教导主任-伏羲

@加密扫地僧 Tonight's encrypted monk account live stream $BTC #分析行情

Near 107000, give an opportunity to enter #行情推演

【BTC Today's Market Analysis】

The BTC market trend is as I previously analyzed and predicted. As long as it breaks through 108,300 and stabilizes, it will definitely aim for the 110,000 mark. At that time, the entire weekly indicators combined will resemble the low point of 38,500 in January 2024, where it stopped falling and rebounded, entering a rising cycle.

Once it reaches 110,000, it is highly likely to break new highs. The major upward trend is being planned in the background; it should at least reach 125,000. However, the market is still more optimistic about a fluctuation within the 100,000 to 110,000 range, believing that the market still follows the high and low resonant candlestick trend. The strong resistance level at 108,300 shows a slight downturn, and indeed, the market is exhibiting small fluctuations to induce short positions. Once shorted, it can easily become fuel for the market.

Even in probability theory, it’s believed that such a high position is bullish. If trapped, it’s hard to get out, especially since the strong support level of 100,000 has recently been broken, and the situation is still fresh in memory. Therefore, many people feel anxious about being bullish and are influenced by various bearish comments in the market, making them more confident in bearish positions.

Little do they know, 108,000 is the lowest point of the upcoming upward trend. I had a deep experience of this situation on January 22, 2024. I remember that on January 11, BTC spot ETF slightly rose to 48,900, resulting in a bullish market that crashed down to 38,500, with a two-month support point around 40,000. Ultimately, after that drop to 38,500, it turned around and entered an upward trend, similar to the recent situation where the 100,000 support was forced to rise to 98,200 and then closed.

In fact, the main point is that the hourly MACD has a death cross moving downwards, while the market fluctuates slightly upward rather than slightly downward and ranges. This is a very abnormal indicator manifestation. Once the MACD releases space and forms a golden cross, a wave of upward movement will begin. As for other time frame indicators, I have mentioned them before and will not reiterate.

As long as in the next two days, there are no geopolitical conflicts or comments about increasing tariffs, a stable upward movement will occur.

Personally, I see the market trend as bullish, not bearish. $BTC #分析行情

$ETH Yesterday someone said Ethereum is not doing well, BTC is rising, and ETH is not reacting, too weak. In fact, understanding the nature of ETH makes it clear that as long as BTC is fluctuating or rising, ETH will have a significant surge.

Every quality coin has its own characteristics, don't always think that if BTC rises and they do not, they are weak; rather, the market is giving you an opportunity to enter.

#下一任美联储主席人选

The hope of everyone in the cryptocurrency world! $BTC #BTC走势分析

Today, aside from Bitcoin slowly crawling, the other cryptocurrencies like ETH, SOL, and some quality altcoins such as XRP and DOGE haven't really seen much increase.

Firstly, Bitcoin was fluctuating between 105,000 and 106,000 yesterday, with little to no increase, which caused some long positions entered at lower levels to exit. Additionally, the bearish sentiment is increasing at the moment.

But remember, as long as BTC breaks 107,500 and holds to move towards 108,300, ETH, SOL, and quality altcoins will likely see a significant rise. Currently, everyone is watching the big brother BTC to see if it can break the resistance level of 107,500.

$ETH $SOL #山寨币

$BTC going back and forth, the overall range is still oscillating between 100,000 and 110,000. In this wave of the market, as long as it breaks 108,300, the K-line trend pattern of the same frequency up and down will be broken, and the market will have to go to 110,000. So currently, the most important point to watch is 108,300.

There is one thing that must be clarified: based on weekly indicators, similar to January 22, 2024, once the market reaches 110,000, it is expected to experience a wave of upward movement according to the weekly indicators. It can also be understood that as long as the market reaches the high of 110,000, 112,000 must be broken, and it must at least climb above 125,000.

Although this is a later discussion, since we have chosen this industry, we need to analyze and prepare mentally in advance.

#分析行情

#BTC走势分析

It was said from the beginning that after the end of the Hong 2, there would be a small-scale conflict leading to negotiations. However, many people believe that Iran wants to take revenge on the Americans, and the market is still under the old man.

As a result, the air force was trapped and exposed significantly, and we should not only focus on macroeconomic theories; indicator analysis is equally important #以色列伊朗衝突

Iran's nuclear research has reached a critical moment, as its nuclear facilities were bombed twice by the Americans, which is somewhat related to the cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency in disclosing information.

Now they think of pausing cooperation, but why did they bluff back then? However, this conflict has resulted in the deaths of many Iranian scientists, making nuclear research more difficult.

$BTC Tonight's market analysis looks at 107500 108300. During the evening live stream, I will post again in a timely manner, but I will write it as bullish and not bearish, with targets of 97300 98300. Fortunately, a fan commented and reminded me, and I promptly corrected it to 107500. 108300, sorry sorry. 😂😂😂

#BTC走势分析

$BTC Tonight bullish not bearish. Target 107500, 108300. #BTC走势分析

BTC Today's Market Analysis:
Weekly: MACD fast line DIF is turning upwards from a downward pressure, and after two bearish candles, there is temporarily one short bullish candle. The rise of this short bullish candle is excessive, while the two bearish candles show a greater decline compared to the rise of the short bullish candle. Therefore, in the future, the bullish short bullish candles will release the market, resulting in a significant rise, and the DIF will naturally form a golden cross. The weekly indicators are bullish, and the upper Bollinger Band is moving up, indicating a potential breakthrough of the historical high in the future.

Daily: The market is near the middle Bollinger Band around 105500, which has certain pressure. From the daily indicators, it cannot be determined whether the next move will be a pullback or a breakout upwards; it needs to be combined with short-term indicators for analysis.

12-Hour: KDJ and MACD form a golden cross. After a large bullish candle, a short bearish candle typically follows, but at this point, the continuation of bullish candles shows strong bullish strength. The upper pressure is at the Bollinger Band upper limit of 107500, while the K-line pressure is at 108300. If it breaks through 108300, it will break the K-line trend, and the market will reach its peak again, attempting to break through the new high.

12-Hour Summary: The market is bullish, with pressure at 107500, 108300, and 110000 (breaking the new high).

6-Hour: The upper Bollinger Band pressure is at 106500. KDJ and MACD form a double golden cross, but after a large bullish candle, a short bullish candle appears, indicating that bullish strength is temporarily insufficient. Pay attention to whether bearish energy is released or bullish energy increases in the future.

In the 6-hour period, it is at a pressure level, and with insufficient bullish strength, it appears bearish. However, the KDJ and MACD double golden cross indicates bullishness. Therefore, from the 6-hour perspective, both upward and downward movements are possible, and we should specifically pay attention to whether the latest volume energy bars are increasing bullish or releasing bearish energy.

4-Hour: KDJ and MACD golden cross indicates bullishness, and the MACD bottom divergence is breaking the 0 point stage. After two large bullish candles, a short bearish candle appears, indicating insufficient bearish energy, followed by a bullish candle. The overall indicators suggest a bullish outlook.

Market Summary: The 4-hour indicator analysis is bullish, supported by the 6-hour indicators which are also bullish. The entire market is moving upwards, and 106500 will be broken. We are looking at 107500 and 108300. These two points are what we will analyze and consider tonight. As for the 110000 points and breaking the new high, that is only a matter of time; we will first focus on 107500 and 108300 today.
$BTC #BTC走势分析

Many short sellers are trapped. Seeing this news is like finding a lifeline. When the Iranian foreign minister says that the ceasefire agreement has not been reached, it is estimated that fighting will continue, or they are still imagining that Israel will continue to fight.

Iran needs to save face. After all, Israel was the one who acted first, so they must make a statement first. If Iran makes a statement first, and then Israel acts without regard for rules, Iran will lose face and won't be able to explain to its domestic audience.

That's all there is to it, so don't worry. Moreover, the American response is that the Iranian foreign minister is going to Russia to meet with Putin, and Putin is also going to East Asia for a four-day visit. This is to tell the Americans not to go too far. We are all willing to see nuclear facilities being attacked, as the world's nuclear powers need to be controlled, but they shouldn't go too far and bully Iran. Iran's geographical position, I do not agree with East Asia. Additionally, Iran itself does not want to fight anymore. To calm public anger, last night they launched some missiles at the American military base just to make a statement, and this matter will be put to rest. 😂😂😂

In this world, truth lies within the range of missiles (nuclear missiles), not ordinary missiles. This is why many countries want to secretly research nuclear capabilities.

$BTC It's 6 o'clock again, and recently at 6 in the morning, there has been a wave of big market movements. It's still the same saying: don't think a war is coming just because there were bombings in Iran, rather than a conflict. Stock prices have dropped from 9 to 8. Now let's take a look at whether those who only pay attention to the news are all trapped and cut off.

This is the market, which is why I have always emphasized buying on dips. Why not sell high? Because there will always be a downward wave that can't go down, and it's safer to go with the market trend.

#以色列伊朗冲突

#以色列伊朗冲突

Thinking that the news said Iran would close the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices would surge, haha, those who bought in are getting wrecked.

So don’t just focus on news for investing every day, that’s too damn easy. Even a pig can climb a tree.

And don’t keep saying that the future conflict between Israel and Iran will drop below 9 to 8, what are you thinking? The Russia-Ukraine conflict has been going on for so many years, go see how the bull market of 2024 came about. Never take news as the sole basis for judgment, otherwise, you will definitely end up in a bad situation. 😹#霍尔木兹海峡

To be honest, when the Americans bombed Iran's nuclear facilities, Iran wanted to quell domestic discontent, so they inevitably had to hit American bases a bit, but in the end, it was nothing significant, just downplaying everything.

As for Iran's impulsiveness, if it weren't for American deterrence, given its small territory, Iran would have an advantage in a conflict. Once the Americans step back, the entire situation would balance out. Therefore, in the later stages, it will still be a matter of impulsiveness between Iran and the U.S., and the Americans will not engage too much, ultimately leading back to the negotiation table.

Regarding the BTC market trend, many have noted that it broke down from 90,000 to 80,000 points. To be honest, I can't agree with that.

I am bullish; although the bombing incident caused the market to break the strong support level of 100,300 in the last two months and drop to 98,200, I primarily focus on going long for swings, not shorting.

The 12-hour market indicator is bullish, the daily line is bullish, and the weekly indicators are similar to the trend on January 22, 2024. Therefore, I do not see a bearish outlook for the weekly indicators; I am bullish.

In summary: mainly focus on low long positions for swings. Spot traders, do not be nervous; your spring will come soon. If you don't believe it, let's wait and see.

#BTC走势分析 $BTC

Knowing around 6 o'clock that the market would pull back is not a one-time or two-time occurrence. If you already have a long position near 99400, the profit is currently 1700 points. Set the stop loss in profit and continue to be bullish, or you can also take profit on this small wave. It just depends on your personal satisfaction with the earnings.

If it were me, I would set the stop loss at the profit point, continue to be bullish, with the first target at 102500 and the second at 103500. When reaching each target, it is necessary to analyze the indicators at that time to anticipate market trends. If continuing to be bullish, move the stop loss up to protect the profits earned.

$BTC Unexpectedly, Trump took advantage of the weekend to play golf and suddenly made a military decision, bombing Iranian nuclear facilities with H-2 bombers. In fact, this is the result that all five permanent members of the Security Council want to see, which is to prevent the emergence of more nuclear-armed countries, as this is beneficial for world stability.

The world hopes for a nuclear-free Iran, but Russia and Eastern powers do not want Iran to become a base for U.S. troops, as this poses a huge threat to Asia. Iran is close to Eastern powers, and if the U.S. fully engages, Eastern powers will certainly support Iran behind the scenes.

Therefore, after the H-2 bombing of Iran, there should be small-scale conflicts leading to negotiations.

From the market perspective, it is expected to reach around 97300 points, but before that, there could be a rebound at any time. The hourly chart currently shows two large bearish candles, and the new hourly chart will start soon at 23:00. The market will experience a correction; whether it will be a corrective oscillation leading to further declines or a sharp rise is irrelevant. Just enter the market to take advantage of this wave of correction.

Today's U.S. bombing of Iran will only cause a temporary drop, and there will not be any more bombastic information following this. It is not advisable to chase after shorts.

Try to maintain the habit of capturing waves. If there are contracts that are stuck in long positions, do not hedge at this moment; look for correction points to decide whether to hedge or not.

$BTC #比特币跌破十万美元

#以色列伊朗冲突 Don't panic, it has dropped 4700 points, and you think it's time for a deep sell-off? Just take the opportunity to buy low, not to short, and enjoy the wave.

The market at 96907583883 is stable in a triangular pattern without breaking the resistance level of 107000. If it breaks 107000 today and reaches 108000, there is a chance to break the pressure level of the triangular pattern, moving towards a high of 112000. However, as it has not broken 107000, it ultimately fell below the support of the triangular pattern, returning to the low range of 100000-112000.

Currently, the low point is at 102300, and the entire support area is between 100300-102500. The market has reverted to the range of oscillation between approximately 110000 and 100000 since May 12, which is indeed very tiring.

Today is Friday, and with the U.S. stock market closed over the weekend, considering Trump might play golf and the uncertainty of delaying military decisions regarding Iran, there is a significant possibility of panic selling at high levels. However, Iran is likely to move towards negotiations in the future, but at least the market will downplay the war, as evidenced by the Russia-Ukraine situation, which still experienced a bull market in 2024. Moreover, Iran's past comments regarding its allies like Yemen, Hamas, and the conflicts with Israel indicate that it wants to distance itself from war; the conflicts are attributed to the beliefs of its allies. Thus, Iran will definitely seek negotiations, while the U.S. is merely stirring the pot to gain its desired benefits without participating in the conflict. Trump's governing style is to stir trouble and make money.

From an indicator perspective, the long-term indicators still lean towards bullishness, so recovering the K-line at 102300 is a good entry point. If there are phased long positions at 104000 and the market has not exited at 107000, this position can be re-entered. As for contracts, the same advice applies: take the waves, move the strong stop loss by 10000 points, and continue to take waves long.

To speak the truth, the entire market is not worried about the Fed's statements but is instead concerned about Trump and the White House's comments on the Iran-Israel conflict. Such remarks can easily stimulate the market, leading to panic selling and risk aversion. However, in the investment field, this also presents a money-making opportunity, and Trump will only negotiate to obtain the benefits he needs while stirring up trouble. I remain bullish on the news, and I am bullish on the market indicators.

In summary: primarily take long positions on dips.