美联储何时降息
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Altcoin Season Countdown: The Capital Rotation Code and the Foreshadowing of ETH's Comeback
The current market stands at the critical point of sector rotation—BTC's market cap dominance has hit the warning line of 60%. Historical patterns show that if Bitcoin remains within the $38,000 to $42,000 range, altcoins will enter a "pass the parcel" mode.
However, caution is needed as this round of capital flow has shown structural changes.
Why is capital neglecting ETH?
Market Cap Constraints: ETH's circulating market cap has reached $350 billion, needing $35 billion in incremental funds to increase by 10%, while new public chains like APT/FTM could double with just $5 billion in speculative expectations.
Although EIP-1559 has achieved the daily destruction of 2,000 ETH, the total staked amount has surpassed 30 million ETH (annual issuance rate of 2.8%), still lower than Bitcoin's post-halving narrative fatigue with an actual inflation rate of 1.7%.
Concepts like L2 scaling and Restaking have been repeatedly hyped, and institutions prefer to seek tenfold opportunities in "zero-narrative" small tokens.
ETH's "Prague Trap"
If the upgrade on May 7 can implement two key improvements:
EIP-7514 (Accelerated Staking Withdrawals): The staking unlock period will be compressed from 27 hours to 12 hours, which will stimulate the ETH staking rate to exceed 35% (currently 32%).
Proto-Danksharding shard testing: A phased achievement that increases TPS from 30 to over 1000, which may reignite institutional demand for ETH allocation.
Signal Observation Point: If Grayscale's ETH trust premium turns positive in the week before the upgrade, currently at -12%, it may indicate early positioning by institutions.
Fans who want to keep up with top strategies, follow me, and let me bring you an unprecedented experience in the crypto space! Brothers who want to keep up, call me!
#特朗普税改 #美联储何时降息 #特朗普暂停新关税
The current market stands at the critical point of sector rotation—BTC's market cap dominance has hit the warning line of 60%. Historical patterns show that if Bitcoin remains within the $38,000 to $42,000 range, altcoins will enter a "pass the parcel" mode.
However, caution is needed as this round of capital flow has shown structural changes.
Why is capital neglecting ETH?
Market Cap Constraints: ETH's circulating market cap has reached $350 billion, needing $35 billion in incremental funds to increase by 10%, while new public chains like APT/FTM could double with just $5 billion in speculative expectations.
Although EIP-1559 has achieved the daily destruction of 2,000 ETH, the total staked amount has surpassed 30 million ETH (annual issuance rate of 2.8%), still lower than Bitcoin's post-halving narrative fatigue with an actual inflation rate of 1.7%.
Concepts like L2 scaling and Restaking have been repeatedly hyped, and institutions prefer to seek tenfold opportunities in "zero-narrative" small tokens.
ETH's "Prague Trap"
If the upgrade on May 7 can implement two key improvements:
EIP-7514 (Accelerated Staking Withdrawals): The staking unlock period will be compressed from 27 hours to 12 hours, which will stimulate the ETH staking rate to exceed 35% (currently 32%).
Proto-Danksharding shard testing: A phased achievement that increases TPS from 30 to over 1000, which may reignite institutional demand for ETH allocation.
Signal Observation Point: If Grayscale's ETH trust premium turns positive in the week before the upgrade, currently at -12%, it may indicate early positioning by institutions.
Fans who want to keep up with top strategies, follow me, and let me bring you an unprecedented experience in the crypto space! Brothers who want to keep up, call me!
#特朗普税改 #美联储何时降息 #特朗普暂停新关税
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$BTC $ETH
Hahaha
Scammers have many tricks
Musk has also come out to "scam"
Don't be fooled
In the past two days, a scammer used AI to synthesize Musk's face on YouTube, and only used one video to defraud $28,000 in crypto assets😅 The scam method is that as long as the user sends any crypto assets, he will receive twice the amount in two days😅
Conan reminds everyone: scammers have many tricks, beware of being deceived.
#比特币大会 #美联储何时降息 ? #美国大选如何影响加密产业 ?#USEthereum Spot ETF starts trading #山寨季何时到来？
Hahaha
Scammers have many tricks
Musk has also come out to "scam"
Don't be fooled
In the past two days, a scammer used AI to synthesize Musk's face on YouTube, and only used one video to defraud $28,000 in crypto assets😅 The scam method is that as long as the user sends any crypto assets, he will receive twice the amount in two days😅
Conan reminds everyone: scammers have many tricks, beware of being deceived.
#比特币大会 #美联储何时降息 ? #美国大选如何影响加密产业 ?#USEthereum Spot ETF starts trading #山寨季何时到来？
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Some people say that this time the market will directly start a bull market like 312,
I don't think so.
Because at that time, the background of 312 was March 2020. The United States cut interest rates in July 2019. In addition to the epidemic and crude oil short positions, the United States urgently cut interest rates, and the bull market started.
But this time the market was smashed, not in an interest rate cut environment, but Japan's interest rate hike plus the unemployment rate of 4.3%, which made everyone worry about the US economic recession and panic selling. The bottom daily line did not go sideways, and there was no second step before the volume rose. There may be big troubles later, and everyone should be mentally prepared in advance
#TON #美联储何时降息 ? #加密市场反弹 $SOL $BTC $TON
I don't think so.
Because at that time, the background of 312 was March 2020. The United States cut interest rates in July 2019. In addition to the epidemic and crude oil short positions, the United States urgently cut interest rates, and the bull market started.
But this time the market was smashed, not in an interest rate cut environment, but Japan's interest rate hike plus the unemployment rate of 4.3%, which made everyone worry about the US economic recession and panic selling. The bottom daily line did not go sideways, and there was no second step before the volume rose. There may be big troubles later, and everyone should be mentally prepared in advance
#TON #美联储何时降息 ? #加密市场反弹 $SOL $BTC $TON
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"Dumbbell Strategy in Cryptocurrency Circle: Steady BTC and ETH, Enjoy MEME Carnival, VC Coin? Goodbye! New way to play in the bonus period, refuse anxiety, embrace stability!"
Now a new way of playing is popular - "dumbbell strategy".
Simple, crude and efficient! We,
Just look at the two big ones: Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).
These two big guys are as steady as old dogs, and you won't feel nervous when you have them.
As for those little gadgets, let's pick some interesting MEME coins to play with.
Just do it for fun, maybe you can make a fortune!
What about those VC coins that are sandwiched in the middle and praised by VCs?
Let's take a detour for now! This is not cowardice,
It is a wise choice. You see, the market is now "slimming down".
The pile of coins with ridiculously high valuations in the primary market,
Simple, crude and efficient! We,
Just look at the two big ones: Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).
These two big guys are as steady as old dogs, and you won't feel nervous when you have them.
As for those little gadgets, let's pick some interesting MEME coins to play with.
Just do it for fun, maybe you can make a fortune!
What about those VC coins that are sandwiched in the middle and praised by VCs?
Let's take a detour for now! This is not cowardice,
It is a wise choice. You see, the market is now "slimming down".
The pile of coins with ridiculously high valuations in the primary market,
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$SOL Heading for a Huge Macro Breakout
After two recent filings for a spot Solana ETF, SOL is heading for the top of a triangle, having been trading sideways inside it since mid-March. A huge breakout is coming. Is this to the upside or the downside?
The omens are good for Solana right now.
First, large asset manager VanEck filed for a spot Solana ETF, and then ARK 21Shares did the same. Of course, it could be another year or more before the SEC approves this, but the fact that these institutions see this as a logical next step is incredibly bullish in itself.
The next year will also be filled with comparisons between Ethereum and Solana, given that both Ethereum and Solana’s Layer 1s are vying for the crown of most users, transactions, and overall utility. Ethereum has its own Layer 2 that helps scale the network, while Solana is able to do everything on the main chain.
Ethereum is looking to the future with a series of upgrades to become more competitive in terms of scalability, speed, and fees, while Solana is preparing to implement its Firedancer validator client, which could revolutionize transaction speeds.
A breakout is coming, and given that SOL is in an ↑trend, it is more likely to be an upward breakout. If this happens, the most important resistance level is 200. ↑ This level would allow SOL to stand on some beautiful ＋ grid structure and be able to hit the all-time high of 260.
#美联储何时降息
After two recent filings for a spot Solana ETF, SOL is heading for the top of a triangle, having been trading sideways inside it since mid-March. A huge breakout is coming. Is this to the upside or the downside?
The omens are good for Solana right now.
First, large asset manager VanEck filed for a spot Solana ETF, and then ARK 21Shares did the same. Of course, it could be another year or more before the SEC approves this, but the fact that these institutions see this as a logical next step is incredibly bullish in itself.
The next year will also be filled with comparisons between Ethereum and Solana, given that both Ethereum and Solana’s Layer 1s are vying for the crown of most users, transactions, and overall utility. Ethereum has its own Layer 2 that helps scale the network, while Solana is able to do everything on the main chain.
Ethereum is looking to the future with a series of upgrades to become more competitive in terms of scalability, speed, and fees, while Solana is preparing to implement its Firedancer validator client, which could revolutionize transaction speeds.
A breakout is coming, and given that SOL is in an ↑trend, it is more likely to be an upward breakout. If this happens, the most important resistance level is 200. ↑ This level would allow SOL to stand on some beautiful ＋ grid structure and be able to hit the all-time high of 260.
#美联储何时降息
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The market may rebound in July! After the rebound, these coins will increase by 10-20 times
The market is expected to rebound from late July
Although Bitcoin has struggled to gain momentum due to a number of factors, most analysts, including JPMorgan, believe that the outlook will turn around.
According to a research note released by JPMorgan, liquidations in crypto markets should begin to subside in July, with markets expected to rebound from August.
Historically, Bitcoin has had a positive correlation with the S&P; however, this correlation began to weaken in late May as U.S. stocks surged while Bitcoin struggled with sideways and declines. This could change soon, with Bitcoin potentially catching up quickly through rapid price gains.
Although Bitcoin has struggled to gain momentum due to a number of factors, most analysts, including JPMorgan, believe that the outlook will turn around.
According to a research note released by JPMorgan, liquidations in crypto markets should begin to subside in July, with markets expected to rebound from August.
Historically, Bitcoin has had a positive correlation with the S&P; however, this correlation began to weaken in late May as U.S. stocks surged while Bitcoin struggled with sideways and declines. This could change soon, with Bitcoin potentially catching up quickly through rapid price gains.
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