$BTC 🔍 Key Market Shifts
📈 Price surged to $105,066.78 (+3.79%), rebounding from $99,613.33 and reclaiming critical EMAs.
📊 EMAs flipped bullish:
EMA(7): $104,174.23 ✅ Support
EMA(25): $104,848.58 🔄 Pivot
EMA(99): $99,466.50 🏗️ Long-term base
📉 RSI(6): 54.30 (neutral → bullish bias)
⚡ StochRSI: 37.91 / 18.43 (bullish crossover forming)
📉 Volume: 2,730 BTC (still low vs 5-day avg 17,343 BTC) – confirmation needed!
🧱 Key Levels
🟢 Support:
$104,848 (EMA25)
$104,174 (EMA7)
$100,814.62 (higher low)
🔴 Resistance:
$106,074.20 (24h high)
$108,717.54 (swing high)
$111,980.00 (macro resistance)
📈 Price Prediction
⏱️ Short-Term (12–24h)
✅ Bullish Bias (70%): Retest $106,074 → break leads to $108,717
📌 Needs confirmation: Volume > 5K BTC + StochRSI > 50
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (30%): Rejection → drop to $104,174 (EMA7)
📅 Medium-Term (3–7 days)
✅ Bullish (60%): Hold EMA25 → push to $111,980
⚠️ Bearish (40%): Close below EMA7 → range between $100,814–$106,074
🧠 Trade Setup Plan
🟩 LONG TRADE – Bullish Continuation (70% Prob.)
📥 Entry:
$104,850–$105,000 (above EMA25)
$104,200 (dip to EMA7)
🎯 Targets:
$106,074 (TP1 - 50%)
$108,717 (TP2 - full exit)
❌ Stop-Loss: $103,900
🟥 SHORT TRADE – Resistance Rejection (30% Prob.)
📥 Entry: $106,000–$106,050 (near 24h high)
🎯 Targets:
$105,000
$104,174
❌ Stop-Loss: $106,200
🛡️ Risk Management
💰 Capital: Max 1% of portfolio
⚙️ Leverage: Max 5x (low volume = cautious)
📊 Adjustment Plans:
🔼 Break $106,200 → add longs → target $111,980
🔽 Break $103,900 → look for drop to $100,814
📅 Catalyst Watch: Monitor Bitcoin ETF inflows/outflows over next 24h
✅ Summary
🔵 LONG TRADE
Trigger: Bounce above $104,850 with rising volume
Targets: $106,074 → $108,717
Invalidation: 4H close below $103,900
🔴 SHORT TRADE
Trigger: Rejection at $106,000 with weak volume
Targets: $105,000 → $104,174
Invalidation: 4H close above $106,200
⚠️ Final Note: Volume remains weak – wait for confirmation before full entry. Long-term trend intact above EMA(99) = $99,466. If $108,717 breaks, shift focus to 1D breakout targets.
Take Trade From here 👉
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