美国6月CPI大幅降温
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美国6月未季调CPI年率录得3.0%，远低于市场预期的3.1%，大幅回落至去年6月以来最低水平。6月季调后CPI月率录得-0.1%，为2020年5月以来首次录得负值。
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Biden's withdrawal from the election may be a negative.
1: Because the market has already priced in Trump's coming to power, if Biden withdraws from the election, it may cause problems with Trump's trading logic.
2: Mainly, there are still a few months before the real election at this stage, and anything can happen in these few months.
3: Therefore, the market of Trump's trading logic may be hindered in the short term. Of course, the most important thing is to observe the financial report data this week.
#以太坊ETF批准预期 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #WazirX黑客事件 #山寨季何时到来？ #美国6月CPI大幅降温
1: Because the market has already priced in Trump's coming to power, if Biden withdraws from the election, it may cause problems with Trump's trading logic.
2: Mainly, there are still a few months before the real election at this stage, and anything can happen in these few months.
3: Therefore, the market of Trump's trading logic may be hindered in the short term. Of course, the most important thing is to observe the financial report data this week.
#以太坊ETF批准预期 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #WazirX黑客事件 #山寨季何时到来？ #美国6月CPI大幅降温
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Trump effect becomes the trump card for Bitcoin price increase? Cuban reveals the truth behind the operation of Silicon Valley bigwigs!
Cuban's bold guess
On social media X, Cuban bluntly said that Silicon Valley bigwigs' support for Trump may not be based on their sincere agreement with his cryptocurrency stance, but rather on the opportunity to "push up" Bitcoin that Trump's policies may bring!
Although Trump's cryptocurrency-friendly stance has its positive effects, Cuban believes that such support may not immediately drive up cryptocurrency prices. The real "fuel" may come from potential policy changes by the SEC, low tax rates, and possible inflation, which are the real forces driving Bitcoin prices.
Bitcoin's safe haven dream
Cuban also pointed out that global concerns about the US dollar and geopolitical uncertainties have made Bitcoin a global "safe haven" currency. Imagine how high the price of Bitcoin might soar if the US dollar's status is shaken? Cuban said: "Much higher than you think!"
Bitcoin's global impact
Cuban added that the dream of Bitcoin as a global currency has begun to emerge in some countries, especially in those fighting hyperinflation. This trend is particularly evident.
Support from Silicon Valley bigwigs
As Trump announced JD Vance as his running mate, Silicon Valley conservatives and crypto industry bigwigs also expressed their support. Among them, Kraken's Jesse Powell, Gemini's Winklevoss brothers, and Ark Invest's Cathie Wood and other celebrities have praised Trump's stance on cryptocurrency.
#以太坊ETF批准预期 #山寨季何时到来？ #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #BTC☀ $BTC $WLD $SOL
Cuban's bold guess
On social media X, Cuban bluntly said that Silicon Valley bigwigs' support for Trump may not be based on their sincere agreement with his cryptocurrency stance, but rather on the opportunity to "push up" Bitcoin that Trump's policies may bring!
Although Trump's cryptocurrency-friendly stance has its positive effects, Cuban believes that such support may not immediately drive up cryptocurrency prices. The real "fuel" may come from potential policy changes by the SEC, low tax rates, and possible inflation, which are the real forces driving Bitcoin prices.
Bitcoin's safe haven dream
Cuban also pointed out that global concerns about the US dollar and geopolitical uncertainties have made Bitcoin a global "safe haven" currency. Imagine how high the price of Bitcoin might soar if the US dollar's status is shaken? Cuban said: "Much higher than you think!"
Bitcoin's global impact
Cuban added that the dream of Bitcoin as a global currency has begun to emerge in some countries, especially in those fighting hyperinflation. This trend is particularly evident.
Support from Silicon Valley bigwigs
As Trump announced JD Vance as his running mate, Silicon Valley conservatives and crypto industry bigwigs also expressed their support. Among them, Kraken's Jesse Powell, Gemini's Winklevoss brothers, and Ark Invest's Cathie Wood and other celebrities have praised Trump's stance on cryptocurrency.
#以太坊ETF批准预期 #山寨季何时到来？ #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #BTC☀ $BTC $WLD $SOL
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How to expect a rate cut after CPI
The CPI data is out, what should we do? What does it mean for interest rate cuts?
Looking at the data itself, both the basic and core CPI were slightly below expectations, which is exactly what the Fed wants to see. Inflation is on a downward trajectory, and over the next two to three months, the CPI should fall back to the 2% range, so this is very good news, getting closer and closer to the Fed's 2% target.
So what does this mean for interest rates? First of all, I think it is impossible to cut interest rates in July. The Fed will not panic and there is no need to cut interest rates in July. The market expects a 70% chance of a rate cut in September, which I personally think is a bit high. Powell said he wants to see more monthly data, so this includes August's CPI and possibly September's non-farm payroll report. It is not impossible to cut interest rates in September, but the probability is not as high as 70%. The probability of a rate cut this year is higher than ever before. The US economy is gradually slowing down from overheating, accompanied by a decline in inflation, which is good news for all markets.
Looking at the data itself, both the basic and core CPI were slightly below expectations, which is exactly what the Fed wants to see. Inflation is on a downward trajectory, and over the next two to three months, the CPI should fall back to the 2% range, so this is very good news, getting closer and closer to the Fed's 2% target.
So what does this mean for interest rates? First of all, I think it is impossible to cut interest rates in July. The Fed will not panic and there is no need to cut interest rates in July. The market expects a 70% chance of a rate cut in September, which I personally think is a bit high. Powell said he wants to see more monthly data, so this includes August's CPI and possibly September's non-farm payroll report. It is not impossible to cut interest rates in September, but the probability is not as high as 70%. The probability of a rate cut this year is higher than ever before. The US economy is gradually slowing down from overheating, accompanied by a decline in inflation, which is good news for all markets.
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Trump trade gets closer
The Trump trade is back in the spotlight. What is the Trump trade and why should traders pay attention?
First, the market had time to digest the assassination of Trump, which calmed down the whole thing a little. Now the market is thinking that in addition to Trump winning the election and defeating Biden, he may also win the House of Representatives and the Senate, which means he will control the entire Congress, which means he can do whatever he wants, and this is the origin of the Trump deal.
I encountered a few weeks ago that if Trump expands his lead in the polls, the market will focus more on Trump risk, which is exactly what is happening now. Some of Trump's policies will lead to high inflation, such as increasing tariffs on goods by 10%, and stripping the independence of the Federal Reserve, which is not good for the United States. So if he controls Congress, the market will be more confident that he can implement these policies, and even introduce more radical policies. Trump trading focuses on these aspects. Imposing tariffs will cause inflation, which is bad for US bonds; stripping the independence of the Federal Reserve is also bad for US bonds, and may even cause high interest rates in the short term until Trump takes down the Federal Reserve, but who will want to buy US bonds at that time?
First, the market had time to digest the assassination of Trump, which calmed down the whole thing a little. Now the market is thinking that in addition to Trump winning the election and defeating Biden, he may also win the House of Representatives and the Senate, which means he will control the entire Congress, which means he can do whatever he wants, and this is the origin of the Trump deal.
I encountered a few weeks ago that if Trump expands his lead in the polls, the market will focus more on Trump risk, which is exactly what is happening now. Some of Trump's policies will lead to high inflation, such as increasing tariffs on goods by 10%, and stripping the independence of the Federal Reserve, which is not good for the United States. So if he controls Congress, the market will be more confident that he can implement these policies, and even introduce more radical policies. Trump trading focuses on these aspects. Imposing tariffs will cause inflation, which is bad for US bonds; stripping the independence of the Federal Reserve is also bad for US bonds, and may even cause high interest rates in the short term until Trump takes down the Federal Reserve, but who will want to buy US bonds at that time?
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Good afternoon, everyone. Yesterday's CPI can be said to be a positive sign. It broke through the daily pressure level around 3150 and reached a high of 3215. You can short sell at 3150 during the day. Continue to short sell around 3215. #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #
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$1000SATS BTC stands firm at 62550, this round of short-term trend is confirmed! But does it mean that the big reversal in July is coming!
The more time BTC consolidates at 58000, the more energy it accumulates! The better the rebound will be! But 65600 needs to be sold!
ORDI is 39 dollars! How many people will rush today? Can't bear it?
PEPE, WIF, NOT, BOME, PEOPLE are strong and continue the SOL series, and the local dog is hot! This is the case with strong dealers!
FLOKI also follows the increase list! They are all the coins with key points!
A few days ago, I also said that the big cake is stable at present, and it will be a carnival period of more than ten days, right! But I am selling in this range! Is it a counter-trend trade? Not really, I cleared out the profit of the previous principal!
Look at my 500 replies to the post! Posting real-time operations every day, I sell and buy these coins at the point, and the time is very clear! The extent of sats is far more than doubled! What is typed out are partial positions in real time! Then what about the other time...
For those who like short-term contracts and operate frequently, I have repeatedly advised them. The text and reply I sent are very clear! Go in when it is falling, and don’t ask if the bull is coming again when it rises! The result is that you ask again and again according to your own psychological hints... Think about it from another perspective. If you achieve this volume, will you treat these people like this... Will you see...
When you sleep, I am watching the market and looking for news. When you play, I am also watching the market! If you don’t work hard, you will still talk nonsense. I see human nature more clearly than you... If you experience several rounds of bull and bear markets in the currency circle and participate deeply in it, you will understand! The darkest and hypocritical... Only the data on the chain can make people sober for a moment!
Before Thursday, I personally think that Monday is missing the killing! It will come again! We must operate against human nature! There is still a carnival moment when the mid-term stands on 62550. I have drawn the key coins, and there are still opportunities among them... Grasp them well!
#美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #内容挖矿 $PEPE $NOT
The more time BTC consolidates at 58000, the more energy it accumulates! The better the rebound will be! But 65600 needs to be sold!
ORDI is 39 dollars! How many people will rush today? Can't bear it?
PEPE, WIF, NOT, BOME, PEOPLE are strong and continue the SOL series, and the local dog is hot! This is the case with strong dealers!
FLOKI also follows the increase list! They are all the coins with key points!
A few days ago, I also said that the big cake is stable at present, and it will be a carnival period of more than ten days, right! But I am selling in this range! Is it a counter-trend trade? Not really, I cleared out the profit of the previous principal!
Look at my 500 replies to the post! Posting real-time operations every day, I sell and buy these coins at the point, and the time is very clear! The extent of sats is far more than doubled! What is typed out are partial positions in real time! Then what about the other time...
For those who like short-term contracts and operate frequently, I have repeatedly advised them. The text and reply I sent are very clear! Go in when it is falling, and don’t ask if the bull is coming again when it rises! The result is that you ask again and again according to your own psychological hints... Think about it from another perspective. If you achieve this volume, will you treat these people like this... Will you see...
When you sleep, I am watching the market and looking for news. When you play, I am also watching the market! If you don’t work hard, you will still talk nonsense. I see human nature more clearly than you... If you experience several rounds of bull and bear markets in the currency circle and participate deeply in it, you will understand! The darkest and hypocritical... Only the data on the chain can make people sober for a moment!
Before Thursday, I personally think that Monday is missing the killing! It will come again! We must operate against human nature! There is still a carnival moment when the mid-term stands on 62550. I have drawn the key coins, and there are still opportunities among them... Grasp them well!
#美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #内容挖矿 $PEPE $NOT
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Happy 7th Anniversary Binance!
Today is 2024.07.14, Binance’s seventh anniversary!
Happy 7th anniversary to Binance! Time flies, and Binance has ushered in its 7th anniversary celebration. These 7 years have been 7 years of Binance's continuous exploration, innovation and growth, and 7 years that have left a deep mark in the field of blockchain and digital currency.
Looking back over the past seven years, Binance has grown from a new platform to an industry leader. It has won the trust and support of users around the world with its advanced technology, strict security standards and high-quality user services.
In terms of technology, Binance has always been at the forefront of the industry, continuously investing in research and development resources to improve the performance and stability of the trading system. Whether it is high-frequency trading or large-scale capital flows, Binance can handle it with ease, providing users with a smooth and efficient trading experience.
Happy 7th anniversary to Binance! Time flies, and Binance has ushered in its 7th anniversary celebration. These 7 years have been 7 years of Binance's continuous exploration, innovation and growth, and 7 years that have left a deep mark in the field of blockchain and digital currency.
Looking back over the past seven years, Binance has grown from a new platform to an industry leader. It has won the trust and support of users around the world with its advanced technology, strict security standards and high-quality user services.
In terms of technology, Binance has always been at the forefront of the industry, continuously investing in research and development resources to improve the performance and stability of the trading system. Whether it is high-frequency trading or large-scale capital flows, Binance can handle it with ease, providing users with a smooth and efficient trading experience.
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I went to meet a friend in the cryptocurrency circle yesterday. He is pretty awesome, but he doesn't play anymore!
In the last bull market, he bought 1000wu with 5000u
We drank some wine, and he kept talking while we were chatting, sharing his awesome deeds.
I summarized it after I came back, and there are probably a few points.
If you are a retail investor, and you don't know how to play, or you don't know how to make a profit, then you should really learn it! !
1. National currency strategy: applicable across markets, the core is to patiently hold high-quality currencies for at least half a year to a year, avoid the temptation of short-term fluctuations, and the potential returns are rich but it tests your determination.
2. Bull market chasing decline: exclusive to the bull market, use a small proportion of funds (≤20% of the total funds) to flexibly switch positions between currencies in the 20-100 market value range to capture rebound opportunities, but you need to select currencies to avoid deep traps.
3. Hourglass car replacement: bull market strategy, follow the trend of capital flow, gradually layout from leading to small coins, capture the round of rising market, and improve overall returns.
4. Pyramid bottom-fishing: predict the plunge, buy in batches and proportion (10%-40%) at different low prices of the currency to reduce the average cost, suitable for the market after the big plunge,
5. Moving average operation: based on K-line knowledge, set multiple moving averages (MA5-MA60), decide to buy and sell according to the relationship between the current price and the moving average, and simplify trading decisions.
6. Dynamic national currency: for familiar long-term high-quality coins, set the opening and selling price difference (±10%), use capital flow to realize rolling national currency, and accelerate asset accumulation.
7. Aisiou compound interest: participate in new currency investment, take back the principal and reinvest after reaching the preset increase, roll the profit and accelerate capital appreciation.
8. Cyclic band: select volatile currencies, add positions in batches when they fall, sell them when they rise, and realize a stable income cycle through volatility.
9. Small-amount diversification: Small-amount funds (such as 10,000 yuan) are diversified into low-priced small coins (≤ 3 yuan), held for a long time and waited for substantial appreciation, and the principal is recovered and reinvested in due course, using the compound interest effect to amplify the returns.
#美国6月CPI大幅降温 #BTC #ETH #NOT
In capital market investment, active strategy is king.
Whether it is macroeconomics, micro analysis, technical aspects, quick news capture, or currency trends, project research, and contract operations, they all require strong trading capabilities to support, rather than blindly following the trend.
In the last bull market, he bought 1000wu with 5000u
We drank some wine, and he kept talking while we were chatting, sharing his awesome deeds.
I summarized it after I came back, and there are probably a few points.
If you are a retail investor, and you don't know how to play, or you don't know how to make a profit, then you should really learn it! !
1. National currency strategy: applicable across markets, the core is to patiently hold high-quality currencies for at least half a year to a year, avoid the temptation of short-term fluctuations, and the potential returns are rich but it tests your determination.
2. Bull market chasing decline: exclusive to the bull market, use a small proportion of funds (≤20% of the total funds) to flexibly switch positions between currencies in the 20-100 market value range to capture rebound opportunities, but you need to select currencies to avoid deep traps.
3. Hourglass car replacement: bull market strategy, follow the trend of capital flow, gradually layout from leading to small coins, capture the round of rising market, and improve overall returns.
4. Pyramid bottom-fishing: predict the plunge, buy in batches and proportion (10%-40%) at different low prices of the currency to reduce the average cost, suitable for the market after the big plunge,
5. Moving average operation: based on K-line knowledge, set multiple moving averages (MA5-MA60), decide to buy and sell according to the relationship between the current price and the moving average, and simplify trading decisions.
6. Dynamic national currency: for familiar long-term high-quality coins, set the opening and selling price difference (±10%), use capital flow to realize rolling national currency, and accelerate asset accumulation.
7. Aisiou compound interest: participate in new currency investment, take back the principal and reinvest after reaching the preset increase, roll the profit and accelerate capital appreciation.
8. Cyclic band: select volatile currencies, add positions in batches when they fall, sell them when they rise, and realize a stable income cycle through volatility.
9. Small-amount diversification: Small-amount funds (such as 10,000 yuan) are diversified into low-priced small coins (≤ 3 yuan), held for a long time and waited for substantial appreciation, and the principal is recovered and reinvested in due course, using the compound interest effect to amplify the returns.
#美国6月CPI大幅降温 #BTC #ETH #NOT
In capital market investment, active strategy is king.
Whether it is macroeconomics, micro analysis, technical aspects, quick news capture, or currency trends, project research, and contract operations, they all require strong trading capabilities to support, rather than blindly following the trend.
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What happened to the sharp drop in CPI after its release?
Last night, US technology stocks plunged, and cryptocurrencies have continued to fall. I think many people are wondering what is going on, and will this continue?
After the release of CPI data last night, some large technology stocks were gradually sold off. They are the main force behind the stock market's rise this year, including Apple, Tesla and Apple. In the end, the Nasdaq closed down 2%, the biggest drop in a long time. What happened?
I think what we are seeing is a rotation. Long tech stocks have always been a crowded trade, and so have cryptocurrencies. Everyone on Wall Street has bought these companies, and they have basically been pushing up the Nasdaq all year long, and everyone is holding these stocks. And yesterday's CPI miss almost guarantees a rate cut this year, and the probability of September has increased, so some people are starting to move to the most interest rate sensitive sectors, small cap stocks such as the Russell 2000 index. The big companies where everyone is making money are taking profits and rotating into the Russell, which has previously performed poorly. Because the market is so confident about the rate cut, the interest rate sensitive sectors benefited, so the Russell 200 index closed up more than 3%. So basically this rotation trend. Because the previous trade was too crowded, once one or two large investment funds start rotating, others see it and join in.
After the release of CPI data last night, some large technology stocks were gradually sold off. They are the main force behind the stock market's rise this year, including Apple, Tesla and Apple. In the end, the Nasdaq closed down 2%, the biggest drop in a long time. What happened?
I think what we are seeing is a rotation. Long tech stocks have always been a crowded trade, and so have cryptocurrencies. Everyone on Wall Street has bought these companies, and they have basically been pushing up the Nasdaq all year long, and everyone is holding these stocks. And yesterday's CPI miss almost guarantees a rate cut this year, and the probability of September has increased, so some people are starting to move to the most interest rate sensitive sectors, small cap stocks such as the Russell 2000 index. The big companies where everyone is making money are taking profits and rotating into the Russell, which has previously performed poorly. Because the market is so confident about the rate cut, the interest rate sensitive sectors benefited, so the Russell 200 index closed up more than 3%. So basically this rotation trend. Because the previous trade was too crowded, once one or two large investment funds start rotating, others see it and join in.
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BTC and ETH have already risen by more than 10% this round. Can the upward trend continue?#BTC#USDT#BINANCEWeex Exchange is suspected of gambling fraud, tampering with orders, freezing user funds, and money laundering in OTC business! Relevant departments have launched an investigation!
#美国6月CPI大幅降温 #币安7周年 #美联储何时降息？
#美国6月CPI大幅降温 #币安7周年 #美联储何时降息？
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