It is not appropriate to short near 106700 at this time, as it is only 500 points away from 106200, which is meaningless. The overall market still leans towards bullish, so focus on going long.
Additionally, for trades made today between 107500 and 108400, especially around 108400, if 107400 is being monitored for indicators to hedge, then shorts can be exited. If not, then do not short now; instead, wait calmly for the upcoming pullback. $BTC #BTC走势分析
This week is a super week, with non-farm payroll data to be released on the evening of July 3rd, the market is going to be in a range-bound and frustrating state for a few days #非农数据
From the chart, it can be seen that the 30-minute EMA double-track support is present. Additionally, after a large bullish candlestick, a very short bearish candlestick appears, indicating that the bearish energy is insufficient. So, is there a greater chance for bullish energy candlesticks to emerge later? At that time, there were only 6 minutes left until 2 PM, and the hourly, 30-minute, and 15-minute candlestick charts are restarting. Let's take a look at the indicator changes in the other two time frames. Combined analysis: at this position, 107200 is not stable, and the market needs to return above 107400. Therefore, as long as the top of the two bottom candlesticks breaks 107500, the market will rally. Currently, it is stuck between 107200-107500. Those who can stay up late should keep an eye on the market. After all, the hourly KDJ is at the bottom, the MACD has a dead cross above zero, and the volume is in a combination of long and short bearish candlesticks, with the market also supported by MA60. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands have the middle track MA20 for support. The support is very strong. If it breaks above 107500, from what I see now, 107300 is also possible! Alright, I need to sleep now, good night! The alarm is set for 6 AM for a look! $BTC #合约战神
Actually, I am not worried about a market crash; currently, the overall trend is still bullish. I am concerned that the 106300-107600 range will turn into a 107200-18500 range, causing the entire market to shift up by several hundred points, which is frustrating! #行情推演
I mentioned earlier this week that the overall trend is bullish, not bearish, and to buy on dips. If you want to look back further, refer to the BTC market analysis post from 6/24.
If you are my follower and you shorted around 107000 or below and are now stuck, I feel like following me has no meaning for you. 😂😂😂
$BTC 4 hours boll narrowing, btc market indicators analysis continues to be bullish.
As mentioned before, remember the key points 106200 and 108300 (you can refer to the previous works for explanations). These are the dividing lines above and below!
If it breaks below 106200 successfully, bearish! If it breaks above 108300 successfully, bullish!
Recently, a fan in the Binance Square live stream asked about ETH, so I’ll mention ETH as well:
Watch the points 2375 and 2468, If it breaks below 2375 successfully, bearish, If it breaks above 2468 successfully, bullish.
The entire btc market standard is bullish, which is why I have been focused around btc 106300-107000, where the 30-minute Vegas channel supports a lot of longs. $BTC $ETH #分析行情
Old Te still can't forget the huge profits brought by Trump coins. I appreciate this about you. It's good to express more positive opinions and less negative ones. Here's a thumbs up for you 👍
Anticipated PCE Xiaoyu's expectation was incorrect, but it does not affect the confidence in a bullish outlook on the market.
The authenticity of the data is no longer meaningful, entirely controlled by the Americans. We will return to the market itself. The 30 analysis of the Vegas channel supports 106400-106600, and the 4-hour Bollinger middle track has moved up to support 106800 after the release of yesterday's bearish energy.
The market trend is bullish, with the boundary at 106200. If it breaks and holds, there is an opportunity to pull back around 105000.
Solid: Buy around 106600, then look at 108000-108300.
If it breaks below 106200 and holds, hedge against the short, look to exit around 105000, and wait for a pullback to a higher point while combining indicators to see if we continue to be bullish and break 106600 or not, choosing to continue hedging the short!
If the trend change really affects the 12-hour daily indicators to look bearish, then the bulls will exit, and the shorts will take a swing, achieving overall profitability for both sides. But currently, the indicators show no changes to the overall bullish trend. The above is personal analysis and operating system, for reference only! $BTC #BTC走势分析
Many people are concerned about the positive and negative aspects of PCE, but it’s really not that useful! This is a number game played by the beautiful government’s labor statistics department. When the announcement is lower than expected, it's negative for the dollar.
It clearly tells everyone: when the announced data is lower than expected, it indicates lower inflation, which is favorable for interest rate cuts!
In just a few minutes, Trump immediately pressures the Federal Reserve with PCE: the PCE data indicates that the economic development is very good, prices are low, and the residents' happiness index is improving. The Federal Reserve should cut interest rates; I hope for an immediate cut of 100 basis points. However, Powell never considers these things; he is a selfish and annoying guy! #PCE物价指数
The 90-day delay on the 50% tariffs on Europe will expire on July 9th. Will the market panic that the Americans will immediately enforce the new tariffs on Europe, causing a rush to sell off to avoid risk.
An additional 50% tariff can be understood as a trade disruption. Of the 27 EU countries, 23 are part of the NATO alliance. It is well-known that, in terms of economy, military, energy, geography, and historical background, the EU has always relied on the United States. However, beneath the surface of apparent unity among EU member states, there are deep-seated differences and contradictions. Therefore, in recent days, representatives of EU member states have been running to the White House to act as sycophants.
There is no doubt that in the end, it will come down to negotiations, and the Trump administration will achieve its desired benefits, leading to another extension or direct cancellation of the increased 50% tariffs!
Therefore, those shorting the market based on this news seem irrational! #关税战最新消息
Over 107,000 with an increase of 400-500, set the stop loss at 107,100, market at 107,700, 15-minute indicator analysis is bearish, if it doesn't reach 30, analysis is bullish. Break-even loss.
From 106,500 to 16600, increase of 400-500 points, stop loss at 106,600-106,700, bullish. Take profit and continue to be bullish.
As long as the market indicators remain bullish, continue to be bullish.
The above does not pertain to heavy position players; heavy position players analyze the 15-30 minute indicators. If the 15-minute indicator analysis is bearish and there are signs of a reversal, do not consider the 30-minute indicator analysis, exit early with profits. Then watch the indicators to choose entry opportunities. Remember not to go against the major trend to catch a pullback to avoid being liquidated.
The BTC market trend is as I previously analyzed and predicted. As long as it breaks through 108,300 and stabilizes, it will definitely aim for the 110,000 mark. At that time, the entire weekly indicators combined will resemble the low point of 38,500 in January 2024, where it stopped falling and rebounded, entering a rising cycle.
Once it reaches 110,000, it is highly likely to break new highs. The major upward trend is being planned in the background; it should at least reach 125,000. However, the market is still more optimistic about a fluctuation within the 100,000 to 110,000 range, believing that the market still follows the high and low resonant candlestick trend. The strong resistance level at 108,300 shows a slight downturn, and indeed, the market is exhibiting small fluctuations to induce short positions. Once shorted, it can easily become fuel for the market.
Even in probability theory, it’s believed that such a high position is bullish. If trapped, it’s hard to get out, especially since the strong support level of 100,000 has recently been broken, and the situation is still fresh in memory. Therefore, many people feel anxious about being bullish and are influenced by various bearish comments in the market, making them more confident in bearish positions.
Little do they know, 108,000 is the lowest point of the upcoming upward trend. I had a deep experience of this situation on January 22, 2024. I remember that on January 11, BTC spot ETF slightly rose to 48,900, resulting in a bullish market that crashed down to 38,500, with a two-month support point around 40,000. Ultimately, after that drop to 38,500, it turned around and entered an upward trend, similar to the recent situation where the 100,000 support was forced to rise to 98,200 and then closed.
In fact, the main point is that the hourly MACD has a death cross moving downwards, while the market fluctuates slightly upward rather than slightly downward and ranges. This is a very abnormal indicator manifestation. Once the MACD releases space and forms a golden cross, a wave of upward movement will begin. As for other time frame indicators, I have mentioned them before and will not reiterate.
As long as in the next two days, there are no geopolitical conflicts or comments about increasing tariffs, a stable upward movement will occur.
Personally, I see the market trend as bullish, not bearish. $BTC #分析行情