行情推演
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The overall market situation may be quite difficult in the coming months. The period from November to December is originally a sluggish phase before the expansion of the balance sheet, and coupled with year-end Christmas capital inflow, pressure from the US stock market, and the tariff tumult from Trump, market sentiment is not very good. Originally, Powell said that the premise for lowering interest rates in December would depend on the economic conditions, but if things continue like this, $BTC is likely to drop below $98,000, which is basically just a matter of time.
Based on past rhythms, the market is likely to remain weak in the first quarter of next year, belonging to the continuation phase of decline. The real turning point may have to wait until the expansion of the balance sheet and interest rate adjustments reach a certain critical position, probably after Powell steps down in June. By that time, coupled with the stimulus from the US midterm elections, there may be a decent rebound around November.
Historically, before and after each time the Federal Reserve starts to expand the balance sheet, the market usually experiences a wave of decline. Both the US stock market and Bitcoin have to go through a round of decline. As long as interest rates remain unstable and market liquidity is tight, it is basically hopeless for Bitcoin to rise.
#行情推演
#降息期待
Based on past rhythms, the market is likely to remain weak in the first quarter of next year, belonging to the continuation phase of decline. The real turning point may have to wait until the expansion of the balance sheet and interest rate adjustments reach a certain critical position, probably after Powell steps down in June. By that time, coupled with the stimulus from the US midterm elections, there may be a decent rebound around November.
Historically, before and after each time the Federal Reserve starts to expand the balance sheet, the market usually experiences a wave of decline. Both the US stock market and Bitcoin have to go through a round of decline. As long as interest rates remain unstable and market liquidity is tight, it is basically hopeless for Bitcoin to rise.
#行情推演
#降息期待
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#行情推演 #技术分析参考
$BTC Hourly level K-line has formed a double bottom pattern below and has broken through a resistance level above. A rebound may be coming, so I've entered a long position. If it later breaks below the 102 resistance level and forms a false breakout, please cut losses in a timely manner.
In a downtrend, any rebound is primarily about taking a small profit. We are here to make a little money, not to risk our lives against the market.
$BTC Hourly level K-line has formed a double bottom pattern below and has broken through a resistance level above. A rebound may be coming, so I've entered a long position. If it later breaks below the 102 resistance level and forms a false breakout, please cut losses in a timely manner.
In a downtrend, any rebound is primarily about taking a small profit. We are here to make a little money, not to risk our lives against the market.
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This bull market has reversed every time it retraced to the weekly K60 moving average. Can it hold this time?🤡🤡#行情推演
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#行情推演
$ASTER This coin previously experienced a significant price increase due to a CZ buy signal, and now the price has once again returned to below the fluctuation range.
In the current market situation, which is extremely sluggish, it feels like this coin cannot be traded for high and low profits anymore; even CZ's replenishment has not attracted much liquidity participation.
In 1011, I understood the power of news, but this time I also felt the powerlessness of news.
News cannot change the long-term trend unless it can alter the fundamentals.
There's nothing much to say; I will short on the rebound.
$ASTER This coin previously experienced a significant price increase due to a CZ buy signal, and now the price has once again returned to below the fluctuation range.
In the current market situation, which is extremely sluggish, it feels like this coin cannot be traded for high and low profits anymore; even CZ's replenishment has not attracted much liquidity participation.
In 1011, I understood the power of news, but this time I also felt the powerlessness of news.
News cannot change the long-term trend unless it can alter the fundamentals.
There's nothing much to say; I will short on the rebound.
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The world's first AI investment competition has concluded. Even AI-powered trading resulted in losses, with only a 5% profit margin. Imagine the impact on human traders! AI can access real-time market data and monitor prices 24/7. Despite abundant algorithms and historical market analysis, losses are inevitable because the market is manipulated. They can control the price, causing it to rise or fall at will. Short sellers can be wiped out by market manipulators, only to be driven down further. There's no such thing as a 100% win rate; only human psychology can control the market.
#AI
#行情推演
#AI
#行情推演
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11.03 Market Analysis
Over the weekend, $BTC and $ETH have been fluctuating within a narrow range, unable to break above 111300. The market does not rule out the possibility of a downward spike followed by a rebound. Overall, the market is in a horizontal fluctuation within the range #行情推演 .
Over the weekend, $BTC and $ETH have been fluctuating within a narrow range, unable to break above 111300. The market does not rule out the possibility of a downward spike followed by a rebound. Overall, the market is in a horizontal fluctuation within the range #行情推演 .
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#行情推演
$SOL I've been paying attention to this cryptocurrency for quite a while and have always had a bullish expectation for it, but I've been backstabbed many times😭
Looking at the chart, let's discuss the current outlook. This cryptocurrency is currently moving within a range, fluctuating between these five points. For this type of trend, as mentioned before, watch where it breaks out: if it breaks upward, go long; if it breaks downward, go short.
However, be aware that there is a resistance level above. If you want to go long on the right side, please wait until it stabilizes above 191 before entering. If there is a false breakout or false breakdown, cut your losses in time.
There are two strategies for range trading:
1. Short at the upper boundary of the range and then go long at the lower boundary, which is commonly known as 'buy low, sell high'.
2. Trade the transition from range movement to trend movement; this often yields greater profits but can be easily worn down by false breakouts, so right-side trading is preferable.
All of the above are strategies for range trading, but the choice to go long or short is yours. Trading is always about taking responsibility for your own choices.
$SOL I've been paying attention to this cryptocurrency for quite a while and have always had a bullish expectation for it, but I've been backstabbed many times😭
Looking at the chart, let's discuss the current outlook. This cryptocurrency is currently moving within a range, fluctuating between these five points. For this type of trend, as mentioned before, watch where it breaks out: if it breaks upward, go long; if it breaks downward, go short.
However, be aware that there is a resistance level above. If you want to go long on the right side, please wait until it stabilizes above 191 before entering. If there is a false breakout or false breakdown, cut your losses in time.
There are two strategies for range trading:
1. Short at the upper boundary of the range and then go long at the lower boundary, which is commonly known as 'buy low, sell high'.
2. Trade the transition from range movement to trend movement; this often yields greater profits but can be easily worn down by false breakouts, so right-side trading is preferable.
All of the above are strategies for range trading, but the choice to go long or short is yours. Trading is always about taking responsibility for your own choices.
顺势重仓止损:
交易量与市值的比，很大的；
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Trading king's mindset! Only those who can collect troops are the real winners🏆
Who understands! This wave of over $200 directly satisfied me! Congratulations to the brothers and sisters who followed the rhythm, perfect profit-taking is just too sweet～
But seriously, great traders are not just about rushing in, they understand when to take profits! The key now is not to greedily chase after rising prices, but to firmly hold onto the profits already in hand.
Remember this phrase: The market is always there, but the principal and profits must be protected! Taking profits is top-level wisdom, observing and waiting is an ironclad discipline, we will charge together for the next opportunity!
#交易 #行情推演 #投资哲学 #获利 #交易心态
Who understands! This wave of over $200 directly satisfied me! Congratulations to the brothers and sisters who followed the rhythm, perfect profit-taking is just too sweet～
But seriously, great traders are not just about rushing in, they understand when to take profits! The key now is not to greedily chase after rising prices, but to firmly hold onto the profits already in hand.
Remember this phrase: The market is always there, but the principal and profits must be protected! Taking profits is top-level wisdom, observing and waiting is an ironclad discipline, we will charge together for the next opportunity!
#交易 #行情推演 #投资哲学 #获利 #交易心态
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Late Night Strike!!!
Many people often miss wave after wave of market opportunities while caught in the dilemma of 'should I enter or not'; only those like 'Antarctica', who can precisely time their actions and decisively strike in the rapidly changing market, can lead their fans to feast while others are still hesitating.
The market opportunities are still there; will you continue to be a 'bystander' and miss out on profits, or will you keep up with the rhythm you desire and accurately reap rewards amid the market fluctuations? $BTC
$ETH
$SOL
#加密市场回调 #BTC #美联储降息预期 #巨鲸动向 #行情推演
Many people often miss wave after wave of market opportunities while caught in the dilemma of 'should I enter or not'; only those like 'Antarctica', who can precisely time their actions and decisively strike in the rapidly changing market, can lead their fans to feast while others are still hesitating.
The market opportunities are still there; will you continue to be a 'bystander' and miss out on profits, or will you keep up with the rhythm you desire and accurately reap rewards amid the market fluctuations? $BTC
$ETH
$SOL
#加密市场回调 #BTC #美联储降息预期 #巨鲸动向 #行情推演
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$TRX Double Breakthrough, Signal is Good
4h Level Pullback Confirms Previous Resistance
1h Level Breaks Downtrend Line and Also Breaks Small Resistance
The Cost-Effectiveness of Entering at This Position is Very Good
Very Small Stop Loss, Very Large Take Profit Space, Can Initially Target the Peak of This Decline
Now Performing a Second Test at Previous Support, Volatility is Tightening, It's a Very Good Signal
#领英计划 #行情推演
4h Level Pullback Confirms Previous Resistance
1h Level Breaks Downtrend Line and Also Breaks Small Resistance
The Cost-Effectiveness of Entering at This Position is Very Good
Very Small Stop Loss, Very Large Take Profit Space, Can Initially Target the Peak of This Decline
Now Performing a Second Test at Previous Support, Volatility is Tightening, It's a Very Good Signal
#领英计划 #行情推演
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June 13th Second Cake Latest Operation Suggestion:
From a technical perspective, the MACD indicator DIF and DEA are below the zero axis, and the green bars have changed, indicating that the current momentum is still dominant.
In the KDJ indicator, the K, D, and J values are in a relatively low area and have a tendency to turn upwards, which may indicate a demand for a rebound. We continue to maintain a high momentum. $ETH #行情推演
Operation Suggestion: 2760 line momentum, prevent 2790
Target: 2680-2640
From a technical perspective, the MACD indicator DIF and DEA are below the zero axis, and the green bars have changed, indicating that the current momentum is still dominant.
In the KDJ indicator, the K, D, and J values are in a relatively low area and have a tendency to turn upwards, which may indicate a demand for a rebound. We continue to maintain a high momentum. $ETH #行情推演
Operation Suggestion: 2760 line momentum, prevent 2790
Target: 2680-2640
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It is unlikely to be in the middle or late stage of the bull market at present. Everyone should know that the predicted market = YY, but everyone generally likes to see the prediction, so I will also dare to predict and talk about the current large-scale trend. Let me first say the conclusion: At present, it is in the second stage of the bull market, that is, the middle stage. After the current rise is over, there will be a weekly level deep correction.
Since the end of last year, all the rises of the big cake have been weekly-level volume, and the declines have been three-day-level volume. This is the first stage of the bull market. Then it enters the current three-day-level consolidation state. It is currently in a potential departure stage, but to be honest, I am not optimistic that this departure stage can also go out of the weekly level. If it can really reach this standard, it can really reach a unilateral rise for two months, and the highest can reach 9W. I personally think it is unlikely. If you want to ask the reason, I will say it is YY. There can be a reason, pure market feeling. Then how to operate later? First, finish the current departure stage, that is, if the current decline is at the 4H or 1D level, then buy on dips. Eat the meal in front of you first, what should I do later? Once the current 3D-level rise is completed and there is a divergence, then you should clear your position decisively. There will be a deep wash later, with a 30% amplitude level, 👀 Near q1un + Wei: BTC88109, until you feel that the bull market is gone, and then the third phase of the bull market will begin, which is the real crazy bull stage. #行情推演 #TopCoinsJune2024 #BTC走势预测
Since the end of last year, all the rises of the big cake have been weekly-level volume, and the declines have been three-day-level volume. This is the first stage of the bull market. Then it enters the current three-day-level consolidation state. It is currently in a potential departure stage, but to be honest, I am not optimistic that this departure stage can also go out of the weekly level. If it can really reach this standard, it can really reach a unilateral rise for two months, and the highest can reach 9W. I personally think it is unlikely. If you want to ask the reason, I will say it is YY. There can be a reason, pure market feeling. Then how to operate later? First, finish the current departure stage, that is, if the current decline is at the 4H or 1D level, then buy on dips. Eat the meal in front of you first, what should I do later? Once the current 3D-level rise is completed and there is a divergence, then you should clear your position decisively. There will be a deep wash later, with a 30% amplitude level, 👀 Near q1un + Wei: BTC88109, until you feel that the bull market is gone, and then the third phase of the bull market will begin, which is the real crazy bull stage. #行情推演 #TopCoinsJune2024 #BTC走势预测
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The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September increases
CME's "Fed Watch" data shows that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September is rising. Specifically, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September is 78%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 22%. Looking ahead to November, the probability of the Fed's cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 29.1%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 57.1%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points is 13.8%. Judging from the data, the market's expectations for the Fed's rate cut are relatively clear, and a 25 basis point rate cut in September is almost a high probability event. However, the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is also rising, indicating that the market's concerns about the future economic outlook are intensifying. Rate cuts are generally seen as a response to economic slowdowns, stimulating economic activity by reducing borrowing costs. If the Fed chooses to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, it means that economic conditions are more severe than expected and require stronger stimulus measures. This will bring long-term benefits to the stock market and the crypto market, as lower interest rates usually boost the performance of risky assets.
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Urgent update
I will buy it back in the range of 10.65~10.9 because of the unlocking of $LINK tokens
At present, it seems that the reply strip will be a little deeper.
The largest chip area is around 10.6~10.9
Remember to follow me so you don’t miss real-time market updates
#加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #回調 #行情推演
I will buy it back in the range of 10.65~10.9 because of the unlocking of $LINK tokens
At present, it seems that the reply strip will be a little deeper.
The largest chip area is around 10.6~10.9
Remember to follow me so you don’t miss real-time market updates
#加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #回調 #行情推演
$11.7 Sold all my $LINK
Expected to buy back at $10.92
Remember to follow me and not miss real-time market updates
#Chainlink #加密市场反弹 #Correction
Expected to buy back at $10.92
Remember to follow me and not miss real-time market updates
#Chainlink #加密市场反弹 #Correction
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Brother, do you know? I really enjoy the joy of the collapse after selling at a high price. I couldn't help laughing when I saw you being trapped and typing crazy in the group. All good things must come to an end. I hope you can happily accept my order next time. I won this game. Face the reality, brother. This time you are the one paying the bill again. #以太坊ETF批准预期 #行情推演 $BTC
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