降息期待

The bull market view remains unchanged! Don't be afraid!

Let's talk about the basic logic. The violent waterfall-style wash tonight should not happen again in the short term.

It can be seen that although the big cake has only fallen by 4 points, the copycat pins are inserted very deeply, 15-30 points are very common, and a large part of them are inserted to the low point of 414.

You can take a look again. There are very few long contract explosion maps of the copycat. So this decline is still to wash the long leverage on a large scale

But I personally think that early June will still be difficult. It will repeatedly touch the lowest point tonight. Even if you want to create a strong panic, you may continue to insert pins slightly downward.

The market is expected to reverse in late June. From the monthly line, June should be bearish.

Then think in reverse. If you want to get out of the monthly bullish K line, you can pull up a few hundred points in May and then distribute chips, but it didn't.

Instead, you choose to make a bearish monthly K line to cooperate with the wash. But from a big perspective, the bull market will not end here.

This is also very likely to be the last chance to get on board when the bull market or cottage season comes. #非农就业人数高于预期 #瀑布 #降息期待 $BTC $ETH $SOL

"Finally, the interest rate will be cut! Are good days coming?"

Just now, Powell finally said that the time for policy adjustment has come, and what is rare is that he is no longer playing Tai Chi as before, but always taking a dovish tone. There is a high probability that interest rates will be cut in September! Suddenly, Master Bao looks much more handsome!

Here are some key points of the speech - the "strongest voice" for interest rate cuts

1. Interest rate guidance: The time for policy adjustment has come, and the direction of policy is clear. The timing and pace of interest rate cuts will depend on the balance of data, prospects and risks.

2. Inflation outlook: Confidence in the return of inflation to 2% has increased.

3. Job market: The labor market seems unlikely to be a source of rising inflationary pressure in the short term; further cooling of the labor market is not sought or welcomed.

4. Risk balance: The upside risk of inflation has weakened, and the downside risk of employment is also increasing.

5. Market impact: The market regards Powell's remarks as "the strongest signal of interest rate cuts so far." Spot gold's 15-minute short-term volatility reached $20, and the U.S. dollar index DXY fell below 101.

Market impact:
Market sentiment has clearly risen, $BTC broke 62,000, and U.S. stocks opened higher. However, I would like to remind everyone that this does not mean that the water in the market will rise immediately, this is just an expected change. In particular, we must be wary of the dealer taking advantage of the high sentiment of the whole market, so it is not recommended that you directly use large leverage to chase high prices.

#杰克逊霍尔年会 #降息期待 #美联储何时降息？

The most discussed independent event in the market recently is the interest rate cut, but I see that many brothers do not quite understand the triggering conditions of the interest rate cut, and the reaction of the entire risk market after the interest rate cut and a normal link including the closed loop.

Let's talk about the triggering conditions of the interest rate cut first. It is not necessarily that there will be an interest rate cut only in a recession. One is that the national economy is doing well when the interest rate is high, which can make the inflation rate return to a low level, and then the interest rate will start to cut, the liquidity of funds will start to rise, and more new funds will be introduced into the market. The other is the unemployment rate problem I mentioned earlier, which is also a triggering condition.

After the interest rate cut, it does not mean that the market will definitely start to improve immediately. In my opinion, the first one or two months before the interest rate cut are really good days. After all, this is a good independent event that is enough to stimulate and attract external funds for the market.

On the contrary, the market reaction after the first interest rate cut may be disappointing. In fact, for those who think that as long as the interest rate cut is announced, I will rush in immediately, it is probably not a perfect choice. It is true that interest rate cuts are equal to loosening the money supply, but at the same time it is also a big mistake. Loosening the money supply does not appear immediately. There is a time lag. We have overlooked a problem that we may face a short-term recession after the interest rate cut.

The second recession in history may occur in the inversion of this wave of interest rates. I said that there may be another high point after this year's interest rate cut and the election, which is the high point that we must leave. Remember the problem mentioned above. One to two months before the interest rate cut, the market will be stimulated by this independent market and there will be a wave of madness. After all, if there is a recession before the stimulus of news or the consideration of institutions to realize before the market recession, it is worth the market to go crazy.

Some brothers may feel very contradictory when they see this. In fact, there is no contradiction at all in essence. They are talking about the speculation of the trend before and after the interest rate cut. So if there is a long bear market after the interest rate cut, it is not the case. Just like the previous speculation whether there will be a recession, if it comes, then the trigger conditions for the subsequent release of water will appear.

It does not mean that there will be no bull market without interest rate cuts, but interest rate cuts and water releases will definitely lead to a big bull market. In fact, I think this wave of market is likely to be such a trend, and it will usher in a high point again, but it is definitely not the end of the past few years. As for the price, don't let me predict it. I don't know. In my eyes, those who predict the price are all charlatans. Take one step at a time. When it reaches a peak later, I will try my best to make a reminder within my cognition.

By the way, the time point for loosening money supply may appear about half a year after the interest rate cut. Of course, this is just my guess. No one dares to say that they are completely sure about this market. Everything is within their expectations. Oh, I am so tired. I haven't read it smoothly after writing it. Please forgive me if there are any contradictions in the text.

It's a habit I developed when I was in school. I remember that the thing that parents and teachers emphasized the most was that you must check the time after finishing the test paper. But I have never had this habit since I was a child. The final result is that I only remembered that I could have done the question correctly after handing in the paper, but I got it wrong in the end.

#BTC走势分析 #降息期待 #放水 #以太坊ETF批准预期

#降息期待
$BTC

Many positions have been used, and Yuzu does not recommend using them multiple times

Enter with long orders, enter and exit quickly near the previous low of 65200

Long orders near 64300, 63200

Short orders near 67600, 68350, 70400

You can consider placing orders before going to bed, and place stop loss and take profit at the same time

If there is a big pullback, long orders near 63200 and 62180 can be used

These two points are particularly important positions

Finally, I would like to give a suggestion. Since the interest rate cut data is about to be announced, don’t touch the copycat without my advice. If you do it, try to refer to the big cake

This data is really tempting #特朗普当选概率上升 #降息期待

No Hope for Interest Rate Cuts in 2025? The Crypto and Stock Markets May Face a 'Storm' Baptism

In the crypto market, many investors are eagerly anticipating the arrival of interest rate cuts. After all, once interest rates are cut, liquidity in the market will significantly increase, and the borrowing costs for businesses and individuals will decrease accordingly. This is like opening the faucet of funds, which will encourage more money to flow into the high-risk, high-reward cryptocurrency market, thereby strongly driving up the prices. However, the financial outlook for 2025 is not optimistic, with even the possibility that not a single rate cut will occur.

Looking back at the Trump administration, the onset of the trade war became a turning point in the global economic landscape. His continuous imposition of tariffs not only severely disrupted the global trade order, throwing trade relations between countries into chaos, but also dealt a heavy blow to the U.S. economy itself. In this unstable economic environment, the many uncertainties brought about by trade frictions have clearly slowed global economic growth. This series of chain reactions has also placed enormous pressure on the formulation of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. To some extent, the economic situation at that time was undoubtedly forcing the Federal Reserve to use interest rate cuts to rescue the sluggish market.

However, the current decision-makers at the Federal Reserve may choose to be 'tough' this time. Not only is it highly likely that no interest rate cuts will be implemented this year, but even the two rate cuts that the market generally expects may ultimately turn out to be illusory. If the comments made by the Federal Reserve Chairman this Thursday lean towards a hawkish stance, signaling unfavorable conditions for rate cuts, then both the crypto market and the stock market will undoubtedly suffer a 'storm' shock. At that time, the market will experience drastic fluctuations, and investors' assets are likely to shrink significantly. Panic sentiment will spread rapidly in the market like a virus, making the entire investment environment increasingly tense.

In light of this, investors must be adequately prepared psychologically in advance. In this unpredictable market environment, it is essential to closely monitor every dynamic change in the market and adjust their investment strategies timely and reasonably based on actual conditions. Only in this way can they minimize risks and protect their assets as much as possible in the ever-changing financial market. #降息期待

Powell speaks, the cryptocurrency world is shaking!!

Powell's statement, the cryptocurrency world's expectations of interest rate cuts are dashed?

After the Fed's interest rate decision in June, it said that this year's inflation data was insufficient for it to cut interest rates, and it would make decisions based on more data, economic outlook, etc. Monetary policy is restrictive, and it will focus on labor and inflation when affecting demand. The current possibility of interest rate cuts is small, which makes the cryptocurrency world and investors more cautious.

#非农就业数据即将公布 #ASI代币合并计划 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低 #降息 #降息期待
$BNX $PEPE $SOL

Currently, the expectation for a rate cut in the US dollar is somewhat low, and in the short term, it remains weak. Technically, the medium to short term is still bearish and moving downward, and the market needs some time to build a bottom. Without funds to drive the market, it is difficult to rise in the short term; we can only wait for the faucet to open and unleash a lot of liquidity.

As shared yesterday, the movement of Bitcoin may be somewhat volatile, and the market's short-term expectations have a significant gap. With Bitcoin dropping like this, the non-farm payroll data and the White House cryptocurrency summit tonight basically summarize that you can go ahead with confidence. After all, Trump has gathered those people together, and then to release both bullish and bearish news is somewhat unreasonable.

In the future, Trump's influence on this Bitcoin market will gradually decrease because he has already expressed all the attitudes he needed to. Any future statements will have less and less impact on the market.

.#降息期待 #降息放水 #美国加密战略储备 #白宫首届加密货币峰会

Latest news: The Bank of England may cut interest rates in August and November

If Europe and the UK cut interest rates one after another, the US will most likely do the same soon

For the cryptocurrency community, this may be a time to reassess and adjust investment strategies.

Interest rate cuts mean lower investment costs, which may stimulate more funds to flow into the market, including the cryptocurrency market.

However, investors should also be wary of the macroeconomic uncertainties that may be brought about by interest rate cuts, as well as the possible impact on virtual currency regulatory policies.

In this volatile financial environment, cryptocurrency investors need to be more prudent, pay close attention to market dynamics, and reasonably diversify risks to cope with possible market fluctuations.

#消息面 #降息期待 #美联储何时降息？

#crv又要面临清算 #降息期待 $NOT $IO $CRV
In the ocean of digital currencies, it is undoubtedly a pursuit to find those currencies that can multiply dozens or even hundreds of times. After all, this field is full of infinite possibilities and is a holy land for investors who dare to take risks and seek miracles.

However, we must clearly realize that such investment is not achieved overnight. It requires patience and a protracted war mentality, which may require us to hold these currencies for several years. In this process, we will inevitably experience the ups and downs of the market and go through the conversion of bulls and bears.

In this process, we must also be wary of various potential minefields. These minefields may be hidden in various factors, and once triggered, they may cause the value of the currency we invest in to return to zero directly. This is a cruel but realistic risk and a challenge we must face when investing.

Therefore, although the existence of 100-fold coins provides us with huge imagination space, the risk of zero coins cannot be ignored. This is the rule of the digital currency market: the greater the profit, the greater the risk. Only by understanding this can we remain cautious and rational while pursuing high returns.

#今日数据有助于比特币突破65000阻力位

Today's data is closely related to the US macro-economy, mainly including economic indicators such as unemployment benefits, GDP growth, and personal consumption expenditures (PCE). The impact of the release of these data on the crypto market can be understood from the following aspects:
Unemployment benefits: If the actual data is higher than expected, it indicates that the US labor market is weak and may affect the Fed's decision to raise interest rates. Loose monetary policies (such as interest rate cuts or pauses in interest rate hikes) are generally good for the crypto market because low interest rates make risky assets more attractive.

GDP growth: This is an important indicator of economic health. If the actual growth rate meets or exceeds expectations (3%), the market may believe that economic growth is robust, which helps to support confidence in financial markets. A robust economic environment has a neutral or positive impact on crypto assets.

PCE price index: This is the inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve pays the most attention to. If inflation is mild (in line with expectations or lower than the expected 2.8%), it means that the Federal Reserve may not raise interest rates significantly, which is good for the cryptocurrency market, and investors may increase their holdings in inflation-resistant assets such as Bitcoin.

If the data is robust and the inflation and unemployment data are in line with or lower than expectations, it may support the bullish sentiment in the crypto market in the short term.

If the data is good, be careful of downward pinning to induce shorting and then bursting! #降息周期 #降息预测 #降息期待 $BTC

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💥【The Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point interest rate cut at 2 a.m., and the market turning point has arrived! 】💥

Interest rates will be cut by a cumulative 100 basis points before the end of 2024. The interest rate cut is finally here! This cycle is really painful, but the hard days are about to pass, so you must hold on to the coins in your hands now! 💪

If the market pulls back, this will be the last best chance to get on board. Historical data tells us that at the beginning of every interest rate cut cycle, the market will have a correction. Please beware of Bitcoin falling back after a short-term surge! 📉

Although a 50 basis point interest rate cut is a good thing, there is no need to be too FOMO. It is wise to wait patiently for the final bottom. If you are frightened by the short sellers' recession theory again at this point in time, you will definitely regret it later and shoot yourself off! 😤

Remember, a bear market does not fall to its peak in one day, and a bull market does not reach its peak overnight. Seize this opportunity, follow the trend, and the opportunity to achieve instant wealth is right in front of you! 🚀

Another important reminder is that November 1st is the birthday of Musk’s dog Marvin. This day may become a special opportunity for the market, so don’t forget to pay attention! 🎂🐕

#降息期待 #牛市到来 #币安上线NEIRO #marvin #新币挖矿HMSTR $ETH $BNB $SOL

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Such a version combines the Fed's rate cut with Marvin's birthday, both emphasizing the market trend and mentioning a potentially important moment. hope

Bitcoin is now hovering around $62,000, and the market sentiment is a bit cautious as everyone awaits the upcoming US economic data. With the Fed minutes coming up, Bitcoin is also seeing little volatility, with most traders on the sidelines to see how much of an impact these macro data will have on the market.

The Fed unexpectedly cut rates by 0.5% in September, and there will be more important data to be released in the next few days, such as CPI, PPI, and unemployment, which could be key to market movements, especially the GDP and PCE data at the end of the month, which could determine the next big direction.

Bitcoin is currently likely to test the $61,850 support level, with the market fluctuating widely as it awaits the release of these data. Meanwhile, demand for Bitcoin in the US appears to have fallen, with the Coinbase Premium Index showing weaker buyer interest, the lowest in two months.

It is expected that the market could see a new price trend later this week and after the end-of-month data is released. #降息期待 #美国CPI数据 #PPI $BTC #美国经济软着陆？

The non-farm data basically meets expectations, with little fluctuation, which is quite good. The worrying spike did not occur, so the weekend meme stocks can take off again. Our harvest season is about to come!
If you have been watching my content for a long time and are willing to support me, you can share the invitation link below with your friends around you.
Invitation code: 815187403
#比特币回升至97K #BTC☀ #热门话题 #降息期待 $BTC

What impact will the Euro rate cut on June 6 have on our currency circle?

1. A new round of world currency war is about to start. Europe is cutting interest rates dramatically. The US dollar is appreciating at this time. In the first interval, we may see that the capital market is under pressure for a period of time. The liquidity released by the Eurozone may continue to run to the big beautiful.

So there will be two major time zones in the future. The first stage is the Euro rate cut and the US dollar is stable. The second stage is the Euro and the US dollar cut interest rates at the same time. No matter which time it is, it is the end of the global interest rate hike. Historical experience has proved that often in this period of time, whether it is the global currency market or geopolitics, it is turbulent;

2. Once the interest rate cut cycle begins, enterprises will also regain vitality. The interest rate cut may release part of the market liquidity, and part of the funds will begin to flow into the market. The economy will begin to recover further, and the operating rate of enterprises will further increase.

At this time, the demand of the people for commodities and enterprises for commodities is often pushed up, so recently, the Federal Reserve's Federal Reserve Company also stated that they do not need to wait until inflation is close to 2% before they can start the interest rate cut cycle;

3. What do we mean by interest rate cuts?

Whether it is the US market or the European market, interest rate cuts. Once the interest rate cut cycle begins, market liquidity begins to increase, and non-US markets begin to gradually become active.
#降息期待

$BTC #降息期待 Open the gate and release the water...

Fed Governor Bowman is hawkish: If inflation stagnates or rebounds, future interest rate hikes are imminent

With global financial markets closely watching the Fed's monetary policy trends, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman recently made a striking statement. According to Jinshi Data, Bowman made it clear when talking about the current inflation situation that although his basic view is that inflation will fall further and the policy interest rate will remain stable, once the data shows that inflation progress has stagnated or reversed, he did not hesitate to express his willingness to consider raising interest rates at future meetings.

This statement undoubtedly brought new shocks to the market. At a time when the inflation problem is still severe, the Fed's monetary policy trends affect the nerves of the global economy. Bowman's remarks undoubtedly poured cold water on investors who expect the Fed to continue to maintain an accommodative monetary policy.

As one of the important officials of the Fed, Bowman's remarks are naturally authoritative and influential. His statement this time not only shows his deep understanding and high attention to the inflation problem, but also reflects his careful consideration of the direction of the Fed's monetary policy.

It is worth noting that Bowman's remarks are not groundless. Recently released US inflation data show that although the overall inflation level has declined, the core inflation rate remains high. This means that even if the overall inflation rate falls, inflationary pressure still exists, and the Fed needs to remain vigilant.

In addition, Bowman also emphasized the importance of data. He said that he would pay close attention to the upcoming economic data to assess the inflation situation and policy effects. This statement also shows the data dependence and scientific nature of the Fed's monetary policy decision-making.

In general, Bowman's statement has brought new uncertainties to the market. Although his basic view is that inflation will fall further and the policy interest rate will remain stable, he is ready to take action once the data changes unfavorably. This also reminds investors that in the current market environment, they need to remain vigilant and rational and pay close attention to the Fed's monetary policy trends and changes in economic data.
#美联储何时降息？ #降息期待

#降息期待 #降息 #比特币大会
Another interest rate cut!
Just now, the People's Bank of China released the latest LPR, with a 1-year LPR of 3.35% and a 5-year LPR of 3.85%. Will the opening of the US stock market tonight lead to a fall in the cryptocurrency market? The air force has a chance.