April 2, 2025
Dawn has arrived.
Many people feel that the darkness before dawn has not yet come. In fact, the darkness before dawn has already passed, dawn has arrived, but at this stage, most people cannot hold on and choose to leave. Those who choose to leave, especially from the community, I do not stop; their decision to leave is certainly well thought out, or they have already been following some bearish bloggers in their operations. This doesn't matter; as I've said, only 1% of people in the market make money.
Trading according to cycles is indeed difficult, because too many factors are uncontrollable.
Altcoins are uncontrollable.
The difference in this round compared to the previous one is in the altcoins. In a bull market, Bitcoin sucks blood or falls, altcoins won't have such large fluctuations. However, this round is different. On one hand, there are too many types of altcoins with very dispersed liquidity; on the other hand, VC market makers are too unreliable, starting to sell off as soon as they go online. Therefore, unless a large-scale rally occurs, altcoins can be said to be in a continuous downtrend, and this trend is difficult to guard against.
Emotions are uncontrollable.
When emotions fomo, people's judgments often deviate, whether influenced by their own emotions or those of others. Therefore, controlling market emotions requires continuous practice.
Market makers running away.
Yesterday, ACT plummeted, dragging many coins down in a crash, and MASK was the same, crashing down and causing a lot of panic. Moreover, this morning's wave of altcoins collectively retreated has intensified the panic. It's understandable that some market makers run away; pulling up the hands they have is not as good as developing a new hot meme coin.
Ultimate shakeout.
Today, altcoins fell broadly. I personally feel it's an ultimate shakeout. In my previous article on Bitcoin market analysis, the big bottom is being constructed - Zhihu.
It has been mentioned that Bitcoin, Ethereum, and many mainstream altcoins like Sol have reached the bottom. There is no reason for the market to start crashing at this position, so it can only be understood as an ultimate shakeout to make retail investors completely despair at this position, before starting a new round of rally.
From March to September 2024, it has been turbulent for half a year. Although the amplitude is only about ten thousand points, the time cycle is long. By using time to wash out retail investors this year through a huge drop, the ultimate goal is to wash out retail investors and then start the rally.
The view is very clear, dawn has arrived, don't fall at this moment.
If you are new to the market, come find me, follow me, and I will teach you how to operate while learning;
If you are already in a less than ideal situation, you can come find me; I will help you and won't let you make the same mistakes again. If you are trapped in your positions, I will provide reasonable solutions based on your entry points.
Because everyone is trapped at different points, the solutions will also be different. Some are suitable for conservative investors, while others are suitable for aggressive ones.
I will definitely use the most appropriate methods to genuinely solve problems for you and assist you in exiting.#Alpha2.0爆款冲击 #Circle上市 #美国加征关税 $EOS