#TRUMP晚宴
1. Pre-Dinner Trends (April 24 - May 22)
• Short-term speculation: The news that the top 220 holders can participate in the private dinner on May 22 triggered a 50%-70% surge in the coin price within 24 hours, reaching a high of $14.7. The competition for holding rankings (ending May 12) may drive the coin price to continue fluctuating upwards to $15-18.
• Risk factors:
o Unlocking selling pressure: $300 million worth of tokens were unlocked on April 18, with 0.05% unlocking daily afterward; the market makers may take advantage of the good news to sell off.
o Whale arbitrage: A large holder bought 400,000 TRUMP and quickly sold them off, making $730,000 in half an hour, which may easily lead retail investors to get 'cut'.
2. Post-Dinner Trend Predictions
• If favorable conditions materialize: If Trump announces new policies such as accepting TRUMP for campaign funding, the coin price may rebound to $15-18, but due to concentrated holdings (80% controlled by the team), the increase may be hard to sustain.
• If favorable conditions are exhausted: 5% of tokens will be unlocked on July 18, combined with narrative fatigue, the coin price may plummet to $6-8 (a halving from the current price).
• Extreme scenario: If Trump is absent from the dinner (official website notes 'may be canceled'), the price may drop over 50% in a single day.
3. Operational Suggestions
• Short-term: Participate lightly at $12-13, target $15, stop loss if it falls below $11.5.
• Long-term: Avoid! The token has no real value, is highly controlled, and the risk of it going to zero after Trump leaves office is extremely high.