#交易故事 #策略交易 A strict implementation of the ETH swing trading strategy
Recently, I executed an ETH trade based on the "breakthrough pullback" strategy, achieving an 18% return while strictly controlling risk. This trade perfectly validated my trading system, and I share it for everyone's reference.
1. Strategy Background
My trading system consists of three core elements:
1) Breakthrough confirmation at key levels (must close firmly for 4 consecutive hours)
2) Volume verification (volume must increase to 1.5 times the average at the time of the breakthrough)
3) Stop-loss discipline (fixed 3% stop-loss, dynamic take profit)
2. Trade Execution
- May 12: ETH broke through the $3,200 resistance level, and the 4-hour chart closed with three consecutive bullish candles, while the volume reached 1.8 times the 30-day average
- Position opening: Bought 20 ETH at $3,210 (total position approximately 15%)
- Stop-loss setting: $3,110 (below previous low support)
- Position management:
• First target $3,500 (reduce position by 50%)
• Second target $3,800 (move stop-loss to breakeven)
• Final $4,000 (fully close)
3. Market Verification
After the breakthrough, ETH rose as expected, but on May 15 it encountered resistance at $3,600:
- On-chain data: Whale addresses continued to transfer to exchanges in the $3,550-3,600 range
- Derivatives signal: Perpetual contract funding rate reached 0.15%/8h (overheated)
- Decision: Preemptively closed 80% at $3,580, retaining 20% of the position for observation
4. Results and Reflection
- Actual return: Sold at an average price of $3,520, return rate 18%
- Key takeaways:
1) Breakthrough strategies work best in trending markets
2) Combining on-chain data can avoid "false breakout" traps
3) Dynamic take profit is more adaptable to market fluctuations than fixed targets
This trade once again proves: good strategy + strict execution > blindly chasing highs and killing lows. Now, I am waiting for ETH to pull back to around $3,300, preparing for the next entry opportunity that aligns with the strategy.