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#SO L Technical Analysis (2025/11/28)
SOL 【1D】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Major Bearish
Reason: Price has sharply dropped below 158.07, with daily EMA9, EMA21, and key resistance at 197.93 suppressing it; the overall trend remains a bearish rebound pattern.
Action:
• Scenario: Rebound near 158.07~197.93, gradually placing short positions; if it breaks below 128.93, increase short positions.
• Capital: 70% placed short between 158.07~197.93, 30% after breaking below 128.93 to chase shorts.
• Defense: If the daily close is above 227.07, this bearish scenario becomes invalid.
🛑 Short Position Allocation:
• Stop Loss: 227.07
• Range: 158.07~197.93
• Chase Short: 128.93
• Take Profit: 128.93, 89.07
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SOL 【4H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Moderate Bullish
Reason: 4H close is above EMA9, EMA21, and 132.35, MACD has turned bullish, entering a rebound phase in the bearish trend.
Action:
• Scenario: Rebound at 132.35~143.03 to stabilize and go long; if it breaks above 143.03, continue to target 155.49, 166.17.
• Capital: 60% to go long in the rebound range, 40% to chase long after breaking above 143.03.
• Defense: If the 4H close breaks below 119.89, the rebound structure ends, and the trend becomes bearish.
🟢 Long Position Allocation:
• Stop Loss: 119.89
• Range: 132.35~143.03
• Chase Long: 143.03
• Take Profit: 143.03, 155.49, 166.17
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SOL 【1H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Consolidation
Reason: 1H price is oscillating between 139.45~143.27, has not effectively broken above 141.87 or below 139.45, with momentum indicators showing a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.
Action:
• Scenario: Conservatives should first look at the range of 139.45~143.27, primarily selling high and buying low; aggressives should wait for an effective breakout above 143.27 or a drop below 139.45 before following the trend.
• Capital: It is recommended to reduce leverage, with individual trades not exceeding 30% of planned capital within the range.
• Defense: If there is a fake breakout with increased volume and then falls back to the midline of the range around 141.87, short-term positions should exit first.
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