Crypto 反卷队长

👉Why do you always miss the best entry points? When the market is still hesitant, you need to pull the trigger in advance
—— Sharing a few forward-looking market experiences, seeing is earning

👉The market's "slowpoke": the best entry point

Essentially, the market is a complex system driven by the "institutional accumulation rhythm" and the "retail investor emotional pendulum."

Retail investors need time to reverse their inherent perceptions (the cycle from panic to greed averages 55 days), which means trend reversals are always late but never absent.

👉Remember an iron rule: When your viewpoint triggers a large-scale common-sense rebuttal, it precisely indicates that the market has not yet priced in that logic.

👉How to lay out in advance?
When the market has a consistent expectation, and the implied probability of CME interest rate futures is below 60%, lay out anti-inflation assets like gold and BTC in advance;

Abnormal capital flow: Whale addresses net buy for 7 consecutive days (e.g., ETH increases by over 100,000 in a single day, and exchange inventory decreases), even if prices are flat, it is still a dull knife cutting meat type of accumulation;

Emergence of small coins: A sharp drop in exchange balances + a surge in on-chain transfer volume (e.g., the withdrawal amount of INIT last week accounted for 15% of the circulating supply), even if there are no obvious fluctuations in K-line, it may indicate chip concentration before a pump.

Emotion thermometer: When the crypto circle KOL long-short ratio reaches 3:1, and Google searches for keywords like Bitcoin crash hit a 30-day low, it indicates that professional investors are optimistic, and retail investors have not yet entered, the trend can be sustained;

Conversely, if a project doubles its new users within 3 days, and the frequency of keywords like "get rich quick" and "all in" skyrockets, even if the fundamentals are good, it is a signal of a short-term peak.

👉Always follow:
Position discipline: Advance layout positions should not exceed 20% of total funds, leaving 80% of funds to cope with the market's dull period for a second bottom test.

Conclusion: If you are going to panic, do it early; the essence is to remind us: real trend traders must not only anticipate that the market will be late but also endure self-doubt during lonely holdings.

Follow me to get the latest information and accurately capture signals
#币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹

🤔Do the Razor Party also want to join cryptocurrency？？

#加密市场反弹 #币安Alpha上新

Short-term trading is essentially a probability game, focusing on 'understanding the flow of funds + controlling human weaknesses'

Three 'foolproof indicators' that beginners can understand
👉1. Moving Average: The 'Moving Average Line' of price

When the daily moving average crosses above the 10-day moving average: short-term becomes strong, buy on the first pullback to the 10-day moving average (for example, dropping from 100 to 95, with the 10-day moving average at 95).

When the daily moving average crosses below the 30-day moving average (the short-term line crosses below the long-term line): short-term becomes weak, sell quickly on the rebound to the 30-day moving average (for example, rising from 90 to 95, with the 30-day moving average at 95).

👉2. RSI: Determines whether it is 'overbought' or 'oversold'

RSI exceeds 70 (value above 70): bought too aggressively, overbought, price may fall, do not chase the price higher, prepare to sell.

RSI below 30 (value below 30): sold too aggressively, oversold, price may rebound, try to buy on a small scale (suitable only for major coins, small coins are prone to zero).

👉3. Bollinger Bands: The 'upper and lower limits' of price

Hitting the upper band (price rises to the upper side of the Bollinger Bands): heavy pressure, may fall, sell!

Hitting the lower band (price falls to the lower side of the Bollinger Bands): has support, may rise, buy!

👉Survival Rules:

Don’t let the principal be completely lost, don’t hold too heavy a position.

Set stop-loss and take-profit levels in advance, stop-loss.

Don’t act emotionally.

Follow me for the latest industry news and to accurately capture signals.
#加密市场反弹 #币安Alpha上新 #比特币市值排名

This is the saying 'Knowing there are tigers in the mountains, yet walking toward the tiger's mountain'

A typical case of wash money crimes utilizing the characteristics of virtual currency. The four defendants are held criminally responsible due to their subjective awareness and objective assistance in transferring funds.

Note:
The four defendants were fully aware that the U coins they were trading were proceeds of crime (such as telecom fraud proceeds), yet they still helped transfer funds through 'exchanging U coins for cash'.

Being aware that it is proceeds of crime and the profits generated from it' is the subjective requirement for this crime, without needing to specifically know the type of upstream crime.

Everyone should also pay attention and be vigilant against being scammed
#币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹

👉 2x Leverage Floating Profit of 630,000, the Hidden 'Small Coin Meat Grinder' Script Behind the INIT Surge

A certain trader went long on INIT 15 hours ago with 2x leverage, averaging at $0.638, and the current price is $1.02, resulting in a floating profit of 630,000 — seemingly a 'sure-win' conservative leverage, but in reality, it fell into the classic trap of small coin surges.

Although 2x leverage reduces liquidation risk, with small coins fluctuating over 30%+ in a single day, profits can be quickly wiped out by a sudden downturn at any moment.

The 'floating profit' of small market cap coins is essentially a 'bait' distributed by the market makers; while 2x leverage seems safe, it actually provides the controllers with 'precise liquidation' ammunition.

After all, in the crypto world, what allows you to 'easily float profits' has never been luck, but rather others calculating your greed.

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#加密市场反弹 #币安上线INIT

80,000 ETH short selling lost 208,000! Named 'Reverse Indicator Machine'

Whales use real money to demonstrate the 'Reverse Operation Textbook'. This whale perfectly interpreted the script of 'short selling means being the bag holder':

Two days ago, they borrowed coins to short at $1,752.5, thinking they could buy the dip on Ethereum's pullback, but instead, ETH rose instead of falling, and within 20 minutes, they were forced to buy back at a high price of $1,778.5 — resulting in a loss of $208,000.

More ironically, this whale’s holding address had just suffered a liquidation of $1.12 million in SOL last week, and now they’ve stumbled on ETH, truly a 'Reverse Indicator Machine'.

This loss is essentially a delayed reaction to short-term positive news and a failure to set stop-loss orders.

— The iron law of the crypto circle is once again verified: during a period of volatility without a strong trend, short selling against the trend is just providing liquidity to the market, especially when positive expectations arise on-chain; chasing highs and cutting losses is not as effective as patiently waiting for the trend to clarify.

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#以太坊的未来 #加密市场反弹

💥$100,000 for a zero-value ticket? TRUMP Coin 'White House Dinner' marketing explosion, 81% of holding addresses are deeply trapped

On-chain data exposes the harvesting nature behind the 'White House Dinner' — the top 10 addresses monopolize 82% of circulating tokens, with over $50 million in funds within 24 hours, completing bloody arbitrage through 'pump - unlock - dump'

👉Three major death signals light up

High concentration of chips: the top 10 addresses control 82%, 13 associated addresses frequently transact with the Trump family trust account, 370,000 tokens ($5 million) are being transferred to exchanges in batches, ready to crash the market.

Regulatory bomb countdown: the SEC has listed $TRUMP on the 'securities fraud' watchlist, with no actual application, only relying on political IP for survival, and similar projects have a historical zero rate of 92%.

Technical trap is fatal: the contract does not support cross-chain functionality, tokens are trapped on a single chain, essentially a 'one-time harvesting tool', with an average lifespan of only 45 days.

👉Retail investor escape guide three-check rule:

Check the White House official website (no cooperation announcements),

Check on-chain flows (transfers over $100,000 to addresses starting with 0x7e3 means dump),

Check FEC registration (no records of crypto projects registered).

Reject the 'privilege to get rich' narrative, remember the truth of the coin circle — when the 'presidential dinner' becomes a hype gimmick, what you buy is not an opportunity, but a channel for the market maker to offload.

This harvesting scheme packaged with political IP once again proves:
In the coin circle, more dangerous than K-lines is the sickle hidden behind 'privilege' — what you see as a 'wealth code' is merely 'data waiting to be harvested' on the market maker's chopping block.

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#TRUMP晚宴 #加密货币总市值重回3万亿 #加密市场反弹

Ethereum Gas limit will surge by four times! Can the Fusaka hard fork break the 'congestion dilemma'?

👉 This means that the transaction capacity of a single block will be significantly increased, and the cost of operations that are 'Gas guzzlers', such as complex DeFi interactions and NFT batch minting, is expected to decrease by 30%-50%.

👉 Short-term benefits: Layer 1 experience upgrade
After the Gas limit increase, the block capacity will rise from about 12,000 regular transactions to 48,000, effectively 'expanding Ethereum into a four-lane road', which particularly benefits high-frequency trading DeFi protocols (like Uniswap v4) and on-chain games.

However, aggressively increasing the Gas limit may lead to some issues:

1. If miners overly fill high Gas transactions in pursuit of block rewards, it may trigger a new round of 'Gas fee rollercoaster', potentially revisiting the congestion nightmare of the DeFi summer in 2021.

2. The increase in Gas limit raises higher demands on node computing power — it may extend full node synchronization time by 20%, exacerbating the risk of 'node centralization'.

In short, the Fusaka hard fork is a radical attempt at Layer 1 expansion for Ethereum, and its success hinges on whether it can complement Layer 2, rather than repeating the 'old path'.

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👉 The Five Deadly Misconceptions in the Crypto World and Strategies to Break Free

1. Illusion of Profit: An annualized return of 20% is already a top benchmark. Don't believe in the myth of 'making hundreds of times a month.'

Data shows that among long-term profitable investors in the crypto world, only 3% can consistently maintain an annualized return above 20%. Blindly pursuing quick wealth leads to 92% of retail investors eventually falling into the leverage trap.

2. Trend Strangulation: Trading against the trend = historical self-sabotage.
12 cycles of bull and bear markets have confirmed: When BTC falls below the 200-day moving average for 3 consecutive days, those trying to catch the falling knife average a loss of 67%; the survival probability of those who cut losses with the trend is 8 times higher than that of those who stubbornly hold.

3. Cycle Repetition: There is no perpetual one-sided market.
From $19,875 in 2017 to $3,200 in 2018, and then to a crash at $69,000 in 2021, each cycle lasts an average of 418 days. Those who chase prices and sell in panic lose an average of 40% of their principal during bull-bear transitions.

4. Risk Paradox: High volatility ≠ high returns.
91% of small coins with an annualized volatility exceeding 150% go to zero within 3 years; while major coins like BTC and ETH, despite having only 80% volatility, have a 73% success rate when held for 10 years—risk management is more important than taking risks.

5. Market Capitalization Trap: Over 70% of small coins go to zero. Among the top 100 coins by market capitalization, only 12% survive more than 3 years; projects with a market cap below $100 million have a 90% chance of completely disappearing in a bear market. Don't bet your principal on 'the next Dogecoin.'

Survival Rule: Use data to defeat intuition. The crypto world is not a casino; it is an inhumane battleground.

Remember: Give up the illusion of getting rich quickly, respect the cyclical rules, and understand that 80% of losses stem from the impulse to 'break common sense'—surviving is more important than making quick money.
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#加密市场反弹 #加密货币总市值重回3万亿

😂 Brother Sun's reputation precedes him, now anyone associated with 'sun' is automatically linked to Brother Sun, giving off a sense of 'Sun Yuchen Universe'.

Although Lookonchain used the classic phrase 'looks like', the huge holdings + high-profile operations do indeed fit his behavior.

Furthermore, if this is really Sun Yuchen, it would be equivalent to 'the boss of TRON endorsing tokens for Trump', reality is even more exciting than a 'Black Mirror' script.

#TRUMP晚宴 #加密市场反弹 #美股下挫

💥Have retail investors clocked out? Let's dive into some luxury car literature and teach you a few tricks so that picking up a car isn't just a dream.

—— In the crypto world, using a few thousand to get a McLaren has never been a pipe dream.

👉 First, you need a diversified investment strategy; you can't put all your eggs in one basket:

Divide the 3000 into 4 equal parts, each part being 750 as a "combat fund."

Set clear rules: take profits at 50%, so if 750 becomes 1125, cash out immediately; cut losses at 30%, so if it drops to 525, cut your losses decisively.

After three rounds, you could aim for 4500 before considering adding more. Just don't go all in; in crypto, staying alive is the key to having opportunities.

👉 Next is project selection; choosing coins isn't just a guessing game.

You need to assess whether the technology is feasible, check GitHub for regular code updates;

Investigate the team background, dive deep on LinkedIn;

Also, look at market hype; the community must be highly active.

Select 5-6 quality coins to diversify your investment, and even if there are minor mistakes, you won't be too worried.

👉 Finally, it’s about information warfare.

Read whitepapers thoroughly every day, lurk in big influencer communities, and always pay attention to policy trends.

Learn from experienced investors; being well-informed is key to winning in the end.

Remember, invest spare money, take profits, cut losses, keep learning, and manage your emotions. If you can do these, small funds can slowly turn around!

Think about why you came to the crypto world in the first place. Was it just to watch influencers post, or was it for something abstract?

To put it simply, coming to the crypto world is about making money, but without a professional team, it's like a headless chicken running around.

But whether you're a newbie or an experienced investor, you can join us. Our professional team shares strategies every day,

focusing on potential coins and accurately capturing market trends daily.

As long as you're willing and want to make money, you can join us.

If you missed the chance before, now is the best time to join our core circle!

Follow me, join
#加密市场反弹 #币安Alpha上新 #TRUMP晚宴

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Bitcoin falls below $92,000, 24-hour decline of 2.32%

Just yesterday, it was being touted that 'breaking 95,000 is just around the corner', and now it gives retail investors chasing the price a slap in the face, trapping all the funds that rushed in last week, calling it the 'starting point of a bull market'.

What did I say? Don't think you can do it just because it goes up, and don't feel like the sky is falling when it goes down. The current market is highly susceptible to market sentiment, and the overall environment is unstable. The 'bull market' in the crypto world is always in the mouths of others, while your capital is forever on the road of chasing highs and cutting losses — next time, ask yourself first: is the dealer's scythe faster, or is your hand speed faster?

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#加密市场反弹 #比特币市值排名

7.2 Billion USD BTC Options Expiring Tomorrow💥

Long and Short Meat Grinder Starts, 85,000 Becomes the Lifeline for Retail Investors

Deribit Data Explodes: Over 7.2 Billion USD BTC Options Expire Tomorrow, the Maximum Pain Point of 85,000 USD Hangs Like a Sword Over the Market

—— This means that as long as the price hovers around 85,000, over 4 Billion USD of call options will become worthless, allowing the market makers to precisely harvest the longs.

Put/Call Ratio of 0.73 Seems to Indicate Bullish Sentiment, but Actually Hides Danger: When Retail Investors Frenziedly Bet on Breaking 100,000, Market Makers Love to “Draw the Line Precisely” on Expiration Day

—— Push Above 85,000 and Then Smash Down, Turning All Call Options Above 100,000 into Useless Paper.

History Has Repeatedly Proven That Expiration Days Are a “Slaughterhouse for Longs and Shorts,” as BTC Was Crushed Through the 60,000 Pain Point on March 2024 Expiration, with a 3.7 Billion USD Liquidation Incident Still Fresh in Memory.

Now, the Whole Network is Watching the 97,000 Resistance Level, But No One Notices the 85,000 “Gentle Trap”: Institutions Have Already Set Up 230,000 Call Options at 85,000, Just Waiting for Retail Investors to Chase High Before Closing the Door on Them.

Before the 4 PM Settlement Tomorrow, An Estimated 30 Billion USD Will Clash Near 85,000, and Liquidation Pop-Ups Will Flood the Screen Like a Meteor Shower — Remember, the Biggest “Pain Point” in the Crypto Circle Has Never Been the Price, But That Market Makers Have Calculated That Retail Investors Can Never Control Their Urge to Chase Prices!

Some friends know that before I achieved my first small goal in life, I also suffered significant losses.

This happened about five years ago, and many people want to know how I turned things around after those losses. Today, I would like to share a few practical experiences:
—— "The market rewards only the precise hunters from different emotional cries"​​

1. Data-driven decision making: Candlestick charts and capital flow
First, one must abandon the mystical notion of "feelings".
Every day, I must do three things during my review:

① Calculate the deviation of the BTC funding rate (＞0.1% indicates a potential trend change)
② Monitor the USDT premium rate (reduce positions immediately if it exceeds 2%)
③ Record large on-chain whale transfers (any single transfer >1000 BTC must be tracked)

2. Mandatory stop-loss mechanism
Before each trade, I must set a dynamic stop-loss:
Stop-loss price = Support level - (ATR×2)

3. Counter-intuitive operations
The iron rule of adding positions against the trend:

When the market is in panic (Fear and Greed Index < 20):
① Identify blue-chip coins with RSI < 30
② Add 1% to positions for every 3% drop
③ Close positions immediately after a 5% rebound​​ FOMO counter-strategy​​:

When the group is flooding with "hundred times coins":
① Short related altcoins
② Go long on their benchmark leaders (like going long on DOGE when SHIB surges)

4. Cognitive upgrade
Study various information weekly to break the information gap or read 2 on-chain reports (CoinMetrics/CoinGlass) to build a trading signal library

5. Survival bottom line: Better to earn less than to suffer large losses
Never touch contract leverage (unless you are a professional trader) A single-day loss of 5% → mandatory shutdown for 24 hours Every quarter, review positions: eliminate strategies with returns < 15%

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#加密市场反弹 #加密货币总市值重回3万亿

👉 The Top "Precision Harvesting" Logic of Trump's Dinner Marketing
$730,000 in 30 Minutes! Trump's Dinner Ignites $TRUMP Coin Price Roller Coaster

👉 On April 23, Trump's Meme Coin official website announced an invitation to the top 220 holders to attend a lavish dinner. As soon as the news broke, the price skyrocketed.

On-chain data shows that a mysterious whale acted quickly after the dinner news was released, spending $5 million to purchase 407,000 $TRUMP coins, and just 30 minutes later, sold them for $5.73 million, netting a profit of $731,800, a precise strike.

The dinner organized by Fight Fight Fight LLC not only promises the top 25 holders to dine with Trump but also includes a VIP tour of the White House the next day.

The real-time ranking of coin holders on the official website shows that the current 25th place requires holding about 4,000 $TRUMP coins (valued at $54,000), with clear rules: "The more you hold, and the longer you hold it, the higher your ranking."

👉 Trump's "Dinner Scheme" has a long history.

In the NFT trading card project launched in 2024, users purchasing 250 NFTs can enjoy the "Supreme Experience" of drinking cocktails with Trump. The first batch of 50,000 NFTs sold out within a day, priced at $99 each.

This $TRUMP dinner further upgrades, bundling political symbols with financial speculation:

The amount of coins held determines social status, the ranking stimulates FOMO emotions, while Trump's speech at the dinner still focuses on campaign slogans, essentially being "monetization of fan economy under non-political packaging."

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#TRUMP晚宴 #比特币市值排名 #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹

There are several iron laws in the cryptocurrency circle. I dare not say that you will become rich overnight, but at least you can know what is profit, especially what is profit without loss

1️⃣ Trend is king
Remember that no trend = no market, large funds only do one-way market, and either short positions or small bets for fun during the oscillation period.

2️⃣ Play strong coins
The strong will always be strong - choose coins based on two points: a little sharp rise, not much fall, and don't touch junk coins.

3️⃣ Learn to wait
It is better to miss than to chase high! Confirm the bottom before taking action, and don't even want weak coins for free.

4️⃣ Hold on
Don't operate blindly after buying! If you don't see the top signal, hold it tightly, and the washing and shaking of the market are all processes.

5️⃣ Don't eat the tail of the fish
Run when you make the target position! The last 20% of the profit often requires 80% of the risk.

6️⃣ Withdraw regularly
Profits not in the pocket = paper wealth! Withdraw at least 30% to your bank account every month to improve your life.
Remember: making money depends on cognition, and keeping money depends on discipline!
#加密市场反弹 #BNBChainMeme热潮

👉 If BTC breaks through the critical resistance level of $97,000 — this area集中着约 392,000 BTC (over $37 billion), it may form a "selling pressure wall".

Currently, the price of Bitcoin is fluctuating around $95,000. If it breaks through $97,000, it needs to digest at least $3.7 billion in sell orders, which poses a severe test for the market's capital absorption capacity.

👉 There are two major contradictions in the current market:

One is the mismatch between optimistic sentiment and capital flows.

Although institutions like Matrixport are optimistic about Bitcoin breaking through $95,000, Glassnode data shows that the active supply of Bitcoin is expected to grow by 70% in the fourth quarter of 2024, and the expansion of the circulating supply may dilute the effect of capital pushing the price.

The second is the tug-of-war between technical and macro factors.

Expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes and the uncertainty of Trump's tariff policies may weaken the market's momentum to break resistance levels, while the 30-day correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 index has dropped to 0.65, indicating an enhanced safe-haven attribute. If macro risks increase, it may attract capital to counter-cyclically increase positions.

👉 Two major signals to pay attention to:

One is whether trading volume can continue to expand. Currently, Bitcoin's 24-hour trading volume is about $156.5 billion, a 36% increase from the previous day. If the trading volume does not increase when breaking through $97,000, it may trigger a technical sell-off.

The second is changes in derivatives market positions. The open interest in Bitcoin futures has recently increased, but the funding rate is still at a neutral level, indicating that the long-short divergence has not yet intensified. If the funding rate rises rapidly, it may indicate overheating in short-term speculation.

Overall, for ordinary investors, it is necessary to be wary of the "chasing high and picking up" risk, and to focus on the synergistic effect between spot buying and derivatives positions. Only when these two resonate can they provide lasting momentum for a breakthrough.
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#加密市场反弹 #加密货币总市值重回3万亿 #BNBChainMeme热潮 $BTC

A false alarm, it shouldn't be a big issue

#加密市场反弹

BTC breaks through 90,000, and people start to say that the bull market is back

A bunch of people feel that they are doing well again😂

Ordinary people either follow the trend or follow the big guys to look ahead to the market

As I said: In the cryptocurrency circle, surviving is the most important thing

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#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场反弹