#美联储FOMC会议 The Federal Reserve now has three cards to play:
Continue to talk tough and raise interest rates: The cryptocurrency market will play dead, continuing to decline as it did in 2022. Play the waiting game: The market remains half-alive, oscillating daily like an ECG. Suddenly ease and cut interest rates: Bitcoin could lead altcoins to collectively 'resurrect', reminiscent of the crazy surge of 15% in a single day after a 50 basis point rate cut in September 2024.
The key lies in the liquidity of the US dollar, this faucet. Right now, the crypto market is like a twisted water pipe; as soon as the Federal Reserve loosens it even slightly—such as signaling a rate cut during the May FOMC meeting—the funds that have been pent up for three years will gush out instantly. Historical data shows that each time the Federal Reserve enters a rate cut cycle, Bitcoin's average increase exceeds 300%.