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柏萬億

Occasional Trader
7.5 Years
技術愛好者,纯技术分析师。不推任何金融產品,不推任何所。Bestberlin,随心情直播。谁瞎举报,谁全家替我挡灾,这辈子发不了财,替我挡灾。推特@柏萬億,油管@柏萬億
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Bearish
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SOL Market Analysis Summary I. Price Increase and Correction - Rebound Strength: The increase from the lowest point to the highest point in this round is about 65%, but there has been a continuous decline over the past 4 trading days, resulting in a technical correction, breaking through the key level of $147.84 (Fibonacci 0.382 level). - Bull-Bear Boundary: If it can rise above $147.84 in the short term, the bullish trend may continue; if it cannot stabilize, the bears may counterattack. II. Technical Indicator Signals - KDJ Indicator: The J line and K line are tilted downward after being overbought, and a dead cross with the D line is about to form, indicating a short-term weakening of bullish strength and facing correction pressure. - MACD Indicator: The fast line and slow line continue to operate below the zero axis (underwater), with gradually shrinking volume and insufficient bullish momentum. - Bollinger Bands: The middle track of the daily Bollinger Bands supports around $130; if it breaks below, it may further probe downwards, and the gains and losses of the middle track are key in the short term. III. Key Levels and Outlook - Resistance/Support: $133.06 has served as a key resistance/support level for 7 consecutive trading days; this correction needs to pay attention to this level's hindrance or support for rebounds. - Risk Warning: If there are no favorable news stimuli, a technical correction may continue in the short term, with lower targets looking toward the lower track of the Bollinger Bands or the middle track support at $130. IV. Operational Suggestions - Aggressive Strategy: If it stabilizes at the middle track of $130, a light position can be taken to try going long, targeting $147.84, with a stop-loss set below the middle track; if it breaks below the middle track, observe or take a light short position, targeting below $133.06. - Conservative Strategy: Wait for the price to clearly break through $147.84 or drop below $130 before entering, avoiding blind operations within the range. - Key Points to Watch: Closely monitor the confirmation of the KDJ dead cross and changes in volume, being alert to the correction risk after the positive news materializes. #Strategy增持比特币 #美股财报周来袭 #币安Alpha积分
SOL Market Analysis Summary

I. Price Increase and Correction

- Rebound Strength: The increase from the lowest point to the highest point in this round is about 65%, but there has been a continuous decline over the past 4 trading days, resulting in a technical correction, breaking through the key level of $147.84 (Fibonacci 0.382 level).
- Bull-Bear Boundary: If it can rise above $147.84 in the short term, the bullish trend may continue; if it cannot stabilize, the bears may counterattack.

II. Technical Indicator Signals

- KDJ Indicator: The J line and K line are tilted downward after being overbought, and a dead cross with the D line is about to form, indicating a short-term weakening of bullish strength and facing correction pressure.
- MACD Indicator: The fast line and slow line continue to operate below the zero axis (underwater), with gradually shrinking volume and insufficient bullish momentum.
- Bollinger Bands: The middle track of the daily Bollinger Bands supports around $130; if it breaks below, it may further probe downwards, and the gains and losses of the middle track are key in the short term.

III. Key Levels and Outlook

- Resistance/Support: $133.06 has served as a key resistance/support level for 7 consecutive trading days; this correction needs to pay attention to this level's hindrance or support for rebounds.
- Risk Warning: If there are no favorable news stimuli, a technical correction may continue in the short term, with lower targets looking toward the lower track of the Bollinger Bands or the middle track support at $130.

IV. Operational Suggestions

- Aggressive Strategy: If it stabilizes at the middle track of $130, a light position can be taken to try going long, targeting $147.84, with a stop-loss set below the middle track; if it breaks below the middle track, observe or take a light short position, targeting below $133.06.
- Conservative Strategy: Wait for the price to clearly break through $147.84 or drop below $130 before entering, avoiding blind operations within the range.
- Key Points to Watch: Closely monitor the confirmation of the KDJ dead cross and changes in volume, being alert to the correction risk after the positive news materializes.
#Strategy增持比特币 #美股财报周来袭 #币安Alpha积分
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Bearish
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Ethereum (ETH) Market Analysis Summary I. Rebound and Trend - Rebound Magnitude: The rebound from the current low point to the high point is about 34%, but there has been a technical pullback in the past two days. - Bollinger Band Trend: Although it is above the middle band on the daily chart (current middle band support is about $1714), the upper, middle, and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands are all sloping downwards to the right, indicating an overall bearish trend. II. Technical Indicator Signals - KDJ Indicator: The J line shows overbought conditions, and the K and D lines are about to form a dead cross, facing a directional choice. - MACD Indicator: A golden cross formed below the zero axis on April 17 (underwater), indicating weak bullish strength. - Volume Performance: Trading volume is not significantly increasing, and market sentiment is cautious. III. Price Range and Outlook - Current Range: Maintaining a fluctuation in the range of $1492.66 - $2107.67. - Key Levels: If it breaks below the daily middle band of Bollinger Bands ($1714), it may trigger a technical pullback; we need to be wary of the downside risk after the KDJ dead cross confirmation. IV. Operational Suggestions - Short-term focus on the support at the $1714 middle band; if it breaks below, consider taking a light position short, targeting the lower band around $1492. - If it stabilizes above the middle band and volume supports it, a short-term long position may be attempted, but be cautious of trend resistance, and set a stop-loss below the middle band. - Pay close attention to KDJ indicator trends and volume changes before the end of the month to avoid chasing highs and lows.
Ethereum (ETH) Market Analysis Summary

I. Rebound and Trend

- Rebound Magnitude: The rebound from the current low point to the high point is about 34%, but there has been a technical pullback in the past two days.
- Bollinger Band Trend: Although it is above the middle band on the daily chart (current middle band support is about $1714), the upper, middle, and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands are all sloping downwards to the right, indicating an overall bearish trend.

II. Technical Indicator Signals

- KDJ Indicator: The J line shows overbought conditions, and the K and D lines are about to form a dead cross, facing a directional choice.
- MACD Indicator: A golden cross formed below the zero axis on April 17 (underwater), indicating weak bullish strength.
- Volume Performance: Trading volume is not significantly increasing, and market sentiment is cautious.

III. Price Range and Outlook

- Current Range: Maintaining a fluctuation in the range of $1492.66 - $2107.67.
- Key Levels: If it breaks below the daily middle band of Bollinger Bands ($1714), it may trigger a technical pullback; we need to be wary of the downside risk after the KDJ dead cross confirmation.

IV. Operational Suggestions

- Short-term focus on the support at the $1714 middle band; if it breaks below, consider taking a light position short, targeting the lower band around $1492.
- If it stabilizes above the middle band and volume supports it, a short-term long position may be attempted, but be cautious of trend resistance, and set a stop-loss below the middle band.
- Pay close attention to KDJ indicator trends and volume changes before the end of the month to avoid chasing highs and lows.
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Did Gate run away? My account is making money! The profit is over 300%+! How did it suddenly go to zero?
Did Gate run away? My account is making money!
The profit is over 300%+! How did it suddenly go to zero?
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Let the bosses be happy, otherwise someone will always say it's a fake image Patina image. Today's withdrawal of 1 million USD. Personal operational error, forgot to cancel the stop-loss order. This resulted in the conditional order for replenishment becoming ineffective! #加密市场反弹 #美股下挫 #币安Alpha上新
Let the bosses be happy, otherwise someone will always say it's a fake image

Patina image.

Today's withdrawal of 1 million USD.

Personal operational error, forgot to cancel the stop-loss order.

This resulted in the conditional order for replenishment becoming ineffective! #加密市场反弹 #美股下挫 #币安Alpha上新
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Binance's event, there are too many people, the line downstairs takes an hour. I purely came in through the back door. There's really no place to stand. Pretty good.
Binance's event, there are too many people, the line downstairs takes an hour.
I purely came in through the back door. There's really no place to stand. Pretty good.
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1 million dollars, record and check in. ps: You don't need to show me the profit and loss with a screenshot of the position after withdrawal. 😸
1 million dollars, record and check in.
ps: You don't need to show me the profit and loss with a screenshot of the position after withdrawal. 😸
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Keep climbing up!
Keep climbing up!
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Solana (SOL) and CME Futures: Analysis of Pros and Cons Benefits Institutional Recognition: The launch of SOL futures by CME (available from March 17) enhances its mainstream status, attracting institutional funds and increasing liquidity. Price Boost: Historical experience shows that the launch of BTC and ETH futures led to significant price increases; SOL may reach $160-200. Long-Term Potential: Futures may pave the way for a SOL spot ETF, combined with high-performance technology, promising prospects for Web3. Drawbacks Unlocking Pressure: The unlocking of 112,000 SOL in early March (2.84% of supply) may trigger sell-offs, putting short-term pressure. Expectation Overshoot: If the market anticipates the benefits too early, the price increase upon launch may be limited, or even result in a “buy the rumor, sell the news” scenario. Regulatory Risks: If the CFTC does not approve the futures launch, or if the market crashes, SOL may decline accordingly. Summary CME futures show clear short-term benefits, bullish in the medium to long term, but caution is needed regarding unlocking sell pressure and market volatility. The outlook for SOL is bright and worth attention.#芝商所将推出SOL期货 #美国加征关税
Solana (SOL) and CME Futures: Analysis of Pros and Cons
Benefits
Institutional Recognition: The launch of SOL futures by CME (available from March 17) enhances its mainstream status, attracting institutional funds and increasing liquidity.
Price Boost: Historical experience shows that the launch of BTC and ETH futures led to significant price increases; SOL may reach $160-200.
Long-Term Potential: Futures may pave the way for a SOL spot ETF, combined with high-performance technology, promising prospects for Web3.
Drawbacks
Unlocking Pressure: The unlocking of 112,000 SOL in early March (2.84% of supply) may trigger sell-offs, putting short-term pressure.
Expectation Overshoot: If the market anticipates the benefits too early, the price increase upon launch may be limited, or even result in a “buy the rumor, sell the news” scenario.
Regulatory Risks: If the CFTC does not approve the futures launch, or if the market crashes, SOL may decline accordingly.
Summary
CME futures show clear short-term benefits, bullish in the medium to long term, but caution is needed regarding unlocking sell pressure and market volatility. The outlook for SOL is bright and worth attention.#芝商所将推出SOL期货 #美国加征关税
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This month, I will live broadcast the whole process and help you buy the bottom of xrp and ADA. The new data added on November 23rd, as of this moment. xrp is a complete success. #比特币打破感恩节魔咒
This month, I will live broadcast the whole process and help you buy the bottom of xrp and ADA.
The new data added on November 23rd, as of this moment.
xrp is a complete success. #比特币打破感恩节魔咒
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Let's talk about ETH. This week, the price of ETH has increased by about 24%, which is quite a considerable increase. In this week's operation, there are two key points that need your attention. One is $2,580. When the price breaks through this point, you can consider going long. Another is the suppression point of $2,955. Once this point is broken, continue to go long. Currently, the price of Ethereum is around $3,044. This time we have caught a good opportunity to buy the bottom. Now there is an important support level to pay attention to, which is $2,994. If this support level can be stabilized in the short term, ETH will most likely rise to around $3,318. In addition, $2,916 is its strong support, which everyone should also remember. Of course, we can't just look at Ethereum, we have to pay attention to the performance of Bitcoin. If Bitcoin performs poorly, the suppression above Ethereum will become stronger, and it is likely to fall or retrace. Everyone should pay attention to changes in the market. #大盘的下一步? #BTC创历史新高 #贝莱德比特币ETF交易量创纪录
Let's talk about ETH. This week, the price of ETH has increased by about 24%, which is quite a considerable increase.

In this week's operation, there are two key points that need your attention. One is $2,580. When the price breaks through this point, you can consider going long. Another is the suppression point of $2,955. Once this point is broken, continue to go long.

Currently, the price of Ethereum is around $3,044. This time we have caught a good opportunity to buy the bottom. Now there is an important support level to pay attention to, which is $2,994. If this support level can be stabilized in the short term, ETH will most likely rise to around $3,318. In addition, $2,916 is its strong support, which everyone should also remember.

Of course, we can't just look at Ethereum, we have to pay attention to the performance of Bitcoin. If Bitcoin performs poorly, the suppression above Ethereum will become stronger, and it is likely to fall or retrace. Everyone should pay attention to changes in the market. #大盘的下一步? #BTC创历史新高 #贝莱德比特币ETF交易量创纪录
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In the process of analyzing Sol's market, we have been paying close attention to the impact of key price points on its trend. The upper suppression point of $203, which was pointed out in the short-term analysis, still maintains a strong resistance. We use the 4-hour line as an important basis for short-term analysis. Observed from this time dimension, the range of $200-203 is like an insurmountable gap. Although Sol's price once hit upward and reached a maximum of $203.56, it was like hitting a copper wall in front of the key suppression of $203, and then the price was ruthlessly suppressed. From the comprehensive perspective of the technical indicators and price trend patterns of the 4-hour line, the current situation is not particularly optimistic for bulls. All signs indicate that the possibility of a pullback is gradually increasing. This is because the market has accumulated a lot of selling pressure near this suppression point, and the buying power does not seem to be enough to push the price to continue to break upward. If Sol fails to successfully break through the important level of $203 in the short term, then according to the current market trend and technical analysis logic, there is a high probability that a wave of retracement will occur. The target support level of the retracement is $191. This position is not determined randomly. It is the key support level of 0.786 calculated based on the Fibonacci sequence. This point has shown its importance many times in historical market conditions. Once the price falls back to this position, it may trigger a new game between bulls and bears in the market. However, the market is always full of variables. If Sol can break through the suppression level of $203 under the strong push of the bulls, new room for growth will be opened, and the target price of $210.43 will no longer be just a distant dream. At that time, market sentiment may quickly turn positive, attracting more investors to participate and pushing prices further up. But before the breakthrough, the suppression of $203 is like a sword of Damocles hanging over your head, dominating the current market trend. #特斯拉市值重上1万亿美元 #Solana涨势分析 #BTC创历史新高
In the process of analyzing Sol's market, we have been paying close attention to the impact of key price points on its trend. The upper suppression point of $203, which was pointed out in the short-term analysis, still maintains a strong resistance.

We use the 4-hour line as an important basis for short-term analysis. Observed from this time dimension, the range of $200-203 is like an insurmountable gap. Although Sol's price once hit upward and reached a maximum of $203.56, it was like hitting a copper wall in front of the key suppression of $203, and then the price was ruthlessly suppressed.

From the comprehensive perspective of the technical indicators and price trend patterns of the 4-hour line, the current situation is not particularly optimistic for bulls. All signs indicate that the possibility of a pullback is gradually increasing. This is because the market has accumulated a lot of selling pressure near this suppression point, and the buying power does not seem to be enough to push the price to continue to break upward.

If Sol fails to successfully break through the important level of $203 in the short term, then according to the current market trend and technical analysis logic, there is a high probability that a wave of retracement will occur. The target support level of the retracement is $191. This position is not determined randomly. It is the key support level of 0.786 calculated based on the Fibonacci sequence. This point has shown its importance many times in historical market conditions. Once the price falls back to this position, it may trigger a new game between bulls and bears in the market.

However, the market is always full of variables. If Sol can break through the suppression level of $203 under the strong push of the bulls, new room for growth will be opened, and the target price of $210.43 will no longer be just a distant dream. At that time, market sentiment may quickly turn positive, attracting more investors to participate and pushing prices further up. But before the breakthrough, the suppression of $203 is like a sword of Damocles hanging over your head, dominating the current market trend. #特斯拉市值重上1万亿美元 #Solana涨势分析 #BTC创历史新高
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Sol coin analysis Ladies and gentlemen, let's talk about Sol coin. Sol coin has been rising well recently. We bought the bottom at around $155. Now it has risen by 26%, which is a very good result. Looking at these two pictures, there is a key point of $191, and our bottom-fishing range is around $154-155. At present, Sol coin has broken through the middle track of the Bollinger band of the daily line. It was mentioned in the previous video that when it breaks through the middle track of the daily line and breaks through $165, it can continue to hold. Now, it has also broken through Fibonacci's 0.786, which is $191. Currently, Sol coin fluctuates in the range of $191 to $210. In the short term, $203 is the upper suppression level, and in the long term, around $210 is the suppression level. If Sol coin can maintain the range of $191, the situation of bulls and spot is relatively optimistic. But if it falls below $191, you should consider taking profits and stop going long, because there may be a technical correction, which is normal. For now, in the short term, as long as Sol can continue to break through $203, longs can continue to hold, and it would be even better if it can break through $210. On the contrary, if the market declines, you should be cautious. $SOL {future}(SOLUSDT)
Sol coin analysis

Ladies and gentlemen, let's talk about Sol coin. Sol coin has been rising well recently. We bought the bottom at around $155. Now it has risen by 26%, which is a very good result.

Looking at these two pictures, there is a key point of $191, and our bottom-fishing range is around $154-155. At present, Sol coin has broken through the middle track of the Bollinger band of the daily line. It was mentioned in the previous video that when it breaks through the middle track of the daily line and breaks through $165, it can continue to hold. Now, it has also broken through Fibonacci's 0.786, which is $191.

Currently, Sol coin fluctuates in the range of $191 to $210. In the short term, $203 is the upper suppression level, and in the long term, around $210 is the suppression level.

If Sol coin can maintain the range of $191, the situation of bulls and spot is relatively optimistic. But if it falls below $191, you should consider taking profits and stop going long, because there may be a technical correction, which is normal. For now, in the short term, as long as Sol can continue to break through $203, longs can continue to hold, and it would be even better if it can break through $210. On the contrary, if the market declines, you should be cautious. $SOL
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Dogecoin Short-Term Analysis From the situation observed over the past three trading days, Dogecoin has shown a distinct trend in its price movement, specifically that it has consistently failed to break through the key level of 0.1997 USD. During this period, its price peaked at 0.22 USD; however, it was unable to maintain stability at that level and quickly retreated. This situation indicates that there is considerable pressure above within this price range. Since 8:00 AM on November 6, 2024, Dogecoin has been hovering below 0.1997 USD. It is noteworthy that this 0.1997 USD level corresponds to the Fibonacci 0.786 level. The Fibonacci sequence holds a special place in the technical analysis of financial markets, and the series of derived ratio levels are often seen as crucial support and resistance areas. The 0.786 level is considered a significant resistance point by many traders and analysts. When the price approaches this level, it often encounters substantial resistance, which suppresses upward price movement, much like Dogecoin's current situation. If the key resistance level of 0.1997 USD can be effectively breached, from a technical analysis perspective, this may indicate that Dogecoin's price will embark on a new upward trend. At this point, one might consider holding long positions or spot trading, anticipating gains from further price increases. Conversely, if Dogecoin consistently fails to break through this key level in subsequent trading, aggressive traders might consider short-selling. However, it is important to clarify that short-selling carries certain risks and should be approached with caution. Furthermore, from the current situation, this level has a noticeable suppressive effect on Dogecoin's price, and its overall performance is slightly underwhelming, which is a key factor to focus on when analyzing Dogecoin's short-term trends. $BTC $ETH #DOGE看涨情绪飙升 #美联储利率决议来袭 #BTC创历史新高
Dogecoin Short-Term Analysis

From the situation observed over the past three trading days, Dogecoin has shown a distinct trend in its price movement, specifically that it has consistently failed to break through the key level of 0.1997 USD. During this period, its price peaked at 0.22 USD; however, it was unable to maintain stability at that level and quickly retreated. This situation indicates that there is considerable pressure above within this price range.

Since 8:00 AM on November 6, 2024, Dogecoin has been hovering below 0.1997 USD. It is noteworthy that this 0.1997 USD level corresponds to the Fibonacci 0.786 level. The Fibonacci sequence holds a special place in the technical analysis of financial markets, and the series of derived ratio levels are often seen as crucial support and resistance areas. The 0.786 level is considered a significant resistance point by many traders and analysts. When the price approaches this level, it often encounters substantial resistance, which suppresses upward price movement, much like Dogecoin's current situation.

If the key resistance level of 0.1997 USD can be effectively breached, from a technical analysis perspective, this may indicate that Dogecoin's price will embark on a new upward trend. At this point, one might consider holding long positions or spot trading, anticipating gains from further price increases. Conversely, if Dogecoin consistently fails to break through this key level in subsequent trading, aggressive traders might consider short-selling. However, it is important to clarify that short-selling carries certain risks and should be approached with caution. Furthermore, from the current situation, this level has a noticeable suppressive effect on Dogecoin's price, and its overall performance is slightly underwhelming, which is a key factor to focus on when analyzing Dogecoin's short-term trends. $BTC $ETH #DOGE看涨情绪飙升 #美联储利率决议来袭 #BTC创历史新高
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Further Analysis of ETH$ETH Let's talk about Ethereum ETH. Since the beginning of this year, the market for Ethereum has not been very optimistic. For a long time, it has been in a state of continuous decline, even experiencing six consecutive trading days of decline, which has greatly affected market sentiment. However, the recent U.S. election has entered a heated stage, which has brought significant changes to the price of Ethereum. Just yesterday, Ethereum rose by 1%, which is relatively small, while today its increase is close to 6%, with the current quote around 2578 USD, an increase of more than 5%.

Further Analysis of ETH

$ETH
Let's talk about Ethereum ETH. Since the beginning of this year, the market for Ethereum has not been very optimistic. For a long time, it has been in a state of continuous decline, even experiencing six consecutive trading days of decline, which has greatly affected market sentiment.

However, the recent U.S. election has entered a heated stage, which has brought significant changes to the price of Ethereum. Just yesterday, Ethereum rose by 1%, which is relatively small, while today its increase is close to 6%, with the current quote around 2578 USD, an increase of more than 5%.
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Sol has shown relatively active short-term trends in recent market performance. From the daily chart perspective, over the past two days, the price of Sol has exhibited an upward trend, closing with consecutive bullish candles, which has attracted market attention. On November 4th, the price of Sol reached a low of 155 USD. It is noteworthy that at this time, its price was very close to the key Fibonacci level of 154.58 USD at the 0.382 retracement. In the subsequent price action, it successfully broke through the previously explored bottom area and further exceeded the middle band of the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart. This series of breakout actions indicates that Sol has begun to accumulate upward momentum in the short-term trend. By yesterday, Sol's closing price reached 165.25 USD, which is above a specific Fibonacci level. This level is significant because it not only provides strong support for the current price but also allows Sol to successfully achieve another upward breakout above this support level, further solidifying the short-term upward trend. Looking at the short-term resistance situation, the key resistance level faced by Sol is 175.91 USD, which happens to be the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Reviewing the period from October 24th to October 30th, Sol repeatedly tested this important golden retracement point but never formed an effective breakout, facing significant resistance and retreating each time it approached this level. Therefore, if Sol can break through this key Fibonacci 0.618 level of 175.91 USD in the short term, its upward momentum will be greatly enhanced, and the price is very likely to launch further upward movements. #美国大选后涨或跌? #美国大选后叙事观察 #BTC突破7W $SOL {future}(SOLUSDT)
Sol has shown relatively active short-term trends in recent market performance. From the daily chart perspective, over the past two days, the price of Sol has exhibited an upward trend, closing with consecutive bullish candles, which has attracted market attention.

On November 4th, the price of Sol reached a low of 155 USD. It is noteworthy that at this time, its price was very close to the key Fibonacci level of 154.58 USD at the 0.382 retracement. In the subsequent price action, it successfully broke through the previously explored bottom area and further exceeded the middle band of the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart. This series of breakout actions indicates that Sol has begun to accumulate upward momentum in the short-term trend.

By yesterday, Sol's closing price reached 165.25 USD, which is above a specific Fibonacci level. This level is significant because it not only provides strong support for the current price but also allows Sol to successfully achieve another upward breakout above this support level, further solidifying the short-term upward trend.

Looking at the short-term resistance situation, the key resistance level faced by Sol is 175.91 USD, which happens to be the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Reviewing the period from October 24th to October 30th, Sol repeatedly tested this important golden retracement point but never formed an effective breakout, facing significant resistance and retreating each time it approached this level. Therefore, if Sol can break through this key Fibonacci 0.618 level of 175.91 USD in the short term, its upward momentum will be greatly enhanced, and the price is very likely to launch further upward movements.
#美国大选后涨或跌? #美国大选后叙事观察 #BTC突破7W $SOL
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A picture tells you who is more suitable for this world, Trump or Harris.
A picture tells you who is more suitable for this world, Trump or Harris.
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