Overview: Recent price volatility of ADA/USDT shows that technical signals are not in agreement, reflecting the market's indecision between buyers and sellers. This article will analyze EMA, RSI, MACD, volume, and OBV indicators in detail to find a suitable action strategy.
1. EMA average: Conflicting signals between short and long term
1D frame: EMA(7) < EMA(25) < EMA(99) → Indicates a downward trend in the short term, but still maintains an upward outlook in the long term.
1-4h frame: EMA(7) crosses above EMA(25) → Signal of recovery or increase in the short term.
15M frame: EMA(7) still below EMA(25) → Sellers still in control.
Conclusion: The overall trend is not clear, and the signals are conflicting. Investors need to closely monitor the crossing of EMA in the upcoming sessions.
2. RSI indicator: The market is slightly correcting
1D frame: RSI(6) = 58.53 → Near the buying zone but has not exceeded the overbought threshold.
15m and 1h frame: RSI(6) around 33-34 → Near the oversold zone, indicating a potential recovery.
4h frame: RSI(6) = 46.62 → Neutral.
Conclusion: RSI indicates the market is correcting, with no strong buying or selling pressure. This could be an accumulation phase.
3. MACD: Trend not clearly defined yet
4h and 1D frame: Slightly positive MACD → Weak bullish signal.
15M and 1h frame: MACD negative → Selling pressure is still present.
Conclusion: MACD shows an inconsistent trend, consistent with the current price adjustment of ADA.
4. Trading volume & OBV: Lacking sustainable upward momentum
1D frame: High volume (125 million) indicates increased interest from the market.
15M and 1h frame: Very low volume (<5 million) → Lack of supporting cash flow.
OBV: Negative in all frames → Selling pressure still dominates in the long term.
Conclusion: Although there are moments of sudden volume spikes, the cash flow is not stable. Negative OBV continues to be a warning signal.
5. Special timeline: 03/04 – 04/05/2025
The indicators during this period may be influenced by derivatives contracts or erroneous data.
Recommendation: Recheck the data source to ensure reliability before making trading decisions.Trading recommendation for ADA/USDT
Short term: The signal is unclear. Only consider opening a buy position if EMA(7) remains above EMA(25) and is supported by RSI > 50 or MACD turns positive.
Long term: The trend remains positive if EMA(99) continues to act as support. However, it is necessary to combine with fundamental factors and macro news.
Monitor closely: The developments of trading volume and RSI to determine the timing for entering trades with a high probability of success.
⚠️ Important note: The trading strategies above should be adjusted according to individual risk appetite and investment goals. Always closely monitor the market and update the latest information to make accurate decisions.