💥Bitcoin profit chips break dangerous threshold! 85% of holders are in profit, is 90% a signal for a crash?
👉CryptoQuant's latest on-chain data raises the alarm:
The supply of profitable Bitcoin has soared to 85%, just a step away from triggering the historic adjustment warning line at 90%
In the past 24 hours: 8.5 out of every 10 BTC holders are in profit
Historical pattern: When the profit ratio exceeds 90%, there is an 80% probability of a 10%-30% deep correction
Three key risk signals
1️⃣ Profit-taking pressure critical point
When profitable chips >90%, miners and whales tend to cash out (verified in April 2021 and July 2023)
Current data has exceeded the mid-level of the 2023 bull market
2️⃣ Market sentiment overheating
Fear and greed index returns to 70+ (greed zone)
Perpetual contract funding rates continue to show positive premiums, with long positions crowded
3️⃣ On-chain unusual activity warning
Exchanges' Bitcoin stock increased by 120,000 in a week, potentially building up for a sell-off
Short-term holders (<155 days) account for over 45%, amplifying volatility
👉Operational suggestions
Short-term (1-4 weeks): Beware of selling pressure in the $95,000-$100,000 range
Medium to long-term: If it pulls back to $82,000-$85,000, it can be seen as a healthy washout
The movements of miners and whale addresses are key observation indicators
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