美联储会议纪要
11,724 views
9 Discussing
Hot
Latest
See original
Federal Reserve meeting announces latest developments: Increased uncertainty in economic outlook, possible interest rate cuts one to two times before the end of the year
On May 28, the Federal Reserve released the minutes from the meeting held on May 6-7, indicating that although the federal funds rate remains between 4.25%-4.5%, the uncertainty regarding the future of the economy has significantly increased. Officials at the meeting unanimously agreed that it is necessary to closely monitor subsequent data and respond cautiously to potential risks, especially against the backdrop of rising unemployment rates and inflationary pressures.
According to the benchmark path for options pricing strategies, current mainstream market expectations suggest that there may be one to two interest rate cuts by the end of the year, each by 25 basis points, reflecting a growing expectation of economic slowdown.
Meanwhile, prominent commentator Nick Timiraos, known as a conduit for the Federal Reserve's views, disclosed that officials are concerned about the current economic situation not only due to traditional growth pressures but also due to the rising risk of stagflation.
Federal Reserve officials stated that recent tariff adjustments might push prices higher, leading to a "significant" rise in inflation, while the unemployment rate may remain elevated in the coming years.
In summary, this series of signals indicates that despite a potentially dovish economic forecast for June, officials maintain a cautious attitude towards the future direction of the economy.
Although market expectations suggest one to two interest rate cuts by the end of the year, this is more of a preventive measure against economic slowdown rather than an overly pessimistic view on the economic outlook.
In this context, investors need to closely monitor the Federal Reserve's subsequent movements and macroeconomic data to respond to potential market volatility.
#美联储会议纪要 #年底降息预期 #经济前景
On May 28, the Federal Reserve released the minutes from the meeting held on May 6-7, indicating that although the federal funds rate remains between 4.25%-4.5%, the uncertainty regarding the future of the economy has significantly increased. Officials at the meeting unanimously agreed that it is necessary to closely monitor subsequent data and respond cautiously to potential risks, especially against the backdrop of rising unemployment rates and inflationary pressures.
According to the benchmark path for options pricing strategies, current mainstream market expectations suggest that there may be one to two interest rate cuts by the end of the year, each by 25 basis points, reflecting a growing expectation of economic slowdown.
Meanwhile, prominent commentator Nick Timiraos, known as a conduit for the Federal Reserve's views, disclosed that officials are concerned about the current economic situation not only due to traditional growth pressures but also due to the rising risk of stagflation.
Federal Reserve officials stated that recent tariff adjustments might push prices higher, leading to a "significant" rise in inflation, while the unemployment rate may remain elevated in the coming years.
In summary, this series of signals indicates that despite a potentially dovish economic forecast for June, officials maintain a cautious attitude towards the future direction of the economy.
Although market expectations suggest one to two interest rate cuts by the end of the year, this is more of a preventive measure against economic slowdown rather than an overly pessimistic view on the economic outlook.
In this context, investors need to closely monitor the Federal Reserve's subsequent movements and macroeconomic data to respond to potential market volatility.
#美联储会议纪要 #年底降息预期 #经济前景
See original
The number of ADP employment in the United States in June was 150,000, which was expected to be 160,000 and the previous value was 152,000. The number of ADP employment in the United States in June was 150,000, the smallest increase since January 2024. (Small positive)
At 2 a.m., the Federal Reserve released the minutes of the monetary policy meeting, which had a great impact on the market. Night owls can pay more attention to it. Those who don’t know how to distinguish good and bad news can follow me and do dog dealers together tonight. #非农就业数据即将公布 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #美联储会议纪要
At 2 a.m., the Federal Reserve released the minutes of the monetary policy meeting, which had a great impact on the market. Night owls can pay more attention to it. Those who don’t know how to distinguish good and bad news can follow me and do dog dealers together tonight. #非农就业数据即将公布 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #美联储会议纪要
See original
Why Did the Market Rise Then Fall This Week? From Trump's Dynamics to Rate Cut Expectations, From the U.S. Plan to Sell BTC to the Upcoming Non-Farm Payroll Data! Recent Hot Topics and Their Impact on the Cryptocurrency Market Analysis.
Macroeconomic Interpretation: Many friends may wonder why the market was on an upward trend this Monday, showing signs of breaking new highs, only to plummet from a high of $102,762 on Tuesday, quickly dropping to around $92,500?
On December 26, the day after Christmas (Christmas Day in the U.S.), we analyzed the resistance level for BTC near $102,770 and the support level near $92,520 in the research report. This week, the highest and lowest points of the market have all aligned with the predicted resistance and support levels. For specifics, refer to the article from December 26.
On December 26, the day after Christmas (Christmas Day in the U.S.), we analyzed the resistance level for BTC near $102,770 and the support level near $92,520 in the research report. This week, the highest and lowest points of the market have all aligned with the predicted resistance and support levels. For specifics, refer to the article from December 26.
See original
#美联储会议纪要
The minutes of the Federal Reserve's September meeting brought uncertainty to the price of Bitcoin.
The meeting showed that the uncertainty of a 50 basis point rate cut increased,
which weakened the market's expectations for a rate cut in November,
and put bearish pressure on the price of Bitcoin.
At the same time, the minutes emphasized that the economic situation will be fully assessed,
including factors such as the labor market, inflation and international development,
which exacerbated market volatility.
In addition, the US presidential election is approaching,
and the uncertainty of the election results has also had an impact on the price of Bitcoin.
Despite many variables,
analysts still have different views on the future of Bitcoin,
and some predict that the price may rise.
However, these predictions are based on the current market situation,
and future trends still need to be observed.
#SCR新币挖矿开始！ #6万保卫战 #非农人数大幅升温 #btc
If you want to seize this round of bull market, it is definitely too late to learn and sell now,
and it is best to have someone to take you to get started quickly. I am Wildcat, welcome to communicate!
The minutes of the Federal Reserve's September meeting brought uncertainty to the price of Bitcoin.
The meeting showed that the uncertainty of a 50 basis point rate cut increased,
which weakened the market's expectations for a rate cut in November,
and put bearish pressure on the price of Bitcoin.
At the same time, the minutes emphasized that the economic situation will be fully assessed,
including factors such as the labor market, inflation and international development,
which exacerbated market volatility.
In addition, the US presidential election is approaching,
and the uncertainty of the election results has also had an impact on the price of Bitcoin.
Despite many variables,
analysts still have different views on the future of Bitcoin,
and some predict that the price may rise.
However, these predictions are based on the current market situation,
and future trends still need to be observed.
#SCR新币挖矿开始！ #6万保卫战 #非农人数大幅升温 #btc
If you want to seize this round of bull market, it is definitely too late to learn and sell now,
and it is best to have someone to take you to get started quickly. I am Wildcat, welcome to communicate!
See original
BTC market analysis on August 1
The title of the content I sent to you yesterday was: The rebound will not exceed Shanhaiguan. Shanhaiguan clearly stated that it is at 67,000. Now that it has fallen to this level, it is estimated that it will not rise above 67,000 at 8 o'clock.
Trading is actually very simple. You just need to look at the trend, provided that you can understand the trend signal. News is unreliable.
#BTC
#ETH
#美联储会议纪要
The title of the content I sent to you yesterday was: The rebound will not exceed Shanhaiguan. Shanhaiguan clearly stated that it is at 67,000. Now that it has fallen to this level, it is estimated that it will not rise above 67,000 at 8 o'clock.
Trading is actually very simple. You just need to look at the trend, provided that you can understand the trend signal. News is unreliable.
#BTC
#ETH
#美联储会议纪要
Login to explore more contents