链智眼Chainlnsight
Open Trade
Occasional Trader
3.8 Years
每天一个小知识｜公众号: 链智眼Chainlnsight｜🌍:Mz0508t
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🌍:Mz0508t
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▶️ Key Node Tips:
Currently, the Ethereum 1-hour cycle is forming a standard high-low point structure, with signs of bullish support in the 2066.5-2046.8 range. Through triple verification:
✓ Volume-price divergence correction completed
✓ Bollinger channel lower support
✓ Short-term volatility compressed to threshold
🎯 Strategy Parameters:
▫️ Value Range: 2066.5-2046.8 #以太坊合约分析
▫️ Target Area: 2086.1-2089.2
▫️ Risk Control Position: 2041.6
💡 Smart Reminder:
When the price enters the observation zone, it is recommended to:
1️⃣ Check 4-hour EMA21 direction
2️⃣ Confirm buy order flow > 500ETH/min
3️⃣ Use OCO order combination management
⚠️ Notes:
• This strategy is based on technical structure analysis
• Must be combined with real-time market verification
• Strictly set stop-loss (important)
📊 Data Support:
Current IV value is at the 25% percentile for this month, with a volatility expansion probability of 68% (Deribit data)
$ETH $BTC #行情分析僅供參考
Currently, the Ethereum 1-hour cycle is forming a standard high-low point structure, with signs of bullish support in the 2066.5-2046.8 range. Through triple verification:
✓ Volume-price divergence correction completed
✓ Bollinger channel lower support
✓ Short-term volatility compressed to threshold
🎯 Strategy Parameters:
▫️ Value Range: 2066.5-2046.8 #以太坊合约分析
▫️ Target Area: 2086.1-2089.2
▫️ Risk Control Position: 2041.6
💡 Smart Reminder:
When the price enters the observation zone, it is recommended to:
1️⃣ Check 4-hour EMA21 direction
2️⃣ Confirm buy order flow > 500ETH/min
3️⃣ Use OCO order combination management
⚠️ Notes:
• This strategy is based on technical structure analysis
• Must be combined with real-time market verification
• Strictly set stop-loss (important)
📊 Data Support:
Current IV value is at the 25% percentile for this month, with a volatility expansion probability of 68% (Deribit data)
$ETH $BTC #行情分析僅供參考
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Order name: High-Low Point Pattern BTC-30-minute cycle short selling
Execution time: 2025-02-09 20:00:15 (UTC+8)
Key point information
1. Take profit range:
Target price: 95,975.2 — 95,849.8
Operation suggestion: When the price enters this range, gradually close the position and lock in profits.
2. Alert range:
Warning price: 96,650.8 — 97,181.5
Operation suggestion: If the price rebounds to this area, be alert to the risk of trend reversal. It is recommended to monitor market momentum.
3. Strict stop loss:
Stop loss price: 97,229.8
Risk control rules: Stop loss immediately when the price reaches this point to avoid further losses.
Risk warning
-This order is generated based on the 30-minute cycle high and low point pattern strategy and needs to be adjusted in combination with real-time market fluctuations. #比特币行情走势分析 #以太坊行情分析
Execution time: 2025-02-09 20:00:15 (UTC+8)
Key point information
1. Take profit range:
Target price: 95,975.2 — 95,849.8
Operation suggestion: When the price enters this range, gradually close the position and lock in profits.
2. Alert range:
Warning price: 96,650.8 — 97,181.5
Operation suggestion: If the price rebounds to this area, be alert to the risk of trend reversal. It is recommended to monitor market momentum.
3. Strict stop loss:
Stop loss price: 97,229.8
Risk control rules: Stop loss immediately when the price reaches this point to avoid further losses.
Risk warning
-This order is generated based on the 30-minute cycle high and low point pattern strategy and needs to be adjusted in combination with real-time market fluctuations. #比特币行情走势分析 #以太坊行情分析
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If you want to make money in this market and make money continuously, you need to do the following:
1. Position management. Appropriate position management is the most important factor. If you want to compound interest continuously, the position should not be too large, and you should not hold a heavy position or go all-in. These can make you rich for a while, but most of them will end up with a bleak position. The maximum position is generally no more than 5%*100 times. When opening a position, enter in batches. Zhiyin adopts the principle of batches, and then sets the principal protection
2. Secondly, you must not carry the order, and have a certain awareness of the profit and loss ratio. After setting it up, don't move back and forth
3. Fixed trading system, own trading habits, and standardized indicators
If you do the above, I believe you will be able to ride the wind and waves. If you can't do it, it is recommended that you must learn the first two at least.
Ai Quant is an excellent choice, with high-quality profit and loss ratio and fixed
#uxlink #LUNA退市风波 #FTX赎回Solana #people🔥🔥 #PEPE创新创历史新高 $BTC $SOL $ETH
1. Position management. Appropriate position management is the most important factor. If you want to compound interest continuously, the position should not be too large, and you should not hold a heavy position or go all-in. These can make you rich for a while, but most of them will end up with a bleak position. The maximum position is generally no more than 5%*100 times. When opening a position, enter in batches. Zhiyin adopts the principle of batches, and then sets the principal protection
2. Secondly, you must not carry the order, and have a certain awareness of the profit and loss ratio. After setting it up, don't move back and forth
3. Fixed trading system, own trading habits, and standardized indicators
If you do the above, I believe you will be able to ride the wind and waves. If you can't do it, it is recommended that you must learn the first two at least.
Ai Quant is an excellent choice, with high-quality profit and loss ratio and fixed
#uxlink #LUNA退市风波 #FTX赎回Solana #people🔥🔥 #PEPE创新创历史新高 $BTC $SOL $ETH
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#Btcoin #cake #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #LunaCoin #FTX赎回Solana $BTC $ETH $SOL
The 2294-2307 on September 11 has been held until now. The second cake is expected to go up to 2510-2520. The big cake is under pressure near 61400. The callback is mainly low and long. The bulls are always optimistic before the interest rate cut on September 19.
The 2294-2307 on September 11 has been held until now. The second cake is expected to go up to 2510-2520. The big cake is under pressure near 61400. The callback is mainly low and long. The bulls are always optimistic before the interest rate cut on September 19.
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This year, the altcoin market has experienced wild volatility, leaving many investors on edge.
However, with the US election and interest rate cuts imminent, the market could see major changes.
Here are some highlights from the 2024 Altcoin Outlook Report:
1. No altcoin season
Many are disappointed that there has not been an altcoin season in this cycle.
Since November 2022, altcoins have been underperforming, as shown by TOTAL3/BTC.
The ratio of the top 125 cryptocurrencies (excluding BTC/ETH) to BTC has fallen from 1.05 to 0.49.
2. Market breadth is worrying
The market is currently highly concentrated and dominated by a few large-cap coins.
Only 13% of the top assets outperformed BTC.
Singling outperforming altcoins is as difficult as finding a needle in a haystack.
3. Key events that affect the market
The following four key events have affected the performance of altcoins and Bitcoin this year:
The debut of spot Bitcoin ETF
Bitcoin halving
The debut of spot Ethereum ETF
Ripple partially wins the SEC lawsuit
4. The end of the "altcoin season road"
The launch of the US spot Bitcoin ETF is the most critical event.
Although it is good for Bitcoin, this breaks the traditional "altcoin season road".
The short-lived altcoin rebound was followed by a sharp drop.
The "trickle-down effect" of Bitcoin is seriously overestimated.
5. Trump trading
Another important factor is the Trump trading.
It reflects the market's expectations of the possibility of Trump's second presidency, focusing on pro-growth policies.
After Trump's victory in 2016, small-cap stocks rose sharply, outperforming large-cap stocks by nearly 8%.
Trump trading in 2024
Given so many events this year, it is difficult to accurately determine the impact of Trump trading on the market.
However, we can evaluate this by comparing Polymarket forecast odds with market indices.
For example, the TOTAL3/BTC index shows little correlation with Trump's odds.
By the end of the year, if rate cuts stabilize the economy, Bitcoin's market dominance may decline.
However, if recession fears increase, Bitcoin's market dominance may remain high.
In either case, expect increased differentiation between altcoins
$BTC $ETH $SOL #山寨币热点
However, with the US election and interest rate cuts imminent, the market could see major changes.
Here are some highlights from the 2024 Altcoin Outlook Report:
1. No altcoin season
Many are disappointed that there has not been an altcoin season in this cycle.
Since November 2022, altcoins have been underperforming, as shown by TOTAL3/BTC.
The ratio of the top 125 cryptocurrencies (excluding BTC/ETH) to BTC has fallen from 1.05 to 0.49.
2. Market breadth is worrying
The market is currently highly concentrated and dominated by a few large-cap coins.
Only 13% of the top assets outperformed BTC.
Singling outperforming altcoins is as difficult as finding a needle in a haystack.
3. Key events that affect the market
The following four key events have affected the performance of altcoins and Bitcoin this year:
The debut of spot Bitcoin ETF
Bitcoin halving
The debut of spot Ethereum ETF
Ripple partially wins the SEC lawsuit
4. The end of the "altcoin season road"
The launch of the US spot Bitcoin ETF is the most critical event.
Although it is good for Bitcoin, this breaks the traditional "altcoin season road".
The short-lived altcoin rebound was followed by a sharp drop.
The "trickle-down effect" of Bitcoin is seriously overestimated.
5. Trump trading
Another important factor is the Trump trading.
It reflects the market's expectations of the possibility of Trump's second presidency, focusing on pro-growth policies.
After Trump's victory in 2016, small-cap stocks rose sharply, outperforming large-cap stocks by nearly 8%.
Trump trading in 2024
Given so many events this year, it is difficult to accurately determine the impact of Trump trading on the market.
However, we can evaluate this by comparing Polymarket forecast odds with market indices.
For example, the TOTAL3/BTC index shows little correlation with Trump's odds.
By the end of the year, if rate cuts stabilize the economy, Bitcoin's market dominance may decline.
However, if recession fears increase, Bitcoin's market dominance may remain high.
In either case, expect increased differentiation between altcoins
$BTC $ETH $SOL #山寨币热点
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Sol has been selling more since the early morning, this wave is very accurate
Brothers, this time we can eat meat again
You can see the top of the push page
$SOL $BTC $ETH
Brothers, this time we can eat meat again
You can see the top of the push page
$SOL $BTC $ETH
See original
$BTC Currently, the high and low points of 1 hour and 2 hours have successfully reached 2000 points. You can make a short-term long position near the current price of 60800 to catch him off guard.
The signal is to follow us, and you can also see it in real time
$ETH
The signal is to follow us, and you can also see it in real time
$ETH
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The U.S. stock market is strong, why can't Bitcoin rise?
This Wednesday, after the U.S. announced that the CPI in May cooled and interest rates remained unchanged, the three major U.S. stock indexes hit new highs, but the cryptocurrency market fell into a slump.
After Bitcoin and Ethereum briefly surged to $70,000 and $3,657 respectively on the 12th, they have now fallen back to $67,000 and $3,500.
Why are the performances of the two capital markets so different? What went wrong?
I think this is because Bitcoin miners are experiencing "capitulation" after the halving, which directly limits price increases.
Bitcoin miners rely mainly on two sources of income: mining rewards and transaction fees, which must exceed mining costs to be profitable, so miners need to consider the following points to avoid exiting the mining industry:
1. Increased fee income
2. Increased Bitcoin prices
3. Reduced mining costs
The fourth Bitcoin halving halved the block reward for miners from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.
Although the Bitcoin Runes protocol once allowed miners to earn lucrative fees, as the protocol quickly cooled down, fee income plummeted, resulting in more unprofitable miners and forced withdrawal and surrender.
This week, the amount of Bitcoin transferred by miners to exchanges reached a two-month high, which also verified this.
#BTC #ETH
This Wednesday, after the U.S. announced that the CPI in May cooled and interest rates remained unchanged, the three major U.S. stock indexes hit new highs, but the cryptocurrency market fell into a slump.
After Bitcoin and Ethereum briefly surged to $70,000 and $3,657 respectively on the 12th, they have now fallen back to $67,000 and $3,500.
Why are the performances of the two capital markets so different? What went wrong?
I think this is because Bitcoin miners are experiencing "capitulation" after the halving, which directly limits price increases.
Bitcoin miners rely mainly on two sources of income: mining rewards and transaction fees, which must exceed mining costs to be profitable, so miners need to consider the following points to avoid exiting the mining industry:
1. Increased fee income
2. Increased Bitcoin prices
3. Reduced mining costs
The fourth Bitcoin halving halved the block reward for miners from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.
Although the Bitcoin Runes protocol once allowed miners to earn lucrative fees, as the protocol quickly cooled down, fee income plummeted, resulting in more unprofitable miners and forced withdrawal and surrender.
This week, the amount of Bitcoin transferred by miners to exchanges reached a two-month high, which also verified this.
#BTC #ETH
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1. Trump-themed Meme coins fell, TRUMP fell nearly 25%
2. Trump was found guilty of 34 felony charges in the "hush money" case
3. Trump denied all charges and said the trial was rigged
4. US lawmakers urged Biden not to veto the bill to repeal SAB 121
5. Former Deutsche Bank executive sentenced to 41 months in prison for cryptocurrency fraud
6. CFTC Commissioner: FIT21 Act may take a long time to implement
7. Viewpoint: Current US regulators cannot effectively regulate cryptocurrencies
8. US SEC requires spot Ethereum ETF issuers to submit the first round of S-1 draft forms by Friday
9. Grayscale submitted a revised S-3 registration statement for spot Ethereum ETF
10. US presidential candidate Kennedy supports cryptocurrency and bought 21 bitcoins
Important economic dynamics:
1. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 98.9%
2. Fed Bostic: Inflation will fall very slowly
3. The three major US stock indexes closed down collectively
4. Fed Williams: I don't know when to cut interest rates, it will depend on data performance
2. Trump was found guilty of 34 felony charges in the "hush money" case
3. Trump denied all charges and said the trial was rigged
4. US lawmakers urged Biden not to veto the bill to repeal SAB 121
5. Former Deutsche Bank executive sentenced to 41 months in prison for cryptocurrency fraud
6. CFTC Commissioner: FIT21 Act may take a long time to implement
7. Viewpoint: Current US regulators cannot effectively regulate cryptocurrencies
8. US SEC requires spot Ethereum ETF issuers to submit the first round of S-1 draft forms by Friday
9. Grayscale submitted a revised S-3 registration statement for spot Ethereum ETF
10. US presidential candidate Kennedy supports cryptocurrency and bought 21 bitcoins
Important economic dynamics:
1. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 98.9%
2. Fed Bostic: Inflation will fall very slowly
3. The three major US stock indexes closed down collectively
4. Fed Williams: I don't know when to cut interest rates, it will depend on data performance
See original
#ETC减半 #ETCUSDT
The copycat strongly recommends three coins, etc, turbo, and chz
Start the layout. It is expected that the two-coin will bottom out with the exchange rate tonight or tomorrow night and then start a violent rebound. Corresponding to the hype of etc halving, there will be a 50% increase in the next month. As the leader of fan tokens, chz will start to rise. It is expected that 0.25 will be seen in the short term. Turbo is an innovative coin and a new meme in the AI world. It is expected to be at least five times in the short term
#chz，
#turbo
The copycat strongly recommends three coins, etc, turbo, and chz
Start the layout. It is expected that the two-coin will bottom out with the exchange rate tonight or tomorrow night and then start a violent rebound. Corresponding to the hype of etc halving, there will be a 50% increase in the next month. As the leader of fan tokens, chz will start to rise. It is expected that 0.25 will be seen in the short term. Turbo is an innovative coin and a new meme in the AI world. It is expected to be at least five times in the short term
#chz，
#turbo
See original
Today's CPI data is heavy. The CPI is expected to be 3.4 and the previous value is 3.5.
If it meets expectations, the fluctuation is not very drastic. It may rebound to the 4h pressure level of 63218. If it exceeds 3.4 and reaches 3.5, it is bad news. Inflation is still stubborn. It is estimated that there will be a correction. This correction is expected to reach 60388-60588 at the lowest.
Then at 3 am, Bowman will speak at the Fed. This person is a hawk and will not cut interest rates directly.
It is expected that the market will pull back sharply between 2 am and 4 am, and then repair in the morning. It is expected to reach 58488-58688.
Of course, everything is still based on data. What we have to do is to arrange short orders between 63210-62688, the 4h pressure level, regardless of good news or bad news, and stop loss by ourselves, and get it between about 3:30 am and 4 am.
#美国4月CPI通胀数据即将公布
#BTC走势分析
#PEPE潜力
#TRB暴涨
#新币挖矿
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
If it meets expectations, the fluctuation is not very drastic. It may rebound to the 4h pressure level of 63218. If it exceeds 3.4 and reaches 3.5, it is bad news. Inflation is still stubborn. It is estimated that there will be a correction. This correction is expected to reach 60388-60588 at the lowest.
Then at 3 am, Bowman will speak at the Fed. This person is a hawk and will not cut interest rates directly.
It is expected that the market will pull back sharply between 2 am and 4 am, and then repair in the morning. It is expected to reach 58488-58688.
Of course, everything is still based on data. What we have to do is to arrange short orders between 63210-62688, the 4h pressure level, regardless of good news or bad news, and stop loss by ourselves, and get it between about 3:30 am and 4 am.
#美国4月CPI通胀数据即将公布
#BTC走势分析
#PEPE潜力
#TRB暴涨
#新币挖矿
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
See original
Is PEPE coming soon?
On-chain data shows that multiple whale addresses have recently increased their holdings of PEPE:
13 hours ago, 0xa4Fd spent 1.09 million USDC to buy 123.6 billion PEPE at $0.00000881.
13 hours ago, 0x895f withdrew 101 billion PEPE (about $885,000) from Binance.
1 hour ago, 0x24E3 spent 661,000 USDC to buy 745 billion PEPE at $0.000008873.
In addition, PEPE has a 100% winning rate in the past three months. The whale transferred 350.2 billion PEPE from Binance again 9 hours ago.
From the current market, PEPE is indeed strong, rising but not falling. Is it PEPE TO THE MOON? ! ! !
The latest manual order - the big cake recommends 61488-61688 short, 62588 to cover the position, and stop loss 63088.
Reference for profit stop: 58388 first profit stop, 57388 second profit stop, 55288 third profit stop, profit stop is taken in batches and then set up the break-even method.
For reference only, profits and losses are at your own risk.
The latest large cycle 12h signal has stopped profit yesterday, and shorting does not stop
#PEPE潜力 #PEPE✈️ #uma #ARKM，回调就是机会
On-chain data shows that multiple whale addresses have recently increased their holdings of PEPE:
13 hours ago, 0xa4Fd spent 1.09 million USDC to buy 123.6 billion PEPE at $0.00000881.
13 hours ago, 0x895f withdrew 101 billion PEPE (about $885,000) from Binance.
1 hour ago, 0x24E3 spent 661,000 USDC to buy 745 billion PEPE at $0.000008873.
In addition, PEPE has a 100% winning rate in the past three months. The whale transferred 350.2 billion PEPE from Binance again 9 hours ago.
From the current market, PEPE is indeed strong, rising but not falling. Is it PEPE TO THE MOON? ! ! !
The latest manual order - the big cake recommends 61488-61688 short, 62588 to cover the position, and stop loss 63088.
Reference for profit stop: 58388 first profit stop, 57388 second profit stop, 55288 third profit stop, profit stop is taken in batches and then set up the break-even method.
For reference only, profits and losses are at your own risk.
The latest large cycle 12h signal has stopped profit yesterday, and shorting does not stop
#PEPE潜力 #PEPE✈️ #uma #ARKM，回调就是机会
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