美联储减息
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The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision has been announced, with a 25 basis point rate cut, in line with expectations
Powell will speak at 3:30, let's see what he will say
#美联储减息
Powell will speak at 3:30, let's see what he will say
#美联储减息
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The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September has increased to 50%
#美联储减息
#美联储减息
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Fed Governor: If inflation develops as expected, support further rate cuts
Fed Governor Kugler noted that she "strongly supported" the Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points last month, with the focus still on inflation.
Federal Reserve Governor Kugler said the Fed should remain committed to getting inflation down to its 2% target but take a "balanced approach" to avoid an "undesirable slowdown" in job growth and economic expansion.
“While I believe the focus should continue to be on getting inflation down to 2%, I support shifting the focus to the full employment side of the dual mandate of the Federal Open Market Committee,” Kugler said at the ECB’s monetary policy conference in Frankfurt on Tuesday.
Federal Reserve Governor Kugler said the Fed should remain committed to getting inflation down to its 2% target but take a "balanced approach" to avoid an "undesirable slowdown" in job growth and economic expansion.
“While I believe the focus should continue to be on getting inflation down to 2%, I support shifting the focus to the full employment side of the dual mandate of the Federal Open Market Committee,” Kugler said at the ECB’s monetary policy conference in Frankfurt on Tuesday.
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Fed dot plot: The Fed expects the federal funds rate to be 4.4% at the end of 2024
#美联储减息
#美联储减息
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On September 26, Federal Reserve Board Governor Kugler issued a position statement today, saying that she "strongly supports" the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) strategy of lowering the target range for the federal funds rate by 50 basis points, a move that demonstrates the high attention paid to labor market dynamics. Kugler emphasized: "Although the endogenous power of the job market has not weakened, the FOMC currently needs to balance macroeconomic policy goals to ensure that while curbing potential economic slowdowns and cost of living crises, inflation rates continue to return to policy target levels. I firmly support last week's interest rate adjustment decision (reduced by 50 basis points). If the inflation path converges steadily as I expect, I will tend to support further loose monetary policy. The latest consumer price index (PCE) data indicates a gradual easing of inflationary pressures, and the annual PCE growth rate in August is expected to fall back to 2.2%. She believes that in the current economic cycle, it is appropriate for the Fed to turn its attention to the health of the labor market. Although the market heat has cooled, "the resilience of the labor market still exists", and the current unemployment rate of 4.2% "is still at a low level compared to historical data." #美联储减息
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Economist: The Fed cut interest rates too early, and inflation may rebound next year!
Economists note that on average, it takes more than three years for tight monetary policy to eliminate inflation, but the Fed exited the policy after just 30 months of tightening rates.
Peter Morici, an economist and emeritus business professor at the University of Maryland, recently wrote that premature rate cuts usually lead to a rebound in inflation, but in the short term, if the United States can avoid a recession, rate cuts should boost stock prices. Here are his views.
Stock market investors should cheer that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell believes inflation is all but gone.
Peter Morici, an economist and emeritus business professor at the University of Maryland, recently wrote that premature rate cuts usually lead to a rebound in inflation, but in the short term, if the United States can avoid a recession, rate cuts should boost stock prices. Here are his views.
Stock market investors should cheer that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell believes inflation is all but gone.
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Many people believe that the Fed's interest rate cut is a major positive, but this is not the case. Looking back at history, Bitcoin has experienced a large-scale decline after each interest rate cut. The reasons behind this are complex: on the one hand, interest rate cuts usually mean a poor economic outlook, causing market unrest, and investors may withdraw from high-risk assets. On the other hand, expectations of interest rate cuts are usually traded in advance, and the market will fall after the interest rate cut is implemented. #美联储减息 $BTC
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#美联储减息
Let me give you a brief overview of what the Fed said last night.
Interest rate/monetary policy
1. The Fed maintained the target range of the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.50%
2. Powell said that a rate cut in September "may be under consideration" and the consensus of the committee is gradually approaching a rate cut, and the policy rate will be lowered as early as September;
3. If the economy remains stable, the interest rate will remain unchanged as needed;
4. A premature rate cut may reverse the improvement of inflation, and the Fed is gradually approaching the time to lower interest rates!
5. There is in-depth discussion about rate cuts, but a 50 basis point rate cut is not being considered now.
Let me give you a brief overview of what the Fed said last night.
Interest rate/monetary policy
1. The Fed maintained the target range of the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.50%
2. Powell said that a rate cut in September "may be under consideration" and the consensus of the committee is gradually approaching a rate cut, and the policy rate will be lowered as early as September;
3. If the economy remains stable, the interest rate will remain unchanged as needed;
4. A premature rate cut may reverse the improvement of inflation, and the Fed is gradually approaching the time to lower interest rates!
5. There is in-depth discussion about rate cuts, but a 50 basis point rate cut is not being considered now.
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There are still 24 days until the Fed's interest rate meeting. According to current data, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 88.5%. There is a high probability that there will be two more interest rate cuts this year, which is good for the cryptocurrency circle. It is only a matter of time before Bitcoin breaks through 75,000 and sets a new record high.
#BTC☀ #美联储减息
#BTC☀ #美联储减息
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"Is there a glimmer of hope for a Fed rate cut? Williams revealed: Not in July, but there may be a rate cut in the coming months!"
The Fed may be close to a rate cut, but not in July
The Fed's "third-in-command" and New York Fed President Williams recently hinted that if inflation continues to slow, the Fed may cut interest rates in the coming months, but explicitly ruled out a rate cut in July.
He pointed out that the inflation data in the past three months was positive and was approaching the Fed's 2% target, but more data was needed to confirm the trend.
Williams also observed that the U.S. labor market was gradually cooling, which left room for a rate cut in September, provided that the economy was stable and secure. Although most Fed officials, including Chairman Powell, were cautious about the timing of the rate cut and the market generally expected no action before September, the unexpected decline in inflation in June led the market to speculate that the July meeting might set a rate cut path.
Williams emphasized that the current policy is effective, but more positive data is needed to increase confidence in the continued decline in inflation.
The Fed has maintained high interest rates since last year, waiting for the inflation trend to become clear. Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase and Trump's candidate for Treasury Secretary, suggested that the Fed should be patient in adjusting interest rates and be alert to the risk of inflation rebound under global turmoil, such as increased government spending, global militarization trends, green economic investment boom and changes in trade patterns, which may bring new variables to inflation.
This statement further clarified the Fed's delicate attitude towards future monetary policy, that is, under the premise of ensuring that inflation is effectively controlled, it will carefully consider the timing of interest rate cuts to balance the two major goals of economic growth and price stability. #美联储货币纪要
#美联储何时降息？
#美联储降息周期
#美联储减息
#美联储利率决议即将公布 $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
The Fed may be close to a rate cut, but not in July
The Fed's "third-in-command" and New York Fed President Williams recently hinted that if inflation continues to slow, the Fed may cut interest rates in the coming months, but explicitly ruled out a rate cut in July.
He pointed out that the inflation data in the past three months was positive and was approaching the Fed's 2% target, but more data was needed to confirm the trend.
Williams also observed that the U.S. labor market was gradually cooling, which left room for a rate cut in September, provided that the economy was stable and secure. Although most Fed officials, including Chairman Powell, were cautious about the timing of the rate cut and the market generally expected no action before September, the unexpected decline in inflation in June led the market to speculate that the July meeting might set a rate cut path.
Williams emphasized that the current policy is effective, but more positive data is needed to increase confidence in the continued decline in inflation.
The Fed has maintained high interest rates since last year, waiting for the inflation trend to become clear. Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase and Trump's candidate for Treasury Secretary, suggested that the Fed should be patient in adjusting interest rates and be alert to the risk of inflation rebound under global turmoil, such as increased government spending, global militarization trends, green economic investment boom and changes in trade patterns, which may bring new variables to inflation.
This statement further clarified the Fed's delicate attitude towards future monetary policy, that is, under the premise of ensuring that inflation is effectively controlled, it will carefully consider the timing of interest rate cuts to balance the two major goals of economic growth and price stability. #美联储货币纪要
#美联储何时降息？
#美联储降息周期
#美联储减息
#美联储利率决议即将公布 $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
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#非农数据影响
Tonight's non-agricultural data is a big news. I will simply say that whether it is bullish or bearish, Bitcoin will still rise in the evening.
In the final analysis, it has little to do with non-agricultural data. It can be regarded as an estimate of the Fed's interest rate cut. #美联储减息
If the non-agricultural data is very bad, the market will worry whether the Fed will force a rate cut and no longer pursue 2% inflation. The hidden problem of a hard landing of the economy makes market investors pessimistic about the US economy. Since the last non-agricultural data, the US dollar index has been weakening, but it has not recovered since then. The market has not digested the negative data of the US dollar.
On the contrary, whether the negative non-agricultural data can boost the Fed's sentiment for rate cuts, Bitcoin will rise in the short term due to the interest rate cut of its direct rival, the US dollar. Therefore, I think this non-agricultural data, whether it is bearish or bullish, is likely to rise.
Tonight's non-agricultural data is a big news. I will simply say that whether it is bullish or bearish, Bitcoin will still rise in the evening.
In the final analysis, it has little to do with non-agricultural data. It can be regarded as an estimate of the Fed's interest rate cut. #美联储减息
If the non-agricultural data is very bad, the market will worry whether the Fed will force a rate cut and no longer pursue 2% inflation. The hidden problem of a hard landing of the economy makes market investors pessimistic about the US economy. Since the last non-agricultural data, the US dollar index has been weakening, but it has not recovered since then. The market has not digested the negative data of the US dollar.
On the contrary, whether the negative non-agricultural data can boost the Fed's sentiment for rate cuts, Bitcoin will rise in the short term due to the interest rate cut of its direct rival, the US dollar. Therefore, I think this non-agricultural data, whether it is bearish or bullish, is likely to rise.
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⏰⏰⏰
Important news⚠️
Time: August 1, 2024
The unified opinion of all Fed members will be conveyed by Powell to all people in the cryptocurrency circle at 2:30 pm on August 1.
This time node is the booster for breaking new highs.
#美联储货币纪要
#美联储何时降息？
#美联储降息周期
#美联储减息
#美联储利率决议即将公布
Important news⚠️
Time: August 1, 2024
The unified opinion of all Fed members will be conveyed by Powell to all people in the cryptocurrency circle at 2:30 pm on August 1.
This time node is the booster for breaking new highs.
#美联储货币纪要
#美联储何时降息？
#美联储降息周期
#美联储减息
#美联储利率决议即将公布
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Fed's Kashkari: No more than two rate cuts in 2024
He expects the Fed to cut interest rates no more than twice in 2024. This remark immediately attracted widespread attention from financial markets and policy analysts. His remarks not only reflect the Fed's expectations for the future direction of monetary policy, but also hint at the cautious attitude of policymakers under the current economic conditions and inflationary pressures. As the central bank of the United States, the Fed's interest rate decisions have a profound impact on global financial markets, so Kashkari's remarks are seen as an important guide to the market.
In the past year, the Fed has raised interest rates several times in response to continued high inflation rates. Although these measures have helped to curb inflation, they have also put pressure on economic growth. Against this background, Kashkari's statement is particularly important, and it may indicate that the Fed will continue to adopt a tightening policy in the future to further stabilize the price level. #美联储何时降息？ #美联储减息 #美联储降息周期
He expects the Fed to cut interest rates no more than twice in 2024. This remark immediately attracted widespread attention from financial markets and policy analysts. His remarks not only reflect the Fed's expectations for the future direction of monetary policy, but also hint at the cautious attitude of policymakers under the current economic conditions and inflationary pressures. As the central bank of the United States, the Fed's interest rate decisions have a profound impact on global financial markets, so Kashkari's remarks are seen as an important guide to the market.
In the past year, the Fed has raised interest rates several times in response to continued high inflation rates. Although these measures have helped to curb inflation, they have also put pressure on economic growth. Against this background, Kashkari's statement is particularly important, and it may indicate that the Fed will continue to adopt a tightening policy in the future to further stabilize the price level. #美联储何时降息？ #美联储减息 #美联储降息周期
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$BTC
🔥 The Fed's interest rate cut suspense has set off the market: the balance of interest rate cuts in November is slightly tilted, and a 75 basis point interest rate cut may be welcomed in December?
Fed interest rate cut expectations are divided: the suspense of interest rate cuts in November has escalated
The latest data from CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the market's expectations for the Fed's future monetary policy are subtly divided.
As of the November meeting, the market generally believes that the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut by 25 basis points is 50.1%, and the possibility of a large interest rate cut of 50 basis points is also close behind, reaching 49.9%, showing that the expectations of interest rate cuts are almost evenly divided.
Looking forward to December, expectations of interest rate cuts have further accumulated, with a cumulative probability of 50 basis points of interest rate cuts of 26%, while a more radical cumulative interest rate cut of 75 basis points is regarded as the most likely scenario, with a probability of 50%.
However, the possibility of a cumulative interest rate cut of 100 basis points cannot be ignored, reaching 24%.
This series of data reflects the market's complex expectations and high attention to the future policy direction of the Federal Reserve.
#美联储减息 #美联储何时降息？ #美联储利率决议即将公布 #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #币安上线CATI
🔥 The Fed's interest rate cut suspense has set off the market: the balance of interest rate cuts in November is slightly tilted, and a 75 basis point interest rate cut may be welcomed in December?
Fed interest rate cut expectations are divided: the suspense of interest rate cuts in November has escalated
The latest data from CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the market's expectations for the Fed's future monetary policy are subtly divided.
As of the November meeting, the market generally believes that the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut by 25 basis points is 50.1%, and the possibility of a large interest rate cut of 50 basis points is also close behind, reaching 49.9%, showing that the expectations of interest rate cuts are almost evenly divided.
Looking forward to December, expectations of interest rate cuts have further accumulated, with a cumulative probability of 50 basis points of interest rate cuts of 26%, while a more radical cumulative interest rate cut of 75 basis points is regarded as the most likely scenario, with a probability of 50%.
However, the possibility of a cumulative interest rate cut of 100 basis points cannot be ignored, reaching 24%.
This series of data reflects the market's complex expectations and high attention to the future policy direction of the Federal Reserve.
#美联储减息 #美联储何时降息？ #美联储利率决议即将公布 #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #币安上线CATI
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The Fed's interest rate cut signal is clear, and the market carnival starts ahead of schedule! Bostic hinted that the interest rate cut may be earlier than expected, and the currency circle storm is about to sweep in!
The Fed finally raised the banner of interest rate cuts! Although they tried to be cautious in their words, claiming that the interest rate cut may occur in the fourth quarter of this year, the market has already seen through the mystery, and the carnival bell is about to ring! We boldly predict that this interest rate cut may be brought forward to this quarter or even earlier, and the market will usher in a feast of skyrocketing!
On May 30, the speech of Bostic of the Federal Reserve was like a blockbuster bomb, which stirred up thousands of waves in the market. He said that the Federal Reserve is considering starting to cut interest rates in the fourth quarter of this year. However, in our eyes, this is just a chess move for them to try to stabilize the market, and the real action may have been put on the agenda long ago!
Don't be confused by the "official language" of the Federal Reserve! From the macroeconomic environment of weak global economic recovery and weakening inflationary pressure to the turmoil in the domestic financial market in the United States, it indicates the necessity of the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. They must take action to stabilize the market, boost the economy, and restore investor confidence!
Therefore, we firmly believe that the Federal Reserve will announce a decision to cut interest rates in the near future. This decision will quickly trigger a strong reaction in the market, and a storm of skyrocketing prices is about to sweep in! Investors will reap rich returns in this storm and enjoy the endless fun brought by investment!
Join Brother Hua now and pay attention to our daily market analysis and high-quality potential currency recommendations. Let us ride the wind and waves in the ocean of the currency circle and find our own ship of wealth! Don't miss this market carnival caused by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut!
#美联储减息 #LTC提案ETF #6月份热门板块
The Fed finally raised the banner of interest rate cuts! Although they tried to be cautious in their words, claiming that the interest rate cut may occur in the fourth quarter of this year, the market has already seen through the mystery, and the carnival bell is about to ring! We boldly predict that this interest rate cut may be brought forward to this quarter or even earlier, and the market will usher in a feast of skyrocketing!
On May 30, the speech of Bostic of the Federal Reserve was like a blockbuster bomb, which stirred up thousands of waves in the market. He said that the Federal Reserve is considering starting to cut interest rates in the fourth quarter of this year. However, in our eyes, this is just a chess move for them to try to stabilize the market, and the real action may have been put on the agenda long ago!
Don't be confused by the "official language" of the Federal Reserve! From the macroeconomic environment of weak global economic recovery and weakening inflationary pressure to the turmoil in the domestic financial market in the United States, it indicates the necessity of the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. They must take action to stabilize the market, boost the economy, and restore investor confidence!
Therefore, we firmly believe that the Federal Reserve will announce a decision to cut interest rates in the near future. This decision will quickly trigger a strong reaction in the market, and a storm of skyrocketing prices is about to sweep in! Investors will reap rich returns in this storm and enjoy the endless fun brought by investment!
Join Brother Hua now and pay attention to our daily market analysis and high-quality potential currency recommendations. Let us ride the wind and waves in the ocean of the currency circle and find our own ship of wealth! Don't miss this market carnival caused by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut!
#美联储减息 #LTC提案ETF #6月份热门板块
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Bitcoin surges as Fed rate cut turns recession fears into market optimism
Crypto markets are driven by major policy changes and new technological developments. The highlight of the month was the Federal Reserve’s 50 basis point rate cut, which brought optimism to the market and sparked a strong rally in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. This dovish stance was echoed by similar actions by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE), reversing the market’s previous decline, with Bitcoin leading the rally.
Bitcoin’s Bullish Breakout
Bitcoin started the month on a volatile trading note, reaching as low as $52,700. However, after the Fed announced a rate cut, Bitcoin rallied from $58,000 to a recent high of $66,000 before closing at $63,300, a gain of more than 20%. This rally was reflected across the cryptocurrency market. With Bitcoin now targeting the key $70,000 resistance, the macro outlook for the remainder of 2024 appears positive, especially with the continued impact of Federal Reserve policy.
Bitcoin’s Bullish Breakout
Bitcoin started the month on a volatile trading note, reaching as low as $52,700. However, after the Fed announced a rate cut, Bitcoin rallied from $58,000 to a recent high of $66,000 before closing at $63,300, a gain of more than 20%. This rally was reflected across the cryptocurrency market. With Bitcoin now targeting the key $70,000 resistance, the macro outlook for the remainder of 2024 appears positive, especially with the continued impact of Federal Reserve policy.
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