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Looking back at my views from last month, it has already indicated that the market is not performing well. Regarding the uncertainty of the future market.
It is still uncertain now; why are there still so many people risking it all for the last few gains, working hard when they should be resting? This will leave you exhausted.
Just like the current market, if there is a rebound here, will it reach a new high? What is the probability of a new high? How much profit can you actually make? If the market does not reach a new high and only has a short rebound, will you endure more uncertain risks for this brief gain of a few thousand dollars?
Personally, I feel that the current market is very uncertain; it might be better to leave the gambling table and go outside to breathe some fresh air.
If the market truly follows a major trend, you will have enough time to react; there is no need to capture every movement. It is acceptable to let go at times; a little fulfillment in life is sufficient, while excessive fulfillment can easily backfire.
As the old saying goes, if you want people to remain calm, always leave them with a bit of hunger and cold.
#特朗普签署行政命令 #德克萨斯州比特币战略储备法案 #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #美国加密战略储备
It is still uncertain now; why are there still so many people risking it all for the last few gains, working hard when they should be resting? This will leave you exhausted.
Just like the current market, if there is a rebound here, will it reach a new high? What is the probability of a new high? How much profit can you actually make? If the market does not reach a new high and only has a short rebound, will you endure more uncertain risks for this brief gain of a few thousand dollars?
Personally, I feel that the current market is very uncertain; it might be better to leave the gambling table and go outside to breathe some fresh air.
If the market truly follows a major trend, you will have enough time to react; there is no need to capture every movement. It is acceptable to let go at times; a little fulfillment in life is sufficient, while excessive fulfillment can easily backfire.
As the old saying goes, if you want people to remain calm, always leave them with a bit of hunger and cold.
#特朗普签署行政命令 #德克萨斯州比特币战略储备法案 #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #美国加密战略储备
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I hope everyone has avoided the risks, but from the current situation, it seems that time is favorable for the bulls. The next step is a process of accumulating spot chips, followed by a rebound, but it is very likely that it won't exceed 100,000. It will still need to come down afterwards.
#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #芝商所将推出SOL期货 #比特币价格走势分析
#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #芝商所将推出SOL期货 #比特币价格走势分析
导演
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Bearish
It has been two months since the last perspective, and looking back now, it truly seems there are no issues, and it has indeed broken historical highs.
However, at this stage, Trump is already in office, and various favorable policies have been implemented correspondingly. The market has already digested these positives early on, and without new forces driving it, it will be hard for the market to have much vigor going forward.
The main reason lies with Trump; it is said that success and failure both rest with him. Currently, the market, including the entire US stock market, is facing uncertainty regarding Trump's policies. Additionally, from the current large non-farm payroll data, we can see that the economy is very healthy.
The uncertainty of Trump (in terms of policies and trade wars) and a healthy economy will make the Federal Reserve bolder and less anxious to cut interest rates. They can take a closer look. In an unfriendly external environment, it will be hard for Bitcoin to find new momentum; more likely, it will just fluctuate, leading many profitable individuals to gradually exit the market. If buying pressure fails to keep up, it will result in a downward fluctuation process.
As the saying goes, 'no breaking, no standing.' If we want a good market to emerge, all prior issues need to be detonated, providing appropriate prices, or we must wait for the market to begin to understand Trump's policy trajectory, after which stability will set in, allowing for new opportunities.
Based on these reasons, I personally suggest to watch more and act less. The outlook for the future market is not very friendly.
#非农就业数据来袭 #比特币后市 #比特币盘整将持续多久？ #美国加征关税
However, at this stage, Trump is already in office, and various favorable policies have been implemented correspondingly. The market has already digested these positives early on, and without new forces driving it, it will be hard for the market to have much vigor going forward.
The main reason lies with Trump; it is said that success and failure both rest with him. Currently, the market, including the entire US stock market, is facing uncertainty regarding Trump's policies. Additionally, from the current large non-farm payroll data, we can see that the economy is very healthy.
The uncertainty of Trump (in terms of policies and trade wars) and a healthy economy will make the Federal Reserve bolder and less anxious to cut interest rates. They can take a closer look. In an unfriendly external environment, it will be hard for Bitcoin to find new momentum; more likely, it will just fluctuate, leading many profitable individuals to gradually exit the market. If buying pressure fails to keep up, it will result in a downward fluctuation process.
As the saying goes, 'no breaking, no standing.' If we want a good market to emerge, all prior issues need to be detonated, providing appropriate prices, or we must wait for the market to begin to understand Trump's policy trajectory, after which stability will set in, allowing for new opportunities.
Based on these reasons, I personally suggest to watch more and act less. The outlook for the future market is not very friendly.
#非农就业数据来袭 #比特币后市 #比特币盘整将持续多久？ #美国加征关税
See original
It has been two months since the last perspective, and looking back now, it truly seems there are no issues, and it has indeed broken historical highs.
However, at this stage, Trump is already in office, and various favorable policies have been implemented correspondingly. The market has already digested these positives early on, and without new forces driving it, it will be hard for the market to have much vigor going forward.
The main reason lies with Trump; it is said that success and failure both rest with him. Currently, the market, including the entire US stock market, is facing uncertainty regarding Trump's policies. Additionally, from the current large non-farm payroll data, we can see that the economy is very healthy.
The uncertainty of Trump (in terms of policies and trade wars) and a healthy economy will make the Federal Reserve bolder and less anxious to cut interest rates. They can take a closer look. In an unfriendly external environment, it will be hard for Bitcoin to find new momentum; more likely, it will just fluctuate, leading many profitable individuals to gradually exit the market. If buying pressure fails to keep up, it will result in a downward fluctuation process.
As the saying goes, 'no breaking, no standing.' If we want a good market to emerge, all prior issues need to be detonated, providing appropriate prices, or we must wait for the market to begin to understand Trump's policy trajectory, after which stability will set in, allowing for new opportunities.
Based on these reasons, I personally suggest to watch more and act less. The outlook for the future market is not very friendly.
#非农就业数据来袭 #比特币后市 #比特币盘整将持续多久？ #美国加征关税
However, at this stage, Trump is already in office, and various favorable policies have been implemented correspondingly. The market has already digested these positives early on, and without new forces driving it, it will be hard for the market to have much vigor going forward.
The main reason lies with Trump; it is said that success and failure both rest with him. Currently, the market, including the entire US stock market, is facing uncertainty regarding Trump's policies. Additionally, from the current large non-farm payroll data, we can see that the economy is very healthy.
The uncertainty of Trump (in terms of policies and trade wars) and a healthy economy will make the Federal Reserve bolder and less anxious to cut interest rates. They can take a closer look. In an unfriendly external environment, it will be hard for Bitcoin to find new momentum; more likely, it will just fluctuate, leading many profitable individuals to gradually exit the market. If buying pressure fails to keep up, it will result in a downward fluctuation process.
As the saying goes, 'no breaking, no standing.' If we want a good market to emerge, all prior issues need to be detonated, providing appropriate prices, or we must wait for the market to begin to understand Trump's policy trajectory, after which stability will set in, allowing for new opportunities.
Based on these reasons, I personally suggest to watch more and act less. The outlook for the future market is not very friendly.
#非农就业数据来袭 #比特币后市 #比特币盘整将持续多久？ #美国加征关税
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It's been a long time since I shared my views. A long time ago, I mentioned that the big pancake would inevitably break through, and now it's reached 100,000. In relative terms, I still feel that we are only at the early stage of the mid-term.
Yesterday's decline was merely a part of the Federal Reserve's management of market expectations. The market had already anticipated about two rate cuts next year, and yesterday's drop was just an excuse for a correction. However, many people think it might be a bear market, but that's not the case.
We need to understand two core things.
1. The United States is still in a rate-cutting cycle; it's just that the extent and frequency of rate cuts have decreased. What remains unchanged is that we are still in a rate-cutting cycle.
2. This point is quite important: the U.S. economy is still very strong. As long as the economy remains robust and companies continue to have decent revenue growth, the market will rise. After all, when the economy is doing well, companies are making money, and liquidity will be sufficient.
So, based on the above, there’s actually no need to worry. After all, the Federal Reserve is only reducing the number of rate cuts. However, the liquidity itself has not been drained; instead, due to the strong economy, liquidity may actually become even more abundant.
#加密市场回调 #市场调整後的机会？ #圣诞行情预测
Yesterday's decline was merely a part of the Federal Reserve's management of market expectations. The market had already anticipated about two rate cuts next year, and yesterday's drop was just an excuse for a correction. However, many people think it might be a bear market, but that's not the case.
We need to understand two core things.
1. The United States is still in a rate-cutting cycle; it's just that the extent and frequency of rate cuts have decreased. What remains unchanged is that we are still in a rate-cutting cycle.
2. This point is quite important: the U.S. economy is still very strong. As long as the economy remains robust and companies continue to have decent revenue growth, the market will rise. After all, when the economy is doing well, companies are making money, and liquidity will be sufficient.
So, based on the above, there’s actually no need to worry. After all, the Federal Reserve is only reducing the number of rate cuts. However, the liquidity itself has not been drained; instead, due to the strong economy, liquidity may actually become even more abundant.
#加密市场回调 #市场调整後的机会？ #圣诞行情预测
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What else can we say about the bull market? Just hold your position and wait patiently, and enjoy the comfort brought by the main rising wave. Don't be jealous of others' gains. What you hold will not be bad. What is coming will come. Opportunities are reserved for those who are prepared. So what we need to do in the current market is to hold our position patiently and not be thrown off by short-term fluctuations.
#BTC冲破9万 #美国CPI公布后降息预期上升 #BTC连续破新高，你看到多少？
#BTC冲破9万 #美国CPI公布后降息预期上升 #BTC连续破新高，你看到多少？
导演
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Bullish
We will have to wait and see whether there will be a round of trend before the end of the year. At present, the big cake has been in a big arc bottom from 21 years to now. It is now in a cup handle state and will break through sooner or later.
#BTC能否站稳6W4 #Meme浪潮持续，你看好哪一个？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #meme超级周期
#BTC能否站稳6W4 #Meme浪潮持续，你看好哪一个？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #meme超级周期
See original
Trump's coming to power is a positive in the short term, but it is more complicated in the long term.
Mainly, Trump's coming to power will affect the Fed's monetary decision-making, so relatively speaking, the Fed may be more hesitant to cut interest rates in the future. It is not even ruled out that the interest rate cut may be stopped, which may cause market concerns about the economy at that time.
If the Fed delays the interest rate cut, economic uncertainty will increase, and investors' risk aversion may rise.
The collapse of interest rate cut expectations will increase the possibility of recession and the risk of market correction.
Macro •
Stock market surges: Trump says he will further reduce corporate tax from the current 21% to 15% to increase corporate profitability
Bond market plummets: Inflation will rise due to tariffs and reduced immigration, and the Fed is more concerned about cutting interest rates, which is not good for the bond market; in addition, tax cuts will significantly increase the fiscal deficit, which is also not good for the bond market
Dollar appreciation: Tax cuts and tariffs will allow companies to return to the United States, and capital repatriation will lead to an appreciation of the dollar
Gold plummets: The appreciation of the dollar and the rise in interest rates caused by the sharp drop in the bond market are both not good for gold
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美国加密概念股飙升 #山寨季将至？ #美联储利率决议来袭 #特朗普加密政策承诺
Mainly, Trump's coming to power will affect the Fed's monetary decision-making, so relatively speaking, the Fed may be more hesitant to cut interest rates in the future. It is not even ruled out that the interest rate cut may be stopped, which may cause market concerns about the economy at that time.
If the Fed delays the interest rate cut, economic uncertainty will increase, and investors' risk aversion may rise.
The collapse of interest rate cut expectations will increase the possibility of recession and the risk of market correction.
Macro •
Stock market surges: Trump says he will further reduce corporate tax from the current 21% to 15% to increase corporate profitability
Bond market plummets: Inflation will rise due to tariffs and reduced immigration, and the Fed is more concerned about cutting interest rates, which is not good for the bond market; in addition, tax cuts will significantly increase the fiscal deficit, which is also not good for the bond market
Dollar appreciation: Tax cuts and tariffs will allow companies to return to the United States, and capital repatriation will lead to an appreciation of the dollar
Gold plummets: The appreciation of the dollar and the rise in interest rates caused by the sharp drop in the bond market are both not good for gold
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美国加密概念股飙升 #山寨季将至？ #美联储利率决议来袭 #特朗普加密政策承诺
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This week there is no significant non-farm payroll data. We will see if previous employment figures will be revised downwards. If there are significant downward adjustments, the market may reassess the economy.
If employment continues to be stable, then the economy remains as previously expected, with a soft landing or possibly continuing to take off without landing.
At the same time, the elections are approaching. These are all events that could cause significant fluctuations in the market, and everyone should be prepared for various potential risks.
#PCE、非农数据来袭 #大选
If employment continues to be stable, then the economy remains as previously expected, with a soft landing or possibly continuing to take off without landing.
At the same time, the elections are approaching. These are all events that could cause significant fluctuations in the market, and everyone should be prepared for various potential risks.
#PCE、非农数据来袭 #大选
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The market rewards those who are patient.
As early as the 12th, it was already stated that the market cannot consolidate for 7 months to form a top.
Sooner or later, there will be an upward breakthrough.
It just depends on how strong the upward momentum is.
Moreover, institutions like BlackRock and some ETFs have already purchased a large amount of Bitcoin during this period; they can't be fools, right? We just need to patiently follow along.
Be a bit more patient and allow yourself to relax a little. Enjoy life more; staring at the charts all day can make you very uncertain.
#BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTC触及7W #科技巨头财报周 #PCE、非农数据来袭
As early as the 12th, it was already stated that the market cannot consolidate for 7 months to form a top.
Sooner or later, there will be an upward breakthrough.
It just depends on how strong the upward momentum is.
Moreover, institutions like BlackRock and some ETFs have already purchased a large amount of Bitcoin during this period; they can't be fools, right? We just need to patiently follow along.
Be a bit more patient and allow yourself to relax a little. Enjoy life more; staring at the charts all day can make you very uncertain.
#BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTC触及7W #科技巨头财报周 #PCE、非农数据来袭
导演
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Bullish
We will have to wait and see whether there will be a round of trend before the end of the year. At present, the big cake has been in a big arc bottom from 21 years to now. It is now in a cup handle state and will break through sooner or later.
#BTC能否站稳6W4 #Meme浪潮持续，你看好哪一个？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #meme超级周期
#BTC能否站稳6W4 #Meme浪潮持续，你看好哪一个？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #meme超级周期
See original
We will have to wait and see whether there will be a round of trend before the end of the year. At present, the big cake has been in a big arc bottom from 21 years to now. It is now in a cup handle state and will break through sooner or later.
#BTC能否站稳6W4 #Meme浪潮持续，你看好哪一个？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #meme超级周期
#BTC能否站稳6W4 #Meme浪潮持续，你看好哪一个？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #meme超级周期
导演
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Bullish
Bitcoin has been sideways for more than 200 days since its high of 7.3W.
From a technical point of view, there has never been a top that appears to be sideways.
So I think Bitcoin may continue to set new highs in the future.
And from the current K-line, it seems that it can't go down.
So I am still optimistic about Bitcoin's chances of continuing to set new historical highs in the short term.
There may be a chance before the end of the year.
And the probability of Trump being elected president is very high, and many people who are not optimistic about the crypto market have begun to turn to other markets recently.
#6万保卫战 #特朗普当选概率上升 #9月美国CPI实现6连降 #多军的反击
From a technical point of view, there has never been a top that appears to be sideways.
So I think Bitcoin may continue to set new highs in the future.
And from the current K-line, it seems that it can't go down.
So I am still optimistic about Bitcoin's chances of continuing to set new historical highs in the short term.
There may be a chance before the end of the year.
And the probability of Trump being elected president is very high, and many people who are not optimistic about the crypto market have begun to turn to other markets recently.
#6万保卫战 #特朗普当选概率上升 #9月美国CPI实现6连降 #多军的反击
See original
Bitcoin has been sideways for more than 200 days since its high of 7.3W.
From a technical point of view, there has never been a top that appears to be sideways.
So I think Bitcoin may continue to set new highs in the future.
And from the current K-line, it seems that it can't go down.
So I am still optimistic about Bitcoin's chances of continuing to set new historical highs in the short term.
There may be a chance before the end of the year.
And the probability of Trump being elected president is very high, and many people who are not optimistic about the crypto market have begun to turn to other markets recently.
#6万保卫战 #特朗普当选概率上升 #9月美国CPI实现6连降 #多军的反击
From a technical point of view, there has never been a top that appears to be sideways.
So I think Bitcoin may continue to set new highs in the future.
And from the current K-line, it seems that it can't go down.
So I am still optimistic about Bitcoin's chances of continuing to set new historical highs in the short term.
There may be a chance before the end of the year.
And the probability of Trump being elected president is very high, and many people who are not optimistic about the crypto market have begun to turn to other markets recently.
#6万保卫战 #特朗普当选概率上升 #9月美国CPI实现6连降 #多军的反击
See original
If inflation exceeds expectations, it is not conducive to further interest rate cuts. The September non-farm data released a few days ago also showed that the economy is very hot, so it is still unfriendly to interest rate cuts. If the interest rate cut is lower than expected, liquidity will be reduced. So it is still relatively bearish.
In addition to the minutes of the Fed's meeting this time, Powell also emphasized that interest rate cuts should be taken slowly. This shows that there is no rush for the subsequent interest rate cuts, so in the days ahead, everyone should maintain a relatively cautious attitude.
#特朗普当选概率上升 #CPI&PPI来袭，美国通胀升还降？ #美国9月核心CPI年率高于预期 #非农人数大幅升温 #美联储会议纪要曝9月降息幅度有分歧
In addition to the minutes of the Fed's meeting this time, Powell also emphasized that interest rate cuts should be taken slowly. This shows that there is no rush for the subsequent interest rate cuts, so in the days ahead, everyone should maintain a relatively cautious attitude.
#特朗普当选概率上升 #CPI&PPI来袭，美国通胀升还降？ #美国9月核心CPI年率高于预期 #非农人数大幅升温 #美联储会议纪要曝9月降息幅度有分歧
See original
The big non-farm data will be released at 8:30 tonight.
Expected new jobs of 200,000+: The market can rise slightly, and the market expects the Fed to suspend interest rate cuts in November
160,000-200,000: The best case scenario, without affecting inflation and interest rate cut expectations, the market can continue to rise.
140,000-160,000: The market can rise, but the concerns about recession cannot be ruled out.
Below 140,000: The market will fall directly, increasing the concerns about recession.
#加密市场急跌 #伊朗导弹袭击以色列 #非农就业数据即将公布 #大A香还是大饼香 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
Expected new jobs of 200,000+: The market can rise slightly, and the market expects the Fed to suspend interest rate cuts in November
160,000-200,000: The best case scenario, without affecting inflation and interest rate cut expectations, the market can continue to rise.
140,000-160,000: The market can rise, but the concerns about recession cannot be ruled out.
Below 140,000: The market will fall directly, increasing the concerns about recession.
#加密市场急跌 #伊朗导弹袭击以色列 #非农就业数据即将公布 #大A香还是大饼香 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
See original
I hope to get out of this situation. #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #美联储利率决议公布在即
导演
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After a month of fluctuations, the 3-day line shows that the overall trend is downward. In fact, if the trend goes out of the downward channel, it also means that the probability of upward movement has increased.
In addition, the daily line has a trend of two explorations, but the main risk at present is the risk of the top back of the monthly line, but it is still a long time for the monthly line.
In the short term, the election has a relatively large impact on Bitcoin. If Trump is elected, it will definitely be good for Bitcoin, and vice versa.
#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国经济软着陆？ #美降息25个基点预期升温 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币
In addition, the daily line has a trend of two explorations, but the main risk at present is the risk of the top back of the monthly line, but it is still a long time for the monthly line.
In the short term, the election has a relatively large impact on Bitcoin. If Trump is elected, it will definitely be good for Bitcoin, and vice versa.
#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国经济软着陆？ #美降息25个基点预期升温 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币
See original
Wait patiently for the Fed meeting tonight.
Let's see whether the rate cut is 25 points or 50 points.
25 points may be bad news, after all, the expectation of 25 points has been priced in at this stage.
On the contrary, a 50-point rate cut may be good news.
However, there is a doubt about the 50-point rate cut. Is this a defensive rate cut by the Fed or a passive rate cut based on data? If it is the former, the market is likely to rise. If it is the latter, the market is likely to copy the recession expectations.
#token2049 #加密市场反弹 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美联储利率决议公布在即
Let's see whether the rate cut is 25 points or 50 points.
25 points may be bad news, after all, the expectation of 25 points has been priced in at this stage.
On the contrary, a 50-point rate cut may be good news.
However, there is a doubt about the 50-point rate cut. Is this a defensive rate cut by the Fed or a passive rate cut based on data? If it is the former, the market is likely to rise. If it is the latter, the market is likely to copy the recession expectations.
#token2049 #加密市场反弹 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美联储利率决议公布在即
See original
After a month of fluctuations, the 3-day line shows that the overall trend is downward. In fact, if the trend goes out of the downward channel, it also means that the probability of upward movement has increased.
In addition, the daily line has a trend of two explorations, but the main risk at present is the risk of the top back of the monthly line, but it is still a long time for the monthly line.
In the short term, the election has a relatively large impact on Bitcoin. If Trump is elected, it will definitely be good for Bitcoin, and vice versa.
#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国经济软着陆？ #美降息25个基点预期升温 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币
In addition, the daily line has a trend of two explorations, but the main risk at present is the risk of the top back of the monthly line, but it is still a long time for the monthly line.
In the short term, the election has a relatively large impact on Bitcoin. If Trump is elected, it will definitely be good for Bitcoin, and vice versa.
#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国经济软着陆？ #美降息25个基点预期升温 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币
See original
[Director] Market analysis on September 1st, be cautious, watch more and do less, the monthly top divergence has appeared, be more careful about the subsequent market, and wait patiently for the interest rate cut.
#美联储何时降息？ #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #MtGox钱包动态 #新币挖矿DOGS
#美联储何时降息？ #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #MtGox钱包动态 #新币挖矿DOGS
See original
I look forward to the cryptocurrency world having new stories to tell to drive the market, and I patiently wait for a new paradigm to emerge.
导演
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The monthly line will be closed soon. If the monthly line is not closed well, it is likely to be a monthly top pattern. For such a monthly top pattern, I will not continue to produce in the subsequent market, even if there is a new high, I will avoid it.
From 23 years to now, this round of market has always been interest rate cuts, halvings, and ETFs. Now these so-called expected benefits have basically landed. For the subsequent market, I personally do not see a fund that can drive a trillion-dollar market value. Maybe there will be opportunities after the interest rate cut, or after a large interest rate cut.
However, as an individual investor, I personally think that if the interest rate is cut, the funds will only flow to the US stock market. After all, the US stock market is now in a state of crying for food, and the most popular AI is also in a state of prosperity. The story of AI in the US stock market can be told for a long time and can also be landed.
Relatively speaking, the currency circle currently has no story, no expectations, and is currently supported by a spirit, but now the currency circle basically looks at the various data of the US stock market and the old Americans to make a move. It is no longer the same as before. The current currency circle is not decentralized, but centralized. Exchanges are also controlled by the government, and the original intention is gone.
Maybe I am a little too sad about the future of the currency circle, but for the future, the biggest benefit of Bitcoin is to become a national reserve currency, which is similar to the state of gold. However, the probability of this happening is unknown, maybe very near, maybe very far.
But in the short term, the currency circle still gives me a very decadent feeling, like an old man in his twilight years.
#美联储何时降息？ #MtGox钱包动态 #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #新币挖矿DOGS #WBTC
From 23 years to now, this round of market has always been interest rate cuts, halvings, and ETFs. Now these so-called expected benefits have basically landed. For the subsequent market, I personally do not see a fund that can drive a trillion-dollar market value. Maybe there will be opportunities after the interest rate cut, or after a large interest rate cut.
However, as an individual investor, I personally think that if the interest rate is cut, the funds will only flow to the US stock market. After all, the US stock market is now in a state of crying for food, and the most popular AI is also in a state of prosperity. The story of AI in the US stock market can be told for a long time and can also be landed.
Relatively speaking, the currency circle currently has no story, no expectations, and is currently supported by a spirit, but now the currency circle basically looks at the various data of the US stock market and the old Americans to make a move. It is no longer the same as before. The current currency circle is not decentralized, but centralized. Exchanges are also controlled by the government, and the original intention is gone.
Maybe I am a little too sad about the future of the currency circle, but for the future, the biggest benefit of Bitcoin is to become a national reserve currency, which is similar to the state of gold. However, the probability of this happening is unknown, maybe very near, maybe very far.
But in the short term, the currency circle still gives me a very decadent feeling, like an old man in his twilight years.
#美联储何时降息？ #MtGox钱包动态 #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #新币挖矿DOGS #WBTC
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The monthly line will be closed soon. If the monthly line is not closed well, it is likely to be a monthly top pattern. For such a monthly top pattern, I will not continue to produce in the subsequent market, even if there is a new high, I will avoid it.
From 23 years to now, this round of market has always been interest rate cuts, halvings, and ETFs. Now these so-called expected benefits have basically landed. For the subsequent market, I personally do not see a fund that can drive a trillion-dollar market value. Maybe there will be opportunities after the interest rate cut, or after a large interest rate cut.
However, as an individual investor, I personally think that if the interest rate is cut, the funds will only flow to the US stock market. After all, the US stock market is now in a state of crying for food, and the most popular AI is also in a state of prosperity. The story of AI in the US stock market can be told for a long time and can also be landed.
Relatively speaking, the currency circle currently has no story, no expectations, and is currently supported by a spirit, but now the currency circle basically looks at the various data of the US stock market and the old Americans to make a move. It is no longer the same as before. The current currency circle is not decentralized, but centralized. Exchanges are also controlled by the government, and the original intention is gone.
Maybe I am a little too sad about the future of the currency circle, but for the future, the biggest benefit of Bitcoin is to become a national reserve currency, which is similar to the state of gold. However, the probability of this happening is unknown, maybe very near, maybe very far.
But in the short term, the currency circle still gives me a very decadent feeling, like an old man in his twilight years.
#美联储何时降息？ #MtGox钱包动态 #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #新币挖矿DOGS #WBTC
From 23 years to now, this round of market has always been interest rate cuts, halvings, and ETFs. Now these so-called expected benefits have basically landed. For the subsequent market, I personally do not see a fund that can drive a trillion-dollar market value. Maybe there will be opportunities after the interest rate cut, or after a large interest rate cut.
However, as an individual investor, I personally think that if the interest rate is cut, the funds will only flow to the US stock market. After all, the US stock market is now in a state of crying for food, and the most popular AI is also in a state of prosperity. The story of AI in the US stock market can be told for a long time and can also be landed.
Relatively speaking, the currency circle currently has no story, no expectations, and is currently supported by a spirit, but now the currency circle basically looks at the various data of the US stock market and the old Americans to make a move. It is no longer the same as before. The current currency circle is not decentralized, but centralized. Exchanges are also controlled by the government, and the original intention is gone.
Maybe I am a little too sad about the future of the currency circle, but for the future, the biggest benefit of Bitcoin is to become a national reserve currency, which is similar to the state of gold. However, the probability of this happening is unknown, maybe very near, maybe very far.
But in the short term, the currency circle still gives me a very decadent feeling, like an old man in his twilight years.
#美联储何时降息？ #MtGox钱包动态 #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #新币挖矿DOGS #WBTC
See original
Now the market risk has shifted to whether the economy will have unexpected events.
The future economy and unemployment rate will become the top priority for the market
However, monetary policy itself has a lag. Even if the interest rate is cut sharply, can it really stop the bleeding immediately?
When companies see the dawn of interest rate cuts, they will try their best to retain employees, and employment will not deteriorate sharply
Economic data reflects that the economy is in a very delicate position
Investors worry about recession and celebrate soft landing
The market will be extremely sensitive to economic data
In the short term, we need to be vigilant about fluctuations in economic data, which will affect the market.
#美联储何时降息？ #杰克逊霍尔年会 #MtGox钱包动态 #TON
The future economy and unemployment rate will become the top priority for the market
However, monetary policy itself has a lag. Even if the interest rate is cut sharply, can it really stop the bleeding immediately?
When companies see the dawn of interest rate cuts, they will try their best to retain employees, and employment will not deteriorate sharply
Economic data reflects that the economy is in a very delicate position
Investors worry about recession and celebrate soft landing
The market will be extremely sensitive to economic data
In the short term, we need to be vigilant about fluctuations in economic data, which will affect the market.
#美联储何时降息？ #杰克逊霍尔年会 #MtGox钱包动态 #TON
See original
The market has returned to a dead silence. Now the cryptocurrency market is more waiting for the attitude of the Federal Reserve and the economic outlook. Will the market cut interest rates?
At present, 1-2 months will only start to benefit the big cake as time goes by. After all, after waiting for the interest rate cut to land, there will still be a lot of money released. So overall, there is still no need to be too pessimistic.
The quieter it is, the more you need to wait patiently.
#美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #TON #美联储何时降息？ #加密市场反弹 #美国7月PPI低于预期
At present, 1-2 months will only start to benefit the big cake as time goes by. After all, after waiting for the interest rate cut to land, there will still be a lot of money released. So overall, there is still no need to be too pessimistic.
The quieter it is, the more you need to wait patiently.
#美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #TON #美联储何时降息？ #加密市场反弹 #美国7月PPI低于预期
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