Trading is not guessing, but a game of probabilities. Your task is not to predict the market direction, but to intelligently assess possible scenarios and act accordingly.
How to think: "If → then"
When the price approaches your level (support/resistance), two main outcomes are possible:
1. Bounce → you buy (long).
2. Breakout → you sell (short) or wait for confirmation of further movement.
It doesn't matter what the "experts" say with their "exactly up or down". They lose money because they do not understand the probabilistic nature of the market. You, however, work with specific conditions:
- If the price holds the level → then we enter the trade.
- If the level is broken → then either exit or look for a short.
What to do?
1. Determine probabilities — which scenario is more likely based on context (volumes, structure, fundamental factors).
2. Plan both outcomes — outline actions for each option.
3. Manage risk — position size, stop-loss, and take-profit should align with your strategy.
Ignore the noise. Your goal is statistical advantage, not random predictions.
Continue learning, training discipline, and following the plan. I am always ready to help. 🚀
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