$BTC ### Relevant Updates and Outlook on Bitcoin (BTC) in May 2025
#### **1. Current Market Situation**
- **Current price**: BTC is trading at **$96,871.80** (as of 02.05.2025), with a recent all-time high of **$109,464.94** in January 2025.
- **Recent volatility**: After reaching highs, BTC fell to **$78,000** in April due to factors such as the hacking of the Bybit exchange and trade tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, creating macroeconomic uncertainty.
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#### **2. Price Predictions for 2025**
The projections are extremely varied, reflecting optimism and caution:
- **Bullish scenarios**:
- **$250,000**: According to Fundstrat, backed by the *halving* (reduction in BTC issuance) and increased institutional adoption.
- **$500,000**: Prediction by Robert Kiyosaki, based on artificial intelligence and BTC's role as a store of value during financial crises.
- **$132,000**: Technical estimate from LiteFinance, considering key supports like $80,000 and resistance at $97,800.
- **Bearish scenarios**:
- **$45,000**: BCA Research warns that a global recession could drive investors towards safer assets like gold.
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#### **3. Key Factors Influencing BTC**
- **Pro-crypto policies of Trump**:
- Plans to make the U.S. the "global capital of cryptocurrencies."
- Possible creation of a **national strategic Bitcoin reserve** and removal of regulatory barriers.
- **Institutional adoption**:
- **Bitcoin ETFs** (like BlackRock's) accumulate more than **$53 billion in assets**, attracting traditional capital.
- Companies like MicroStrategy continue to accumulate BTC as a corporate reserve.
- **Technology and usability**:
- **Lightning Network** facilitates fast and cheap transactions, driving mass adoption.
- Greater integration of BTC into global payment systems and anti-inflation strategies.
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#### **4. Technical Analysis and Short-term Outlook
