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🚀Explosive Interpretation: Economic data cools across the board, and December rate cut expectations soar to 80%! Is the crypto market about to make a comeback? The short sellers might really end up in trouble! $BTC $ETH $ASTER
The recently released U.S. economic data has shocked many! Retail sales in September rose only 0.2%, far below the expected 0.4%, as consumers finally hit the brakes under high price pressures. Meanwhile, the PPI annual rate of 2.7%, although in line with expectations, combined with weak retail data, has completely exploded the market's expectations for a rate cut—interest rate futures indicate that the probability of a rate cut in December has soared to 80%!
Current market's three major focal points:
1️⃣ Economic data shows a clear cooling, with consumers beginning to tighten their wallets under sustained high inflation and employment pressures, which is an important signal for the Federal Reserve.
2️⃣ The Federal Reserve is caught in a dilemma, with internal disagreements reaching a boiling point: Fed Governor Milan strongly supports a rate cut in December, believing that the economic slowdown signals a red light; however, Powell may have to play a balancing act: cutting rates while sending "pause signals" to prevent the market from overheating.
3️⃣ Will history repeat itself? Do you remember the scenario where the dollar rose instead of falling after the rate cut in September? This might very well happen again! The key will be the Fed's "communication art"—as long as the stance is hawkish enough, a rate cut may not necessarily suppress the dollar.
The market is focusing on new highlights: the "AI investment boom" sparked by Google's Gemini 3, and whether the upcoming "Black Friday + Thanksgiving" shopping season can save consumer spending.
In summary: Economic data is soft, rate cut expectations are strong, and the Federal Reserve is walking a tightrope between inflation and recession!
👉 What do you think of this market trend?
Optimistic about the rate cut benefiting the crypto market 🚀
Believe the dollar will continue to be strong 💪
Preparing to wait for clearer data 👀
Like and share to understand the true market direction!
(Market has risks, invest cautiously)
#美联储降息 #经济数据 #加密市场回调
The recently released U.S. economic data has shocked many! Retail sales in September rose only 0.2%, far below the expected 0.4%, as consumers finally hit the brakes under high price pressures. Meanwhile, the PPI annual rate of 2.7%, although in line with expectations, combined with weak retail data, has completely exploded the market's expectations for a rate cut—interest rate futures indicate that the probability of a rate cut in December has soared to 80%!
Current market's three major focal points:
1️⃣ Economic data shows a clear cooling, with consumers beginning to tighten their wallets under sustained high inflation and employment pressures, which is an important signal for the Federal Reserve.
2️⃣ The Federal Reserve is caught in a dilemma, with internal disagreements reaching a boiling point: Fed Governor Milan strongly supports a rate cut in December, believing that the economic slowdown signals a red light; however, Powell may have to play a balancing act: cutting rates while sending "pause signals" to prevent the market from overheating.
3️⃣ Will history repeat itself? Do you remember the scenario where the dollar rose instead of falling after the rate cut in September? This might very well happen again! The key will be the Fed's "communication art"—as long as the stance is hawkish enough, a rate cut may not necessarily suppress the dollar.
The market is focusing on new highlights: the "AI investment boom" sparked by Google's Gemini 3, and whether the upcoming "Black Friday + Thanksgiving" shopping season can save consumer spending.
In summary: Economic data is soft, rate cut expectations are strong, and the Federal Reserve is walking a tightrope between inflation and recession!
👉 What do you think of this market trend?
Optimistic about the rate cut benefiting the crypto market 🚀
Believe the dollar will continue to be strong 💪
Preparing to wait for clearer data 👀
Like and share to understand the true market direction!
(Market has risks, invest cautiously)
#美联储降息 #经济数据 #加密市场回调
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Interest rates loosen overnight! Another 25 basis points rise to 70!!!
Looking back at the data from October 27 to early November, there was a real liquidity squeeze, and in the following days the Federal Reserve took no action.
After the repeated 'I'll show you dead' the tone softened, leaving one to ponder, why is this script always the same?
In macro research
Liquidity warning analysis is meaningful, and can somewhat bypass market noise.
The current stage is relatively dull, the script is being replicated, belonging to a weak fate dependency.
It's hard to guess the process, but one can wait at the finish line, returning to a reasonable interest range is a brand name, the mid-term elections are a brand name, and it’s also a brand name that high interest rates cannot be maintained for long.
#降息 #利率 #美联储 #股市 #经济数据
Looking back at the data from October 27 to early November, there was a real liquidity squeeze, and in the following days the Federal Reserve took no action.
After the repeated 'I'll show you dead' the tone softened, leaving one to ponder, why is this script always the same?
In macro research
Liquidity warning analysis is meaningful, and can somewhat bypass market noise.
The current stage is relatively dull, the script is being replicated, belonging to a weak fate dependency.
It's hard to guess the process, but one can wait at the finish line, returning to a reasonable interest range is a brand name, the mid-term elections are a brand name, and it’s also a brand name that high interest rates cannot be maintained for long.
#降息 #利率 #美联储 #股市 #经济数据
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🔥【Magical Non-Farm Payroll Shakes the Market! Employment and Unemployment Both Soar?】
Tonight's non-farm payroll report is simply outrageous! The U.S. added 119,000 jobs in September, more than double expectations! But even more magical is that the unemployment rate rose instead of falling, soaring to 4.4%, a two-year high!
How fragmented is this data?
🎯 Hawks see: Employment booming, economy worry-free, why rush to cut rates?
🎯 Doves see: Unemployment warning, recession ahead, if rates aren't cut soon it will be too late!
Even the Federal Reserve would be silent after this... The most critical part of this report is that — the U.S. government is facing a shutdown, data will be cut off! This has become the only reliable reference for the coming weeks; the market is entering “blind flight mode”!
💥 The market reaction was incredibly stimulating:
· U.S. Treasury yields bouncing up and down
· U.S. dollar index jumping left and right
· Traders collectively caught in “December rate cut guessing game”
⚠️ Urgent Reminder:
This is neither good nor bad news,
This is a super doubling in the market's chaotic period!
Volatility is off the charts —
Light positions! Stop losses! Surviving is more important than making money!
(Data details: Previous value 22,000, expected 50,000, actual 119,000, unemployment rate rose from 4.2% to 4.4%)
#非农 #美联储利率决议即将公布 #经济数据 #投资风险
Tonight's non-farm payroll report is simply outrageous! The U.S. added 119,000 jobs in September, more than double expectations! But even more magical is that the unemployment rate rose instead of falling, soaring to 4.4%, a two-year high!
How fragmented is this data?
🎯 Hawks see: Employment booming, economy worry-free, why rush to cut rates?
🎯 Doves see: Unemployment warning, recession ahead, if rates aren't cut soon it will be too late!
Even the Federal Reserve would be silent after this... The most critical part of this report is that — the U.S. government is facing a shutdown, data will be cut off! This has become the only reliable reference for the coming weeks; the market is entering “blind flight mode”!
💥 The market reaction was incredibly stimulating:
· U.S. Treasury yields bouncing up and down
· U.S. dollar index jumping left and right
· Traders collectively caught in “December rate cut guessing game”
⚠️ Urgent Reminder:
This is neither good nor bad news,
This is a super doubling in the market's chaotic period!
Volatility is off the charts —
Light positions! Stop losses! Surviving is more important than making money!
(Data details: Previous value 22,000, expected 50,000, actual 119,000, unemployment rate rose from 4.2% to 4.4%)
#非农 #美联储利率决议即将公布 #经济数据 #投资风险
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💡💡💡【The culprit behind the overall decline has been found! The Federal Reserve suddenly changes its stance, will the interest rate cut in December fail?】$ASTER
🎞Bad news is here! The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations changed overnight, and the market's betting probability has directly halved below 50%! What exactly is going on with this reversal? $PIEVERSE
💸 The whole process of the shattered interest rate cut dream:
Six months ago, it was still shouting "big stimulus at the end of the year," but now the narrative has changed. Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari has directly laid it out: "I absolutely do not support the last interest rate cut!" This honest statement completely shatters the market's fantasies. #特朗普取消农产品关税
What he refers to as "economic resilience" translates to:
▪️ Consumers are still spending
▪️ The job market is not too bad
▪️ Companies are not at the point of crying poverty
The data may be soft, but we are still far from a crisis! $ZEC #加密市场回调
📉 Even more troublesome is the data black hole:
During the government shutdown, the Labor Department and the Commerce Department collectively went on strike, and key economic reports have directly "disappeared." The White House has admitted: some October data may never be issued again! Bulls are confused, bears are celebrating.
🔄 The market logic has completely changed:
Interest rate cuts used to be a lifesaver, but now they are a hot potato. Traders are no longer listening to slogans, but are closely watching every employment data and inflation indicator. Any slight disturbance, and the market immediately turns against you!
🔍 Keep a close eye on these two indicators in the coming weeks:
✅ Labor Department's Non-Farm Employment Report
✅ Commerce Department's PCE Inflation Data
Numbers not disastrous = December interest rate cut is off
Numbers collapse = Market fully revives
👇 What do you think? Is this decline an opportunity or a crisis?
Leave your judgment in the comments!
#美联储降息 #市场变盘 #经济数据
🎞Bad news is here! The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations changed overnight, and the market's betting probability has directly halved below 50%! What exactly is going on with this reversal? $PIEVERSE
💸 The whole process of the shattered interest rate cut dream:
Six months ago, it was still shouting "big stimulus at the end of the year," but now the narrative has changed. Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari has directly laid it out: "I absolutely do not support the last interest rate cut!" This honest statement completely shatters the market's fantasies. #特朗普取消农产品关税
What he refers to as "economic resilience" translates to:
▪️ Consumers are still spending
▪️ The job market is not too bad
▪️ Companies are not at the point of crying poverty
The data may be soft, but we are still far from a crisis! $ZEC #加密市场回调
📉 Even more troublesome is the data black hole:
During the government shutdown, the Labor Department and the Commerce Department collectively went on strike, and key economic reports have directly "disappeared." The White House has admitted: some October data may never be issued again! Bulls are confused, bears are celebrating.
🔄 The market logic has completely changed:
Interest rate cuts used to be a lifesaver, but now they are a hot potato. Traders are no longer listening to slogans, but are closely watching every employment data and inflation indicator. Any slight disturbance, and the market immediately turns against you!
🔍 Keep a close eye on these two indicators in the coming weeks:
✅ Labor Department's Non-Farm Employment Report
✅ Commerce Department's PCE Inflation Data
Numbers not disastrous = December interest rate cut is off
Numbers collapse = Market fully revives
👇 What do you think? Is this decline an opportunity or a crisis?
Leave your judgment in the comments!
#美联储降息 #市场变盘 #经济数据
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Events that may affect economic development in the United States on August 21, 2024:
The three major U.S. stock index futures rose slightly: On August 21, the three major U.S. stock index futures all rose slightly. After the global sell-off in early August, the market is gradually recovering from the trough. Strong retail data and lower-than-expected inflation reports eased concerns about a recession. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq set their longest winning streak since the end of 2023 this week.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released a report: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the preliminary report on non-farm employment and wages (QCEW) for the first quarter of 2024 on August 21. The report may revise the non-farm employment data for the year from April 2023 to March 2024. The revised results may mean that the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics previously overestimated the number of new non-farm jobs in the United States, and the degree of overestimation may even be the largest in 15 years.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released a report: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the preliminary report on non-farm employment and wages (QCEW) for the first quarter of 2024 on August 21. The report may revise the non-farm employment data for the year from April 2023 to March 2024. The revised results may mean that the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics previously overestimated the number of new non-farm jobs in the United States, and the degree of overestimation may even be the largest in 15 years.
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"Really, stop working so hard, and look at the data first."
The latest unemployment data in the United States is out! Today, everyone in the market is watching the number of first-time applicants for benefits. If the number is higher than 215,000, Wall Street brothers will breathe more smoothly and feel that it is good; but if it is lower than 215,000, it will be bad news for the market recently - the job market is still too hot, inflation suppression has become a joke, and the Fed will cut interest rates? Don't even think about it.
The result? The data is directly lower than expected! It is slightly bearish for the market. But don't worry, take a look at the ADP employment report on September 15, which is a positive. These two numbers together, the market output is just a tie.
Simply put, this round of heart-pounding economic data is: employment is dovish (slightly), interest rates are hawkish (slightly), and nothing happens in the end (market: Oh).
Since the market is so dull, I, Kay, will go out directly, and the "middle-aged loser" can also fight! I have already pressed all my positions, and the short-term rebound target price is +5%. Those who understand should get on board in advance, and those who don't... please give life some hope.
Target | $BTC $ETH
Hashtags | #经济数据 #加密市场 #BTC重回10万 #SOLV开盘 #莱特币ETF通过预期
The latest unemployment data in the United States is out! Today, everyone in the market is watching the number of first-time applicants for benefits. If the number is higher than 215,000, Wall Street brothers will breathe more smoothly and feel that it is good; but if it is lower than 215,000, it will be bad news for the market recently - the job market is still too hot, inflation suppression has become a joke, and the Fed will cut interest rates? Don't even think about it.
The result? The data is directly lower than expected! It is slightly bearish for the market. But don't worry, take a look at the ADP employment report on September 15, which is a positive. These two numbers together, the market output is just a tie.
Simply put, this round of heart-pounding economic data is: employment is dovish (slightly), interest rates are hawkish (slightly), and nothing happens in the end (market: Oh).
Since the market is so dull, I, Kay, will go out directly, and the "middle-aged loser" can also fight! I have already pressed all my positions, and the short-term rebound target price is +5%. Those who understand should get on board in advance, and those who don't... please give life some hope.
Target | $BTC $ETH
Hashtags | #经济数据 #加密市场 #BTC重回10万 #SOLV开盘 #莱特币ETF通过预期
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The economic data to be released in the evening is here! #5月非农数据即将公布 #经济数据
绣虎_hg
--
I marked several #sol板块 ecological varieties. The upper blue line is pressure, and the lower blue line is support. Among the four varieties, only PYTH is relatively low. They are all daily level. You can refer to them by yourself. It is attached with important data to be announced tonight. Remember to pay attention to the economic data in the yellow box. #RAY #JUP： #JTO🔥🔥🔥 #pyth
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Data is the calmest prophet in the market and the most sensitive nerve in the cryptocurrency world!
Two key data points for the US in July have been updated:
1️⃣ Job vacancies: 8.96 million (previous value: 9.10 million) → The job market remains strong but has slightly cooled;
2️⃣ Factory orders month-on-month: -2.1% (previous value: +2.3%) → Manufacturing demand has clearly slowed.
My view: The economy is showing a diverging pattern of 'employment resilience + manufacturing weakness', which may exacerbate market concerns about policy uncertainty. History shows that similar divergence periods (such as August 2019) are often accompanied by high volatility in BTC, and the short-term direction needs to closely monitor the Fed's statements.
Case reminder: Last year, when manufacturing data unexpectedly declined, BTC rebounded 18% within 48 hours, as funds quickly shifted to risk-averse logic—current conditions require vigilance against similar volatility reoccurrences.
Next strategy focus:
If employment data continues to exceed expectations → Rate hike expectations rise → Short-term bearish risk for assets;
If manufacturing weakness spreads to the consumption side → Risk-averse sentiment may drive BTC to strengthen temporarily.
Want to get data night market interpretations + point strategies? Follow me and feel free to join our team's deep analysis channel to avoid pitfalls!
#经济数据 #币圈策略 #美联储 #区块链
Two key data points for the US in July have been updated:
1️⃣ Job vacancies: 8.96 million (previous value: 9.10 million) → The job market remains strong but has slightly cooled;
2️⃣ Factory orders month-on-month: -2.1% (previous value: +2.3%) → Manufacturing demand has clearly slowed.
My view: The economy is showing a diverging pattern of 'employment resilience + manufacturing weakness', which may exacerbate market concerns about policy uncertainty. History shows that similar divergence periods (such as August 2019) are often accompanied by high volatility in BTC, and the short-term direction needs to closely monitor the Fed's statements.
Case reminder: Last year, when manufacturing data unexpectedly declined, BTC rebounded 18% within 48 hours, as funds quickly shifted to risk-averse logic—current conditions require vigilance against similar volatility reoccurrences.
Next strategy focus:
If employment data continues to exceed expectations → Rate hike expectations rise → Short-term bearish risk for assets;
If manufacturing weakness spreads to the consumption side → Risk-averse sentiment may drive BTC to strengthen temporarily.
Want to get data night market interpretations + point strategies? Follow me and feel free to join our team's deep analysis channel to avoid pitfalls!
#经济数据 #币圈策略 #美联储 #区块链
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🔥Pre-timeline warning for major events in the cryptocurrency field this week🔥
📈 The market has just experienced a big drop, and now it is a tense moment again. This week's US economic calendar is full, and we will usher in some major events that may shake the market!
📊 On Tuesday, the PPI report is coming, which is a weather vane for predicting inflation. On Wednesday, the CPI report will follow, giving us a more comprehensive picture of inflation. Analysts expect that the inflation rate may be the same as last month, but everything depends on what the data says.
🛍️ On Thursday, retail sales data will also be released, which will tell us whether consumer spending is still strong. If the data shows that inflationary pressures are easing, the Federal Reserve may slow down the pace of interest rate hikes, which may be good news for our cryptocurrency market!
🤔 Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo, said that the July CPI report may further prove that inflation is stabilizing, even if inflation has not yet fully returned to the Fed's target level.
Michael Gapen, head of economics at Bank of America, also said that if the data (retail sales and inflation) are as expected, the market may lower expectations for a sharp rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.
💡 So, here comes the question! How will the release of these economic data affect the cryptocurrency market this week? Which currency do you prefer? Is it Bitcoin, Ethereum, or some other dark horse?
👇 Tell me your thoughts in the comments section, let's predict the market trends this week and seize investment opportunities together!
#加密货币 #经济数据 #通胀报告 #美联储 #投资机会
📈 The market has just experienced a big drop, and now it is a tense moment again. This week's US economic calendar is full, and we will usher in some major events that may shake the market!
📊 On Tuesday, the PPI report is coming, which is a weather vane for predicting inflation. On Wednesday, the CPI report will follow, giving us a more comprehensive picture of inflation. Analysts expect that the inflation rate may be the same as last month, but everything depends on what the data says.
🛍️ On Thursday, retail sales data will also be released, which will tell us whether consumer spending is still strong. If the data shows that inflationary pressures are easing, the Federal Reserve may slow down the pace of interest rate hikes, which may be good news for our cryptocurrency market!
🤔 Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo, said that the July CPI report may further prove that inflation is stabilizing, even if inflation has not yet fully returned to the Fed's target level.
Michael Gapen, head of economics at Bank of America, also said that if the data (retail sales and inflation) are as expected, the market may lower expectations for a sharp rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.
💡 So, here comes the question! How will the release of these economic data affect the cryptocurrency market this week? Which currency do you prefer? Is it Bitcoin, Ethereum, or some other dark horse?
👇 Tell me your thoughts in the comments section, let's predict the market trends this week and seize investment opportunities together!
#加密货币 #经济数据 #通胀报告 #美联储 #投资机会
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👀Next week's market outlook: Trump's tariff policy and Fed dynamics may become the main focus of the investment market
Next week, global investors will face a week full of uncertainty and key economic data. The Trump administration's tariff policy will continue to be the focus of market attention, and its impact on the market cannot be ignored. At the same time, the upcoming US inflation data and speeches by Fed officials will be key factors affecting expectations of interest rate cuts.
In the coming week, the market will pay close attention to the following important events:
· Monday: ECB President Lagarde will participate in the debate on the 2023 annual report.
· Tuesday: The New York Fed will release annual inflation expectations; Cleveland Fed President Hammack discusses the economic outlook; Fed Chairman Powell presents monetary policy at a Senate hearing.
· Wednesday: FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams delivered a speech; the United States will release January CPI and core CPI data; Fed Chairman Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony to the House Financial Services Committee.
· Thursday: 2027 FOMC voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic speaks on economic outlook; U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending February 8; U.S. PPI annual and monthly rates in January.
· Friday: U.S. retail sales monthly rate in January; U.S. industrial output monthly rate in January.
Several Wall Street analysts warned that due to seasonal factors, forecasting CPI data in January is usually more challenging, which may increase market volatility when the data is released.
According to the Cleveland Fed's inflation Nowcasting indicator, the overall CPI is expected to grow by 2.85% year-on-year in January, and the core CPI is expected to grow by 3.13% year-on-year, only slightly slower than the previous month. These data may strengthen the market's expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates stable at the March meeting.
In summary, next week's economic data and official speeches will provide investors with important market guidance, especially in the context of increasing global economic uncertainty. Investors need to remain vigilant and pay close attention to relevant market developments.
💬Finally, what impact do you think these factors will have on the direction of the cryptocurrency market? Leave your insights and predictions in the comments section!
#市场前瞻 #特朗普关税 #美联储降息 #经济数据
Next week, global investors will face a week full of uncertainty and key economic data. The Trump administration's tariff policy will continue to be the focus of market attention, and its impact on the market cannot be ignored. At the same time, the upcoming US inflation data and speeches by Fed officials will be key factors affecting expectations of interest rate cuts.
In the coming week, the market will pay close attention to the following important events:
· Monday: ECB President Lagarde will participate in the debate on the 2023 annual report.
· Tuesday: The New York Fed will release annual inflation expectations; Cleveland Fed President Hammack discusses the economic outlook; Fed Chairman Powell presents monetary policy at a Senate hearing.
· Wednesday: FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams delivered a speech; the United States will release January CPI and core CPI data; Fed Chairman Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony to the House Financial Services Committee.
· Thursday: 2027 FOMC voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic speaks on economic outlook; U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending February 8; U.S. PPI annual and monthly rates in January.
· Friday: U.S. retail sales monthly rate in January; U.S. industrial output monthly rate in January.
Several Wall Street analysts warned that due to seasonal factors, forecasting CPI data in January is usually more challenging, which may increase market volatility when the data is released.
According to the Cleveland Fed's inflation Nowcasting indicator, the overall CPI is expected to grow by 2.85% year-on-year in January, and the core CPI is expected to grow by 3.13% year-on-year, only slightly slower than the previous month. These data may strengthen the market's expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates stable at the March meeting.
In summary, next week's economic data and official speeches will provide investors with important market guidance, especially in the context of increasing global economic uncertainty. Investors need to remain vigilant and pay close attention to relevant market developments.
💬Finally, what impact do you think these factors will have on the direction of the cryptocurrency market? Leave your insights and predictions in the comments section!
#市场前瞻 #特朗普关税 #美联储降息 #经济数据
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If interest rates are not cut, the following effects may occur:
1. Economic growth is hindered:
1. Reduced corporate investment: A high interest rate environment will increase corporate borrowing costs, causing companies to be more cautious when considering new investment projects. For example, companies that originally planned to expand factories and purchase new equipment may postpone or cancel these investment plans due to rising capital costs, thereby affecting the expansion of corporate production scale and technological updates, and further weakening the overall economic growth momentum.
Small business sales decline
2. Weak consumer demand: In a high-interest environment, consumers' loan costs, such as mortgages, car loans, and credit card debts, will increase, resulting in a decrease in consumer disposable income, which in turn inhibits consumer willingness to consume. For example, some households may reduce non-essential consumer spending such as purchasing large items and traveling due to rising mortgage rates. The decline in consumer demand will have an adverse impact on economic growth because consumption is an important part of the economy.
1. Reduced corporate investment: A high interest rate environment will increase corporate borrowing costs, causing companies to be more cautious when considering new investment projects. For example, companies that originally planned to expand factories and purchase new equipment may postpone or cancel these investment plans due to rising capital costs, thereby affecting the expansion of corporate production scale and technological updates, and further weakening the overall economic growth momentum.
Small business sales decline
2. Weak consumer demand: In a high-interest environment, consumers' loan costs, such as mortgages, car loans, and credit card debts, will increase, resulting in a decrease in consumer disposable income, which in turn inhibits consumer willingness to consume. For example, some households may reduce non-essential consumer spending such as purchasing large items and traveling due to rising mortgage rates. The decline in consumer demand will have an adverse impact on economic growth because consumption is an important part of the economy.
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$BTC
Buffett cashes out Bank of America again!
Berkshire Hathaway, owned by Buffett, reduced its holdings of Bank of America for three consecutive trading days on September 3, 4, and 5, 2024, worth about $760 million.
As early as mid-July, Buffett began to reduce his holdings by nearly $7 billion, and currently holds about $34.7 billion.
Berkshire's second quarter U.S. stock holdings report showed that the company directly cut its Apple position in half, from 790 million shares to 400 million shares, and as of the end of the quarter, the market value of its holdings was $84.2 billion.
And the cash was used to buy U.S. Treasury bonds. It can be seen that there is a serious lack of confidence in the recovery of the U.S. economy.
#美元指数 #经济数据
Buffett cashes out Bank of America again!
Berkshire Hathaway, owned by Buffett, reduced its holdings of Bank of America for three consecutive trading days on September 3, 4, and 5, 2024, worth about $760 million.
As early as mid-July, Buffett began to reduce his holdings by nearly $7 billion, and currently holds about $34.7 billion.
Berkshire's second quarter U.S. stock holdings report showed that the company directly cut its Apple position in half, from 790 million shares to 400 million shares, and as of the end of the quarter, the market value of its holdings was $84.2 billion.
And the cash was used to buy U.S. Treasury bonds. It can be seen that there is a serious lack of confidence in the recovery of the U.S. economy.
#美元指数 #经济数据
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There are some economic data and events next week, and the date events are marked!
The events that need to be focused on are Canada's monetary minutes and Japan's interest rate decision and monetary policy press conference. The reason is that Canada released the wind of interest rate cuts last week, and Japan's verbal exchange rate intervention is also worth paying attention to (related to currency depreciation). These two events need to see what will be said at that time, what policies will be pushed back.
The economic data is PMI on Tuesday, PCE and personal spending on Thursday, PCE and personal spending on Friday, and the University of Michigan Consumer Index is also counted in personal spending.
Why should we pay attention to these data? Because the Federal Reserve has been blowing the wind since last week, the market has also lowered expectations for interest rate cuts, and many Federal Reserve officials have also mentioned that monetary policy will be determined based on future economic data.
Except for the relatively strong PMI on Tuesday, the other data are currently OK, and the probability of an upset is not very high.
The halving has passed, and the probability of violent wash-outs like before the halving should not be too high in the future. When there is no event stimulus in the currency circle itself, we should pay more attention to external events outside the currency circle. #比特币减半 #经济数据
The events that need to be focused on are Canada's monetary minutes and Japan's interest rate decision and monetary policy press conference. The reason is that Canada released the wind of interest rate cuts last week, and Japan's verbal exchange rate intervention is also worth paying attention to (related to currency depreciation). These two events need to see what will be said at that time, what policies will be pushed back.
The economic data is PMI on Tuesday, PCE and personal spending on Thursday, PCE and personal spending on Friday, and the University of Michigan Consumer Index is also counted in personal spending.
Why should we pay attention to these data? Because the Federal Reserve has been blowing the wind since last week, the market has also lowered expectations for interest rate cuts, and many Federal Reserve officials have also mentioned that monetary policy will be determined based on future economic data.
Except for the relatively strong PMI on Tuesday, the other data are currently OK, and the probability of an upset is not very high.
The halving has passed, and the probability of violent wash-outs like before the halving should not be too high in the future. When there is no event stimulus in the currency circle itself, we should pay more attention to external events outside the currency circle. #比特币减半 #经济数据
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Several important data will be released tonight, all of which are related to consumer spending, and the expected values are also a little higher than the previous values. Among them, the annual rate of the PCE price index has remained at 2.8 since the beginning of the year, and fell to 2.6 in May/June, but the expectation this time is 2.7, which is not very ideal. (I won’t talk about the specific impact logic, there are too many words) In addition, the crude oil market has been making trouble recently. The situation in the Middle East is tense. A few days ago, there was a problem with the shipping oil tanker there. I forgot. There are also news that 80% of Libya’s oil production may be interrupted, and Iraq will reduce production. Anyway, there are many different opinions. In a word, there is no good news, because the above news combined is to push up oil prices. Although OPEC+ said that it will increase production from October, it is still uncertain! In addition, from a technical perspective, the 4H chart of crude oil has also stood on MA120. The trend is not weak, but it cannot be said to be strong. We should wait for further news to consolidate! Rising oil prices will drive up fuel costs and household energy costs, so it will also push up PCE. There are many cars in the United States, which is not a good thing for them! There is nothing to say about the big cake. The daily level has reached a life-and-death position. If this position cannot be maintained, the possibility of the second test of 5W will increase again. Yesterday, a blogger asked in the comment area what I thought. Actually, I wanted to say it directly, but I really dare not say it. After all, everything depends on the mood of the dog dealer. When I become the dealer, I will say it in a positive tone 😆
The above is purely personal fantasy and is not used as investment advice or basis for opening orders! #PCE数据 #经济数据 $BTC
The above is purely personal fantasy and is not used as investment advice or basis for opening orders! #PCE数据 #经济数据 $BTC
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Japan just announced no interest rate hike, and the USD/JPY is experiencing significant short-term volatility! To briefly share my personal view, Japan's decision not to raise interest rates might boost the US dollar index, which could put pressure on non-USD assets, including Bitcoin! This is because the US dollar is considered a risk-free asset, making it more attractive for capital inflows, that's the logic! Additionally, there are economic data releases tonight at 21:30. I'm mentioning tonight's data because yesterday Powell emphasized that future monetary policy will be based on economic data, so it's advisable to pay attention to it, it's not a hassle, #美联储放鹰 #经济数据
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