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川三
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Just posted a new thread for reference.
炒币的滴滴司机
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Bitcoin is at this position now, what should be done?
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川三
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善攻者,敌不知其所守。The expert in attack makes the enemy unsure of where to defend.
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$BTC 日内预判(5月10日) 📈当前位置:结构仍强(日线 HL→HH),但连涨后动能衰减,主力主动控节奏 🥷 我个人判断: 暴跌的逻辑不存在,会有一波小幅下跌,不是转空,而是一次“健康的洗盘/吸筹”。 之后可能会开启下一轮上涨,但节奏将进入“大分歧阶段”。 🔍 结构逻辑拆解: 这波上涨(LL→HH)是“分歧最小”的阶段,大多数人都跟上了; 而主力通常在这种“筹码集中”时换挡,制造一次“假跌”清走短线跟风盘; 接下来若再上攻,节奏会更“碎、更快、更抖”——也就是进入大分歧阶段: 假突破、诱空插针、缩量拉涨频出; 情绪开始分化,仓位管理更重要。 📜今天的操作建议: 不追高、不空在坑底,观察这一波“跌不跌得稳”; 如果跌破结构区间但量能缩、OB守住+背离重现,就是你新一轮入场点。
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$XRP 现在的样子很怪。 明明市值大,叙事足,结构稳, 却每天墨迹,好像在打太极。 但你回头看——去年它也是这样。 打了两个月太极,一拳直接打穿400%。 所以现在你看到的,是“慢”? 还是——“蓄力”? 有些币,是热了才涨。 XRP,是涨了才热。
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Not saying it’s a fake breakout—just saying it doesn’t feel like a breakout driven by smart money.
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If you're in, trail your stop below 164–165; if you're not, just wait—this isn't the spot to chase
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