一鸣的交易日记
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June 9th Market Analysis
Short-term adjustments are occurring, but the pullback space is not large, and the time won't be too long, about 2 to 3 days.
A new round of upward trends will soon begin, this is the general trend.
In trading, still follow the general trend, focusing on buying low as the main strategy.
#BTC
#ETH
Short-term adjustments are occurring, but the pullback space is not large, and the time won't be too long, about 2 to 3 days.
A new round of upward trends will soon begin, this is the general trend.
In trading, still follow the general trend, focusing on buying low as the main strategy.
#BTC
#ETH
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June 5 Market Analysis
BTC: Has been fluctuating around the line of 105,000 with a 1,000 point range, without a clear direction. If the four-hour close is below 104,300, it can be determined as a new bearish signal, which is not the case now.
ETH: Last night hit a new high, changing the four-hour life line structure. Although it has been oscillating and retracing at the resistance level, it has not yet formed a bearish trend. We will discuss the bearish trend after it breaks below 2,560.
Altcoins: Most are in a bearish trend.
#BTC
#ETH走势分析
BTC: Has been fluctuating around the line of 105,000 with a 1,000 point range, without a clear direction. If the four-hour close is below 104,300, it can be determined as a new bearish signal, which is not the case now.
ETH: Last night hit a new high, changing the four-hour life line structure. Although it has been oscillating and retracing at the resistance level, it has not yet formed a bearish trend. We will discuss the bearish trend after it breaks below 2,560.
Altcoins: Most are in a bearish trend.
#BTC
#ETH走势分析
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June 3 Market Analysis
The current market situation can be summed up in four words: Caught in a Dilemma
Advance: There is resistance at the daily life line above; Retreat: The price has also stood above the four-hour life line below.
1: The rise at the 103000 position is due to the first touch of the daily life line during the pullback, which is also the 23.6% Fibonacci level.
2: There are daily-level resistances at the positions of 106600 and 108800, with Ethereum around 2646. It is uncertain whether it will drop at these positions.
Currently, it can be summarized as: The 4H cycle has returned to a bullish trend, and the daily line is also bullish. It is uncertain whether this bullish move in 4H is the last gasp of the bulls or a new force; we will wait a bit longer.
#中心化与去中心化交易所 #币安Alpha上新
The current market situation can be summed up in four words: Caught in a Dilemma
Advance: There is resistance at the daily life line above; Retreat: The price has also stood above the four-hour life line below.
1: The rise at the 103000 position is due to the first touch of the daily life line during the pullback, which is also the 23.6% Fibonacci level.
2: There are daily-level resistances at the positions of 106600 and 108800, with Ethereum around 2646. It is uncertain whether it will drop at these positions.
Currently, it can be summarized as: The 4H cycle has returned to a bullish trend, and the daily line is also bullish. It is uncertain whether this bullish move in 4H is the last gasp of the bulls or a new force; we will wait a bit longer.
#中心化与去中心化交易所 #币安Alpha上新
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Continue to Rise?
Today ETH reached a new high, while BTC's peak is still stuck at May 22;
Consider a question: if there is a correction, the peaks of BTC and ETH should occur on the same day, or at least not too far apart.
Moreover, even if not on the same day, ETH's peak should occur before BTC's. Now it's reversed;
What does this indicate?
Logical reasoning: Will BTC catch up and reach a new high???
This question is for entertainment and discussion only, and should not be used as a basis for trading decisions.
#BTC
#ETH走势分析
Today ETH reached a new high, while BTC's peak is still stuck at May 22;
Consider a question: if there is a correction, the peaks of BTC and ETH should occur on the same day, or at least not too far apart.
Moreover, even if not on the same day, ETH's peak should occur before BTC's. Now it's reversed;
What does this indicate?
Logical reasoning: Will BTC catch up and reach a new high???
This question is for entertainment and discussion only, and should not be used as a basis for trading decisions.
#BTC
#ETH走势分析
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5.27 Market Analysis
The rebound faced resistance; last week the BTC four-hour lifeline support was at 110200. After breaking below this level, it turned into resistance. Yesterday, there was an upward rebound, but it encountered resistance and fell back at this level, indicating that the resistance at this position is effective.
Short-term focus on 108600. If the closing line at noon 12 o'clock is below this level, a new short position will be established. Below, pay attention to the daily lifeline support at 104100.
#BTC
#ETH走势分析
The rebound faced resistance; last week the BTC four-hour lifeline support was at 110200. After breaking below this level, it turned into resistance. Yesterday, there was an upward rebound, but it encountered resistance and fell back at this level, indicating that the resistance at this position is effective.
Short-term focus on 108600. If the closing line at noon 12 o'clock is below this level, a new short position will be established. Below, pay attention to the daily lifeline support at 104100.
#BTC
#ETH走势分析
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May 23 Evening Market Analysis
Discussing the current situation
BTC and ETH show signs of breaking down simultaneously in the four-hour cycle, indicating a trend reversal to bearish in this period. The thoughts are as follows:
1: Will look for opportunities to set up short positions, pay attention to Q information.
2: The decline will not be too drastic in one go; the probability of BTC breaking below 104000 on the daily chart is low.
3: If 111959 is the peak of this rebound, then the extreme value for the pullback of Bitcoin should be around 100500.
4: In this adjustment, being short is temporary; more important than being short is the upcoming long positions and accumulation of value coins.
#以太坊走势
#比特币突破11万美元
Discussing the current situation
BTC and ETH show signs of breaking down simultaneously in the four-hour cycle, indicating a trend reversal to bearish in this period. The thoughts are as follows:
1: Will look for opportunities to set up short positions, pay attention to Q information.
2: The decline will not be too drastic in one go; the probability of BTC breaking below 104000 on the daily chart is low.
3: If 111959 is the peak of this rebound, then the extreme value for the pullback of Bitcoin should be around 100500.
4: In this adjustment, being short is temporary; more important than being short is the upcoming long positions and accumulation of value coins.
#以太坊走势
#比特币突破11万美元
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5.23 Market Analysis
Be a simple trend follower: do not guess the top, do not touch the top, and continue to accumulate long positions until a bearish signal appears.
As long as the lifeline has not been broken, continue along this trend. Even if you take hits, it will only be at the moment the turning point appears, which is much more valuable than randomly guessing the top and getting hit.
#BTC
#ETH
Be a simple trend follower: do not guess the top, do not touch the top, and continue to accumulate long positions until a bearish signal appears.
As long as the lifeline has not been broken, continue along this trend. Even if you take hits, it will only be at the moment the turning point appears, which is much more valuable than randomly guessing the top and getting hit.
#BTC
#ETH
See original
BTC broke through last year's historical high, reaching 110800
This is not the end position of this rise
Recently there has been a shakeout, but no bearish trend signals
Do not short
Still looking for a pullback to go long
...
#BTC走势分析
#BTC挑战11万大关
This is not the end position of this rise
Recently there has been a shakeout, but no bearish trend signals
Do not short
Still looking for a pullback to go long
...
#BTC走势分析
#BTC挑战11万大关
See original
The washout has started again
However, this washout period won't be too long
Tomorrow and the day after should still be sunny
Today's 107950 shouldn't be the peak of this rebound
Those shorting can wait a bit longer
The bearish trend on the four-hour and above cycles hasn't emerged yet
#BTC
#BTC挑战11万大关
However, this washout period won't be too long
Tomorrow and the day after should still be sunny
Today's 107950 shouldn't be the peak of this rebound
Those shorting can wait a bit longer
The bearish trend on the four-hour and above cycles hasn't emerged yet
#BTC
#BTC挑战11万大关
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5.21 Market Analysis
Viewpoint: Currently, the market is experiencing a short squeeze; the time to short has not yet arrived, the turning point is expected to be reached next week.
At this stage, the only trading method is: buying low is safe, asset selection: BTC, time frame selection: daily
BTC: Lower support reference: 103500~104100
#BTC
#ETH
Viewpoint: Currently, the market is experiencing a short squeeze; the time to short has not yet arrived, the turning point is expected to be reached next week.
At this stage, the only trading method is: buying low is safe, asset selection: BTC, time frame selection: daily
BTC: Lower support reference: 103500~104100
#BTC
#ETH
See original
5.1 Daily Market Analysis
Today is the first day of May, so let's first discuss the monthly trend for this month.
The overall trend this month is upward, and the strength should exceed that of April. Without clear bearish signals, we should not easily open short positions. As for how high it can rise, let's not indulge in wishful thinking or predictions; we will just follow the trend. According to the basic principle of reducing positions when BTC first breaks below the four-hour life line, and exiting when it breaks below the daily line, we may not sell at the highest point, but we can capture most of the market movements.
From an intraday short-term perspective, BTC tested the four-hour life line for the second time yesterday, and a quick rebound occurred at this position. However, based on the four-hour performance of USDT.D, it is still above the four-hour life line, and we cannot rule out the risk of a short-term pullback for BTC.
Therefore, the best scenario would be a pullback at the beginning of May, followed by an upward trend. As for whether this pullback can happen, let's not predict; we will only follow the trend, and we will only enter short positions when bearish signals appear. As long as it hasn't broken below the life line, we will maintain a bullish outlook.
#BTC
#ETH走势分析
Today is the first day of May, so let's first discuss the monthly trend for this month.
The overall trend this month is upward, and the strength should exceed that of April. Without clear bearish signals, we should not easily open short positions. As for how high it can rise, let's not indulge in wishful thinking or predictions; we will just follow the trend. According to the basic principle of reducing positions when BTC first breaks below the four-hour life line, and exiting when it breaks below the daily line, we may not sell at the highest point, but we can capture most of the market movements.
From an intraday short-term perspective, BTC tested the four-hour life line for the second time yesterday, and a quick rebound occurred at this position. However, based on the four-hour performance of USDT.D, it is still above the four-hour life line, and we cannot rule out the risk of a short-term pullback for BTC.
Therefore, the best scenario would be a pullback at the beginning of May, followed by an upward trend. As for whether this pullback can happen, let's not predict; we will only follow the trend, and we will only enter short positions when bearish signals appear. As long as it hasn't broken below the life line, we will maintain a bullish outlook.
#BTC
#ETH走势分析
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A good hunter must be good at waiting
It has been in a sideways trend for 8 days.
BTC has been within the red and blue range of the life line for a long time. In such an unclear market situation, waiting is the best choice. Although Bitcoin has not yet established a trend, its counter indicator USDT.D has now broken above the purple line in the lower chart. If it stays above in a 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin will soon establish a trend.
The good warriors of the past first ensured they could not be defeated, in order to wait for the enemy to be defeated. Standing undefeated and being good at waiting are necessary to win. The goal of investors coming to the trading market is to make money, and this is correct. However, what we must do first is not to make money, but to avoid losing money, that is, to first ensure we cannot be defeated. With solid fundamental skills, achieve a position of being undefeated and first ensure trading does not result in losses.
BTC has been within the red and blue range of the life line for a long time. In such an unclear market situation, waiting is the best choice. Although Bitcoin has not yet established a trend, its counter indicator USDT.D has now broken above the purple line in the lower chart. If it stays above in a 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin will soon establish a trend.
The good warriors of the past first ensured they could not be defeated, in order to wait for the enemy to be defeated. Standing undefeated and being good at waiting are necessary to win. The goal of investors coming to the trading market is to make money, and this is correct. However, what we must do first is not to make money, but to avoid losing money, that is, to first ensure we cannot be defeated. With solid fundamental skills, achieve a position of being undefeated and first ensure trading does not result in losses.
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Discipline is the key to success in trend trading
The more disciplined you are, the more successful you will be in the investment market.
Within a person's discipline lies infinite possibilities; the degree of your discipline determines the height of your life.
Many know about discipline, but few put it into practice.
#BTC
#ETH
The more disciplined you are, the more successful you will be in the investment market.
Within a person's discipline lies infinite possibilities; the degree of your discipline determines the height of your life.
Many know about discipline, but few put it into practice.
#BTC
#ETH
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4.30 Market Analysis
The big coin is still oscillating within this range, without a clear direction. However, from the perspective of USDT.D, this signal has just broken through resistance on the four-hour cycle. Whether it can continue, we need to observe further. If this signal maintains a bullish continuation, the big coin will move downward to generate a bearish signal.
Before the signal is completely clear, do not act rashly; leave the opportunities for confirmed signals.
When the signal is unclear, taking immediate action is like shooting randomly; it consumes your capital and exposes your targets. In a sniper battlefield, the one who cannot hold back is often the first to fall.
#BTC
#ETH走势分析
The big coin is still oscillating within this range, without a clear direction. However, from the perspective of USDT.D, this signal has just broken through resistance on the four-hour cycle. Whether it can continue, we need to observe further. If this signal maintains a bullish continuation, the big coin will move downward to generate a bearish signal.
Before the signal is completely clear, do not act rashly; leave the opportunities for confirmed signals.
When the signal is unclear, taking immediate action is like shooting randomly; it consumes your capital and exposes your targets. In a sniper battlefield, the one who cannot hold back is often the first to fall.
#BTC
#ETH走势分析
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4.29 Market Analysis
Yesterday's market was very exciting, like a roller coaster with ups and downs. Even if you didn't hit your stop loss, you might have been startled and found it hard to find direction.
Yiming also posted multiple times yesterday, emphasizing that the market is still in a chaotic range, with no clear direction, making it unsuitable for participation, and provided images. The market is still within this range; if you want to be a bit more stable and safe, just wait for the market to give a clear signal.
The lifeline for judging direction will not be wrong.
The trading market offers endless opportunities, but account bullets are limited, so let's save opportunities for certain signals.
#BTC
#BTC走势分析
#ETH
#ETH走势分析
Yesterday's market was very exciting, like a roller coaster with ups and downs. Even if you didn't hit your stop loss, you might have been startled and found it hard to find direction.
Yiming also posted multiple times yesterday, emphasizing that the market is still in a chaotic range, with no clear direction, making it unsuitable for participation, and provided images. The market is still within this range; if you want to be a bit more stable and safe, just wait for the market to give a clear signal.
The lifeline for judging direction will not be wrong.
The trading market offers endless opportunities, but account bullets are limited, so let's save opportunities for certain signals.
#BTC
#BTC走势分析
#ETH
#ETH走势分析
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4.28 Evening Market Analysis
Figure 1 is the chart I posted today in a certain public account
Figure 2 is the current situation, the difference is that there are 2 more 4-hour lines
The lifeline is crucial in trading, especially in judging trends, it won’t be wrong
Today's market, regardless of long or short players, is actually quite uncomfortable, because there is no direction, and both sides are still fighting. Let's sleep first and see tomorrow who wins, and follow their trend.
#BTC
#ETH
Figure 1 is the chart I posted today in a certain public account
Figure 2 is the current situation, the difference is that there are 2 more 4-hour lines
The lifeline is crucial in trading, especially in judging trends, it won’t be wrong
Today's market, regardless of long or short players, is actually quite uncomfortable, because there is no direction, and both sides are still fighting. Let's sleep first and see tomorrow who wins, and follow their trend.
#BTC
#ETH
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