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⚠️ Tariffs Could Stir Crypto Volatility, Says Arthur Hayes
1. Tariffs Trigger Volatility Hayes warns that Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs (effective by July 9) could spark short-term turbulence across crypto markets .
2. Dollar Weakness = Crypto Strength He believes these tariffs may weaken the U.S. dollar, prompting central banks (like the Fed) to inject liquidity via easing—which historically benefits Bitcoin and even gold .
3. Safe Heaven Demand on the Rise Hayes views Bitcoin and gold as escape hatches amid macro uncertainty. He says, “Global imbalances will be corrected, and the pain papered over with printed money, which is good for BTC” .
4. Bullish Forecasts Loom Under this scenario, he predicts Bitcoin could hit $250,000 by end-2025 if the Fed resumes quantitative easing .
5. Medium-Term Optimism While tariffs may cause near-term dips, Hayes suggests lasting gains are likely once the dust settles—making this a net positive for crypto in the medium term .
✅ Summary
Tariff-driven market shake-ups might create volatility, but Hayes expects such disruptions to be offset by Fed liquidity measures—ultimately fueling Bitcoin’s climb into six figures. #TrumpTariffs #BinanceAlphaAlert #TRUMP
⚠️ Ethereum’s ($ETH ) MVRV Ratio Triggers a Sell Warning
The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has spiked—meaning short-term holders are sitting on hefty profits—triggering a classic on-chain sell signal .
Historically, such elevated MVRV levels often precede price corrections, as holders cash in or take profits .
📉 What This Suggests Now
Ethereum’s profitability among recent buyers is near peaks—echoing previous cycles where sharp pullbacks followed rapid gains.
One analyst forecasted a potential drop toward $2,000 if broader sell signals align—though exact timing remains uncertain .
🌱 Not All the Signals Are Negative
Other factors—like parabolic on-chain activity, strong RSI/MACD technicals, and rising active addresses—suggest Ethereum still has constructive momentum .
That means market watchers should be alert: short-term volatility is possible even if long-term strength persists.
✅ Bottom Line
Ethereum’s high MVRV flags a cautionary sell zone—as recent entrants are long and profitable.
Yet, the broader on-chain environment remains active, implying volatility—not collapse—is the likely scenario.
A healthy pullback (e.g., to ~$2,000) could be a setup for the next upward phase.