#btcproyecciones #Saylor Ambitious projections for bitcoin;
Saylor himself has projected a promising future for bitcoin, which could further drive the growth of IBIT. According to his estimates, in the current cycle, bitcoin will reach $180,000 before falling to $140,000, as reported by CriptoNoticias.
However, his long-term projections are even bolder: by 2045, Saylor envisions that bitcoin could be worth $3 million in a bearish scenario, $13 million in an optimistic one, and even reach $50 million in the most extreme case.
If these predictions come true, the value of IBIT's assets, which depend directly on the price of the digital currency, could skyrocket, bringing the fund closer to the goal set by Saylor.
Record growth, but with challenges;
However, not everyone shares Saylor's optimism. Eric Balchunas, an ETF specialist at Bloomberg Intelligence, questioned the viability of this prediction.
Balchunas acknowledged that IBIT "broke all imaginable records in its rookie year," but pointed out that the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), which tracks the S&P 500 index, is currently 10 times larger and attracts 5 times more cash every day.
"Of course, it is also possible if IBIT starts receiving more cash than VOO," says the specialist, but for that to happen, it would need capital inflows of between $3 billion and $4 billion daily, compared to the $1 billion that VOO currently attracts.
Additionally, Balchunas highlighted a key obstacle: the correlation between bitcoin and the stock market. He explained that bitcoin tends to move in tandem with stocks, especially during market downturns, making it difficult for IBIT to grow more than funds like VOO.
For Saylor's prediction to come true, U.S. stocks would need to face a decade of zero or negative growth, while bitcoin experiences exponential growth.
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