加密扫地僧

As always, bearish. Currently 50,000, even reaching the highest point of BTC on January 11, 48,900 points.

Short-term contract short-selling at highs
Spot wait and see
#Btcoin

The non-farm data is a bit abnormal. The unemployment rate ended its four-day rise, and the non-farm data was lower than expected as always, and the market rose. Again, the old American data actually covered up the problem of economic recession. Let's ignore it and return to the market itself. We see the target at 53,000. Spot is bought around 53,000.

The contract is mainly high-altitude, don't chase more. 56,800-57,000 is a strong pressure point.

#非农数据 $BTC

I never delete posts 😂

The US side has actively contacted the Chinese side through various channels, hoping to negotiate on tariff issues. In fact, tariffs themselves are a means for the US to extort the interests of other countries through its global influence; ultimately, tariffs are only symbolically increased or kept at existing levels, while the benefits the US receives from various countries are substantial, which can reduce government deficits. Additionally, with the end of the Russia-Ukraine war approaching, the US will certainly not miss out on the mineral resources gained from Ukraine. These are actually positive signals. As a result, gold is declining.
Last night, the ADP PCE data was released, showing low employment numbers and a high personal consumption index, reflecting weakened corporate development and excessive inflation. These are negative for both the economy and the cryptocurrency market, with BTC dropping to 92,900 but then finding support at the 12-hour Bollinger middle band, returning to the 6-hour Bollinger range for fluctuations. It seems that the market has returned to a state of rising to break new highs, but from the Sunday line indicator analysis, a wave of selling is inevitable. The capital main force has not yet sold off; it is hidden, and we are being monitored by big data. Currently, the market trend is indeed tormenting, but do not be overly anxious; the more this time, the more cautious we need to be.
Summary:
The US government's recent actions are leaning towards benefiting the market, while ADP and PCE are negative, so let's see tonight's PMI and tomorrow's major non-farm data.
Remember a signal: on April 7, the market rose from 74,500 to a maximum of 95,750, an increase of 29.86%, rising 22,250 points. Today is May 1, and the monthly cycle should also have a correction before rising.
If it just rises like this, the weekly MACD will definitely golden cross, forming a bull trend, but the probability is very small; we are still looking at 89,000-90,500.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is on May 8, with 7 days left, closely monitoring the 12-hour Bollinger squeeze pattern. If the market does not break below the middle band in the next few days and maintains a flat three-line pattern, then it will not drop further, and the overall trend will reverse to an upward trend. Breaking 96,000. However, this situation seems too early to analyze at present, as the trend has not yet formed.
Solid: Bearish on 89,000-90,500, but continue to operate within the 6-hour Bollinger high short and low long range, using the 'short probe method' for entry and secondary risk protection for trades.
#BTC market analysis #非农就业数据 $BTC

Technology Changes Lives, Contract Strategy 'Short Exploration Method'

$BTC 🙈🙈🙈#特朗普暂停新关税

Indicator analysis suggests that there is a high probability of a surge in the evening market. Following the equal tariffs, the rise in A-shares today should elicit a corresponding upward trend in US stocks this evening. Currently, the market is still forming a downward trend under the pressure of the 30-minute EMA double track, but it is unlikely to continue breaking through yesterday's new low and sinking further tonight. At 9:30 PM, US stocks will rally, and the cryptocurrency market will see a surge. After breaking above 79,000 on the 30 EMA double track, it will fluctuate above that level.
If you missed the opportunity to short at 77,900 before 8 PM tonight, then don't chase the short. If you have made a profit from short positions, exit and look up again; it is recommended to position long around 76,000.
#btc走勢

The current market conditions are not suitable for entering with spot positions. The upper resistance levels are 91200 and 92800. If the market breaks through the daily EMA Bollinger upper resistance at 88500, then a pullback will also occur at the 91200 resistance. Considering entering with spot positions now is not much different from entering at this moment, but if the 88500 resistance holds and the market crashes, you will be trapped. Additionally, the overall market analysis leans towards a downward trend; therefore, currently, it is advisable to observe and not enter with spot positions.
If the market drops to 86000, remember to observe again. The last pullback low was at 86300; if the breakout is successful, it will inevitably drop again. We are looking towards 85100 and 82000.
85100 is at the low point of the oscillating upward trend, but if it breaks, the entire oscillating upward trend will be disrupted, and the market will still follow the trend from the end of February to crash down to 82000.
Suggestion: Temporarily observe with spot positions, for contracts, explore short-term waves. If greedy, you can set a stop loss within the profit point to explore long-term positions, using profits to trade $BTC #btc走勢 .

On Thursday, the market corrected and fell. I mentioned at that time that the entire market was in a volatile trend, with the bottom moving up. I had said that a drop to 83,700 on Thursday was suitable for aggressive entry, and at that time, the 4-hour support was at 81,500. Since the entire market's bottom was moving up significantly, it was unlikely to go lower. I also mentioned that the market would rise after some friction around 83,700, and the final result was indeed an increase.
The fact is that over the weekend, the market fluctuated at the bottom between 83,200 and 84,500, ultimately leading to a surge. If one had entered at the bottom of 83,700, combining quality altcoins with Bitcoin at the 83,700 position, profits would have been realized.
For those with strong technical analysis skills, it is actually quite clear when connecting the weekly, daily, and 6-hour indicators with the 4-hour indicators. Only through technical analysis can you change your fate in the cryptocurrency world $BTC #btc走勢 .

$BTC 《Market Analysis》
Weekly: Bollinger lower band support and Bollinger squeeze phase, KDJ at the bottom reversing, MACD dead cross above, trading volume decreasing for both longs and shorts.
The reversal of KDJ and the upward movement of the Bollinger lower band indicate a rising bottom in the market, while the dead cross on MACD and decreasing volume for both longs and shorts suggest pressure above. Combined with the Bollinger squeeze, this indicator analysis suggests a price action similar to the range of 80000-108000 from July to September 2024, until MACD forms a golden cross and enters a bull market.
Daily: MACD has multiple golden and dead crosses below with both lines moving up, KDJ dead cross, volume decreasing on the short side, and K-line in an alternating state of shorts and longs.
Indicators suggest: the bottom support is rising, and it is in a consolidating upward trend.
Summary: The market will not enter a bull phase at present; it is in a consolidating upward trend. Spot trading is recommended for wave trading, and contract trading should focus on high short and low long strategy, known as 'Short Probe Method', which is currently the most suitable. #大盘走势

🔥🔥🔥 The Trump administration reportedly wants to leverage blockchain to power the U.S. Agency for International Development
PANews March 21 news, according to Wired, based on a memorandum circulated among staff at the U.S. State Department, the Trump administration plans to rename the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) to the U.S. International Humanitarian Assistance Agency (IHA) and place it directly under the jurisdiction of the Secretary of State. Politico first reported on this document, which mentioned that as part of the reorganization, the agency will "leverage blockchain technology" in its procurement processes.
The memorandum stated: "All allocations will also be protected and tracked through blockchain technology, significantly enhancing security, transparency, and traceability. This approach will encourage innovation and efficiency among implementing partners and allow for more flexible and responsive project designs that focus on actual impact, not just completing activities and inputs." The memorandum did not specify what this means— for example, whether it includes the use of some cryptocurrency or stablecoin for cash transfers, or whether it is merely using a blockchain ledger to track aid distribution. #币圈资讯

On March 20th at 2:00 AM Beijing time, the Federal Reserve's interest rate will be announced, and Powell will hold a press conference at 2:30. The market predicts that the Federal Reserve will take no action.
Extremes will turn into opposites; will there be a 180-degree turnaround? #美联储3月利率决议

The weekend market has declined, and everyone will consider the oscillating downward trend under the pressure of the middle track of the daily Bollinger Bands. However, there are several points to note about this wave of market:
First: The daily KDJ and MACD both have golden crosses, and the long and short trading volumes are decreasing. If today's bearish short candle closes, there is a high probability that it will follow the oscillating upward trend of March 10, with the entire market moving upward.
Second: The lower track of the weekly Bollinger Bands has already formed a support, and breaking the lower track is unlikely given the current situation.
Third: Looking at the 6-hour chart, the right bar of the chart is at 80,000 points. Based on the KDJ touching the bottom during the downward trend, we can see that the market has a wave of rising followed by a small pullback, releasing the KDJ from touching the top to touching the bottom. The second point is that during the MACD's bottom divergence, it is moving upwards, although each time the fast line DIF has a crease accompanied by the market's return, the trend is upward, currently at the breaking zero point. Another short bar of long and short positions appears after a large bullish bar, and this type of bottom shrinking in volume tends to be bullish. The MA60 has changed from being under pressure to being flat, while the MA20 has moved from downward to upward, with a significant gap between MA60 and MA20. Combined, it looks bullish.
Overall, with the combination of 6-hour, daily, and weekly indicators, I personally see the probability of an upward movement being greater than that of a downward movement.
$BTC #btc走勢

The purpose of tariffs is to bring capital and businesses back to the United States and create more jobs. Trump said he has not seen an economic recession, the stock market sell-off has nothing to do with him, and the economy will surely prosper.
Regarding Tesla's sharp decline yesterday, Trump showed his support for Tesla and Musk through his actions.
When the US market opened, a remark about Canadian tariffs being implemented tomorrow led to a sudden shift from a volatile market to a downturn, but comments after midnight still leaned towards being favorable for the market.
Additionally, let's talk about today's BTC and US stock market trends. At 10:30 PM, the US stock market was falling, while BTC was rising. Even SOL and ETH broke today's highest point, which is quite unusual. This can only indicate one thing: the liquidation of this bullish trend has reached its target, and the remaining bullish positions are insufficient, while breaking the lowest point of 78,000 in over three months, leading to an increase in short positions. The market needs to recover, and this wave of trapped shorts will inevitably become fuel. Moreover, cryptocurrency has already become a strategic reserve for the United States. When the proportion of shorts exceeds that of longs, capital will be reluctant to crash the market and provide shorts with excessive profits, nor will it give the market a lower price opportunity for bottom fishing; this is the strategy.
Finally, let me emphasize again:
Trump's remarks in the early morning roughly mean: the purpose of tariffs is to increase the employment rate, which will only make the economy better and better, and it will surely prosper in the future. Everyone, wake up! Stop selling off trivial matters, and if anyone goes to stir trouble with Musk, causing negative news for Tesla, I will arrest you.
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The cow hasn't finished yet. From the perspective of the structure, reaching 150,000 is very likely. Regardless of where it ultimately rises to, it is going to rise. #白宫首届加密货币峰会 $BTC

Encrypted Fuxi, the guide to the bright road in the cryptocurrency world! 👍👍👍$BTC #美国加密战略储备 #XRP、SOL、ADA纳入美国战略储备？

The overall trend is bullish, preventing the emergence of a head and shoulders pattern $BTC

If you want to make money in this market, the prerequisite is that you must have your own understanding $BTC

Your knowledge determines your wealth. What do those who are bearish today think? $BTC #BTC走势分析

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