非农
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Tomorrow's volatility is high, and I know I can't resist opening a position, so I might as well lock myself up and calm down✌#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #非农
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What is the US non-farm payrolls data and what impact will it have on the market
The U.S. non-farm data will be released tonight. Against the backdrop of interest rate cuts in Canada and Europe, this non-farm data is crucial and may very well affect whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. So what is non-farm data, and what impact will its different data have on the market?
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The U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) data is an important economic indicator released monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), reflecting the number of new jobs in the non-agricultural sector in the U.S. last month. This data is usually released on the first Friday of each month and is considered one of the key indicators for measuring the health of the U.S. economy.
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The U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) data is an important economic indicator released monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), reflecting the number of new jobs in the non-agricultural sector in the U.S. last month. This data is usually released on the first Friday of each month and is considered one of the key indicators for measuring the health of the U.S. economy.
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Cryptocurrency Logic Revealed: How Long Can We Play the Expectation Game?
Brothers, the current market seems a bit confusing at first glance, but upon closer inspection, the logic is quite clear. The market has been trading on two expectations: one is the expectation of interest rate cuts, and the second is the major positive impact of ETFs. It sounds great, but the reality is still far off! Until it materializes, it’s all just a ‘castle in the air.’ For Bitcoin, as long as the interest rate cuts are not realized, we are not yet in true danger. From a technical perspective, we could either see a large-scale triangular convergence and a rise, or we could head directly into a major upward wave; both scenarios could push the price to new highs. The upcoming drama is worth watching! Is the market grinding on you? Lying flat is the way to go!
Recently, the market has indeed been a bit torturous, with altcoins rising in turn, but the general direction has not yet been determined. What’s the best strategy at this stage? Hold your spot and lie flat! Rather than staring at the market anxiously, it's better to focus back on life and not let the fluctuations ruin your mood. In the end, if you make money but lose your health and happiness, it’s simply not worth it. Making money and living well can absolutely be a win-win; just find the right balance. The process might be a bit torturous, but a good result is all that matters! As a side note: leverage is something to avoid!
Personally, I never recommend that everyone recklessly use leverage. When there’s a big opportunity, I’ll shout out, hoping my brothers can make some money, but I also fear that you might get addicted. Contract leverage is just a big casino; thinking of getting rich through this? Don't dream! At most, it’s just for entertainment. Whether it's spot or leverage, I will shout out in advance, and never be an ‘after-the-fact’ expert; one must have a bottom line. New opportunity: $ai16zh is waiting for you to hop on!
The market is grinding, so why not find something fresh? Recently, ai16zh.me has an event, giving away $ai16zh tokens for free, and inviting new users can earn additional rewards. This is a potential player; getting in early might just lead to the next wave of surprises. Click in to take a look, and while lying flat, you can conveniently grab an airdrop; living well and making money simultaneously! #ai16zh #非农 Employment data is coming #特朗普签署行政命 Order $BTC
Brothers, the current market seems a bit confusing at first glance, but upon closer inspection, the logic is quite clear. The market has been trading on two expectations: one is the expectation of interest rate cuts, and the second is the major positive impact of ETFs. It sounds great, but the reality is still far off! Until it materializes, it’s all just a ‘castle in the air.’ For Bitcoin, as long as the interest rate cuts are not realized, we are not yet in true danger. From a technical perspective, we could either see a large-scale triangular convergence and a rise, or we could head directly into a major upward wave; both scenarios could push the price to new highs. The upcoming drama is worth watching! Is the market grinding on you? Lying flat is the way to go!
Recently, the market has indeed been a bit torturous, with altcoins rising in turn, but the general direction has not yet been determined. What’s the best strategy at this stage? Hold your spot and lie flat! Rather than staring at the market anxiously, it's better to focus back on life and not let the fluctuations ruin your mood. In the end, if you make money but lose your health and happiness, it’s simply not worth it. Making money and living well can absolutely be a win-win; just find the right balance. The process might be a bit torturous, but a good result is all that matters! As a side note: leverage is something to avoid!
Personally, I never recommend that everyone recklessly use leverage. When there’s a big opportunity, I’ll shout out, hoping my brothers can make some money, but I also fear that you might get addicted. Contract leverage is just a big casino; thinking of getting rich through this? Don't dream! At most, it’s just for entertainment. Whether it's spot or leverage, I will shout out in advance, and never be an ‘after-the-fact’ expert; one must have a bottom line. New opportunity: $ai16zh is waiting for you to hop on!
The market is grinding, so why not find something fresh? Recently, ai16zh.me has an event, giving away $ai16zh tokens for free, and inviting new users can earn additional rewards. This is a potential player; getting in early might just lead to the next wave of surprises. Click in to take a look, and while lying flat, you can conveniently grab an airdrop; living well and making money simultaneously! #ai16zh #非农 Employment data is coming #特朗普签署行政命 Order $BTC
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This week's key macro events and analysis of the cryptocurrency market forecasts:
The core contradiction in the cryptocurrency market this week revolves around the interaction between U.S. economic data and policy dynamics. According to Coinank data, Friday's employment and unemployment rate data will become a key guide for monetary policy expectations: if the data is weak (such as job growth below expectations or an increase in the unemployment rate), it may strengthen market bets on four interest rate cuts within the year, thereby boosting risk assets; conversely, if the data is strong, it will intensify concerns about the duration of high interest rates, suppressing market sentiment. Currently, BTC implied volatility has dropped to a low of 45%, indicating a lack of consensus among investors on short-term direction, but this also lays the groundwork for a rebound in volatility after the data is released.
The impact of Trump's policies on the market remains persistent. Previously, his tariff policies led to significant fluctuations in cryptocurrency assets (with a drop significantly greater than traditional assets), while recent easing of rhetoric has triggered a reversal in the market. This policy uncertainty enhances the correlation between cryptocurrency assets and traditional risk assets, especially against the backdrop of a weak U.S. stock market without signs of recession, where funds may accelerate rotation between the stock-bond market and the cryptocurrency market.
The specific impact path on the cryptocurrency market may exhibit bidirectional volatility characteristics: on the one hand, the interest rate cut expectations brought about by weak economic data may push BTC to test the psychological barrier of $100,000; on the other hand, the resilience of the job market may continue the current oscillation pattern. In the medium term, caution is needed regarding potential black swan events in policy (such as new tariff measures) and repeated adjustments in liquidity expectations. Investors are advised to pay close attention to changes in hedging demand in the options market and the sustainability of ETF capital inflows, as these two indicators will reflect institutional capital's assessment of systemic risk.
The core contradiction in the cryptocurrency market this week revolves around the interaction between U.S. economic data and policy dynamics. According to Coinank data, Friday's employment and unemployment rate data will become a key guide for monetary policy expectations: if the data is weak (such as job growth below expectations or an increase in the unemployment rate), it may strengthen market bets on four interest rate cuts within the year, thereby boosting risk assets; conversely, if the data is strong, it will intensify concerns about the duration of high interest rates, suppressing market sentiment. Currently, BTC implied volatility has dropped to a low of 45%, indicating a lack of consensus among investors on short-term direction, but this also lays the groundwork for a rebound in volatility after the data is released.
The impact of Trump's policies on the market remains persistent. Previously, his tariff policies led to significant fluctuations in cryptocurrency assets (with a drop significantly greater than traditional assets), while recent easing of rhetoric has triggered a reversal in the market. This policy uncertainty enhances the correlation between cryptocurrency assets and traditional risk assets, especially against the backdrop of a weak U.S. stock market without signs of recession, where funds may accelerate rotation between the stock-bond market and the cryptocurrency market.
The specific impact path on the cryptocurrency market may exhibit bidirectional volatility characteristics: on the one hand, the interest rate cut expectations brought about by weak economic data may push BTC to test the psychological barrier of $100,000; on the other hand, the resilience of the job market may continue the current oscillation pattern. In the medium term, caution is needed regarding potential black swan events in policy (such as new tariff measures) and repeated adjustments in liquidity expectations. Investors are advised to pay close attention to changes in hedging demand in the options market and the sustainability of ETF capital inflows, as these two indicators will reflect institutional capital's assessment of systemic risk.
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#非农
Non-farm payrolls are coming tonight! US job growth may slow down significantly, and the economy is flashing red lights
There are signs that the US labor market is slowing down and may even deteriorate, so the June non-farm payrolls report has greater significance. The June non-farm payrolls report will be released at 20:30 Beijing time on Friday. Economists expect 200,000 new jobs, down from 272,000 in May. So far, the total number of new jobs in 2024 is 1.24 million, about 50,000 less per month than the same period last year.
Non-farm payrolls are coming tonight! US job growth may slow down significantly, and the economy is flashing red lights
There are signs that the US labor market is slowing down and may even deteriorate, so the June non-farm payrolls report has greater significance. The June non-farm payrolls report will be released at 20:30 Beijing time on Friday. Economists expect 200,000 new jobs, down from 272,000 in May. So far, the total number of new jobs in 2024 is 1.24 million, about 50,000 less per month than the same period last year.
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Pay attention to the unemployment rate + non-agricultural data at 8:30 tonight!
1. Unemployment rate, previous value 3.9%, expected 3.9%
From the historical data this year, there are only three possibilities of 3.7-3.8-3.9. The announced value is greater than or equal to 3.9%, which means it will rise first and then fall; the announced value of 3.7/3.8 means it will fall first and then rise! The great possibility is still to announce 3.9%!
2. Non-agricultural, previous value 17.5, expected 18.5
The more employed people, the more prosperous the economy. Higher than expected is good for the data itself. #币圈新机遇 #币圈 #非农
1. Unemployment rate, previous value 3.9%, expected 3.9%
From the historical data this year, there are only three possibilities of 3.7-3.8-3.9. The announced value is greater than or equal to 3.9%, which means it will rise first and then fall; the announced value of 3.7/3.8 means it will fall first and then rise! The great possibility is still to announce 3.9%!
2. Non-agricultural, previous value 17.5, expected 18.5
The more employed people, the more prosperous the economy. Higher than expected is good for the data itself. #币圈新机遇 #币圈 #非农
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Non-Farm Payroll Market Expectations
As someone who has experienced the trading market, I clearly remember the gold market in December 2009, which is very similar to the current Bitcoin trend.
Will Bitcoin perform like gold in December 2009 tonight? Yiming believes there is a high probability it will, beware of the painting door...
The chart below shows the market before and after the non-farm payroll in December 2009
#BTC
#ETH
#非农
As someone who has experienced the trading market, I clearly remember the gold market in December 2009, which is very similar to the current Bitcoin trend.
Will Bitcoin perform like gold in December 2009 tonight? Yiming believes there is a high probability it will, beware of the painting door...
The chart below shows the market before and after the non-farm payroll in December 2009
#BTC
#ETH
#非农
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Is the downward revision of March and April non-farm data good or bad for Bitcoin?
Many people do not understand how non-farm data affects Bitcoin. Is this non-farm data good or bad? Here is a simple explanation from Xiaoliuli:
The downward revision of the U.S. non-farm data for March and April reflects a weak job market and potential sluggish economic growth, which is favorable for Bitcoin.
Economic and risk appetite transmission: The downward adjustment of employment data shows that the U.S. economy is not as strong as initially perceived. When expectations about the economy are hit, market confidence in the dollar can easily decline.
The downward revision of the U.S. non-farm data for March and April reflects a weak job market and potential sluggish economic growth, which is favorable for Bitcoin.
Economic and risk appetite transmission: The downward adjustment of employment data shows that the U.S. economy is not as strong as initially perceived. When expectations about the economy are hit, market confidence in the dollar can easily decline.
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Frugality
It's not as good as contract-based family support
Come on
My little partners
Pay attention to: kaito, ada, xrp, sol, pi
#美联储利率决议即将公布
#非农
It's not as good as contract-based family support
Come on
My little partners
Pay attention to: kaito, ada, xrp, sol, pi
#美联储利率决议即将公布
#非农
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Analysis of the market trends based on the new tariff policies on 4/2 DAP, non-farm data on 4/3, and market indicators
The cycle from February to March was a decline, and from March to April there will be an increase, similar to the dividing line on August 5, 2024. The spring of spot trading is coming.
#美国加征关税 #非农
The cycle from February to March was a decline, and from March to April there will be an increase, similar to the dividing line on August 5, 2024. The spring of spot trading is coming.
#美国加征关税 #非农
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Cryptocurrency evening summary
1. Reuters: German authorities have arrested an American citizen named Martin on suspicion of providing sensitive U.S. military intelligence to China. The man, who recently worked for the U.S. military in Germany, contacted Chinese officials this year and offered to share confidential information.
2. The Beijing government said that historical experience shows that China and the United States benefit from cooperation and suffer from confrontation, and a stable relationship serves the interests of both countries and the world.
3. U.S. productivity grew 2.2% in the third quarter #非农 , while unit labor costs grew 1.9%
Non-financial business productivity growth of 3.1% is part of an economic narrative for the year ahead, with growth expected to reach 2.5% or more in 2025, with the potential for stronger growth (Figure 1)
2. The Beijing government said that historical experience shows that China and the United States benefit from cooperation and suffer from confrontation, and a stable relationship serves the interests of both countries and the world.
3. U.S. productivity grew 2.2% in the third quarter #非农 , while unit labor costs grew 1.9%
Non-financial business productivity growth of 3.1% is part of an economic narrative for the year ahead, with growth expected to reach 2.5% or more in 2025, with the potential for stronger growth (Figure 1)
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On June 6th at 20:30, the unemployment rate data for May in the United States will be released, along with non-farm data. This may lead to significant market fluctuations, so please pay attention to the risks. It is recommended to take appropriate profits and reduce positions. Wait for the market adjustment to finish before buying at the bottom and building positions!
#美国初请失业金人数 #非农 #非农数据 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC $BTC
$ETH
$SOL
#美国初请失业金人数 #非农 #非农数据 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC $BTC
$ETH
$SOL
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1.6 Morning News
#XAI #IDO #非农
1. NostrAssets releases development plan: launch new Fair Mint and add new use cases for Double T;
2. People who participate in ZKF are crazy. Basically, you can earn 4-8 times the principal no matter how much you participate in;
3. aki launches the Year of the Dragon prize pool event with up to 500% APY;
4. Binance Web3 Wallet announced the addition of multiple integrations and updated exchange functions, but there was no inscription related;
5. BRC20 Bitcoin ecology continues to turn into inscriptions. This bear market has been a bit long;
6. After the first "RGB-20" asset RGBS on BitRGB was opened on the trading market, the price rose by up to 300% within 24 hours; (Everyone said it was a soft rug when it was launched, but everyone had it after it was launched?)
7. In the lsdfi ecosystem headed by ldo, only ldo performs strongly, and the others do not seem to be in the same sector;
8. Is there no hope for the Fed to cut interest rates? Non-agricultural data shows that U.S. employment far exceeds expectations!
Good morning, currency circle people
#XAI #IDO #非农
1. NostrAssets releases development plan: launch new Fair Mint and add new use cases for Double T;
2. People who participate in ZKF are crazy. Basically, you can earn 4-8 times the principal no matter how much you participate in;
3. aki launches the Year of the Dragon prize pool event with up to 500% APY;
4. Binance Web3 Wallet announced the addition of multiple integrations and updated exchange functions, but there was no inscription related;
5. BRC20 Bitcoin ecology continues to turn into inscriptions. This bear market has been a bit long;
6. After the first "RGB-20" asset RGBS on BitRGB was opened on the trading market, the price rose by up to 300% within 24 hours; (Everyone said it was a soft rug when it was launched, but everyone had it after it was launched?)
7. In the lsdfi ecosystem headed by ldo, only ldo performs strongly, and the others do not seem to be in the same sector;
8. Is there no hope for the Fed to cut interest rates? Non-agricultural data shows that U.S. employment far exceeds expectations!
Good morning, currency circle people
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