—— Whale movements + policy catalysts, can it create another surge myth?
1. Current market overview.
As of March 10, 2025, Kaito ($KAITO) is quoted at $1.5, with a 24-hour increase of 8.7% and a trading volume exceeding $580 million, ranking among the top three on Binance's hot search list. Since its launch on February 20, its price has experienced significant fluctuations, peaking at $9.5 and dropping to a low of $1.2, with its current market value having rebounded to the mid-level project tier.
2. Core driving factor analysis.
1. On-chain whale strategy: wash trading signals and short squeeze potential.
On-chain data from March 5 shows that Kaito's team-related address sold 2 million tokens (approximately $4.38 million) to Binance, but at the same time, an anonymous wallet bought back $3.88 million, forming a 'cross-trade' operation. Historical experience shows that such actions often signal a violent increase after main force control. Currently, whale holdings have risen to 37%, with a high concentration of chips. If Binance's perpetual contract liquidity explodes, it may trigger a short squeeze.
2. AI track + policy dividend dual driving force.
Kaito, as an AI-driven crypto research platform, aggregates social data from X (Twitter), Discord, etc., and optimizes information retrieval using ChatGPT, filling the market gap for 'on-chain AI tools.' The recent signals of crypto policy reform released by the Trump administration (March 7 White House summit) further enhance its ecological value expectations. If the policy is implemented, Kaito may become a core target for government blockchain transformation.
3. Technical support and funding sentiment.
- Daily level: Price stabilizes at the 0.5 Fibonacci support level ($1.95), with clear RSI divergence signals on the 4-hour chart.
- Funding rate: The perpetual contract rate has turned positive from negative (currently +0.12%), with bullish sentiment gradually warming.
- Ecological progress: The Yaps airdrop quota still exists, and the InfoFi network is about to go live, which may stimulate token deflation.
3. Key nodes and target forecasts for the future market.
- Short term (1-2 weeks): If it breaks through the $2.5 resistance level, it is expected to quickly test the $3.5-$4 range.
- Medium term (1-3 months): AI government cooperation implementation + token burn mechanism initiation may push market value into the Top 100 (currently ranked around 150).
- Risk warning: Beware of the team's ongoing sell-off (25% of tokens are held by core contributors) and the risk of regulatory changes from the SEC.
4. Operational strategy recommendations.
- Position management: Allocate 20-30% of total funds, building positions in batches as it retraces to $1.9-$2.
- Profit-taking and stop-loss: If it falls below $1.8 in the short term, decisive stop-loss is needed; after breaking through $2.5, take profit in phases (30% position at $3, 50% at $4).
- Hedging strategy: Pairing with BTC/ETH spot positions to reduce altcoin volatility risk.
5. Community hot topics.
1. Airdrop aftermath: There are still over 76 million airdrop tokens to be claimed. If large whales concentrate on selling, it may trigger selling pressure (Webpage 2).
2. Ecological cooperation: Market rumors suggest Kaito is developing an AI governance module with a Top 10 public chain. If confirmed, it will form a significant positive factor.
3. Meme diffusion: Counter-mainstream cultural communities combine Kaito with 'AI populism,' and there is potential for an emotional outbreak.
Conclusion.
Kaito's short-term volatility coexists with long-term value. Its unique positioning of 'AI + on-chain data,' combined with policy and capital support, may become a dark horse in the 2025 bull market. Investors are advised to closely track on-chain whale movements and the pace of White House policy implementation, seizing opportunities under controllable risk conditions.
*Disclaimer: This article does not constitute investment advice. Readers should comply with local regulations and make independent decisions.*
