⚡ Overview ARB
• Current price: around $0.44 – $0.47
• Actual market cap: ~2.3 – 2.4 billion USD (adjusted according to data from Binance and CoinGecko)
• Circulating supply: approximately 5.15 billion ARB (~52% of total supply)
• Maximum total supply: 10 billion ARB
• TVL on Arbitrum: leading Layer 2, over $2.7B
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📈 Technical analysis
• Pattern: Falling Wedge is forming, showing signs of breakout
• Resistance to overcome: $0.50
• Target breakout: $0.70 – $1.30 if buying pressure holds
• Technical indicators:
• RSI ~60 → still room to grow
• MACD is bullish
• MA200 is still in a downward trend → not confirmed for long-term increase
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🔓 Risks from token unlocking
• Unlocking rate per month: ~0.9% of total supply until 2027
• Major unlocking schedule: August, October, and December 2025
• Impact: May cause selling pressure if new capital does not flow in sufficiently
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🚀 Potential x3 – x4?
• Possible if:
• BTC breaks ATH
• DeFi and Layer 2 grow strongly
• Arbitrum continues to lead L2
• Not certain if:
• Unlock pressure weighs heavily
• No strong catalyst (e.g., Arbitrum L3, new airdrop…)
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💡 Suggested investment strategy
• DCA around $0.40 – $0.45 if investing for the medium – long term
• Watch for breakout at $0.50 to swing up to $0.70 – $0.80
• Avoid entering positions right before unlock date
• Closely monitor the Arbitrum ecosystem: DeFi projects, NFTs, Restaking
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