🚀 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis (Strong Rebound), Price Prediction and Trade Plan

$BTC

🔍 Key Market Shifts

📈 Price surged to $105,066.78 (+3.79%), rebounding from $99,613.33 and reclaiming critical EMAs.

📊 EMAs flipped bullish:

EMA(7): $104,174.23 ✅ Support

EMA(25): $104,848.58 🔄 Pivot

EMA(99): $99,466.50 🏗️ Long-term base

📉 RSI(6): 54.30 (neutral → bullish bias)

⚡ StochRSI: 37.91 / 18.43 (bullish crossover forming)

📉 Volume: 2,730 BTC (still low vs 5-day avg 17,343 BTC) – confirmation needed!

🧱 Key Levels

🟢 Support:

$104,848 (EMA25)

$104,174 (EMA7)

$100,814.62 (higher low)

🔴 Resistance:

$106,074.20 (24h high)

$108,717.54 (swing high)

$111,980.00 (macro resistance)

📈 Price Prediction

⏱️ Short-Term (12–24h)

✅ Bullish Bias (70%): Retest $106,074 → break leads to $108,717

📌 Needs confirmation: Volume > 5K BTC + StochRSI > 50

⚠️ Bearish Scenario (30%): Rejection → drop to $104,174 (EMA7)

📅 Medium-Term (3–7 days)

✅ Bullish (60%): Hold EMA25 → push to $111,980

⚠️ Bearish (40%): Close below EMA7 → range between $100,814–$106,074

🧠 Trade Setup Plan

🟩 LONG TRADE – Bullish Continuation (70% Prob.)

📥 Entry:

$104,850–$105,000 (above EMA25)

$104,200 (dip to EMA7)

🎯 Targets:

$106,074 (TP1 - 50%)

$108,717 (TP2 - full exit)

❌ Stop-Loss: $103,900

🟥 SHORT TRADE – Resistance Rejection (30% Prob.)

📥 Entry: $106,000–$106,050 (near 24h high)

🎯 Targets:

$105,000

$104,174

❌ Stop-Loss: $106,200

🛡️ Risk Management

💰 Capital: Max 1% of portfolio

⚙️ Leverage: Max 5x (low volume = cautious)

📊 Adjustment Plans:

🔼 Break $106,200 → add longs → target $111,980

🔽 Break $103,900 → look for drop to $100,814

📅 Catalyst Watch: Monitor Bitcoin ETF inflows/outflows over next 24h

✅ Summary

🔵 LONG TRADE

Trigger: Bounce above $104,850 with rising volume

Targets: $106,074 → $108,717

Invalidation: 4H close below $103,900

🔴 SHORT TRADE

Trigger: Rejection at $106,000 with weak volume

Targets: $105,000 → $104,174

Invalidation: 4H close above $106,200

⚠️ Final Note: Volume remains weak – wait for confirmation before full entry. Long-term trend intact above EMA(99) = $99,466. If $108,717 breaks, shift focus to 1D breakout targets.

Take Trade From here 👉 $BTC

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