CPI数据
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三月CPI高于预期，是利好或利空？对此你有什么看法？
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📊 CPI Watch 🚨🚨– All Eyes on Inflation Data
Today’s CPI release is set to be a market mover. Inflation numbers are more than just statistics – they dictate the Fed’s next moves, impact interest rates, and can send stocks, crypto, and commodities swinging in minutes.
If CPI comes in lower than expected, markets could rally on hopes of rate cuts sooner rather than later. A hotter-than-expected print, however, might put pressure on risk assets and push the dollar higher.
Personally, I’ll be watching core inflation closely – it strips out volatile food and energy prices and gives a better picture of underlying trends. Whichever way it goes, expect volatility right after the release.
Key release time: 8:30 AM ET – buckle up. 🚀📉
#CPIWatch #CPI数据 #cpi #CPI_DATA #UpdateAlert
Today’s CPI release is set to be a market mover. Inflation numbers are more than just statistics – they dictate the Fed’s next moves, impact interest rates, and can send stocks, crypto, and commodities swinging in minutes.
If CPI comes in lower than expected, markets could rally on hopes of rate cuts sooner rather than later. A hotter-than-expected print, however, might put pressure on risk assets and push the dollar higher.
Personally, I’ll be watching core inflation closely – it strips out volatile food and energy prices and gives a better picture of underlying trends. Whichever way it goes, expect volatility right after the release.
Key release time: 8:30 AM ET – buckle up. 🚀📉
#CPIWatch #CPI数据 #cpi #CPI_DATA #UpdateAlert
July #CPI数据 is the big release this week.
Core prices are projected to rise 0.31%, bringing the annual increase to 3.1%, up from 2.9% in June and 2.8% in May.
Headline prices are expected to climb 0.24%, which would push the annual rate to 2.8%.
These figures will be closely monitored as they could shape market expectations for the next Fed move.
Core prices are projected to rise 0.31%, bringing the annual increase to 3.1%, up from 2.9% in June and 2.8% in May.
Headline prices are expected to climb 0.24%, which would push the annual rate to 2.8%.
These figures will be closely monitored as they could shape market expectations for the next Fed move.
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Tonight, the CPI data will be released. In the past few days, the US stock market and Bitcoin have been fluctuating in a range, basically waiting for the data to land. Some say it’s a risk-averse sentiment, but to me, it’s just that the market expectations aren’t great. However, if it really collapses, it won’t be too exaggerated!
As for the tariffs, the market has long desensitized to them. The news that comes out now has become lukewarm and indifferent. The core issue now is not whether the Federal Reserve makes the decision itself, but rather the infighting between the aggressive faction and the conservative faction. As long as the data isn’t too outrageous, the aggressive faction will definitely push towards interest rate cuts. The conservatives won’t let go of interest rates unless they see inflation truly going down. The result is that if the data is good, everyone smiles; if the data is bad, it’s not too sad, because a rate cut in September is almost a done deal!
Last month, the core CPI in the US was only 2.9% year-on-year, and that number is not scary at all. Now, what everyone is betting on is not whether the rate cuts will come, but whether it will be 50 basis points or 25 basis points in September. If it’s 50, it will directly surge, and Bitcoin will start from at least ten thousand points!
Back to the market, Bitcoin's recent pullback is almost digested. The drop just before the US stock market closed actually saw the spot premium rise. This indicates that the selling pressure in the spot market has been temporarily released, and new shorts have emerged to provide liquidity. However, as time drags on, it will eventually become a new clearing zone. As long as the CPI doesn’t have any particularly bad news, BTC still has a chance to break new highs this week. After all, with such a rise, the liquidity structure is still biased towards the bulls! #CPI数据
As for the tariffs, the market has long desensitized to them. The news that comes out now has become lukewarm and indifferent. The core issue now is not whether the Federal Reserve makes the decision itself, but rather the infighting between the aggressive faction and the conservative faction. As long as the data isn’t too outrageous, the aggressive faction will definitely push towards interest rate cuts. The conservatives won’t let go of interest rates unless they see inflation truly going down. The result is that if the data is good, everyone smiles; if the data is bad, it’s not too sad, because a rate cut in September is almost a done deal!
Last month, the core CPI in the US was only 2.9% year-on-year, and that number is not scary at all. Now, what everyone is betting on is not whether the rate cuts will come, but whether it will be 50 basis points or 25 basis points in September. If it’s 50, it will directly surge, and Bitcoin will start from at least ten thousand points!
Back to the market, Bitcoin's recent pullback is almost digested. The drop just before the US stock market closed actually saw the spot premium rise. This indicates that the selling pressure in the spot market has been temporarily released, and new shorts have emerged to provide liquidity. However, as time drags on, it will eventually become a new clearing zone. As long as the CPI doesn’t have any particularly bad news, BTC still has a chance to break new highs this week. After all, with such a rise, the liquidity structure is still biased towards the bulls! #CPI数据
Linnie Quezad a7mn:
那你现在开始做多呗，还等什么，反正贵爆拉，
🚨 CPI DATA DROPS IN 50 MINUTES – THIS IS A BIG ONE! 📊🔥
Today’s CPI release could decide if the market keeps pushing up 📈 or takes another dive 📉.
Quick refresher: CPI (Consumer Price Index) measures inflation.
🟢 Lower CPI → Inflation cooling → Higher chance of interest rate cuts → 🚀 Crypto & stocks could rally.
🔴 Higher CPI → Inflation still hot → Fed keeps rates high → ⚠️ Risk of a market pullback.
If the number comes in low, I see this fueling a strong upside move. But if it’s high, things could get messy – less chance of rate cuts and pressure on risk assets.
📌 Be ready! This data drop will bring serious volatility. Manage your risk.
#CPI数据 #CPIWatch
#FedRateDecisions
#DeFiGetsGraded
#CryptoNews
Today’s CPI release could decide if the market keeps pushing up 📈 or takes another dive 📉.
Quick refresher: CPI (Consumer Price Index) measures inflation.
🟢 Lower CPI → Inflation cooling → Higher chance of interest rate cuts → 🚀 Crypto & stocks could rally.
🔴 Higher CPI → Inflation still hot → Fed keeps rates high → ⚠️ Risk of a market pullback.
If the number comes in low, I see this fueling a strong upside move. But if it’s high, things could get messy – less chance of rate cuts and pressure on risk assets.
📌 Be ready! This data drop will bring serious volatility. Manage your risk.
#CPI数据 #CPIWatch
#FedRateDecisions
#DeFiGetsGraded
#CryptoNews
(CPIWatch)
Here’s an illustrative graph of core CPI inflation trends (excluding volatile food and energy components)—representative of what you might see under the “CPIWatch” banner. These visualizations are commonly used by analysts and media to highlight shifts in inflation dynamics over time.
---
What Is "CPIWatch"?
“CPIWatch” refers to the practice of closely tracking the Consumer Price Index (CPI), especially during its release dates, to gauge inflation trends and assess potential impacts on financial markets, monetary policy, and the broader economy. It’s a real-time alert for traders, policymakers, and the public to monitor inflation movements.
(Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics defines CPI as the average change in prices paid by urban consumers)
---
Why the Graph Matters
Core inflation trends: By excluding food and energy, core CPI provides a clearer signal of underlying inflation, helping to detect persistent trends that might influence central bank decisions.
Visual clarity: Graphs like the one above offer a quick and intuitive way to spot accelerations or slowdowns in inflation.
---
Broader Context & Applications
Real-time reactions: Markets, especially in the crypto and equity spaces, often react swiftly when CPI data is released—this is where the “CPIWatch” tag gets traction, such as on platforms like Binance’s “Binance Square” .
Inflation monitoring tools: Institutions like Pakistan’s PBS use weekly indices (“Sensitive Price Index”) for ongoing tracking, while the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics provides broader CPI data for monthly release .
#cpi
#CPI数据
#CPIdata
#CPI_DATA
Here’s an illustrative graph of core CPI inflation trends (excluding volatile food and energy components)—representative of what you might see under the “CPIWatch” banner. These visualizations are commonly used by analysts and media to highlight shifts in inflation dynamics over time.
---
What Is "CPIWatch"?
“CPIWatch” refers to the practice of closely tracking the Consumer Price Index (CPI), especially during its release dates, to gauge inflation trends and assess potential impacts on financial markets, monetary policy, and the broader economy. It’s a real-time alert for traders, policymakers, and the public to monitor inflation movements.
(Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics defines CPI as the average change in prices paid by urban consumers)
---
Why the Graph Matters
Core inflation trends: By excluding food and energy, core CPI provides a clearer signal of underlying inflation, helping to detect persistent trends that might influence central bank decisions.
Visual clarity: Graphs like the one above offer a quick and intuitive way to spot accelerations or slowdowns in inflation.
---
Broader Context & Applications
Real-time reactions: Markets, especially in the crypto and equity spaces, often react swiftly when CPI data is released—this is where the “CPIWatch” tag gets traction, such as on platforms like Binance’s “Binance Square” .
Inflation monitoring tools: Institutions like Pakistan’s PBS use weekly indices (“Sensitive Price Index”) for ongoing tracking, while the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics provides broader CPI data for monthly release .
#cpi
#CPI数据
#CPIdata
#CPI_DATA
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U.S. CPI is coming tonight! Will it be a massacre or a celebration in the crypto world? Long Brother reveals the exclusive insights!
Once tonight's CPI data is released, it will either skyrocket or plummet! The fate of the crypto market depends on this set of numbers, and Long Brother will help you plan in advance!
How important is CPI, really?
In simple terms, CPI reflects the average price fluctuations of goods purchased by American consumers. If CPI rises rapidly, it indicates soaring prices, and the Federal Reserve may panic—potentially raising interest rates or delaying rate cuts to curb inflation.
Long Brother's Viewpoint:
CPI ≤ 2.7% → Bitcoin surges to 125,000, ETH breaks 4500, and altcoins celebrate collectively!
CPI ≥ 3.0% → BTC could drop to 110,000, ETH could fall to 3,800, and there will be a wave of liquidations for leveraged players!
CPI meets expectations → Volatile market, but smart money will buy the dips.
How important is CPI, really?
In simple terms, CPI reflects the average price fluctuations of goods purchased by American consumers. If CPI rises rapidly, it indicates soaring prices, and the Federal Reserve may panic—potentially raising interest rates or delaying rate cuts to curb inflation.
Long Brother's Viewpoint:
CPI ≤ 2.7% → Bitcoin surges to 125,000, ETH breaks 4500, and altcoins celebrate collectively!
CPI ≥ 3.0% → BTC could drop to 110,000, ETH could fall to 3,800, and there will be a wave of liquidations for leveraged players!
CPI meets expectations → Volatile market, but smart money will buy the dips.
奋斗努力:
晚上会符合预期吗
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At 8:30 PM tonight, the U.S. will announce the seasonally adjusted CPI for the end of July
Let's take a look at the data:
Previous value: 2.7%
Current market expectation: 2.8%
(Data: Below expectation is good for the market, otherwise it is bad)
Impact analysis:
Since a rate cut in September is almost a certainty, the impact of this CPI should be very small.
However, a decline in CPI may boost market confidence.
Operational advice:
Before and after the data is released, avoid high leverage operations to guard against being trapped by abnormal fluctuations.
#CPI数据
Let's take a look at the data:
Previous value: 2.7%
Current market expectation: 2.8%
(Data: Below expectation is good for the market, otherwise it is bad)
Impact analysis:
Since a rate cut in September is almost a certainty, the impact of this CPI should be very small.
However, a decline in CPI may boost market confidence.
Operational advice:
Before and after the data is released, avoid high leverage operations to guard against being trapped by abnormal fluctuations.
#CPI数据
See original
$122,000 BTC + $4,300 ETH! CPI tomorrow night determines life and death: 91.5% bet on rate cut in September, the last train before the explosive surge?
Tomorrow night (August 12, 20:30), traders worldwide will hold their breath as they closely watch the U.S. July CPI data. Market consensus has sounded the alarm: core inflation year-on-year is expected to breach 3%, hitting a five-month high; overall inflation year-on-year is 2.8%, rising for the third consecutive month! If the data holds true, the probability of a Fed rate cut in September will plummet from 91%, and the recently set Bitcoin record of $122,000 may instantly become a battleground of longs and shorts.
More dangerous signals hidden in the details—
Tariff inflation has already drawn blood! Morgan Stanley issues urgent warning: Trump's tariffs are violently driving up prices of toys, sports goods, and furniture; after corporate inventories are cleared, July CPI could see a cost-passing 'tsunami.'
More dangerous signals hidden in the details—
Tariff inflation has already drawn blood! Morgan Stanley issues urgent warning: Trump's tariffs are violently driving up prices of toys, sports goods, and furniture; after corporate inventories are cleared, July CPI could see a cost-passing 'tsunami.'
樱花下的兰香:
I think it will still rush.
Translate
今夜CPI定生死！币圈多空绞杀战一触即发!
全球交易员屏息凝神，今晚20:30，一场决定百亿加密资本流向的战役正式打响！
北京时间8月12日晚20:30，美国劳工统计局将投下本月的金融核弹，7月CPI通胀数据！据华尔街顶级机构预测，核心通胀同比将冲破3%大关，创六个月来最猛环比涨幅0.3%。这绝非普通数据——它直接决定美联储9月是否降息，更是币圈多空绞杀的导火索！
一。核心数据暗藏杀机：关税通胀已如猛虎出笼！
1.商品通胀血腥反扑，家具、服装、娱乐等进口商品价格在关税重锤下暴力拉升！美国有效关税率飙升至18.6%，创1933年以来最高水平。高盛警告，到10月，消费者将承担2/3的关税成本，物价海啸即将吞噬市场！
2.二手车诡异反转，曼海姆指数同比暴涨2.9%，汽车价格结束下跌趋势掉头向上，核心商品通胀的最后防线宣告失守！
3.服务业通胀死灰复燃，旅游、航空价格挣脱消费者信心枷锁，7月核心服务价格环比跳涨0.3%，美联储最忌惮的超级核心通胀卷土重来！
今夜数据若突破3%，滞胀恶魔将正式降临——经济停滞与通胀飙升的毒药组合，将瞬间抽干币圈流动性！
二。美联储内斗白热化：9月降息命悬一线！
1.鸽派亮剑：理事沃勒、鲍曼联手逼宫，要求立即降息！特朗普嫡系米兰若火线上任美联储理事，将引爆三张反对票逼鲍威尔就范！
2.鹰派死守：纽约联储威廉姆斯、亚特兰大联储博斯蒂克死咬通胀不放，放话今年仅降息一次！
3.市场血流成河：芝商所FedWatch显示，9月降息概率从90%暴跌至82%，全年降息预期遭腰斩至55基点！若今夜CPI再超预期，最后的多头防线将彻底崩盘！
磊哥观点：币圈今夜三大剧本
1.地狱模式（CPI＞3%）历史重演：参考2022年CPI破9%→比特币5个月腰斩40%
操作指南：机构会疯狂抛售BTC换美元，BTC单日或暴跌10%，ETH、SOL等高贝塔币种更惨。
案例：8月12日比特币期权市场已现恐慌，115,000美元看跌期权遭疯抢，对冲基金押注暴跌。
2.天堂模式（CPI＜预期）
暴涨触发器：若核心CPI≤2.9%，9月降息概率锁死90%，百亿热钱冲进币圈。
埋伏方向：
利率敏感币：MINA、RNDR，小盘股映射，杠杆率高，易爆拉50%+。
美联储降息概念币：LDO、SSV，质押赛道，利率下调利好收益模型。
3.混沌模式（数据符合预期）
主力割韭菜套路：先砸盘洗杠杆，再拉盘逼空！
案例：2024年6月CPI公布后，BTC 1小时波动率年化900%，爆仓3.8亿美元。
磊哥策略：5小时生死备战
1.仓位防御盾：立即将20%仓位换为USDC，避免现货杠杆被清洗。
BTC跌破115,000则全仓对冲，买入看跌期权或做空永续合约。
2.数据偷袭战：盯死住房成本与进口价格，若两者同步飙升→滞胀确认→All in空单。若超级核心通胀,服务业回落→降息预期强化→重仓Solana生态MEME币，高波动+高beta。
3.政治内幕赌局：米兰任职官宣=做多信号！9月前LDO、SSV至少吃进30%涨幅。
磊哥忠告，数据越乱，越要盯紧美联储的权斗棋盘——降息不是经济数据决定的，而是谁在美联储说了算！
历史不会简单重复，但总押着相同的韵脚。2020年3月，当散户在疫情崩盘中割肉时，鲸鱼用美联储放水筹码建仓，最终血洗整个市场。今晚20:30，你要当被收割的羔羊，还是举镰刀的猎人？
#CPI数据
北京时间8月12日晚20:30，美国劳工统计局将投下本月的金融核弹，7月CPI通胀数据！据华尔街顶级机构预测，核心通胀同比将冲破3%大关，创六个月来最猛环比涨幅0.3%。这绝非普通数据——它直接决定美联储9月是否降息，更是币圈多空绞杀的导火索！
一。核心数据暗藏杀机：关税通胀已如猛虎出笼！
1.商品通胀血腥反扑，家具、服装、娱乐等进口商品价格在关税重锤下暴力拉升！美国有效关税率飙升至18.6%，创1933年以来最高水平。高盛警告，到10月，消费者将承担2/3的关税成本，物价海啸即将吞噬市场！
2.二手车诡异反转，曼海姆指数同比暴涨2.9%，汽车价格结束下跌趋势掉头向上，核心商品通胀的最后防线宣告失守！
3.服务业通胀死灰复燃，旅游、航空价格挣脱消费者信心枷锁，7月核心服务价格环比跳涨0.3%，美联储最忌惮的超级核心通胀卷土重来！
今夜数据若突破3%，滞胀恶魔将正式降临——经济停滞与通胀飙升的毒药组合，将瞬间抽干币圈流动性！
二。美联储内斗白热化：9月降息命悬一线！
1.鸽派亮剑：理事沃勒、鲍曼联手逼宫，要求立即降息！特朗普嫡系米兰若火线上任美联储理事，将引爆三张反对票逼鲍威尔就范！
2.鹰派死守：纽约联储威廉姆斯、亚特兰大联储博斯蒂克死咬通胀不放，放话今年仅降息一次！
3.市场血流成河：芝商所FedWatch显示，9月降息概率从90%暴跌至82%，全年降息预期遭腰斩至55基点！若今夜CPI再超预期，最后的多头防线将彻底崩盘！
磊哥观点：币圈今夜三大剧本
1.地狱模式（CPI＞3%）历史重演：参考2022年CPI破9%→比特币5个月腰斩40%
操作指南：机构会疯狂抛售BTC换美元，BTC单日或暴跌10%，ETH、SOL等高贝塔币种更惨。
案例：8月12日比特币期权市场已现恐慌，115,000美元看跌期权遭疯抢，对冲基金押注暴跌。
2.天堂模式（CPI＜预期）
暴涨触发器：若核心CPI≤2.9%，9月降息概率锁死90%，百亿热钱冲进币圈。
埋伏方向：
利率敏感币：MINA、RNDR，小盘股映射，杠杆率高，易爆拉50%+。
美联储降息概念币：LDO、SSV，质押赛道，利率下调利好收益模型。
3.混沌模式（数据符合预期）
主力割韭菜套路：先砸盘洗杠杆，再拉盘逼空！
案例：2024年6月CPI公布后，BTC 1小时波动率年化900%，爆仓3.8亿美元。
磊哥策略：5小时生死备战
1.仓位防御盾：立即将20%仓位换为USDC，避免现货杠杆被清洗。
BTC跌破115,000则全仓对冲，买入看跌期权或做空永续合约。
2.数据偷袭战：盯死住房成本与进口价格，若两者同步飙升→滞胀确认→All in空单。若超级核心通胀,服务业回落→降息预期强化→重仓Solana生态MEME币，高波动+高beta。
3.政治内幕赌局：米兰任职官宣=做多信号！9月前LDO、SSV至少吃进30%涨幅。
磊哥忠告，数据越乱，越要盯紧美联储的权斗棋盘——降息不是经济数据决定的，而是谁在美联储说了算！
历史不会简单重复，但总押着相同的韵脚。2020年3月，当散户在疫情崩盘中割肉时，鲸鱼用美联储放水筹码建仓，最终血洗整个市场。今晚20:30，你要当被收割的羔羊，还是举镰刀的猎人？
#CPI数据
See original
Tonight at eight-thirty: The release of CPI data may propel the global financial market into a new critical juncture!
As the clock strikes eight-thirty, the eyes of the global financial markets will focus on a key moment – the unveiling of the latest CPI data from the United States. At this moment, investors' nerves are on edge, as if they can hear the sound of their own heartbeat, all holding their breath in anticipation of this financial storm, hoping to seize the market direction from this major news.
The shocking prediction from the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece"!
Market barometer "Federal Reserve mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos recently made a shocking prediction that the core CPI could break 3.1%. This figure far exceeds the current general market expectations, like a heavy underwater bomb thrown into a calm lake, stirring up massive waves and leaving market participants shaken, all trying to glimpse the future direction of the market.
The shocking prediction from the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece"!
Market barometer "Federal Reserve mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos recently made a shocking prediction that the core CPI could break 3.1%. This figure far exceeds the current general market expectations, like a heavy underwater bomb thrown into a calm lake, stirring up massive waves and leaving market participants shaken, all trying to glimpse the future direction of the market.
See original
$ETH Ethereum Evening Strategy
Current price of Ethereum for long position, stop loss at 4240, target 4350-4380
Regarding the evening CPI data, I personally expect it to be largely favorable, hence Baoge advised fans to enter Ethereum long positions first.
Follow Baoge's strategy and let you enjoy big profits every day 🚀🚀🚀
#美联储何时降息？ #CPI数据
$XRP $SOL
Current price of Ethereum for long position, stop loss at 4240, target 4350-4380
Regarding the evening CPI data, I personally expect it to be largely favorable, hence Baoge advised fans to enter Ethereum long positions first.
Follow Baoge's strategy and let you enjoy big profits every day 🚀🚀🚀
#美联储何时降息？ #CPI数据
$XRP $SOL
See original
20:30 Important Index Five Stars ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
US July Unadjusted CPI Year-on-Year
Expected 2.80% Previous Value 2.70%
20:30 Important Index Four Stars ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
US July Adjusted CPI Month-on-Month
Expected 0.20% Previous Value 0.30%
Tonight's CPI is a "data bomb"; below expectations = celebration; above expectations = bloodbath;
in line with expectations = mixed battle.
It is recommended to avoid trading 30 minutes before and after the data release, and to act only when the trend is clear. If holding positions, be sure to set stop losses!
#CPI数据
US July Unadjusted CPI Year-on-Year
Expected 2.80% Previous Value 2.70%
20:30 Important Index Four Stars ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
US July Adjusted CPI Month-on-Month
Expected 0.20% Previous Value 0.30%
Tonight's CPI is a "data bomb"; below expectations = celebration; above expectations = bloodbath;
in line with expectations = mixed battle.
It is recommended to avoid trading 30 minutes before and after the data release, and to act only when the trend is clear. If holding positions, be sure to set stop losses!
#CPI数据
See original
Will the US CPI data tonight cause a stir? Will the market shake up?
Family! Tonight's "big bomb" in the cryptocurrency market is about to explode—the US July CPI data. This data directly impacts the Fed's next move and could shake up the cryptocurrency market in a matter of minutes!
Let me highlight the key points:
July end-of-year seasonally adjusted CPI rate: Expected: 2.7%, previous value: 2.8%. If the actual data rises, it means inflation hasn't fallen much. The Fed may continue its hawkish stance, strengthening the US dollar, and the cryptocurrency market will be hit hard. Major currencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum will likely plummet. However, if the data falls short of expectations and "dovish" expectations grow, funds will flock to the cryptocurrency market, and the market will take off! Seasonally adjusted monthly CPI rate: Expected: 0.3%, previous value: 0.2%. The monthly rate reflects short-term inflation changes. If it rises above expectations, it will also fuel expectations of a Fed rate hike, leading to even more volatility in the cryptocurrency market!
Why is this data said to "rock the cryptocurrency world"? Because the Federal Reserve's monetary policy directly controls global capital flows! Raising interest rates drains market liquidity, and the cryptocurrency market, driven by capital, will undoubtedly be impacted. Lowering or slowing rate hikes will drive capital to high-yield markets, making the cryptocurrency world a hot commodity.
I've set my alarm for tonight's data release (note the time difference, don't miss any key milestones!) to be the first to break it down for you: Will the data exceed expectations, fall short of expectations, or meet expectations? What will be the impact on Fed policy? Will the cryptocurrency market rise or fall? Should I buy the dip, sell the top, or wait and see?
The biggest fear in cryptocurrency trading is being caught in the dark and misjudging market fluctuations! Follow me to understand the "link" between CPI data and cryptocurrency market trends, and you'll be able to navigate the market with confidence no matter what data bombards you. Click to follow us now to witness the cryptocurrency market's volatility tonight and make money by following the trend!
#CPI数据 #币圈行情分析 #美联储 #加密货币 #投资机会
Family! Tonight's "big bomb" in the cryptocurrency market is about to explode—the US July CPI data. This data directly impacts the Fed's next move and could shake up the cryptocurrency market in a matter of minutes!
Let me highlight the key points:
July end-of-year seasonally adjusted CPI rate: Expected: 2.7%, previous value: 2.8%. If the actual data rises, it means inflation hasn't fallen much. The Fed may continue its hawkish stance, strengthening the US dollar, and the cryptocurrency market will be hit hard. Major currencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum will likely plummet. However, if the data falls short of expectations and "dovish" expectations grow, funds will flock to the cryptocurrency market, and the market will take off! Seasonally adjusted monthly CPI rate: Expected: 0.3%, previous value: 0.2%. The monthly rate reflects short-term inflation changes. If it rises above expectations, it will also fuel expectations of a Fed rate hike, leading to even more volatility in the cryptocurrency market!
Why is this data said to "rock the cryptocurrency world"? Because the Federal Reserve's monetary policy directly controls global capital flows! Raising interest rates drains market liquidity, and the cryptocurrency market, driven by capital, will undoubtedly be impacted. Lowering or slowing rate hikes will drive capital to high-yield markets, making the cryptocurrency world a hot commodity.
I've set my alarm for tonight's data release (note the time difference, don't miss any key milestones!) to be the first to break it down for you: Will the data exceed expectations, fall short of expectations, or meet expectations? What will be the impact on Fed policy? Will the cryptocurrency market rise or fall? Should I buy the dip, sell the top, or wait and see?
The biggest fear in cryptocurrency trading is being caught in the dark and misjudging market fluctuations! Follow me to understand the "link" between CPI data and cryptocurrency market trends, and you'll be able to navigate the market with confidence no matter what data bombards you. Click to follow us now to witness the cryptocurrency market's volatility tonight and make money by following the trend!
#CPI数据 #币圈行情分析 #美联储 #加密货币 #投资机会
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Since yesterday afternoon, the entire market has begun to enter a downward trend again. It is uncertain whether this is a normal range fluctuation or a market correction after reaching a peak, but it is likely related to the market's expectations of a rebound in CPI and risk-averse sentiment. After all, it hasn't been long since the last significant drop triggered by the revision of the non-farm payrolls, and the market may still be wary and has preemptively withdrawn to avoid the storm.
According to the current general market expectations, inflation has rebounded compared to last month. If it's only within expectations, then whether it's slightly higher or slightly lower, the impact won't be particularly significant. The market is more likely worried about what kind of unexpected developments might arise from the temporarily appointed deputy director after the previous Labor Department statistician was dismissed.
Currently, the market generally expects: Core CPI month-on-month at 0.3%, year-on-year at 3.0%-3.1%; CPI month-on-month at 0.2%, year-on-year at approximately 2.7%–2.8%. These four data points show a rebound compared to last month. Therefore, tonight's speculation is quite simple: slightly below expectations/previous values is favorable, slightly above expectations/previous values is unfavorable. A significant deviation from expectations would be very unfavorable. However, overall, compared to the last significant non-farm payrolls, the probability of a major shock is low.
#CPI数据
According to the current general market expectations, inflation has rebounded compared to last month. If it's only within expectations, then whether it's slightly higher or slightly lower, the impact won't be particularly significant. The market is more likely worried about what kind of unexpected developments might arise from the temporarily appointed deputy director after the previous Labor Department statistician was dismissed.
Currently, the market generally expects: Core CPI month-on-month at 0.3%, year-on-year at 3.0%-3.1%; CPI month-on-month at 0.2%, year-on-year at approximately 2.7%–2.8%. These four data points show a rebound compared to last month. Therefore, tonight's speculation is quite simple: slightly below expectations/previous values is favorable, slightly above expectations/previous values is unfavorable. A significant deviation from expectations would be very unfavorable. However, overall, compared to the last significant non-farm payrolls, the probability of a major shock is low.
#CPI数据
See original
🔥Tonight's CPI release sets the crypto market on fire! Expectations of a Fed rate cut face the ultimate test, where will BTC/ETH head?
📉 Key Data Preview
CPI Forecast:
Overall CPI: Expected to increase by 2.8% year-on-year (previous value: 2.7%) and 0.2% month-on-month.
Core CPI: Excluding energy and food, expected to increase by 0.3% month-on-month (previous value: 0.2%).
Risk Points: If the actual data exceeds expectations, the probability of a Fed rate cut in September will plummet, and the crypto market could see a sell-off.
🌪️Market Status: Intense bull-bear tussle
BTC: Currently trading at $118,525, breaking through a triangle consolidation pattern. Technically bullish, but support at $116,817 must be maintained.
ETH: Strongly broke through $4,300, reaching a new high since 2021 (+21% weekly gain), boosted by Fed Vice Chairman Bowman's remarks on "three rate cuts this year."
Whale Movements:
Surge in hedging demand: Institutions snapped up $115,000-$118,000 BTC put options to protect against CPI data black swan events.
ETF Fund Movements: Blackrock's Bitcoin ETF saw a single-day outflow of $292 million, and the Ethereum ETF saw an outflow of $375 million, but the panic lasted only two days.
⚡Historical Lessons: How does CPI affect crypto?
High Inflation Case: When the CPI reached 9.1% in 2022, BTC plummeted 20%.
Interest Rate Cutting Cycle: During the Fed's 2019 rate cuts, BTC surged nearly fourfold!
Current Correlation: The correlation coefficient between the S&P 500 and BTC volatility reached 0.7, indicating that traditional macroeconomic policies have become a core variable in crypto pricing.
🛡️How should traders position themselves?
Hedging Strategies:
Short-Term Put Options ($1 $15,000-$118,000) to hedge downside risk.
Stablecoin safe haven: Increase USDT/USDC holdings ahead of the CPI release.
Technical Signals:
If BTC holds $116,817, a move to $122,000 is possible; if it fails, it could test $111,000.
ETH support is $4,000, resistance is $4,500.
💡Federal Reserve internal divisions intensify
Dovish: Vice Chairman Bowman strongly supports "three rate cuts this year," stating that a worsening job market outweighs inflation risks.
Hawkish: White House economic advisor Miran joins the Fed, Trump pressures rate cuts, and the policy game intensifies.
📅Catalysts for the next two weeks
Potential impact of date events: August 15th, SEC vs. Ripple's final settlement report. XRP liquidity may explode. The first XRP ETF approval deadline is on September 9th, creating a new channel for institutional entry. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on September 17th will result in a crypto frenzy.
💬Tonight's topic: Are you long or short? Share your trading strategies!
Follow real-time updates: This post will continuously update with CPI data updates and institutional interpretations!
#CPI数据 #美联储降息 #BTC走势分析 #以太坊突破 #加密宏观
📉 Key Data Preview
CPI Forecast:
Overall CPI: Expected to increase by 2.8% year-on-year (previous value: 2.7%) and 0.2% month-on-month.
Core CPI: Excluding energy and food, expected to increase by 0.3% month-on-month (previous value: 0.2%).
Risk Points: If the actual data exceeds expectations, the probability of a Fed rate cut in September will plummet, and the crypto market could see a sell-off.
🌪️Market Status: Intense bull-bear tussle
BTC: Currently trading at $118,525, breaking through a triangle consolidation pattern. Technically bullish, but support at $116,817 must be maintained.
ETH: Strongly broke through $4,300, reaching a new high since 2021 (+21% weekly gain), boosted by Fed Vice Chairman Bowman's remarks on "three rate cuts this year."
Whale Movements:
Surge in hedging demand: Institutions snapped up $115,000-$118,000 BTC put options to protect against CPI data black swan events.
ETF Fund Movements: Blackrock's Bitcoin ETF saw a single-day outflow of $292 million, and the Ethereum ETF saw an outflow of $375 million, but the panic lasted only two days.
⚡Historical Lessons: How does CPI affect crypto?
High Inflation Case: When the CPI reached 9.1% in 2022, BTC plummeted 20%.
Interest Rate Cutting Cycle: During the Fed's 2019 rate cuts, BTC surged nearly fourfold!
Current Correlation: The correlation coefficient between the S&P 500 and BTC volatility reached 0.7, indicating that traditional macroeconomic policies have become a core variable in crypto pricing.
🛡️How should traders position themselves?
Hedging Strategies:
Short-Term Put Options ($1 $15,000-$118,000) to hedge downside risk.
Stablecoin safe haven: Increase USDT/USDC holdings ahead of the CPI release.
Technical Signals:
If BTC holds $116,817, a move to $122,000 is possible; if it fails, it could test $111,000.
ETH support is $4,000, resistance is $4,500.
💡Federal Reserve internal divisions intensify
Dovish: Vice Chairman Bowman strongly supports "three rate cuts this year," stating that a worsening job market outweighs inflation risks.
Hawkish: White House economic advisor Miran joins the Fed, Trump pressures rate cuts, and the policy game intensifies.
📅Catalysts for the next two weeks
Potential impact of date events: August 15th, SEC vs. Ripple's final settlement report. XRP liquidity may explode. The first XRP ETF approval deadline is on September 9th, creating a new channel for institutional entry. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on September 17th will result in a crypto frenzy.
💬Tonight's topic: Are you long or short? Share your trading strategies!
Follow real-time updates: This post will continuously update with CPI data updates and institutional interpretations!
#CPI数据 #美联储降息 #BTC走势分析 #以太坊突破 #加密宏观
See original
Two data points to pay attention to this week:
First: On August 12 (Tuesday night at 20:30) 🇺🇸 the July CPI will be announced
Previous value 2.70% Expected 2.80%
Second: On August 14 (Thursday night at 20:30) 🇺🇸 the number of unemployment claims for the week will be announced
Previous value 22.6 Expected 22.6
$BTC $ETH
#ETH走势分析 #特朗普加密新政
First: On August 12 (Tuesday night at 20:30) 🇺🇸 the July CPI will be announced
Previous value 2.70% Expected 2.80%
Second: On August 14 (Thursday night at 20:30) 🇺🇸 the number of unemployment claims for the week will be announced
Previous value 22.6 Expected 22.6
$BTC $ETH
#ETH走势分析 #特朗普加密新政
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CPI data is coming, can SLAY staking withstand it? Let's talk, brothers
Brothers, the crypto world is a bit anxious today! The CPI data is coming, July's inflation data might impact the market, SatLayer (SLAY) had a hot debut last night, I'm a bit restless as a newcomer, do you think SLAY can hold steady?
What is SLAY?
SLAY is a secure Layer 2 platform for Bitcoin, the amazing part is that it earns profits by staking Bitcoin while protecting DeFi, like adding an 'anti-inflation shield' to the crypto world
Highlights: Staking mining + cross-chain support, collaborating with Sui and Berachain
Airdrop benefits: 200 Alpha Points can be exchanged for 525 SLAY at Alpha Events, limited time of 24 hours, hurry to grab it
What is SLAY?
SLAY is a secure Layer 2 platform for Bitcoin, the amazing part is that it earns profits by staking Bitcoin while protecting DeFi, like adding an 'anti-inflation shield' to the crypto world
Highlights: Staking mining + cross-chain support, collaborating with Sui and Berachain
Airdrop benefits: 200 Alpha Points can be exchanged for 525 SLAY at Alpha Events, limited time of 24 hours, hurry to grab it
Bhowmick Crypto:
6
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