long bearish candle with significant upper and lower shadows, and the trading volume increased by about one-third compared to the previous day. Although there was an attempt to break through the daily MA30 resistance during the day, it ultimately failed to hold, and the price slightly rebounded after falling back to around EMA52.
It is worth noting that the EMA52 moving average still provides some support, but with multiple failed rebounds, its support function is weakening, and market bullish confidence is gradually being eroded. A rebound may still occur during the day today, but if it cannot hold the key resistance level, there may be another downward test.
Key Levels Reference
Resistance Levels: 106,800 → 110,300 → 120,400 → 130,000
Support Levels: 102,800 → 97,670 → 95,860 → 93,530
The current market is still suppressed by macro factors, and short-term trading requires caution. If the rebound is weak, further pullback risks should be anticipated.
#Strategy增持比特币 $BTC
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📅 6.18 Morning Briefing: Global Markets in Turmoil, Undercurrents in the Crypto Space
📉 Market Trend Analysis
1. BTC is dragged down by the US stock market, technical factors struggle against macro impacts, market sentiment is under pressure.
2. ETH fluctuates sharply around the 2500 mark, intensifying the battle between bulls and bears, with short-term direction still unclear.
3. SOL, after a brief spike from the PumpFun event, has retreated to 140, showing strong correlation, but its ability to strengthen independently is in doubt.
4. VanEck Solana ETF has entered the DTCC list, but market reaction is tepid, with inflows falling short of expectations.
🌍 Global Macro and Industry Dynamics
1. Federal Reserve Winds: Some officials may lower interest rate cut expectations, increasing market sensitivity.
2. US Policy: The Senate passes the GENIUS Act, with actual impacts to be observed.
3. Tron Expansion: Justin Sun's family invests $100 million in TRX to acquire a US shell company, Tron Inc is set to list on NASDAQ.
4. Traditional Finance Entry: JPMorgan issues commercial deposit token JPMD on the Base chain, accelerating institutional layout.
5. Stablecoin Competition: Liu Qiangdong announces JD.com will apply for stablecoin licenses in multiple countries, competition among giants intensifies.
6. Trump Updates: TikTok ban extended by 90 days, global tariff case will be submitted to the Supreme Court for review.
💡 Crypto Market Highlights
1. Coinbase lists high-risk experimental token Spark (SPK), investors need to be cautious of volatility.
2. PumpFun unblocking triggers a pullback in the Launchpad sector, highlighting market liquidity sensitivity.
3. BBVA Bank recommends high-net-worth clients allocate 3%-7% of their assets to crypto, with increasing institutional recognition.
4. Meme Community Resurgence: Three major accounts return, GMGN community sentiment warms up.
⚠️ Risk Warning: Geopolitical conflicts and policy uncertainty continue to pressure the market; short-term volatility may intensify, caution is advised for holdings.
#Strategy增持比特币 $BTC #以色列伊朗冲突 $SPK
📉 Market Trend Analysis
1. BTC is dragged down by the US stock market, technical factors struggle against macro impacts, market sentiment is under pressure.
2. ETH fluctuates sharply around the 2500 mark, intensifying the battle between bulls and bears, with short-term direction still unclear.
3. SOL, after a brief spike from the PumpFun event, has retreated to 140, showing strong correlation, but its ability to strengthen independently is in doubt.
4. VanEck Solana ETF has entered the DTCC list, but market reaction is tepid, with inflows falling short of expectations.
🌍 Global Macro and Industry Dynamics
1. Federal Reserve Winds: Some officials may lower interest rate cut expectations, increasing market sensitivity.
2. US Policy: The Senate passes the GENIUS Act, with actual impacts to be observed.
3. Tron Expansion: Justin Sun's family invests $100 million in TRX to acquire a US shell company, Tron Inc is set to list on NASDAQ.
4. Traditional Finance Entry: JPMorgan issues commercial deposit token JPMD on the Base chain, accelerating institutional layout.
5. Stablecoin Competition: Liu Qiangdong announces JD.com will apply for stablecoin licenses in multiple countries, competition among giants intensifies.
6. Trump Updates: TikTok ban extended by 90 days, global tariff case will be submitted to the Supreme Court for review.
💡 Crypto Market Highlights
1. Coinbase lists high-risk experimental token Spark (SPK), investors need to be cautious of volatility.
2. PumpFun unblocking triggers a pullback in the Launchpad sector, highlighting market liquidity sensitivity.
3. BBVA Bank recommends high-net-worth clients allocate 3%-7% of their assets to crypto, with increasing institutional recognition.
4. Meme Community Resurgence: Three major accounts return, GMGN community sentiment warms up.
⚠️ Risk Warning: Geopolitical conflicts and policy uncertainty continue to pressure the market; short-term volatility may intensify, caution is advised for holdings.
#Strategy增持比特币 $BTC #以色列伊朗冲突 $SPK
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本周市场将重点关注的事件与数据
周二 20:30，美国 5 月零售销售月率公布，前值 0.10% 周三
20:30，美国至 6 月 14 日当周初请失业金人数公布，前值 24.8 万人；
周四 02:00，美国至 6 月 18 日美联储利率决定 (上限)，前值 4.50%；
周四 02:00，美联储 FOMC 公布利率决议和经济预期摘要；
周四 02:30，美联储主席鲍威尔召开货币政策新闻发布会。
#加密市场反弹 $TRX #币安Alpha上新 $TRUMP
周二 20:30，美国 5 月零售销售月率公布，前值 0.10% 周三
20:30，美国至 6 月 14 日当周初请失业金人数公布，前值 24.8 万人；
周四 02:00，美国至 6 月 18 日美联储利率决定 (上限)，前值 4.50%；
周四 02:00，美联储 FOMC 公布利率决议和经济预期摘要；
周四 02:30，美联储主席鲍威尔召开货币政策新闻发布会。
#加密市场反弹 $TRX #币安Alpha上新 $TRUMP
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When Weather Stations Meet Blockchain: How CAILA Redefines DePIN with AI
In the morning, your phone pops up a notification: "Today's rain probability is 70%, it is recommended to carry rain gear." Behind this, there may be an on-chain AI meteorologist silently at work — it comes from CAILA, an innovative project that is stirring up a storm on the BNB Chain.
This is not just another concept coin talking about AI. CAILA has done three disruptive things: moving real weather stations (Marco devices) onto the blockchain, allowing AI Agents to learn and analyze weather data, and using tokens to incentivize the creation of a self-sustaining data economy network. Imagine this: your home weather device not only forecasts the weather but also earns cryptocurrency by contributing data — this is the most exciting practical scenario of DePIN.
In the last two weeks, the CAILA ecosystem has been experiencing explosive growth:
A trading competition prize pool exceeding $130,000 in collaboration with FourMeme
297 physical weather devices airdropped to the community as nodes
Continuously landing on top platforms like Binance Alpha, THENA, etc.
Daily trading volume once surpassed $23 million
What’s even more noteworthy is its unique "trinity" model: starting with the popularity of Meme, supported by the physical assets of DePIN, and ultimately achieving a value closed loop through AI. While other Meme coins are still playing with emojis, CAILA has already allowed blockchain AI agents to start predicting tomorrow's weather.
For participants, this may be the most noteworthy "play-to-earn" experiment of the year: whether providing liquidity, trading tokens, or operating physical nodes, there are ways for everyone to participate. After all, in the crypto world, projects that can touch both the real world and the data economy are always scarce.
The question now is: when the first heavy rain predicted by blockchain AI arrives, will you be a bystander or a part of the network?
@CAILA_AI
#CAILA链上AI气象官捕捉下一场Web3风暴
In the morning, your phone pops up a notification: "Today's rain probability is 70%, it is recommended to carry rain gear." Behind this, there may be an on-chain AI meteorologist silently at work — it comes from CAILA, an innovative project that is stirring up a storm on the BNB Chain.
This is not just another concept coin talking about AI. CAILA has done three disruptive things: moving real weather stations (Marco devices) onto the blockchain, allowing AI Agents to learn and analyze weather data, and using tokens to incentivize the creation of a self-sustaining data economy network. Imagine this: your home weather device not only forecasts the weather but also earns cryptocurrency by contributing data — this is the most exciting practical scenario of DePIN.
In the last two weeks, the CAILA ecosystem has been experiencing explosive growth:
A trading competition prize pool exceeding $130,000 in collaboration with FourMeme
297 physical weather devices airdropped to the community as nodes
Continuously landing on top platforms like Binance Alpha, THENA, etc.
Daily trading volume once surpassed $23 million
What’s even more noteworthy is its unique "trinity" model: starting with the popularity of Meme, supported by the physical assets of DePIN, and ultimately achieving a value closed loop through AI. While other Meme coins are still playing with emojis, CAILA has already allowed blockchain AI agents to start predicting tomorrow's weather.
For participants, this may be the most noteworthy "play-to-earn" experiment of the year: whether providing liquidity, trading tokens, or operating physical nodes, there are ways for everyone to participate. After all, in the crypto world, projects that can touch both the real world and the data economy are always scarce.
The question now is: when the first heavy rain predicted by blockchain AI arrives, will you be a bystander or a part of the network?
@CAILA_AI
#CAILA链上AI气象官捕捉下一场Web3风暴
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SOL Downward Fluctuation, Awaiting Bottoming Signal
Yesterday, SOL followed Bitcoin to perform a high-to-low reversal, with the price encountering significant resistance after touching the daily MA30 moving average, ultimately closing as a small bearish candle with a long upper shadow. Although the trading volume increased moderately compared to the previous day, it remains at a normal level overall, indicating that the market has not formed a consensus on bullish sentiment.
From a technical perspective, it displays typical characteristics of a downward trend: the daily MA30 moving average continues to apply downward pressure, and while the MACD shows weakening bearish momentum, it remains below the zero line. Currently, the price is at a critical watershed, with the $142 support level becoming the focal point of the bulls and bears contest. If this level holds, it may trigger a rebound towards the $156-$165 area; conversely, it may plunge to $134 or even $120 support.
For investors, the current strategy should be to maintain patience:
Consider accumulating spot positions in batches near $142
If a rebound to the $156 pressure area encounters resistance, consider reducing positions moderately
Be cautious of accelerated downside risk if it effectively breaks below $134
It is worth noting that SOL has not yet shown a trend reversal signal; any rise should be regarded as a rebound rather than a reversal. In a large-scale fluctuation pattern, controlling positions and waiting for clearer bottoming signals is the best course of action. The market is brewing a new direction, and Bitcoin's trend will continue to dominate SOL's short-term fluctuations.
#加密市场反弹 $SOL
Yesterday, SOL followed Bitcoin to perform a high-to-low reversal, with the price encountering significant resistance after touching the daily MA30 moving average, ultimately closing as a small bearish candle with a long upper shadow. Although the trading volume increased moderately compared to the previous day, it remains at a normal level overall, indicating that the market has not formed a consensus on bullish sentiment.
From a technical perspective, it displays typical characteristics of a downward trend: the daily MA30 moving average continues to apply downward pressure, and while the MACD shows weakening bearish momentum, it remains below the zero line. Currently, the price is at a critical watershed, with the $142 support level becoming the focal point of the bulls and bears contest. If this level holds, it may trigger a rebound towards the $156-$165 area; conversely, it may plunge to $134 or even $120 support.
For investors, the current strategy should be to maintain patience:
Consider accumulating spot positions in batches near $142
If a rebound to the $156 pressure area encounters resistance, consider reducing positions moderately
Be cautious of accelerated downside risk if it effectively breaks below $134
It is worth noting that SOL has not yet shown a trend reversal signal; any rise should be regarded as a rebound rather than a reversal. In a large-scale fluctuation pattern, controlling positions and waiting for clearer bottoming signals is the best course of action. The market is brewing a new direction, and Bitcoin's trend will continue to dominate SOL's short-term fluctuations.
#加密市场反弹 $SOL
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Ethereum Surges and Retreats, Fluctuation Pattern Continues
Last night, Ethereum followed Bitcoin in a rollercoaster market, making a strong advance during the U.S. stock trading session, but the sudden selling pressure in the early morning brought the price back down. The daily candlestick formed a small bearish candle with significant upper and lower shadows. Although the trading volume increased compared to the weekend, it still appears insufficient compared to weekdays, indicating a strong market wait-and-see sentiment.
The current price is repeatedly contested around the daily MA30 moving average, and the MACD indicator shows that the upward momentum is weakening. Notably, the $2425-$2460 range gathers the daily EMA52 moving average and the previous box bottom as dual support. If it retraces to this area, it may trigger a technical rebound.
The upper resistance is at $2680, and only a breakthrough can open up the space to $2770-$2960. However, given the current volume, a direct breakthrough is challenging, and it is more likely to maintain a wide fluctuation between $2450-$2680. The market is still waiting for clearer signals; investors need to remain patient and focus on the defense strength of the $2425-$2460 support zone.
For operational strategies, it is recommended:
If a stable rebound occurs in the $2425-$2460 support zone, consider gradually positioning.
If a rebound to the $2680 resistance level encounters obstacles, reduce positions appropriately.
Be cautious of a deeper adjustment if it effectively breaks below $2320.
Currently, Ethereum has not yet established an independent trend, and its performance still highly depends on Bitcoin's direction. Until the trend becomes clear, controlling positions and maintaining flexibility is key.
#加密市场反弹 $ETH
Last night, Ethereum followed Bitcoin in a rollercoaster market, making a strong advance during the U.S. stock trading session, but the sudden selling pressure in the early morning brought the price back down. The daily candlestick formed a small bearish candle with significant upper and lower shadows. Although the trading volume increased compared to the weekend, it still appears insufficient compared to weekdays, indicating a strong market wait-and-see sentiment.
The current price is repeatedly contested around the daily MA30 moving average, and the MACD indicator shows that the upward momentum is weakening. Notably, the $2425-$2460 range gathers the daily EMA52 moving average and the previous box bottom as dual support. If it retraces to this area, it may trigger a technical rebound.
The upper resistance is at $2680, and only a breakthrough can open up the space to $2770-$2960. However, given the current volume, a direct breakthrough is challenging, and it is more likely to maintain a wide fluctuation between $2450-$2680. The market is still waiting for clearer signals; investors need to remain patient and focus on the defense strength of the $2425-$2460 support zone.
For operational strategies, it is recommended:
If a stable rebound occurs in the $2425-$2460 support zone, consider gradually positioning.
If a rebound to the $2680 resistance level encounters obstacles, reduce positions appropriately.
Be cautious of a deeper adjustment if it effectively breaks below $2320.
Currently, Ethereum has not yet established an independent trend, and its performance still highly depends on Bitcoin's direction. Until the trend becomes clear, controlling positions and maintaining flexibility is key.
#加密市场反弹 $ETH
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Bitcoin Soars and Then Falls: The Battle for Key Positions Begins
Last night, Bitcoin experienced a roller coaster market, quickly rising past $108,950 after the US stock market opened, but suddenly plummeting in the early morning to give back all gains. This daily candle with a long upper shadow reveals the fatigue of the bulls—although the trading volume doubled compared to the weekend, it is still below last week's weekday levels, indicating that major funds are still in a wait-and-see mode.
Currently, the price is hanging above the crucial dividing line of the daily MA30 moving average. The MACD indicator shows that the downward momentum is weakening, but a clear reversal signal has not yet formed. If the pullback during the day can hold the support at $102,700, the evening opening of the US stock market may reignite the offensive. However, it is necessary to be cautious; only if the price can remain above the MA30 moving average for three consecutive days can we confirm a trend reversal, otherwise, a decline to support levels of $97,670 or even $95,860 may occur.
The upper level of $110,300 constitutes a strong resistance zone; if it can break through with increased volume, it may target $120,400. However, given the current volume levels, a direct breakthrough is quite challenging, and it is more likely to maintain a fluctuating pattern between $102,700 and $110,300.
For investors, it is crucial to remain patient at this moment:
If there is a rebound to the $108,000-$110,000 range and signs of stagnation appear, consider gradually reducing positions.
A bounce off the $102,700 support level would present a buying opportunity.
Be cautious if it clearly breaks below $95,860, as a deeper adjustment may be imminent.
The market is waiting for a clear signal, and tonight's trends in the US stock market may provide crucial guidance. Remember, before the trend becomes clear, preserving ammunition is more important than charging blindly.
#特朗普比特币金库 $BTC
Last night, Bitcoin experienced a roller coaster market, quickly rising past $108,950 after the US stock market opened, but suddenly plummeting in the early morning to give back all gains. This daily candle with a long upper shadow reveals the fatigue of the bulls—although the trading volume doubled compared to the weekend, it is still below last week's weekday levels, indicating that major funds are still in a wait-and-see mode.
Currently, the price is hanging above the crucial dividing line of the daily MA30 moving average. The MACD indicator shows that the downward momentum is weakening, but a clear reversal signal has not yet formed. If the pullback during the day can hold the support at $102,700, the evening opening of the US stock market may reignite the offensive. However, it is necessary to be cautious; only if the price can remain above the MA30 moving average for three consecutive days can we confirm a trend reversal, otherwise, a decline to support levels of $97,670 or even $95,860 may occur.
The upper level of $110,300 constitutes a strong resistance zone; if it can break through with increased volume, it may target $120,400. However, given the current volume levels, a direct breakthrough is quite challenging, and it is more likely to maintain a fluctuating pattern between $102,700 and $110,300.
For investors, it is crucial to remain patient at this moment:
If there is a rebound to the $108,000-$110,000 range and signs of stagnation appear, consider gradually reducing positions.
A bounce off the $102,700 support level would present a buying opportunity.
Be cautious if it clearly breaks below $95,860, as a deeper adjustment may be imminent.
The market is waiting for a clear signal, and tonight's trends in the US stock market may provide crucial guidance. Remember, before the trend becomes clear, preserving ammunition is more important than charging blindly.
#特朗普比特币金库 $BTC
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June 17th Crypto Market Morning Report | Geopolitical Conflicts Trigger Market Turmoil
Core Market Updates
BTC Hit by War News: Escalation of Middle East Situation Causes Short-term Capital Panic, Price Plummets Rapidly, Daily Volatility Exceeds 5%
ETH Liquidity Crisis: Continued Long and Short Killing Market, Contract Open Interest Drops Sharply, Leveraged Players Suffer Heavy Losses
SOL Ecosystem Faces Sudden Negative News: PumpFun Being Banned Leads to Sharp Decline in On-chain Activities, Price Retraces All Gains from Yesterday
Key Event Tracking
Ultimate Vote on the "GENIUS Act": At 4:30 AM Beijing Time Today, the US Web3 Regulatory Framework Will Be Decided, Results Directly Impacting Industry Direction
Geopolitical Escalation: Trump Calls for Evacuation of Personnel from Tehran, Gold and Oil Surge, Risk Assets Under Pressure
EU Tariff Turmoil: Officials Deny Accepting US 10% Tariff Proposal, but Market Has Already Reacted in Advance
Capital Movement Warning
FTX Liquidation Address Transfers 250,000 SOL to Coinbase (Approximately $39.72 Million), Suspected to Initiate Asset Disposal
Polyhedra Encounters On-chain Coordinated Attack, Leading to ZKJ Token Plummeting and Violently Rebounding by 180%
Controversial Opinions
Cantor Fitzgerald Report States "SOL is More Suitable than ETH as Treasury Asset", Sparking Intense Debate in the Industry
Eric Trump Clarifies Relationship with Sun Yuchen: "Supports TRON but Has No Equity Connection", Accused of Leaving Room for Interpretation
Market Insights
Geopolitical Risks Have Become the Biggest Black Swan in the Crypto Market
Policy Sensitive Period Requires Caution Against Sudden Regulatory News
Use Leverage Cautiously in High Volatility Markets, Spot is King
Today's Observation Focus
GENIUS Act Voting Results (4:30 AM Beijing Time)
Possible Selling Pressure from FTX-Associated SOL
Whether the Middle East Situation Continues to Deteriorate
#Strategy增持比特币 $BTC #加密市场反弹 $SOL
Core Market Updates
BTC Hit by War News: Escalation of Middle East Situation Causes Short-term Capital Panic, Price Plummets Rapidly, Daily Volatility Exceeds 5%
ETH Liquidity Crisis: Continued Long and Short Killing Market, Contract Open Interest Drops Sharply, Leveraged Players Suffer Heavy Losses
SOL Ecosystem Faces Sudden Negative News: PumpFun Being Banned Leads to Sharp Decline in On-chain Activities, Price Retraces All Gains from Yesterday
Key Event Tracking
Ultimate Vote on the "GENIUS Act": At 4:30 AM Beijing Time Today, the US Web3 Regulatory Framework Will Be Decided, Results Directly Impacting Industry Direction
Geopolitical Escalation: Trump Calls for Evacuation of Personnel from Tehran, Gold and Oil Surge, Risk Assets Under Pressure
EU Tariff Turmoil: Officials Deny Accepting US 10% Tariff Proposal, but Market Has Already Reacted in Advance
Capital Movement Warning
FTX Liquidation Address Transfers 250,000 SOL to Coinbase (Approximately $39.72 Million), Suspected to Initiate Asset Disposal
Polyhedra Encounters On-chain Coordinated Attack, Leading to ZKJ Token Plummeting and Violently Rebounding by 180%
Controversial Opinions
Cantor Fitzgerald Report States "SOL is More Suitable than ETH as Treasury Asset", Sparking Intense Debate in the Industry
Eric Trump Clarifies Relationship with Sun Yuchen: "Supports TRON but Has No Equity Connection", Accused of Leaving Room for Interpretation
Market Insights
Geopolitical Risks Have Become the Biggest Black Swan in the Crypto Market
Policy Sensitive Period Requires Caution Against Sudden Regulatory News
Use Leverage Cautiously in High Volatility Markets, Spot is King
Today's Observation Focus
GENIUS Act Voting Results (4:30 AM Beijing Time)
Possible Selling Pressure from FTX-Associated SOL
Whether the Middle East Situation Continues to Deteriorate
#Strategy增持比特币 $BTC #加密市场反弹 $SOL
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Circle (CRCL) surged 34% to a new all-time high after the U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Act — fueling optimism for stablecoin regulation and crypto equities. With Circle’s blowout IPO, many now see this as the start of a broader wave of crypto public listings.
💬 Is this real investor demand driving crypto IPOs — or just short-term hype? Which crypto companies do you think are next?
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The Fed held rates steady for the 4th meeting in a row. Chair Powell said more data is needed before cutting, even as inflation cools. The Fed’s 2025 outlook shows two possible rate cuts. Meanwhile, Trump reignited tensions, calling Powell “stupid” and urging a 2% cut to boost the economy.
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