行情分析僅供參考
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I mentioned earlier this week that the overall trend is bullish, not bearish, and to buy on dips. If you want to look back further, refer to the BTC market analysis post from 6/24.
If you are my follower and you shorted around 107000 or below and are now stuck, I feel like following me has no meaning for you. 😂😂😂
$BTC #行情分析僅供參考
If you are my follower and you shorted around 107000 or below and are now stuck, I feel like following me has no meaning for you. 😂😂😂
$BTC #行情分析僅供參考
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It's embarrassing; I misjudged PCE expectations in advance, but it doesn't affect my confidence in the bullish outlook for the market.
The authenticity of the data has no significance anymore, it’s all manipulated by the Americans. Let's return to the market itself; the analysis of the Vegas channel supports 106400-106600. The 4-hour Bollinger middle line has shifted upwards to support 106800 after the release of bearish energy yesterday. The market trend is bullish, with the dividing line at 106200. If it breaks and holds above, there is an opportunity to pull back to around 105000.
Long positions near 106600, then look for 108000-108300. If it breaks below 106200 and holds, hedge short and look to exit near 105000, waiting for a pullback to a higher point while combining indicators to see if we continue to aim for a bullish break above 106600 or not, choosing to continue hedging short!
If there is indeed a change in the market affecting the 12-hour and daily indicators showing bearishness, then bulls can take the lead, while shorts can capture swings, achieving overall profits for both sides. However, currently, the indicators show no changes in the overall bullish trend.
The above is my personal analysis and trading system, for reference only!
$BTC #行情分析僅供參考
The authenticity of the data has no significance anymore, it’s all manipulated by the Americans. Let's return to the market itself; the analysis of the Vegas channel supports 106400-106600. The 4-hour Bollinger middle line has shifted upwards to support 106800 after the release of bearish energy yesterday. The market trend is bullish, with the dividing line at 106200. If it breaks and holds above, there is an opportunity to pull back to around 105000.
Long positions near 106600, then look for 108000-108300. If it breaks below 106200 and holds, hedge short and look to exit near 105000, waiting for a pullback to a higher point while combining indicators to see if we continue to aim for a bullish break above 106600 or not, choosing to continue hedging short!
If there is indeed a change in the market affecting the 12-hour and daily indicators showing bearishness, then bulls can take the lead, while shorts can capture swings, achieving overall profits for both sides. However, currently, the indicators show no changes in the overall bullish trend.
The above is my personal analysis and trading system, for reference only!
$BTC #行情分析僅供參考
Many people are concerned about PCE's positive and negative impacts, but it’s really not that useful! This is just a numbers game played by the beautiful government's labor statistics department. However, the PCE is below expectations, which is negative for the dollar.
Clearly telling everyone: if the published data is less than expected, it indicates lower inflation, which is beneficial for interest rate cuts!
In just a few minutes, Trump immediately commented: the PCE data indicates that the economy is developing well, prices are low, and residents' happiness index is increasing; the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates. I hope they directly cut rates by 100 basis points, but Powell never considers these things; he's a selfish and annoying guy!
#PCE物价指数
Clearly telling everyone: if the published data is less than expected, it indicates lower inflation, which is beneficial for interest rate cuts!
In just a few minutes, Trump immediately commented: the PCE data indicates that the economy is developing well, prices are low, and residents' happiness index is increasing; the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates. I hope they directly cut rates by 100 basis points, but Powell never considers these things; he's a selfish and annoying guy!
#PCE物价指数
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Over 107,000 with an increase of 400-500, set the stop loss at 107,100, market at 107,700, 15-minute indicator analysis is bearish, if it doesn't reach 30, analysis is bullish. Break-even loss.
From 106,500 to 16600, increase of 400-500 points, stop loss at 106,600-106,700, bullish. Take profit and continue to be bullish.
As long as the market indicators remain bullish, continue to be bullish.
The above does not pertain to heavy position players; heavy position players analyze the 15-30 minute indicators. If the 15-minute indicator analysis is bearish and there are signs of a reversal, do not consider the 30-minute indicator analysis, exit early with profits. Then watch the indicators to choose entry opportunities. Remember not to go against the major trend to catch a pullback to avoid being liquidated.
$BTC #行情分析僅供參考
From 106,500 to 16600, increase of 400-500 points, stop loss at 106,600-106,700, bullish. Take profit and continue to be bullish.
As long as the market indicators remain bullish, continue to be bullish.
The above does not pertain to heavy position players; heavy position players analyze the 15-30 minute indicators. If the 15-minute indicator analysis is bearish and there are signs of a reversal, do not consider the 30-minute indicator analysis, exit early with profits. Then watch the indicators to choose entry opportunities. Remember not to go against the major trend to catch a pullback to avoid being liquidated.
$BTC #行情分析僅供參考
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Latest BTC/USDT 1H Trend Analysis (March 28, 20:11 UTC+8)
Key Market Changes
Current Price: 85,112 USDT (below support at 85,176 USDT)
Market Structure:
The short-term trend has weakened, with a brief rebound after breaking support, indicating that bearish pressure remains strong.
Around 84,800 USDT may be the next short-term support; if this level is lost, it could further drop to 83,800 USDT.
Trading Volume:
During the decline, volume has increased, indicating active selling, with a bearish trend.
The volume of the most recent rebound candlestick is low, suggesting weak buying interest from bulls, and there is still downside risk.
#加密货币 #短线交易 #行情分析僅供參考 #市场波动，加仓还是观望？ $BTC
Key Market Changes
Current Price: 85,112 USDT (below support at 85,176 USDT)
Market Structure:
The short-term trend has weakened, with a brief rebound after breaking support, indicating that bearish pressure remains strong.
Around 84,800 USDT may be the next short-term support; if this level is lost, it could further drop to 83,800 USDT.
Trading Volume:
During the decline, volume has increased, indicating active selling, with a bearish trend.
The volume of the most recent rebound candlestick is low, suggesting weak buying interest from bulls, and there is still downside risk.
#加密货币 #短线交易 #行情分析僅供參考 #市场波动，加仓还是观望？ $BTC
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Is a big drop coming? Where is the market rhythm now?
If everyone’s goal is to run 100 meters, then Bitcoin has already run ahead and is now at about 65-70 meters.
Meanwhile, altcoins led by Ethereum and Solana have run about 50 meters.
If Bitcoin is to surge upwards and break through the previous position of about 110k, it needs some positive news to help it push up.
Currently, the major event is the recent vague comments from Powell about needing to adjust something.
I personally feel that they are preparing to cut interest rates, but he is not saying it outright.
If there is a rate cut, it would directly lead to a surge and stabilize above Bitcoin's previous high point.
Right now, no one really knows whether there will be a rate cut. If not, the latter half of May is likely to be a period with little volatility.
If there is a rate cut, this kind of pullback would just need to be dealt with.
In short, the best scenario is to leave gradually after reaching 80-90 meters, avoiding the last tail end.
With the current state at 50 meters, one must maintain at least 3 layers of short positions to prepare.
Next time there’s a big acceleration, remember to gradually take profits and reduce positions. #行情分析僅供參考
If everyone’s goal is to run 100 meters, then Bitcoin has already run ahead and is now at about 65-70 meters.
Meanwhile, altcoins led by Ethereum and Solana have run about 50 meters.
If Bitcoin is to surge upwards and break through the previous position of about 110k, it needs some positive news to help it push up.
Currently, the major event is the recent vague comments from Powell about needing to adjust something.
I personally feel that they are preparing to cut interest rates, but he is not saying it outright.
If there is a rate cut, it would directly lead to a surge and stabilize above Bitcoin's previous high point.
Right now, no one really knows whether there will be a rate cut. If not, the latter half of May is likely to be a period with little volatility.
If there is a rate cut, this kind of pullback would just need to be dealt with.
In short, the best scenario is to leave gradually after reaching 80-90 meters, avoiding the last tail end.
With the current state at 50 meters, one must maintain at least 3 layers of short positions to prepare.
Next time there’s a big acceleration, remember to gradually take profits and reduce positions. #行情分析僅供參考
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▶️ Key Node Tips:
Currently, the Ethereum 1-hour cycle is forming a standard high-low point structure, with signs of bullish support in the 2066.5-2046.8 range. Through triple verification:
✓ Volume-price divergence correction completed
✓ Bollinger channel lower support
✓ Short-term volatility compressed to threshold
🎯 Strategy Parameters:
▫️ Value Range: 2066.5-2046.8 #以太坊合约分析
▫️ Target Area: 2086.1-2089.2
▫️ Risk Control Position: 2041.6
💡 Smart Reminder:
When the price enters the observation zone, it is recommended to:
1️⃣ Check 4-hour EMA21 direction
2️⃣ Confirm buy order flow > 500ETH/min
3️⃣ Use OCO order combination management
⚠️ Notes:
• This strategy is based on technical structure analysis
• Must be combined with real-time market verification
• Strictly set stop-loss (important)
📊 Data Support:
Current IV value is at the 25% percentile for this month, with a volatility expansion probability of 68% (Deribit data)
$ETH $BTC #行情分析僅供參考
Currently, the Ethereum 1-hour cycle is forming a standard high-low point structure, with signs of bullish support in the 2066.5-2046.8 range. Through triple verification:
✓ Volume-price divergence correction completed
✓ Bollinger channel lower support
✓ Short-term volatility compressed to threshold
🎯 Strategy Parameters:
▫️ Value Range: 2066.5-2046.8 #以太坊合约分析
▫️ Target Area: 2086.1-2089.2
▫️ Risk Control Position: 2041.6
💡 Smart Reminder:
When the price enters the observation zone, it is recommended to:
1️⃣ Check 4-hour EMA21 direction
2️⃣ Confirm buy order flow > 500ETH/min
3️⃣ Use OCO order combination management
⚠️ Notes:
• This strategy is based on technical structure analysis
• Must be combined with real-time market verification
• Strictly set stop-loss (important)
📊 Data Support:
Current IV value is at the 25% percentile for this month, with a volatility expansion probability of 68% (Deribit data)
$ETH $BTC #行情分析僅供參考
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