Several predictions mentioned before have been realized one by one:
1. The main force of Bitcoin will rapidly push up without looking back, directly moving away from the accumulation zone. Those who get in later can only buy high-cost Bitcoin with a heavy heart; I mentioned this when Bitcoin hadn't surpassed 80,000 yet; 2. $ETH will hover at the bottom while $BTC and $SOL rise, then suddenly jump violently when Bitcoin and Ethereum consolidate, as I said a few days ago;
3. SOL is a leading indicator for BTC. When SOL rises, consolidates, and then rises again before a drop, it usually happens ahead of Bitcoin. This is experience, not a rule.
Market Analysis:
1. The first wave (driving wave): BTC rose from 74,508 to 86,496; after a brief pullback, the second wave (pushing wave) started from 83,950 and is still in progress.
2. If we assume 95,758 is the high point of the second wave, and the pullback has confirmed its end, then the third wave of upward movement may arrive (as depicted in the image).
3. If this structure holds, the rebound level may exceed expectations, but new momentum is needed for support; otherwise, do not expand the target for now.
Alpaca is going crazy!
A project about to be delisted is rising daily with a market cap of 27 million, but the contract holds 110 million USD. However, strangely, the largest holdings are not on the most liquid Binance but on Bitget, while the trading volume and number of trades are all on Binance. Do you feel something is off?
The whale is betting against retail investors. The market maker has already opened long positions at the bottom. Retail investors see that Alpaca is about to be delisted and open shorts, maximizing the funding rate, pulling the market up while eating the funding fees. Don't forget that the funding rate is collected every two hours. Once the whale's long positions are closed, the price will also be at a high, marking the moment of final harvesting.
In the past two days, $TRUMP has been in the spotlight. The cream warns everyone that there are four hidden risks with $TRUMP, so be vigilant:
1️⃣ Trump may miss the event!
The terms indicate that the content may change. If absent, only NFTs will be redistributed, so do not have overly high expectations.
2️⃣ The cycle is too long, hiding risks!
The event will start on 5.22, with many big players being 'insiders'. There are clear signs of market control involving the exchange's cold wallet.
3️⃣ Pure MEME speculation has no value!
No fundamental support; once the hype dissipates, it will crash, as it is not a stable project.
4️⃣ The timing for harvesting is hard to predict; it’s most dangerous before the snapshot!
Snapshot time is undecided; if announced on 5.18, the market may crash early (like on 5.16) to trap people!
Strictly maintain positions, refuse greed, and prioritize capital safety!
Finally, a review of this week's performance:
Low market cap altcoins can rise by 30-50 points unexpectedly, and even double in value. Currently, FLOKI and LEVER have perfectly concluded, while CAKE is up 13%+ and QUICK is currently flat.
Both FIOKI and CAKE are performing well, and the favorable trends are present. Normal operations for altcoins can proceed to enter the market.
LEVER and QUICK are both low market cap assets, and looking at the previous candlestick chart, it’s easy for them to rally by 50% or 100% when the market is slightly better.