Veterans in the cryptocurrency circle know that K-lines speak, and trading volume hides mysteries. Today, I share 5 trading rules that I learned through real money. Beginners can reduce losses by 50% by understanding them, while veterans can double their win rate!
🔥【Core Insights】🔥
1️⃣ Slow Bull Stable, Rapid Rise Dangerous——
• A gentle increase of 3%-5% daily average volume often indicates the main force is accumulating (Case: BTC trend in January 2023)
• A single-day surge of over 20% with abnormal volume is likely a fishing line (Refer to SOL's spike in April this year)
2️⃣ Volume-Price Divergence Hides Danger——
√ Healthy Rise: New price highs + volume expansion (e.g., ETH breaking $2000 with stepped-up volume)
× Death Signal: New price highs but declining volume (Beware! This is a classic method for the main force to sell after driving the price up)
3️⃣ Key Position Defense Battle——
• Support level testing three times without breaking = golden buying point (See BNB's defense at $220)
• Resistance level failing to break three times = decisively take profit (Recall BTC's repeated struggle at the $30,000 mark)
4️⃣ Extreme Market Conditions Against Human Nature——
❗ After consecutive large bullish candles:
- Reduce position by 50% after the 3rd bullish candle (Statistics show a 78% chance of a pullback)
❗ After consecutive large bearish candles:
- Start dollar-cost averaging after the 7th bearish candle (Historical data shows an average rebound of 42%)
5️⃣ Main Force Behavior Decoder——
🔍 True Breakout: Price breaks previous highs + volume is more than double the previous day (e.g., TON's trend in May this year)
💣 False Breakout: Quick drop after a spike breakout + sudden hype on social media (Beware of common MEME coin tactics)
💡【Advanced Techniques】
- Combine with RSI indicator: When price reaches a new high but RSI shows a top divergence, immediately initiate the "5-3-2" reduction method
- Observe on-chain data from exchanges: Large whale address movements + sudden changes in contract positions = signs of a trend change
#k线分析