Ying Gressman cRY4

David Sacks, the head of artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency affairs at the White House, stated that regulation is to ensure that innovation in the cryptocurrency space remains in the United States while preventing risks posed by offshore companies. This is quite clear: the U.S. aims to firmly control the development of cryptocurrency.
From an industry perspective, once legislation is enacted, leading cryptocurrency exchanges and compliant projects will definitely benefit. For example, Coinbase has been actively embracing regulation, and it may expand its business in the future. However, non-compliant small exchanges and scam projects are likely to face difficulties. For ordinary investors like us, with clearer regulations, investment risks can be relatively lowered, and we no longer have to worry all day about projects running away. However, legislation is not a panacea; the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, so everyone still needs to invest cautiously.

As of May 16, 2025, the BTC intraday market presents a fluctuating pattern. The current price is fluctuating around $103,000, with short-term resistance above in the range of $104,300-$105,500, and strong resistance around $105,670; support below is primarily focused around $102,000, and if it breaks down, it may test the key levels of $101,500-$100,000. The technical indicators show that the Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour level are narrowing, with the price hovering around the middle band, MACD bearish momentum is weakening but has not broken the zero axis, and the KDJ indicator has a death cross risk in the overbought area, indicating a clear short-term tug of war between bulls and bears. The operating suggestion is to primarily focus on high short and low long positions in the range, establishing light long positions near $102,000 on pullbacks, and attempting short positions near $105,500, with strict stop-loss settings.

As of May 15, 2025, the United States and China reached an agreement on May 12, announcing that they would significantly reduce tariffs within the next 90 days. The U.S. will lower tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%, while China will reduce tariffs on U.S. goods from 125% to 10%. This move is seen as a 'comprehensive reset' of the relationship, leading to a strong market rebound, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising over 1,000 points, led by technology stocks. Although this agreement brings short-term benefits to the global economy, analysts warn that structural issues remain unresolved, and future negotiations will need to be closely monitored.

$BTC From a technical analysis perspective, the current daily chart once again shows a bearish candle pattern, and the market remains in a high-level consolidation phase. Although the upper, middle, and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands maintain an upward trend, they have not significantly expanded, indicating that the bullish momentum is slowing down. The three lines of the KDJ indicator have started to turn downward in the overbought area, showing preliminary signs of a death cross. Meanwhile, the momentum bars of the MACD indicator continue to shrink, indicating a clear demand for a pullback on the daily chart.
Key resistance levels to closely monitor above include 105,000, 105,500, and 106,000; while the main support levels to watch below are 101,800, 10500, and 96,500.

At 8:30 PM tonight, the U.S. will announce the CPI data, which may affect the market trend. Many people are still unaware of what this so-called CPI data is.
In simple terms, if the data is favorable, the probability of interest rate cuts will increase; conversely, it will decrease. The market currently predicts this will happen by July.
K believes that it is better to wait and see for now, as the market is currently in a sideways trend. It is not advisable to chase after rising or falling prices; wait for the data to be released before entering the market.
I will also closely monitor the market trend to find opportunities to enter. Those who want to follow K's lead can.

This roundtable marks a new phase in the clarification of U.S. cryptocurrency regulation and predictable compliance. In the short term, the SEC's policy shift may attract more institutional funds into the crypto market (such as major players like BlackRock accelerating their layout of ETFs and staking products) and promote the construction of tokenized financial infrastructure. In the long term, the clarity of the regulatory framework will facilitate global cooperation in cryptocurrency governance (such as mutual recognition of MiCA and SEC rules), but issues like the stalemate in stablecoin legislation and unclear compliance paths for DeFi still need to be further addressed.

Currently, $BTC is still within a consolidation range. The upper resistance levels are at 105000, 107000, and 110000, while the support level is at 101000. Personally, I think the probability of breaking out of the consolidation range and moving upwards is higher. The resistance level at 107000 might be reached. If it does, those holding long positions should observe whether there is a divergence on the 4-hour chart. If there is a top divergence, the probability of a downward pullback is greater. If there is no divergence, then the likelihood of breaking out of the consolidation range again is higher. Those holding long positions can take advantage of the price difference. For those looking to short, it depends on whether there is a selling point based on the 4-hour divergence. It is advisable to be cautious when shorting and not to engage in left-side trading without a stop-loss.

On the eve of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on $BTC , the cryptocurrency market is surging with hidden currents. Historical data shows that after the interest rate cut in 2020, BTC plummeted by 28%, while in May this year, BTC soared by 20% and the total liquidation across the network exceeded 500 million USD. Major funds have already positioned themselves in advance, using the expectation of interest rate cuts to push prices up before shorting. The uniqueness of the cryptocurrency market lies in the leverage liquidation traps, token unlocking situations, and liquidity siphoning effects. Currently, the number of outstanding futures contracts has reached a yearly peak, posing extremely high risks.
On-chain data reveals the truth: large whales have increased their holdings by 120,000 BTC, but the stock on exchanges has increased by 17%, and the USDT premium rate has fallen below -1.5%, indicating capital outflow.

#贸易战缓和 China will reduce tariffs on American goods from 125% to 10%, and the U.S. will also lower tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%, and these new tariffs will be implemented for 90 days! This trade war is finally coming to an end!
As soon as the news came out, U.S. stocks surged tonight! Just think about it, when tariffs were high before, many businesses struggled, costs were high, and profits were low. Now that tariffs have been reduced, the cost for businesses has decreased, and profit margins have increased, how could U.S. stocks not rise?
However, there are also some regrettable aspects. Tariffs can be canceled, and the market can recover, but many people had to sell their stocks early or close their positions because the market was not good. Now, even if the market improves, those positions cannot be recovered, which is truly unfortunate.

After Ethereum's night-time rise to $2600, it fell back: According to monitoring by Phoenix Finance and Coin界网, ETH briefly broke through $2600 (peaking at $2619.94 USDT) in the early morning of May 11, but quickly fell back to $2581 under the pressure of large whale sell-offs, with a 24-hour volatility of 4.8%. On-chain data shows that an anonymous address sold 12,000 ETH (worth $31.2 million) at the moment of the breakthrough, triggering over $47 million in long position liquidations in the derivatives market. Currently, ETH is quoted at $2525, with the technical chart showing a 'fake breakout' pattern, requiring close attention to the long and short battle in the $2550-$2600 range. Matrixport warns that if the weekly close cannot hold above $2600, a pullback to the $2350 support level may occur.

#加密市场反弹 Analysis of this rebound, first excluding the Federal Reserve, maintaining interest rates is undoubtedly bearish for the market, especially since the June interest rate decision is very likely to be a period of coordinated performance.
Secondly, the most important factor is a certain Eastern power, which has finally become the actual leader of the forefront economy; the interest rate cut decision has released over 130 billion USD in liquidity, truly bringing dawn to the market. It goes without saying that even at the right time, it is not impossible to completely dominate.
Celebrities like Yua Mikami are self-de-mystifying, continuously absorbing liquidity and overextending credit, and the trust in the crypto market is also continuously declining, leading to some already unattractive air coins and altcoins experiencing a cliff-like plunge in market value. In the most extreme case, this means small coins being swapped for large coins, continuously flowing into the few strongest mainstream coins, while the rest go to zero.

$BTC First, excluding the Federal Reserve, maintaining interest rates undoubtedly poses a negative impact on the market, especially since the interest decision in June is likely to be a period of coordinated performance.
Secondly, the most important factor is a certain Eastern power, which has finally become the actual leader of the forefront economy; the interest rate cut decision has released more than 130 billion USD in liquidity, truly bringing hope to the market. It goes without saying that it is even possible to completely dominate at the right moment.
Celebrities like Yua Mikami are self-deconstructing by continuously absorbing liquidity and overextending credit, while trust in the cryptocurrency market is constantly declining, leading to significant crashes in some inherently unattractive altcoins and tokens. From the most extreme perspective, this results in small coins being exchanged for large coins, continuously flowing into the few most powerful mainstream coins, while the rest all go to zero.

On May 8, 2023, payment giant Stripe suddenly dropped a bombshell—officially launching a stablecoin financial account that supports businesses in sending and receiving funds using USDC and USDB, covering 101 countries and regions worldwide! However, major markets such as China, the U.S., and Japan are not on the list.
🔥 Three explosive features
1️⃣ Instant cross-border settlement: Using stablecoins instead of SWIFT, transaction fees drop by 90%
2️⃣ Visa card connects to offline: USDC can be spent directly at 150 million Visa merchants
3️⃣ A killer weapon bought for 1.1 billion dollars: The acquired Bridge platform provides military-grade fund custody

The market has once again erupted with a strong one-sided trend, continuing the strong performance of the bulls from yesterday. After a brief fluctuation around 101000, Bitcoin surged again, reaching a high of 104305; Ethereum also followed suit, hitting a peak of around 2227. For those who regret missing the last wave of the market, this bull run has already started swiftly, and opportunities won't wait for anyone!
From the current trend, it is evident that we are still in a clear upward trajectory. Although some technical indicators are beginning to show signs of turning, the momentum of the bulls has not weakened at all, and the trend remains robust. We still hold a positive outlook for another surge after the bulls consolidate and gather strength; just go with the flow in your operations.

The initiative #Stripe稳定币账户 is truly meaningful. In the past, cross-border transfers had high fees and slow processing times. Now, with the Stripe stablecoin account, costs have significantly decreased, and settlements can achieve near-instantaneous clearing. For businesses, whether it's receiving and paying for goods in cross-border e-commerce or global payments for content creators, it's much more convenient!

Moreover, funds can be transferred via ACH, wire transfer, or cryptocurrency wallets, and can also be sent to bank accounts or crypto addresses. There are even plans to offer Visa card services priced in USDC, and the future usage scenarios are limitless! #Stripe稳定币账户 #Cryptocurrency Payment

In the last two days, without increasing positions, the stop-loss price is around 11000. If there is a loss tonight, do not operate recklessly; neither long nor short positions are suitable, as we do not know whether the market will continue to reach new highs or experience a waterfall decline and correction.
Bitcoin is about to enter a densely traded area at new highs, which is the place with the most trapped positions at high levels and also the area with the greatest upward pressure. If there is a strong breakthrough, it can only be said that the previously trapped positions have mostly been stopped out or liquidated, especially since the two dips around 75000 have been enough to cause despair among those trapped.
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The months of July to September are highly probable months for new highs, and there will definitely be a correction before that. To jump higher, one needs to squat down first to build momentum.

Bitcoin has once again returned to the 100,000 mark. After a brief pullback following the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision yesterday, Bitcoin found support and quickly recovered.
Bitcoin has shown signs of reversal, maintaining the same view as yesterday of a fluctuating upward trend.
However, attention should also be paid to several resistance levels above, as there may be some short-term selling pressure, but overall it is a phase of consolidation.
Currently, what is more noteworthy are altcoins like Ethereum; if a large amount of capital flows into altcoins, there should be a good market wave.

$BTC Today 3 Major News
(1) Last night's Federal Reserve meeting, Powell said "let's wait and see"
Maintaining interest rates unchanged in May, it's very likely that there will be no rate cut in June either.
Not very favorable for the crypto market; just as some brothers were disappointed and sold BTC, it dropped to $95800.
But why did BTC surge sharply again at 4 AM? Mainly two major news.
(2) Texas Bitcoin Reserve Bill Passed
But it still needs to go through the final full voting stage in the Texas legislature.
The news on whether it will pass will be announced within 3 weeks.
The probability of Texas passing it in 3 weeks is greater than 70%.
In yesterday's analysis, we mentioned that
New Hampshire became the first state in the U.S. to pass a strategic BTC reserve law.
Other states in the U.S. will follow suit; as long as 5 states join,
that's an annual buying power of 5 billion dollars.

The interest rate cut last night did not cause much of a stir, and the market continues to follow the technicals. Today's analysis is simple and clear: stick to your trading viewpoint. If 99500 does not break, look for a pullback. We have now arrived at the most cost-effective position, and there is no reason not to act, even if it may result in a stop loss. The high of 97895 has already been plundered, and after the plunder, it has entered my short position area. Here I will establish a short position, with the final stop loss set just above 99500. Since going long at 74000, I have taken a lot of profits, and even if this trade results in a loss, that’s fine. Please follow rationally, keeping the stop loss within 1500 dollars.

Last night's interest rate cut did not cause much of a stir; the market continues to move based on technicals. Today's analysis is straightforward: stick to your trading viewpoint. If 99500 doesn't break, expect a pullback. We're now at the most cost-effective position, with no reason not to enter, even if it might lead to a stop loss. The high of 97895 has already been seized; after the seizure, it entered my short position area, where I will establish a short position, setting the final stop loss just above 99500. Since going long from 74000, I've made a lot of profit; even if this trade incurs a loss, it's okay. Please follow rationally, keeping the stop loss within 1500 dollars.