美联储降息预期升温

Family, don't be misled anymore! A rate cut is not the start button for a bull market that triggers a crazy upward trend!

Although the Federal Reserve's rate cut on September 18 is basically a done deal, there is still some suspense about whether it will be a cut of 25 basis points or 50 basis points. If the cut is 50 basis points, the market may directly enter a "plunge" mode due to recession expectations. If it's a cut of 25 basis points, the market won't magically soar immediately.

A rate cut isn't like pressing a button and suddenly a flood of money rushes in. It's more like turning on a faucet, slowly and gradually. At first, just a little bit is opened, and the water trickles out drop by drop; you need to be patient and wait for the flow to increase. As things stand, it is more likely to be a cut of 25 basis points. Because the recession signal triggered by the Sam Rule in August-September 2024 indicates a need for a 50 basis point cut at that time. But right now, although the U.S. employment data is not very optimistic, it hasn't reached the warning line for recession yet.

Besides the rate cut magnitude, the dot plot and whether to stop tapering in September are also key points of concern. The dot plot is like a little prophet, predicting the pace of the remaining two rate cuts this year and the situation for next year. Remember, only stopping the tapering along with consecutive rate cuts will truly open the door to the monetary easing cycle.

Of course, from a cyclical perspective, a rate cut is definitely good news. However, analysts, KOLs, and major institutions are currently hesitant to confidently claim whether the market will rise or fall next. In the upcoming market, we must not act impulsively and take reckless actions. They say that betting it all can change destiny, but who knows if it will end up rewriting the script as a "life winner" or a "tragic world" story! #美联储降息预期升温

September 18, remember this day! The Federal Reserve has personally launched Bitcoin into the rocket!

Inflation cannot be suppressed, and interest rate cuts cannot be avoided! The American economy is in a dilemma, is there an opportunity for Bitcoin?

Brothers, I am Mig, today I will break down a major news: The U.S. August inflation data exploded, CPI increased by 2.9% year-on-year, hitting a 7-month high!

But the magical thing is — the market actually thinks the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next week!

In simple terms, there are three sentences:

Prices are rising more than expected;

But the job market is too weak, the Federal Reserve dares not avoid cutting interest rates;

Trump's tariff big move is still loading in the background, inflation may rise further.

My view is very clear: this wave of inflation is not temporary, but a structural pressure + tariff transmission double blow.

Corporate inventories are about to hit bottom, import costs will eventually be passed on to the public.

But the Federal Reserve has already been kidnapped by the stock market, and can only grit its teeth and cut interest rates — the expectation of easing is strengthened, which is the real good news for the crypto circle.

Don't forget: cutting interest rates is the express lane, inflation is the gas station, and Bitcoin — is that tank stealing oil.

If the Federal Reserve really cuts interest rates on September 18, will you chase BTC up, or wait for a pullback? Tell me your strategy in the comments! #美联储降息预期升温

Remember to follow Mig, closely follow the perspective of top analysts, and capture wealth signals at the first time!

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is imminent: Don't be fooled by the "bull market illusion!"

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on September 18 is almost a certainty, but whether it will be by 25 or 50 basis points remains uncertain. A cut of 50 basis points may cause the market to "plummet" due to recession expectations; a cut of 25 basis points also won't lead to an immediate surge in the market. Currently, a 25 basis point cut seems more likely, as employment data has not yet reached the recession warning line.

Interest rate cuts are not a "one-click injection"; they are more like slowly turning on a faucet. The dot plot indicates the subsequent pace of interest rate cuts, and stopping balance sheet reduction + continuous rate cuts will initiate a monetary easing cycle.
While interest rate cuts are favorable, market fluctuations are hard to predict, so do not blindly go all in!

#美联储降息预期升温

The new prediction. Right or not？#美联储降息预期升温 $BTC

The market has high expectations for interest rate cuts, and the more this is the easier it is to see extreme market conditions...
1: If the interest rate cut of 25 basis points meets market expectations, it is likely to first drop and then rise... how much it drops depends on whether the market continues to speculate on the October interest rate cut. If it meets the favorable outcome, the logic is to take profits.
2: If the interest rate cut is 50 basis points, it would exceed market expectations. Once this situation occurs, it is likely to first rise and then fall, but whether it can break the previous high still depends on whether the market continues to speculate on the October interest rate cut expectations.
3: If there is no interest rate cut, you know what that means, brothers... clear out and leave, the weekly level pullback is about to come, the current market is waiting for this result, and the market also needs a decent washout.
4: If there is an interest rate hike... this situation is very unlikely, but it doesn’t mean it’s impossible. Right now, the data from the Americans is severely falsified, and anything is possible. Once it occurs, it basically announces the end of this round.

Profit in the cryptocurrency circle is like licking blood off a knife's edge, always respecting the market... the market is always right, what we need to do is to be prepared with a strategy when different situations arise in the market! #美联储降息预期升温 #降息期待

Will the Federal Reserve unleash a flood of liquidity? Are there opportunities in the crypto world?​

When interest rates change, the crypto market will stir!​

Feng Jie’s viewpoint:​
1. What’s the situation now?​​ The big shots on Wall Street are all shouting: The Federal Reserve shouldn’t hesitate next week and should just cut 25 basis points; if they are going to cut, they should be more aggressive and cut 75 basis points directly! This is much more aggressive than the market generally expects.

2. What impact does this have on the crypto market? The key lies in “exceeding expectations”!​
If the Federal Reserve really dares to take a bold step and cut 75 basis points,​​ that would definitely be a huge benefit for the crypto market!​​ Why? Because this greatly exceeds everyone’s expectations, it’s a “pleasant surprise.”
Money becomes cheaper, and there’s more money in the market. This extra money has to find a place to invest, right? Past experiences show that​​ cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum often attract this “hot money.”​

3. Historical cases are here: 2020 is a live textbook!​
Looking back at 2020, the Federal Reserve crazily cut interest rates and printed money to save the economy, and what was the result?​​ Bitcoin skyrocketed from over $3,000 to nearly $60,000!​​ The entire crypto market experienced an epic bull market. This is the power of “money” flowing into the crypto space.

4. So, if they really cut 75 basis points this time...​
Market sentiment will be instantly ignited, and everyone will feel that the era of “flooding” has returned.
The cost of capital decreases, and more people may borrow money to invest in cryptocurrencies.
Institutions and big holders are more likely to allocate some funds to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin as a tool to hedge against potential inflation.

In summary: A significantly unexpected interest rate cut is very likely to become the catalyst for a new round of increases in the crypto market!​

If the Federal Reserve really turns on this ‘tap’ so wide, how high do you think Bitcoin can go? Will Ethereum take off as well? Or will a new leader emerge this time?​​ Hit follow, and Feng Jie will keep a close eye on the Federal Reserve’s movements, providing timely interpretations of market trends! Let’s discuss your views in the comments!​​#美联储降息预期升温

When it comes to the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates, don't give me any nonsense like 'good news is fully priced in is bad news.' I’m telling you straight—this is a big deal! It’s not just a simple policy adjustment; it’s a lever that can reshape the global economic landscape, do you understand?

Let’s revisit the past: back in 2020 during the pandemic, the U.S. stock market was melting down every few days, like a free fall. The Federal Reserve gritted its teeth and directly cut interest rates, pulling the U.S. stock market out of the ICU and stuffing it into a KTV. The A-shares also skyrocketed from 2650 points to 3700 points, rising for a full year! Who made money during those two years? Companies dared to expand, and ordinary people dared to spend; life was pretty good.
Then, at the end of 2021, as soon as the Federal Reserve hinted at raising interest rates, the A-shares immediately plummeted from 3700 points to 2900 points, dropping 800 points in four months! The entire rate hike cycle was a bear market for A-shares; who wasn’t complaining about being broke during those years? Life was as tight as a belt.

By September 2024, the Federal Reserve was lowering interest rates again, and China followed suit with a big move, creating the '924 market'—A-shares surged 1000 points in six days! This is no coincidence; the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy is the guiding stick for global capital flow, and our average person's wallet dances to its tune.

Now, after the Federal Reserve has stopped lowering rates for 9 months, it’s preparing to take action again. Based on past experience, China will definitely follow up with policy measures. Don't expect another massive surge like '924,' but a sustained rebound like from June to August this year can definitely happen again! I dare assert that from late September to early October, A-shares are very likely to show a trending market; in the next two to three years, the Chinese economy will rebound from the bottom, and everyone’s lives will noticeably improve.

Remember, don’t get bogged down wondering if a rate cut is 'good news fully priced in'; the key is to look at the turning points in the big cycles! The Federal Reserve's rate cut is the clarion call for an economic counterattack, and only those who follow the trend can seize the opportunity. What you need to do now is to listen to the signals, position well, and wait for your chance to profit! Don’t wait until the market rises and then regret it; by then it’ll be too late to cry!

Is the wind too cold? Focus on the divine, we provide you with the most exciting stage!

#美联储降息预期升温 #CPI数据来袭

Brothers, what is the hottest topic in the market recently? — The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut.

Some say that the interest rate cut is a signal that good news has been exhausted, which is bad news; others say it is not that important.

Let me tell you directly: it is very important! An interest rate cut is a super turning point for global finance, and you absolutely cannot ignore it.

Let's review: an interest rate cut = the signal for the market to start

📌 2020 Pandemic

The US stock market experienced three consecutive circuit breakers, the world was shocked, the Federal Reserve urgently cut interest rates, and the US stock market was directly "lifted from the ICU to the KTV".

The A-share market rose from 2650 to 3700, taking a year to enter a bull market. Were those two years very comfortable for everyone?

📌 At the end of 2021, the Federal Reserve announced an interest rate hike

The A-share market peaked, dropping from 3700 to 2900 in 4 months, entering a bear market. Throughout the interest rate hike cycle, life was tough. It can even be said that the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes indirectly contributed to the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

📌 In September 2024, the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again

China will follow suit immediately, and with the policy announcement, the A-share market's "924 rally" directly rose 1000 points in six trading days.

Do you understand?

An interest rate cut ≠ small actions; it is the stabilizing force of the world economic landscape.

So what about this time?

After pausing interest rate cuts for 9 months, the Federal Reserve is preparing to cut rates again.

My personal judgment:

A direct rise of 1000 points like the "924 rally" is very difficult;

But a trending rise similar to the one from the end of June to the end of August this year is very likely to be repeated.

What does this mean for the crypto world?

The logic of the stock market = a microcosm of the crypto world.

An interest rate cut brings liquidity release; funds are no longer absorbed by US Treasury bonds, but instead seek markets with higher returns.

The past two rounds of history have already verified: during the interest rate cut cycle, risk assets will encounter great opportunities.

So my conclusion is very simple:

From the end of September to the beginning of October, the A-share market may trend upward;

In the next 2-3 years, China's economy will rebound from the bottom, and the crypto world will also welcome a new round of prosperity;

Brothers looking to turn things around, this may be your most important window in the next few years.

In a word: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is always the master switch for risk assets!

Don't hesitate any longer about whether the market has arrived; history has already given us the answer.

#CPI数据来袭 #美联储降息预期升温 $XRP $ETH $BNB

Today's data is released. If you understand it, you won't have overly high expectations for short sellers, just a regret that your chips are not low enough.

Is the CPI report not impressive? Who cares? The expected release plus the unchanged annual rate under the current tariff pressure is already a good result, but that explosive initial jobless claims data might make old Powell shake a bit. Trump probably has something to say about this 'Mr. Too Late'.

With these three rounds of data (non-farm, PPI, CPI), the market pricing for three rate cuts by the FOMC this year is basically set in stone. Remember, it's three times. This is completely different from the previous uncertainty about whether to cut in September.

What I worry about now is whether the big players will cause trouble after the clear expectations, and I believe this will also happen after the second high point on the daily line. At that time, I will happily hold half my position and leave the other half to see what the rumors about BTC 150k, ETH 6000 SOL 300 are. Isn't that exciting?
#CPI数据来袭 #美联储降息预期升温

🚨The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are not just a tactic of "good news being fully priced in"; this is a major event that can shift global capital flows! $SOL

Looking back at the pandemic in 2020, the U.S. stock market crashed, and the Federal Reserve's rate cut directly pulled the market from ICU into KTV, with the A-shares soaring from 2650 points to 3700 points, enjoying a prosperous year! Businesses dared to expand, and citizens were willing to spend, living happily. #美联储降息预期升温

Then let's look at the end of 2021, when it was just hinted that interest rates would rise, A-shares immediately plummeted from 3700 points to 2900 points, dropping 800 points in four months! The entire rate hike cycle was a tough time, and the belt was tightened tightly.

In September 2024, when the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates again, China will follow suit immediately, creating the "924 market"—A-shares surged 1000 points in six days! This is not a coincidence; the Federal Reserve's interest rates are the guiding baton, and our ordinary people's wallets must follow suit. $XRP

Now, after 9 months of halting interest rate cuts, action is about to be taken again, and China will definitely introduce policies to cooperate. Although it is difficult to see another surge of a thousand points, a continuous rebound like that from June to August this year is absolutely expected! From the end of September to early October, A-shares are likely to start a trend market, and over the next two to three years, the economy will rebound from the bottom, making life much better.

Don't get caught up in short-term fluctuations; the key is to seize the turning point of the major cycle. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are the clarion call for economic counterattack. What we need to do now is to lay in wait and be ready to reap the rewards! Don't wait until the market rises to regret not taking action!

Keep a close eye on popular sectors, and choose the best among the best in those sectors!
Layout #特朗普狗狗币 Co nan Conan🔥
Top narrative expectations are fully aligned, which can benchmark $DOGE ; the washout has already been completed, an absolute early opportunity!

Brothers, the Federal Reserve can no longer hold on! The global monetary faucet is opening again, and this wave could be a rare opportunity for ordinary investors to turn the tide! 💥

Why is lowering interest rates so crucial?

Lowering interest rates is by no means a simple monetary policy action, but a major event that changes the global capital landscape. It directly affects capital flow, market expectations, and even determines the direction of the economic environment in the coming years.

Let’s look back:

In 2020, during the pandemic: U.S. stocks experienced three circuit breakers, causing global panic. After the Federal Reserve urgently lowered interest rates, U.S. stocks revived, and A-shares rose from 2650 points to 3700 points, leading to two years of economic recovery.

At the end of 2021: The Federal Reserve signaled a rate hike, leading to a drop of 800 points in A-shares over four months, starting a long bear market.

In September 2024: The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates again, and China immediately followed suit. The "924 market" directly rose 1000 points in six trading days!

This is enough to illustrate that the Federal Reserve's policy is a barometer for global markets.

What does this mean?

Now, after the Federal Reserve paused interest rate cuts for 9 months, it may initiate another easing cycle. Historical experience tells us:

China is very likely to follow suit with supporting policies.

A thousand-point surge may be difficult to replicate, but a similar trend rebound from June to August is highly anticipated.

In the larger context, the Chinese economy is at a bottoming stage and is expected to gradually recover in the next two to three years.

In other words, the turning point of the major market cycle may be right in front of us.

What should retail investors do?

Don't focus on short-term news fluctuations; the market's rise and fall on the day the policy is implemented is not important.

Look at the long-term logic: the interest rate cut cycle = capital inflow = market recovery.

Take advantage of adjustments and low positions to prepare in advance; don't wait for the market to rise before chasing high prices.

Summary

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is a signal that the global economy is entering a new cycle. For ordinary people, this is not an opportunity that comes every day.

Recognize the big trend, maintain a steady mindset, and dare to position in advance to share a piece of the pie in the new trend.

— Remember one thing: the market is created from declines, and opportunities are earned through endurance.

#CPI数据来袭 #美联储降息预期升温 $ETH $BTC $BNB

Greed Moment!! The whale is buying madly! Are retail investors still sleeping? The market will go completely crazy after next week's Federal Reserve decision!

On the surface, the market seems calm, but in reality, there are undercurrents - the calm before the storm is often the best time for positioning.

Recently, the Federal Reserve is about to hold a meeting to decide whether to cut interest rates, but the options market is surprisingly calm, and volatility has even slightly decreased.

What does this indicate? It indicates that the market has long assumed that "a 25 basis point cut" is a done deal, and the prices have already digested this in advance, so everyone is too lazy to make any moves.

Interestingly, large transactions have been particularly active recently, contributing to more than half of the daily trading volume, and they are mostly betting on short-term contracts for this month's market.

The buying and selling forces are about the same, indicating that the big players have significant disagreements about the market trend for the second half of the month - some are betting on a rise, while others are betting on a fall, but generally, they feel that even if there is volatility, it won't be too drastic.

Personally, I feel that this situation of "large disagreement but low volatility expectation" is very similar to the accumulation phase of Bitcoin - for example, at the end of last year's interest rate hike cycle, it was a similar pattern, and it resulted in an explosion at the end of the year.

The market is obviously more optimistic about the fourth quarter, possibly waiting for the Federal Reserve to clarify its stance, and then collaborating with narrative of halving, ETF fund inflows, and other catalysts to gain momentum.

In the short term, it may continue to oscillate sideways, but once it breaks through, the trend will be very strong.

Don't forget, September is often a seasonal low point for Bitcoin, and then the fourth quarter begins to sprint - 2019, 2020, and 2023 all follow this script. #美联储降息预期升温

If you are also curious about where this wave of "silent accumulation" is heading, follow me, and I will break down the direction for you immediately after next week's Federal Reserve decision.