贸易战缓和

Happiness came too suddenly!
I really didn't expect it. I originally thought that the China-U.S. negotiations would at least take three rounds back and forth, but I didn't expect that important consensus was reached in just one meeting yesterday. This happiness came too suddenly!
If things continue like this, once the detailed rules are released, as long as there are no surprises, BTC will have another surge, and this time it should easily stand above 110,000.
But speaking of which, how good can this kind of good news really be? First of all, the recent quarterly trade deficit of the beautiful country has already reached a new high, and it is impossible to say that they will not raise tariffs and continue to be the losing party. The two major powers will not easily make concessions in trade, so the only significant substantive progress I can think of would be two scenarios: the first is to maintain the previous tax rates (which has a low probability), and the second is to lower the tariff to 145%, which may eventually remain between 10% and 30%. Additionally, the tariff on exports from the beautiful country to the major power will also symbolically increase by about 10% to 30%. Only in this way can business continue.
However, speaking of this, if this so-called 'substantive good news' really counts as good news? Therefore, my trading strategy regarding this good news is to choose to wait and see for now, and prepare for a surge later.

Three Major Catalysts Affecting Bitcoin and Altcoin Prices
1. Progress in US-China Trade Negotiations
The ongoing US-China trade negotiations in Switzerland have become a focal point for the market.
Although substantial details have not been disclosed, the US side claims to have made 'significant progress,' while the Middle East has taken a cautious stance, emphasizing the protection of core interests.
If the negotiations ease tensions, it will reduce the risk of economic recession and may prompt the Federal Reserve to consider an early interest rate cut, which would be beneficial for the crypto market.

2. Release of US Inflation Data (CPI)
The CPI data for April will be released this Wednesday, with market expectations for a year-on-year increase to 2.5%, and core CPI remaining at 2.8%.
Inflation data directly impacts the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy. If inflation slows down, the market may bet on a loose policy, benefiting crypto assets.
Goldman Sachs predicts that inflation may rise to 3.8% by the end of the year, reinforcing market uncertainty regarding policy paths.

3. Consensus Conference in Toronto
The upcoming major event in the crypto industry has attracted many heavyweight figures, including the founder of Cardano and representatives from Chainlink.
Historically, such conferences have often been used as platforms to announce collaborations, listings, and project progress.
For instance, the recent surge in Pi Network's price was due to the team's hinting at a significant announcement during the conference.

#贸易战缓和 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

China-U.S. Strategic Dialogue Launches a New Era in the Crypto Market - In-Depth Analysis of ETH/BTC Value Reconstruction

The global capital market is witnessing a historic moment. The high-level meeting between China and the U.S. by Lake Geneva is not only reshaping the cooperation framework between the two major economies but also igniting unprecedented capital undercurrents in the digital asset sector. Professional data shows that this century dialogue is triggering a wave of value reassessment in the crypto market.
1. New Capital Trends Behind the Strategic Dialogue
While mainstream media focuses on diplomatic rhetoric, keen institutional investors have already begun to position themselves:
• Grayscale BTC Trust's holdings surged by 4.5% in a single day
• BlackRock's digital asset division saw ETH futures holdings exceed $1 billion
• USDT's over-the-counter premium continues to expand during Asian trading hours
Market logic is becoming clearer: the easing of China-U.S. economic and trade relations will accelerate global asset allocation adjustments, with cryptocurrencies expected to systematically rise as a new type of safe-haven asset. In particular, assets like Ethereum, which have practical application scenarios, will benefit from possible technological cooperation dividends.
2. Key Node Predictions for Market Evolution
Phase One (Mid-May):
Technical correction of the U.S. dollar index
Collective abnormal movements in crypto mining company stock prices
Hong Kong digital asset ETF subscription scale reaches a new high
Phase Two (Late May):
Approval of Ethereum spot ETF shows a turning point
Cross-chain infrastructure project financing becomes active
Liquidity of RMB stablecoin trading pairs improves
3. Rational Investment Strategy Recommendations
For value investors:
Adopt a grid strategy to position in mainstream coins BTC/ETH
Focus on compliant trading channels (the advantages of licensed exchanges in Hong Kong become apparent)
For professional traders:
Utilize options combinations to hedge volatility risk
Pay close attention to changes in on-chain data
4. Market Depth Indicators Verification
• Bitcoin hash rate increased by 18% week-on-week
• Total market capitalization of stablecoins exceeded $160 billion
• Derivatives market open interest reached a year-to-date peak

As the market continues to change, we must closely monitor market signals and seize new entry opportunities. Like + comment + follow, and together we will navigate the bull market and seize this major opportunity!

#策略交易 #贸易战缓和 #本周高光时刻

Today's focus: PNUT ETH INT ETHFI

5.12 Key Dynamics Analysis of the Cryptocurrency Market: Bitcoin's Trend Awaiting Examination: BTC's short-term performance is highly dependent on market sentiment during working days. The results of China-US trade negotiations and the opening trends of US stocks will be key influencing factors. Investors need to closely monitor macro-level catalytic signals.

Ethereum as the Ecosystem Engine: ETH's recent strong recovery has driven a comprehensive market rebound, with DeFi protocols and Meme coins being active in sync. Its price performance has become the core barometer of the overall direction of the cryptocurrency market.

Lido Protocol's Emergency Risk Response: Leading Ethereum staking platform Lido quickly initiated the DAO governance process after its oracle was attacked, replacing key contract addresses through community voting to ensure the secure operation of the system.

Positive News from China-US Trade Negotiations: Senior officials from both sides reached an important consensus on May 12, and a joint statement is about to be released. The alleviation of macro policy uncertainty may inject short-term uplifting momentum into the cryptocurrency market. Regulatory Disputes Escalate: A US Democratic Senator proposed to restrict Trump and his team's promotion of cryptocurrencies, aiming to respond to the legislative controversy over stablecoin regulation, intensifying policy games and heightening industry volatility expectations.

Market Hotspot Supplement: Centralized exchanges (CEX) have recently become the main battleground for the explosion of Meme coins, with new currencies such as MoodEng and Goat experiencing soaring trends after being launched on the Alpha platform.

It is worth noting that the chasing strategy for such high-risk assets tests investors' psychology; its decision-making difficulty even surpasses traditional bottom-fishing operations, highlighting the extreme characteristics of the current speculative atmosphere in the market.

#贸易战缓和 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #币安Alpha上新

Ethereum exchange confirmation, behind the political forces are manipulating the entire market. Today, several pieces of information and news need to be viewed together.
1. The United States and China announce a ceasefire in the trade war.
2. Douyin promotes Ethereum surging to trending topics.
3. Various official media and self-media quickly collectively publish videos of Ethereum's surge.
4. The Chinese government holds a large amount of Ethereum and is the most important user of Ethereum.
5. On-chain data shows that since last month, Ethereum has been undergoing large-scale capital transfers, suspected of changing hands.
Combining these factors indicates that there are huge forces at play, and the big players are working in conjunction with international situations to significantly boost Ethereum.

【Shocking News】Ethereum's Astonishing Change of Hands! The Hidden Hand Behind It Is Actually International Political Forces?

Recently, multiple heavyweight news items have surfaced, pointing to an astonishing truth — the Ethereum market is being manipulated by powerful entities!

China and the U.S. suddenly announced a 'trade war ceasefire', rapidly boosting global capital sentiment.

Short video platforms are strongly promoting the topic of 'Ethereum Surge', instantly trending.

Several official media outlets and self-media quickly unified their stance, intensively releasing favorable videos.

China has been exposed as holding a large amount of Ethereum, being one of the key on-chain holders.

Data shows that since last month, large transfers on the Ethereum chain have been frequent, indicating a clear change of hands operation.

Combining international dynamics with on-chain trends, a carefully planned pump scheme is quietly unfolding. This is no longer just a simple technical market, but a 'wealth harvesting war' intertwined with capital and geopolitical issues!

The market for Bitcoin is really quite tumultuous; it was pushed up to the doorstep of 105000 twice in the middle of the night, only to be knocked back down. Right now, the price is hovering around 103500, neither going up nor down.
This chart just makes one feel sleepy, the entire market is tightening up like a shrunken sweater. This morning's drop was clearly due to those old men at the Federal Reserve sounding hawkish again, saying that interest rate cuts still need to wait a bit longer, scaring the market.
Looking at the four-hour chart makes it even clearer; the Bollinger Bands look like a squashed spring, with the upper band pressing down and the lower band pressing up, while the price twists and turns in the narrow space in between. Although recently the price has been oscillating between the upper and middle bands, making it seem like the bulls have a slight advantage, in reality, neither side can overpower the other.
Switching to the one-hour chart, the resistance level is pressing down like a ceiling, and the support level is propping up like a trampoline; the price is bouncing back and forth in this range of less than 2000 dollars. Right now, this trend is like a tightening belt, which could snap at any moment, and when it does, it will either shoot up or plunge down.
Currently, this market is best suited for sitting on a small stool to watch the show, waiting for whichever side can’t hold out any longer before making a move.
#币安Alpha上新 #BTC重返10万 #贸易战缓和 $BTC

There is a very foolish method for trading cryptocurrencies that almost guarantees a 100% profit.

There’s an uncle around me who used to be a taxi driver. Then he got involved in the crypto world, and from then on, he began to seriously study trading cryptocurrencies, achieving a turnaround in his life, with his assets now reaching eight figures. His method is actually very simple, just four steps back and forth: selecting the cryptocurrency, buying in, managing positions, and selling out. He will explain every detail to you clearly!

The first step is to open the daily chart, only looking at the daily level, focusing on cryptocurrencies with MACD golden crosses, preferably choosing those that are above the zero line for the best results!

The second step is to switch to the daily level, where you only need to look at one moving average, called the daily moving average. Hold if the price is above the line, sell if it is below.

The third step is after buying in, if the price breaks above the daily moving average and the volume is also above the daily moving average, you should buy in with your entire position. For the fourth step, selling, this involves three details: first, if the overall price increase exceeds 40%, sell 1/3 of your total position; second, if the overall price increase exceeds 80%, sell another 1/3; and if it falls below the daily moving average, sell everything.

The fourth step is also the most important one. Since we are using the daily moving average as our basis for buying, if there is an unexpected situation the next day and it directly falls below, you must sell everything and not hold on to any hope! Although with our method of selecting cryptocurrencies, the probability of it breaking through is very low! We still need to have a risk awareness! After selling, wait for it to rise above the daily moving average again before buying back!

Don't get washed out, hold on tight, epic twists! Why did BTC surge to $105,000 despite the Fed not cutting interest rates and geopolitical ceasefires?

The Fed's stance: The May meeting's decision to 'stay put' was expected, but the market has already priced in the bad news, with BTC firmly standing above $100,000! Standard Chartered predicts an end-of-year target price of $200,000, the technical MACD golden cross is confirmed, and bullish signals are at maximum!

Geopolitical black swan fading: India-Pakistan and Russia-Ukraine ceasefires simultaneously, are safe-haven sentiments cooling? But historical data contradicts this—under easing liquidity logic, BTC has previously been favored due to easing geopolitical conflicts! Is this a turnaround for 'risk assets' or a loss of favor for 'digital gold'?

Key game: Short-term view at $120,000: Breaking the monthly descending channel + pullback range ($101,000-$102,000) could become a good opportunity to increase positions;
Risks still exist: If the Fed turns hawkish (higher for longer) or geopolitical tensions rise again, gold and the dollar may divert funds.

Soul-searching questions:
→ Is geopolitical easing a bullish or bearish factor?
→ Can the Fed's 'dovish turn' sustain the bull market?
→ Is $120,000 a starting point or an endpoint?

**Comments section battle**! Is your BTC holding strategy 'sticking it out' or 'guerrilla'?

(Data source: Standard Chartered Bank, Binance, OSL Research)

#ETH突破2500 #比特币

Trump is making big moves again!

This guy announced on his social platform Truth Social on Sunday night that he will sign an executive order on Monday to directly cut the prices of prescription drugs in the United States by 30% to 80%. This is not a small matter—once the news broke, Asian pharmaceutical stocks collectively plummeted at market opening today, with Japanese and South Korean companies hit the hardest, some even crashing by 7%.
This old guy is quite fierce, saying he wants to implement "most favored nation treatment" to ensure that Americans don't pay more for medications than other countries. He didn't forget to take a jab at pharmaceutical companies: "Don’t tell me about R&D costs; the U.S. being the sucker for so many years needs to end!" It’s clear he’s at odds with the drug manufacturers. It's worth noting that he wanted to do this four years ago, but was thwarted by lobbying groups from the pharmaceutical industry and politicians. This time he directly stated: "Don’t think political donations can buy me!"
However, this matter is not that simple. Pharmaceutical companies will certainly fight back; they are best at crying poor and saying "we don’t have money for R&D anymore." Wall Street and Washington are both watching closely, waiting to see how this order is specifically written—this could very well lead to a legal battle. But to be honest, if this really happens, the public might save a significant amount of money when buying medications at pharmacies. It just depends on whether Trump can stick to his guns this time.

As the market continues to change, we need to closely monitor market signals and seize new entry opportunities. Like + comment + follow, and we’ll navigate the bull market together to seize this major opportunity!

#贸易战缓和

Today's focus: PNUT ETH INT ETHFI

#ETH突破2500

The first trade negotiations between China and the United States in Switzerland have concluded. After four days of intensive discussions, both sides held trade talks in Geneva, Switzerland, early this morning (May 11). This is the first formal dialogue since the U.S. unilaterally increased tariffs in early April, attracting global attention. They jointly announced phased results: the United States may agree to reduce the average tariff rate on Chinese goods from the current 145% to 50%-54%, with tariffs on some consumer goods further lowered to 25%. In return, China promises to make reciprocal adjustments in areas such as technology transfer reviews and financial market access. This result marks a preliminary easing of the trade deadlock that has lasted for more than a month.

4 Tips for Trading Cryptocurrencies to Help You Earn Over Ten Thousand a Month!

Step 1:
Add coins that have risen in the top list over the past 11 days to your watchlist,
but be careful to exclude any coins that have dropped for more than three days, to avoid capital fleeing after making a profit.

Step 2:
Open the candlestick chart and only look at coins with a monthly MACD golden cross.

Step 3:
Open the daily candlestick chart and only look at the 60-day moving average,
As long as the coin price retraces near the 60-day moving average,
After a volume candlestick appears, enter the market with a large position.

Step 4:
After entering the market, use the 60-day moving average as a standard; if it’s above, hold,
If it’s below, exit and sell, divided into three details.

The first is when the price increase of a segment exceeds 30,
sell one-third,

The second is when the price increase of a segment exceeds 50,
sell another one-third,

The third is quite important
and is the key to whether you can profit,
that is, if you buy in on the same day,
and the next day there is some unexpected situation,
if the coin price directly falls below the 60-day moving average,
then you must exit completely,
don’t harbor any other lucky thoughts,

Although the probability of breaking below the 60-day line through this method of selecting coins using the monthly and daily lines is very low,
we still need to have a risk awareness.

In the cryptocurrency world, protecting your capital is the most important thing,
However, even if you have sold,
you can wait for it to meet the buying conditions again
before buying back.

Ultimately, the difficulty in making money lies not in the method, but in execution.

"When the coin price directly falls below the 60-day moving average, then exit completely, don’t harbor any other lucky thoughts.

In short, in the cryptocurrency world, you cannot be rigid in your thinking,
adaptability is the key to long-term survival in the market,
so here we must pay special attention,
the overall market and individual coins are completely opposite,
trading cryptocurrencies appears to be a contest against the market,
in reality, it is a contest against human nature; the risks you see on the surface
may actually be opportunities,
sometimes what you see as an opportunity
could be a temptation trap for you.

This Geneva negotiation is simply a war without gunpowder! At three-thirty in the morning, they were still arguing, while the Americans couldn't wait to announce 'victory'. Just look at their smug faces—the Secretary of the Treasury and the Trade Representative are smiling as if they've found money, and even Trump couldn't sit still to listen to the report, clearly feeling uncertain inside. The U.S. has slashed tariffs brutally, cutting them from 145% directly down to about 50%, with essential goods like baby strollers and medicines reduced to 25%, set to take effect next week. China has also given some concessions, promising to make adjustments in technology transfer and financial opening. But the most exciting part is the hidden calculations that both sides haven't openly discussed: the U.S. specifically chose to cut taxes in the areas most affected by inflation, while China is holding the lifeline of Boeing aircraft—this isn't negotiation; it's just each side choking the other while feeding them sugar! Although the rare earth issue wasn't written into the agreement, it is definitely the focus of the shadow war. The U.S. is fixated on rare earth magnets (which are essential for military and new energy), and China pushed back directly: you want me to relax exports? First, lift the ban on semiconductor equipment! In the end, both sides reluctantly compromised, with the U.S. opening a small door on AI chips, while China used data security as a fig leaf. The most astonishing move was China secretly dumping U.S. bonds during the negotiation, a tactic of 'surrounding Wei to rescue Zhao' that forced the U.S. to back down on tariffs. Trump even performed a Sichuan opera face-changing act; just a few days ago he was shouting 'never compromise', and then turned around and cut two-thirds of the tariffs, while shamelessly claiming it was 'to save money for American mothers'. In my opinion, this negotiation is just two masters dancing on the edge of a knife—smiling on the surface, but both calculating how to stab each other. As the market continues to change, we need to closely monitor market signals and seize new entry opportunities. Like + comment + follow, and let's traverse the bull market together to seize this big opportunity! #贸易战缓和 #策略交易 Today's focus: PNUT ETH INT ETHFI

The China-U.S. trade war has collapsed, and a major drop is unlikely. A brief pullback to 95,000 for some consolidation to digest the profits, then continue to rise.

#中美谈判

The early Monday morning indications from the foreign exchange markets in Australia and Asia show that the euro and yen have weakened against the US dollar. The offshore yuan has also strengthened slightly. "The easing of trade, economic, and geopolitical tensions could boost market risk sentiment,"

From 2000 yuan to 300,000, the truth behind the myth of huge profits in the crypto world

In the crypto world, stories of overnight wealth are endless. Today, we're going to talk about how to turn 2000 yuan into 300,000 yuan through trading cryptocurrencies. Sounds like a fairy tale? The core lies in the profit amplification brought by contract trading. But don't rush in with excitement; let's first convert 2000 yuan into 300 USDT (about 300 dollars), and we'll take it step by step.

Step 1: Snowballing with small capital, from 300 USDT to 1100 USDT
Take out 100 USDT each time and dive into the battlefield of popular cryptocurrencies. Here are two key principles: first, run when you double your money. Once 100 USDT turns into 200 USDT, pull out immediately and secure your profits; second, if it drops to 50 USDT, decisively cut your losses and do not cling to the battle. If luck is on your side, winning three times in a row could turn 100 USDT into 200 USDT, then to 400 USDT, and finally to 800 USDT. But make sure to take profits when you can; play no more than three rounds and stop once you reach around 1100 USDT.

Step 2: Combining strategies after capital accumulation
When your capital reaches 1100 USDT, you can implement a combined strategy and attack from multiple angles.
1. Fast in and out type, a 100 USDT short sprint
Target stable cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum and participate in 15-minute rise and fall trading. For example, if Bitcoin suddenly surges in the afternoon, quickly follow the trend and as long as you earn 3%-5%, cash out immediately to rapidly accumulate small profits.
2. Zen-style regular investment, a long-term layout of 15 USDT per week
Set aside 15 USDT each week to invest in Bitcoin contracts. If you believe Bitcoin has the long-term potential to rise from the current 50,000 dollars to 100,000 dollars, treat it as a piggy bank. Even if it drops in the short term, there's no need to panic; patiently hold for half a year to a year, especially suitable for investors who don’t have time to monitor the market.
3. Major trend trades, a powerful strike to seize big market movements
When you notice significant market signals, such as the Federal Reserve planning to cut interest rates which could lead to a surge in Bitcoin, decisively open a long position. But be sure to plan your profit targets and stop-loss limits in advance, such as running when you double your money and accepting a loss of no more than 20%.

Finally, the key points on trading survival rules
1. Never invest more than one-tenth of your principal at a time; all-in is strictly prohibited. Diversifying your risks allows for sustainable growth.
2. Set a stop-loss for every trade; this is your lifeline to survive in the crypto world.
3. Limit your daily trades to 3; manage your hands. If you're feeling restless, go play a game to distract yourself.
4. Withdraw immediately when you reach your profit target; don't let greed drive you to think about "earning one more wave."

#ETH突破2500 #山寨季何时到来 #策略交易 #贸易战缓和

How to roll over a contract with 100 USD?

Before we begin, let's understand the basics of contracts.
With 100 USD and 3x leverage to go long, the price needs to drop more than 30% for liquidation to occur.
Generally, there are already entry signals, such as "Dragonfly Doji W, Bottom Divergence W."
It is rare for a cryptocurrency to continue to fall more than 30%, but it does not mean it won't drop by 20%, 10%, or 5%.
However, all of this is within the expected volatility.
Therefore, for popular altcoins, rolling over with a base position of 100 USD and 3x leverage to go long.

For these popular altcoins,
after being listed on exchanges, after a brief consolidation,
many can rise by 1-2-3 times.
Do not underestimate the charm of 100 USD with 3x leverage.

For example, a few days ago, we opened the Hippo MOODENG,
which surged by 3 times in just two days.
This means that even if you go long with 100 USD and 3x leverage without taking any rollover action,
you can still earn over 1000 USD.

If the process maintains a 3x rollover operation,
it can lead to achievements of 3000-5000-10000 USD.
On the other hand, if you encounter an epic collapse and the price drops over 30%,
you'll only face a maximum risk of 100 USD.

Moreover, during this process, you can operate flexibly.
For example, gradually transfer out profits when you are in the green, until you have transferred out all your principal.
This way, you will only have pure profit left for rollover,
and you will have no psychological pressure.

Therefore, the entire rollover process is as follows:
1. Recent popular altcoins
2. Identify entry signals
3. Go long with 100 USD and 3x leverage

If the price surges, continue to add to your position with profits.
If the price crashes, typically a drop of 5%, 10%, or 20% can be ignored; a drop of over 30% is required for liquidation.
As mentioned at the beginning, generally, entry is based on signals, and it is rare for a cryptocurrency to continue to fall by 30%.
However, this does not mean it won't drop by 5%-10%-20%.
This is the logic behind a 100 USD and 3x rollover base position.

Daily operations are ongoing, with continuous profits. For friends currently feeling confused about making profits and wanting to recover losses, hurry up and get on board!!
#ETH突破2500 #山寨季何时到来 #策略交易 #贸易战缓和