欧洲央行降息
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Breaking news⚠️⚠️A currency war that determines the world economic pattern is about to start❗️❗️❗️
The European Central Bank officially announced that it will announce a rate cut at 22:15 on June 6. Once Europe starts to cut interest rates, it can be announced that the two-year interest rate hike in the United States has completely failed. This means that Europe and the United States are parting ways in finance. There is a huge rift in the capital interests of Europe and the United States. It can basically be announced that the US interest rate hike cycle has completely ended in failure. Once Europe starts to cut interest rates, the exchange rate of the euro and the US dollar will begin to decouple completely, which means that a new round of currency wars around the world is about to begin! ! 😱
So is the European interest rate cut and currency war good news or bad news for our cryptocurrencies? 🤔
On the one hand, it may drive up the price of cryptocurrencies because they are regarded as a safe-haven asset.
On the other hand, currency wars may lead to global economic instability and large fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices.
Therefore, Abi believes that the rebound and pullback last night is also a good time to get on board. Yesterday, Abi publicly published a post to enter the market with a long position at 3739, and perfectly stopped profit at 80 o'clock after 1 o'clock in the morning✌️
So today's strategy: E TH can continue to take long orders when it pulls back to 3740-3650. The position is still the focus.
BTC friends also entered the market with long orders. #热门话题 #BTC突破7万大关 #ETH大涨 $BTC $ETH #降息期望 #欧洲央行降息
The European Central Bank officially announced that it will announce a rate cut at 22:15 on June 6. Once Europe starts to cut interest rates, it can be announced that the two-year interest rate hike in the United States has completely failed. This means that Europe and the United States are parting ways in finance. There is a huge rift in the capital interests of Europe and the United States. It can basically be announced that the US interest rate hike cycle has completely ended in failure. Once Europe starts to cut interest rates, the exchange rate of the euro and the US dollar will begin to decouple completely, which means that a new round of currency wars around the world is about to begin! ! 😱
So is the European interest rate cut and currency war good news or bad news for our cryptocurrencies? 🤔
On the one hand, it may drive up the price of cryptocurrencies because they are regarded as a safe-haven asset.
On the other hand, currency wars may lead to global economic instability and large fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices.
Therefore, Abi believes that the rebound and pullback last night is also a good time to get on board. Yesterday, Abi publicly published a post to enter the market with a long position at 3739, and perfectly stopped profit at 80 o'clock after 1 o'clock in the morning✌️
So today's strategy: E TH can continue to take long orders when it pulls back to 3740-3650. The position is still the focus.
BTC friends also entered the market with long orders. #热门话题 #BTC突破7万大关 #ETH大涨 $BTC $ETH #降息期望 #欧洲央行降息
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降息了！大牛将至！
$SOL The European Central Bank has taken the lead in cutting interest rates! 🔥🔥🔥
This bull market will be unprecedented! The global bull market, Bitcoin is expected to reach 1 million, and this year it is very likely to first rise to 300,000 USD. #欧洲央行降息 On the Solana chain #特朗普狗狗币 Conan, I have already laid the groundwork, waiting for 100 times, brothers, see you at the peak! 🚀$BTC
$DOGE
$SOL The European Central Bank has taken the lead in cutting interest rates! 🔥🔥🔥
This bull market will be unprecedented! The global bull market, Bitcoin is expected to reach 1 million, and this year it is very likely to first rise to 300,000 USD. #欧洲央行降息 On the Solana chain #特朗普狗狗币 Conan, I have already laid the groundwork, waiting for 100 times, brothers, see you at the peak! 🚀$BTC
$DOGE
[Replay] 🎙️ 与其追逐风口，不如成为风口！
英雄犬Conan能否超越Doge？
响应一姐《MEME学习手记》
02 h 35 m 41 s · 228 listens
See original
狂暴大牛将至！！！
$IQ European Central Bank cuts interest rates, will the Federal Reserve follow? ❓ #欧洲央行降息
I think it won't be long before a raging bull market at the real-time level is coming! Hold tight to the spot you have and patiently wait for 10x, 100x, 1000x gains! ❗️
We must believe that this cycle will definitely realize the dream of wealth! The target I am optimistic about is #特朗普狗狗币 Conan, I bought 10,000 USDT, target 500-1000x 🔥 $BIO
$BIGTIME
$IQ European Central Bank cuts interest rates, will the Federal Reserve follow? ❓ #欧洲央行降息
I think it won't be long before a raging bull market at the real-time level is coming! Hold tight to the spot you have and patiently wait for 10x, 100x, 1000x gains! ❗️
We must believe that this cycle will definitely realize the dream of wealth! The target I am optimistic about is #特朗普狗狗币 Conan, I bought 10,000 USDT, target 500-1000x 🔥 $BIO
$BIGTIME
[Replay] 🎙️ 与其追逐风口，不如成为风口！
英雄犬Conan能否超越Doge？
响应一姐《MEME学习手记》
02 h 35 m 41 s · 228 listens
See original
#欧洲央行降息
About the ECB's rate cut. I personally want to define this ECB rate cut as: a hawkish rate cut.
Although the rate cut was 25 basis points as expected by the market, there were hawkish statements after the meeting, and statements that the Fed over-reliant on the independence of regional central banks.
1. Denying a rapid rate cut and entering a rate cut cycle too early.
2. Retaining an attitude that inflation has not slowed down in the future, and not giving clear guidance on rate cuts.
The reason is: fearing that the Fed will harvest too much, and doing expectation management to prevent capital outflows, I cut first, and you, the Americans, will not cut.
Therefore, the hawkish statement led to a decline in the US dollar index and a rise in the capital market. The ECB cuts interest rates and is about to release water, and the copycat season is here.
About the ECB's rate cut. I personally want to define this ECB rate cut as: a hawkish rate cut.
Although the rate cut was 25 basis points as expected by the market, there were hawkish statements after the meeting, and statements that the Fed over-reliant on the independence of regional central banks.
1. Denying a rapid rate cut and entering a rate cut cycle too early.
2. Retaining an attitude that inflation has not slowed down in the future, and not giving clear guidance on rate cuts.
The reason is: fearing that the Fed will harvest too much, and doing expectation management to prevent capital outflows, I cut first, and you, the Americans, will not cut.
Therefore, the hawkish statement led to a decline in the US dollar index and a rise in the capital market. The ECB cuts interest rates and is about to release water, and the copycat season is here.
See original
The latest interest rate decision of the European Central Bank was announced: adjusting market expectations and temporarily ensuring the stability of the euro.
The European Central Bank announced the latest interest rate, cutting interest rates by 25 basis points. The three major interest rates will be 4.25%, 3.75% and 4.5% respectively. The European Central Bank's interest rate cut is the second central bank in the G7 member countries to cut interest rates. The previous one was Canada's interest rate cut last week.
And the European Central Bank said that as long as there is a need, it will continue to maintain restrictive interest rates, and at the same time dispelled rumors that it has not pre-committed to any interest rate path.
In other words, if the economy allows, interest rate cuts will not be too frequent in the short term, and interest rate cuts will be limited. At the same time, the previous rumors that the European Central Bank's interest rate cut will start seasonal interest rate cuts have been overturned, and the rhythmic interest rate cuts will not be maintained.
Market traders believe that there will be another 40 basis points of interest rate cuts this year.
The European Central Bank expressed this not because it really decided not to adopt the rhythm of seasonal interest rate cuts, but because it did not want to give the market too many expectations of interest rate cuts too early, which would buffer the decline of the euro.
At the same time, the ECB has reduced its inflation forecast by 2.5 percentage points, and raised its expected inflation by 20 basis points this year, lowered it by 20 basis points in 2025, and kept it unchanged in 2026.
At the same time, GDP is expected to grow by 0.9% in 2024, up 30 basis points from March.
While raising the upper limit of inflation expectations, the expectation for GDP is also raised, in order to show the outside world that the eurozone economy continues to remain strong and will be stronger in the future, and inflation has been effectively controlled. These two points happen to be the two most direct problems faced by the euro rate cut.
The result of the announcement of these expectations is that the euro rate cut did not weaken the euro against the US dollar, but strengthened in the short term.
There are only two reasons for this situation:
1. The euro rate cut market expected in advance, fell in advance, and the rate cut landed and rebounded in the short term.
2. Through the policy adjustments of the European Central Bank, the eurozone's expectations for the future economy have improved, and the euro has rebounded in the short term.
In any case, the rebound of the euro is only temporary and cannot be maintained for a long time. The interest rate cut made by the European Central Bank after trying to block the hawkish remarks of Macron and others must be at the cost of a significant depreciation of the euro.
If you are interested, you can pay more attention to the euro-dollar index, as well as the situation of European and US stock markets. Once the US dollar index strengthens, euro assets will inevitably leave in increasing quantities.
For the crypto market, we can only say that there is a factor in the macro sentiment that is favorable to the risk market, but whether the crypto market can reap the dividends of this wave of interest rate cuts in Europe in the short term still requires patience.
#EUR #欧洲央行降息
The European Central Bank announced the latest interest rate, cutting interest rates by 25 basis points. The three major interest rates will be 4.25%, 3.75% and 4.5% respectively. The European Central Bank's interest rate cut is the second central bank in the G7 member countries to cut interest rates. The previous one was Canada's interest rate cut last week.
And the European Central Bank said that as long as there is a need, it will continue to maintain restrictive interest rates, and at the same time dispelled rumors that it has not pre-committed to any interest rate path.
In other words, if the economy allows, interest rate cuts will not be too frequent in the short term, and interest rate cuts will be limited. At the same time, the previous rumors that the European Central Bank's interest rate cut will start seasonal interest rate cuts have been overturned, and the rhythmic interest rate cuts will not be maintained.
Market traders believe that there will be another 40 basis points of interest rate cuts this year.
The European Central Bank expressed this not because it really decided not to adopt the rhythm of seasonal interest rate cuts, but because it did not want to give the market too many expectations of interest rate cuts too early, which would buffer the decline of the euro.
At the same time, the ECB has reduced its inflation forecast by 2.5 percentage points, and raised its expected inflation by 20 basis points this year, lowered it by 20 basis points in 2025, and kept it unchanged in 2026.
At the same time, GDP is expected to grow by 0.9% in 2024, up 30 basis points from March.
While raising the upper limit of inflation expectations, the expectation for GDP is also raised, in order to show the outside world that the eurozone economy continues to remain strong and will be stronger in the future, and inflation has been effectively controlled. These two points happen to be the two most direct problems faced by the euro rate cut.
The result of the announcement of these expectations is that the euro rate cut did not weaken the euro against the US dollar, but strengthened in the short term.
There are only two reasons for this situation:
1. The euro rate cut market expected in advance, fell in advance, and the rate cut landed and rebounded in the short term.
2. Through the policy adjustments of the European Central Bank, the eurozone's expectations for the future economy have improved, and the euro has rebounded in the short term.
In any case, the rebound of the euro is only temporary and cannot be maintained for a long time. The interest rate cut made by the European Central Bank after trying to block the hawkish remarks of Macron and others must be at the cost of a significant depreciation of the euro.
If you are interested, you can pay more attention to the euro-dollar index, as well as the situation of European and US stock markets. Once the US dollar index strengthens, euro assets will inevitably leave in increasing quantities.
For the crypto market, we can only say that there is a factor in the macro sentiment that is favorable to the risk market, but whether the crypto market can reap the dividends of this wave of interest rate cuts in Europe in the short term still requires patience.
#EUR #欧洲央行降息
薛定谔的猫叔
--
Interpretation of European macro data on June 6: The ECB announced its interest rate decision.
The main refinancing rate of the ECB in the euro area as of June 6
Attention: ★★★★★
The ECB announced its interest rate decision and adjusted the benchmark interest rate in the euro area.
The main refinancing rate of the ECB in the euro area as of June 6 is the interest rate at which the ECB provides loans to commercial banks.
The ECB is expected to cut interest rates and trigger the possibility of quarterly interest rate cuts in Europe in the future (quarterly interest rate cuts are regular interest rate cuts based on quarterly cycles). The interest rate cut in the euro area will have an impact on the US economy and even the global economy.
The expected decline in the European refinancing rate will affect corporate financing, borrowing costs, and even capital flows in the euro area.
Data impact: Impact on risk markets ★★★★ Impact on global economy and US interest rates ★★★★★
Data credibility: ★★★★★
Data: Main refinancing operation rate: 4.5%, deposit facility rate: 4%, marginal lending facility rate: 4.75%
Note: Main refinancing operation rate, the interest rate at which the European Central Bank provides loans to commercial banks.
The deposit facility rate is the interest rate at which commercial banks deposit money overnight at the central bank.
The marginal lending variable rate, also known as the overnight rate, is the interest rate at which the central bank temporarily borrows overnight loans from commercial banks.
Announcement time: 20:15
Impact:
This time the market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, mainly in the financing rate, which will drop by 25 basis points from 4.5% to 4.25%.
The impact of the interest rate cut on the euro zone:
1. Reduce borrowing costs, including corporate financing and private borrowing.
2. Increase money supply and liquidity.
3. Stimulate economic growth. It is easier to do things with money in hand.
4. Inflationary pressure increases. Having money stimulates consumption, causing supply and demand tension, rising prices, and inflationary pressure.
5. The euro depreciates.
6. The stock market rises because companies get money and continue to expand, and bond prices will rise.
The impact of interest rate cuts on Asia (village and books):
The euro interest rate cut will indirectly lead to a comparative appreciation of the RMB and the yen, thereby leading to pressure for currency appreciation. To put it bluntly, the appreciation of the RMB compared to the euro is not conducive to the use rate of the RMB in the international status.
Capital inflows. Currently, the village has relatively large restrictions on external capital inflows, so there is no need to consider it for the time being. However, it may strengthen the village's long-term debt with domestic institutions in the periphery, resulting in an increase in the risk rate of long-term debt (price increase, short-term decline in yield).
For Japan, the Japanese yen is a safe haven, which may lead to the exchange of euros for yen, and then use the yen to buy many Japanese yen assets for risk hedging.
Trade. The interest rate cut in the euro zone will lead to a decline in the competitiveness of the village's export trade with Japan. At present, the village has a problem of overcapacity, and exports have deteriorated. This is a disguised increase in the ability to restrict.
Impact on the United States:
Euro capital flows into US dollar capital. To put it bluntly, the euro zone cuts interest rates, which is using the interest rate difference to provide liquidity to the US dollar. This action threatens the United States with invasive inflation, and the Federal Reserve happens to be good at using market expectations to control inflation.
The appreciation of the US dollar, the proportion of the euro in the basket of currencies of the US dollar is relatively high, and the depreciation of the euro will indirectly increase the appreciation of the US dollar. The US dollar, which has fallen recently due to speculation on the expectation of interest rate cuts, may be boosted again. Consolidate confidence in the US dollar.
The transfer of Euro capital into US dollar capital may cause the US stock market and bond market to rise again.
Export pressure has the least effect on the United States. The United States itself is a major importer, so short-term export pressure will not have too strong an impact. At the same time, increased export pressure will also make the materials exported by the United States more expensive, which is actually good for the US dollar from another perspective. Use less materials to exchange for more money.
The impact on the monetary policy of the FED (Federal Reserve) is actually the inflation problem I mentioned above. The invasive inflation brought about by the loose euro will bring more pressure to the US inflation control, so that the market expects that the Federal Reserve will consider the issue of interest rate cuts more quickly. (Personally, I think the Fed's expected control of inflation will continue)
Summary:
To put it bluntly, after the US dollar lured Japan to raise interest rates and Switzerland to cut interest rates, it forced the eurozone to cut interest rates again, which will once again provide strong liquidity for the US dollar, and the harvest will begin.
Don't say it's not forced by the United States. You must know that the eurozone economy is not low now, and the inflation pressure is not small. In addition, the internal hawkish remarks have raised various dangers of interest rate cuts, but the eurozone still chooses to cut interest rates. I don't believe this is an autonomous behavior.And in order to clear the obstacles, Biden is going to meet with French President Macron before the interest rate decision. Macron, as a representative who actively speaks out in the media, has been silent recently.
Basically, the eurozone interest rate cut tonight is a foregone conclusion. Let's see how the market reacts.
#欧洲央行降息 #BTC走势预测 $BTC
The main refinancing rate of the ECB in the euro area as of June 6
Attention: ★★★★★
The ECB announced its interest rate decision and adjusted the benchmark interest rate in the euro area.
The main refinancing rate of the ECB in the euro area as of June 6 is the interest rate at which the ECB provides loans to commercial banks.
The ECB is expected to cut interest rates and trigger the possibility of quarterly interest rate cuts in Europe in the future (quarterly interest rate cuts are regular interest rate cuts based on quarterly cycles). The interest rate cut in the euro area will have an impact on the US economy and even the global economy.
The expected decline in the European refinancing rate will affect corporate financing, borrowing costs, and even capital flows in the euro area.
Data impact: Impact on risk markets ★★★★ Impact on global economy and US interest rates ★★★★★
Data credibility: ★★★★★
Data: Main refinancing operation rate: 4.5%, deposit facility rate: 4%, marginal lending facility rate: 4.75%
Note: Main refinancing operation rate, the interest rate at which the European Central Bank provides loans to commercial banks.
The deposit facility rate is the interest rate at which commercial banks deposit money overnight at the central bank.
The marginal lending variable rate, also known as the overnight rate, is the interest rate at which the central bank temporarily borrows overnight loans from commercial banks.
Announcement time: 20:15
Impact:
This time the market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, mainly in the financing rate, which will drop by 25 basis points from 4.5% to 4.25%.
The impact of the interest rate cut on the euro zone:
1. Reduce borrowing costs, including corporate financing and private borrowing.
2. Increase money supply and liquidity.
3. Stimulate economic growth. It is easier to do things with money in hand.
4. Inflationary pressure increases. Having money stimulates consumption, causing supply and demand tension, rising prices, and inflationary pressure.
5. The euro depreciates.
6. The stock market rises because companies get money and continue to expand, and bond prices will rise.
The impact of interest rate cuts on Asia (village and books):
The euro interest rate cut will indirectly lead to a comparative appreciation of the RMB and the yen, thereby leading to pressure for currency appreciation. To put it bluntly, the appreciation of the RMB compared to the euro is not conducive to the use rate of the RMB in the international status.
Capital inflows. Currently, the village has relatively large restrictions on external capital inflows, so there is no need to consider it for the time being. However, it may strengthen the village's long-term debt with domestic institutions in the periphery, resulting in an increase in the risk rate of long-term debt (price increase, short-term decline in yield).
For Japan, the Japanese yen is a safe haven, which may lead to the exchange of euros for yen, and then use the yen to buy many Japanese yen assets for risk hedging.
Trade. The interest rate cut in the euro zone will lead to a decline in the competitiveness of the village's export trade with Japan. At present, the village has a problem of overcapacity, and exports have deteriorated. This is a disguised increase in the ability to restrict.
Impact on the United States:
Euro capital flows into US dollar capital. To put it bluntly, the euro zone cuts interest rates, which is using the interest rate difference to provide liquidity to the US dollar. This action threatens the United States with invasive inflation, and the Federal Reserve happens to be good at using market expectations to control inflation.
The appreciation of the US dollar, the proportion of the euro in the basket of currencies of the US dollar is relatively high, and the depreciation of the euro will indirectly increase the appreciation of the US dollar. The US dollar, which has fallen recently due to speculation on the expectation of interest rate cuts, may be boosted again. Consolidate confidence in the US dollar.
The transfer of Euro capital into US dollar capital may cause the US stock market and bond market to rise again.
Export pressure has the least effect on the United States. The United States itself is a major importer, so short-term export pressure will not have too strong an impact. At the same time, increased export pressure will also make the materials exported by the United States more expensive, which is actually good for the US dollar from another perspective. Use less materials to exchange for more money.
The impact on the monetary policy of the FED (Federal Reserve) is actually the inflation problem I mentioned above. The invasive inflation brought about by the loose euro will bring more pressure to the US inflation control, so that the market expects that the Federal Reserve will consider the issue of interest rate cuts more quickly. (Personally, I think the Fed's expected control of inflation will continue)
Summary:
To put it bluntly, after the US dollar lured Japan to raise interest rates and Switzerland to cut interest rates, it forced the eurozone to cut interest rates again, which will once again provide strong liquidity for the US dollar, and the harvest will begin.
Don't say it's not forced by the United States. You must know that the eurozone economy is not low now, and the inflation pressure is not small. In addition, the internal hawkish remarks have raised various dangers of interest rate cuts, but the eurozone still chooses to cut interest rates. I don't believe this is an autonomous behavior.And in order to clear the obstacles, Biden is going to meet with French President Macron before the interest rate decision. Macron, as a representative who actively speaks out in the media, has been silent recently.
Basically, the eurozone interest rate cut tonight is a foregone conclusion. Let's see how the market reacts.
#欧洲央行降息 #BTC走势预测 $BTC
See original
Interpretation of European macro data on June 6: The ECB announced its interest rate decision.
The main refinancing rate of the ECB in the euro area as of June 6
Attention: ★★★★★
The ECB announced its interest rate decision and adjusted the benchmark interest rate in the euro area.
The main refinancing rate of the ECB in the euro area as of June 6 is the interest rate at which the ECB provides loans to commercial banks.
The ECB is expected to cut interest rates and trigger the possibility of quarterly interest rate cuts in Europe in the future (quarterly interest rate cuts are regular interest rate cuts based on quarterly cycles). The interest rate cut in the euro area will have an impact on the US economy and even the global economy.
The expected decline in the European refinancing rate will affect corporate financing, borrowing costs, and even capital flows in the euro area.
Data impact: Impact on risk markets ★★★★ Impact on global economy and US interest rates ★★★★★
Data credibility: ★★★★★
Data: Main refinancing operation rate: 4.5%, deposit facility rate: 4%, marginal lending facility rate: 4.75%
Note: Main refinancing operation rate, the interest rate at which the European Central Bank provides loans to commercial banks.
The deposit facility rate is the interest rate at which commercial banks deposit money overnight at the central bank.
The marginal lending variable rate, also known as the overnight rate, is the interest rate at which the central bank temporarily borrows overnight loans from commercial banks.
Announcement time: 20:15
Impact:
This time the market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, mainly in the financing rate, which will drop by 25 basis points from 4.5% to 4.25%.
The impact of the interest rate cut on the euro zone:
1. Reduce borrowing costs, including corporate financing and private borrowing.
2. Increase money supply and liquidity.
3. Stimulate economic growth. It is easier to do things with money in hand.
4. Inflationary pressure increases. Having money stimulates consumption, causing supply and demand tension, rising prices, and inflationary pressure.
5. The euro depreciates.
6. The stock market rises because companies get money and continue to expand, and bond prices will rise.
The impact of interest rate cuts on Asia (village and books):
The euro interest rate cut will indirectly lead to a comparative appreciation of the RMB and the yen, thereby leading to pressure for currency appreciation. To put it bluntly, the appreciation of the RMB compared to the euro is not conducive to the use rate of the RMB in the international status.
Capital inflows. Currently, the village has relatively large restrictions on external capital inflows, so there is no need to consider it for the time being. However, it may strengthen the village's long-term debt with domestic institutions in the periphery, resulting in an increase in the risk rate of long-term debt (price increase, short-term decline in yield).
For Japan, the Japanese yen is a safe haven, which may lead to the exchange of euros for yen, and then use the yen to buy many Japanese yen assets for risk hedging.
Trade. The interest rate cut in the euro zone will lead to a decline in the competitiveness of the village's export trade with Japan. At present, the village has a problem of overcapacity, and exports have deteriorated. This is a disguised increase in the ability to restrict.
Impact on the United States:
Euro capital flows into US dollar capital. To put it bluntly, the euro zone cuts interest rates, which is using the interest rate difference to provide liquidity to the US dollar. This action threatens the United States with invasive inflation, and the Federal Reserve happens to be good at using market expectations to control inflation.
The appreciation of the US dollar, the proportion of the euro in the basket of currencies of the US dollar is relatively high, and the depreciation of the euro will indirectly increase the appreciation of the US dollar. The US dollar, which has fallen recently due to speculation on the expectation of interest rate cuts, may be boosted again. Consolidate confidence in the US dollar.
The transfer of Euro capital into US dollar capital may cause the US stock market and bond market to rise again.
Export pressure has the least effect on the United States. The United States itself is a major importer, so short-term export pressure will not have too strong an impact. At the same time, increased export pressure will also make the materials exported by the United States more expensive, which is actually good for the US dollar from another perspective. Use less materials to exchange for more money.
The impact on the monetary policy of the FED (Federal Reserve) is actually the inflation problem I mentioned above. The invasive inflation brought about by the loose euro will bring more pressure to the US inflation control, so that the market expects that the Federal Reserve will consider the issue of interest rate cuts more quickly. (Personally, I think the Fed's expected control of inflation will continue)
Summary:
To put it bluntly, after the US dollar lured Japan to raise interest rates and Switzerland to cut interest rates, it forced the eurozone to cut interest rates again, which will once again provide strong liquidity for the US dollar, and the harvest will begin.
Don't say it's not forced by the United States. You must know that the eurozone economy is not low now, and the inflation pressure is not small. In addition, the internal hawkish remarks have raised various dangers of interest rate cuts, but the eurozone still chooses to cut interest rates. I don't believe this is an autonomous behavior.And in order to clear the obstacles, Biden is going to meet with French President Macron before the interest rate decision. Macron, as a representative who actively speaks out in the media, has been silent recently.
Basically, the eurozone interest rate cut tonight is a foregone conclusion. Let's see how the market reacts.
#欧洲央行降息 #BTC走势预测 $BTC
The main refinancing rate of the ECB in the euro area as of June 6
Attention: ★★★★★
The ECB announced its interest rate decision and adjusted the benchmark interest rate in the euro area.
The main refinancing rate of the ECB in the euro area as of June 6 is the interest rate at which the ECB provides loans to commercial banks.
The ECB is expected to cut interest rates and trigger the possibility of quarterly interest rate cuts in Europe in the future (quarterly interest rate cuts are regular interest rate cuts based on quarterly cycles). The interest rate cut in the euro area will have an impact on the US economy and even the global economy.
The expected decline in the European refinancing rate will affect corporate financing, borrowing costs, and even capital flows in the euro area.
Data impact: Impact on risk markets ★★★★ Impact on global economy and US interest rates ★★★★★
Data credibility: ★★★★★
Data: Main refinancing operation rate: 4.5%, deposit facility rate: 4%, marginal lending facility rate: 4.75%
Note: Main refinancing operation rate, the interest rate at which the European Central Bank provides loans to commercial banks.
The deposit facility rate is the interest rate at which commercial banks deposit money overnight at the central bank.
The marginal lending variable rate, also known as the overnight rate, is the interest rate at which the central bank temporarily borrows overnight loans from commercial banks.
Announcement time: 20:15
Impact:
This time the market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, mainly in the financing rate, which will drop by 25 basis points from 4.5% to 4.25%.
The impact of the interest rate cut on the euro zone:
1. Reduce borrowing costs, including corporate financing and private borrowing.
2. Increase money supply and liquidity.
3. Stimulate economic growth. It is easier to do things with money in hand.
4. Inflationary pressure increases. Having money stimulates consumption, causing supply and demand tension, rising prices, and inflationary pressure.
5. The euro depreciates.
6. The stock market rises because companies get money and continue to expand, and bond prices will rise.
The impact of interest rate cuts on Asia (village and books):
The euro interest rate cut will indirectly lead to a comparative appreciation of the RMB and the yen, thereby leading to pressure for currency appreciation. To put it bluntly, the appreciation of the RMB compared to the euro is not conducive to the use rate of the RMB in the international status.
Capital inflows. Currently, the village has relatively large restrictions on external capital inflows, so there is no need to consider it for the time being. However, it may strengthen the village's long-term debt with domestic institutions in the periphery, resulting in an increase in the risk rate of long-term debt (price increase, short-term decline in yield).
For Japan, the Japanese yen is a safe haven, which may lead to the exchange of euros for yen, and then use the yen to buy many Japanese yen assets for risk hedging.
Trade. The interest rate cut in the euro zone will lead to a decline in the competitiveness of the village's export trade with Japan. At present, the village has a problem of overcapacity, and exports have deteriorated. This is a disguised increase in the ability to restrict.
Impact on the United States:
Euro capital flows into US dollar capital. To put it bluntly, the euro zone cuts interest rates, which is using the interest rate difference to provide liquidity to the US dollar. This action threatens the United States with invasive inflation, and the Federal Reserve happens to be good at using market expectations to control inflation.
The appreciation of the US dollar, the proportion of the euro in the basket of currencies of the US dollar is relatively high, and the depreciation of the euro will indirectly increase the appreciation of the US dollar. The US dollar, which has fallen recently due to speculation on the expectation of interest rate cuts, may be boosted again. Consolidate confidence in the US dollar.
The transfer of Euro capital into US dollar capital may cause the US stock market and bond market to rise again.
Export pressure has the least effect on the United States. The United States itself is a major importer, so short-term export pressure will not have too strong an impact. At the same time, increased export pressure will also make the materials exported by the United States more expensive, which is actually good for the US dollar from another perspective. Use less materials to exchange for more money.
The impact on the monetary policy of the FED (Federal Reserve) is actually the inflation problem I mentioned above. The invasive inflation brought about by the loose euro will bring more pressure to the US inflation control, so that the market expects that the Federal Reserve will consider the issue of interest rate cuts more quickly. (Personally, I think the Fed's expected control of inflation will continue)
Summary:
To put it bluntly, after the US dollar lured Japan to raise interest rates and Switzerland to cut interest rates, it forced the eurozone to cut interest rates again, which will once again provide strong liquidity for the US dollar, and the harvest will begin.
Don't say it's not forced by the United States. You must know that the eurozone economy is not low now, and the inflation pressure is not small. In addition, the internal hawkish remarks have raised various dangers of interest rate cuts, but the eurozone still chooses to cut interest rates. I don't believe this is an autonomous behavior.And in order to clear the obstacles, Biden is going to meet with French President Macron before the interest rate decision. Macron, as a representative who actively speaks out in the media, has been silent recently.
Basically, the eurozone interest rate cut tonight is a foregone conclusion. Let's see how the market reacts.
#欧洲央行降息 #BTC走势预测 $BTC
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The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in December has reached 96%. The European Central Bank has also decided to adopt a loose monetary policy, stimulating economic growth through interest rate cuts. The Bank of Canada has also lowered rates by 50 basis points to respond to future economic uncertainties. As the world's second-largest economy, China has recently made it clear that it will adopt a loose monetary policy to counter the high tariff policies that Trump is about to implement. Global liquidity is gradually being released, and 2021 was driven by a surge in liquidity that led Bitcoin to reach new highs, triggering that year's bull market. This round of capital inflow is already brewing.
According to the latest news, MicroStrategy has been included in the NASDAQ 100 index. MicroStrategy has always purchased Bitcoin through the issuance of convertible bonds, making Bitcoin a core part of the company's strategic asset allocation. Being formally included in the NASDAQ index means that more traditional investment funds will passively increase their holdings of MSTR stock, thereby indirectly holding Bitcoin assets. Coinbase believes this could bring MicroStrategy an indirect Bitcoin purchase fund worth $1 billion.
Coinbase is optimistic about the market outlook for the first quarter of 2015, expecting that important events in the U.S. and global markets next year will drive Bitcoin prices further up.
The market generally believes that after Trump officially takes office as president next year and the new SEC chairman assumes office, staking of ETH in spot ETFs will be allowed. Previously, the capital inflow for ETH spot ETFs was always below market expectations. If staking restrictions can be lifted next year, the institutions that opened ETFs will shift their promotional focus from Bitcoin to Ethereum for profit, leading to an explosive price surge for ETH. Those who have been holding ETH for so long should make sure not to fall before dawn. 😉
32110991625
09780035213
82240748471
00088830546
64688416294
47287811741
According to the latest news, MicroStrategy has been included in the NASDAQ 100 index. MicroStrategy has always purchased Bitcoin through the issuance of convertible bonds, making Bitcoin a core part of the company's strategic asset allocation. Being formally included in the NASDAQ index means that more traditional investment funds will passively increase their holdings of MSTR stock, thereby indirectly holding Bitcoin assets. Coinbase believes this could bring MicroStrategy an indirect Bitcoin purchase fund worth $1 billion.
Coinbase is optimistic about the market outlook for the first quarter of 2015, expecting that important events in the U.S. and global markets next year will drive Bitcoin prices further up.
The market generally believes that after Trump officially takes office as president next year and the new SEC chairman assumes office, staking of ETH in spot ETFs will be allowed. Previously, the capital inflow for ETH spot ETFs was always below market expectations. If staking restrictions can be lifted next year, the institutions that opened ETFs will shift their promotional focus from Bitcoin to Ethereum for profit, leading to an explosive price surge for ETH. Those who have been holding ETH for so long should make sure not to fall before dawn. 😉
32110991625
09780035213
82240748471
00088830546
64688416294
47287811741
See original
Canada and the European Central Bank have cut interest rates, is the United States far behind?
The bull has seen red, and we will soon see its power and madness
The current major mainstream narratives are all landing or on the way to landing
The ETFs of BTC and ETH in the United States have been successfully passed, allowing Wall Street to officially enter the game
Hong Kong, Australia, Thailand and other countries have passed ETFs, gradually forming a wave sweeping the world
The halving of BTC has been completed, increasing the imbalance between supply and demand and raising the actual value of Bitcoin
The crises of Binance and FTX have been perfectly resolved, and the mines in Mentougou will also be cleared this year, reducing the risk of encryption
The Canadian and European Central Banks fired the first shot of global interest rate cuts, and the United States expects that market liquidity will increase by the end of the year
The pressure of the US election has begun to affect the government, and it has compromised with encryption for votes and formulated more relaxed laws and policies
Therefore, it is not just that encryption wants to fly, but the macro trend forces encryption to fly
The essence of finance follows a law, if there is more money, it will rise, and if there is less money, it will fall
As long as the wind is strong enough, pigs can be blown away
The secret of wealth growth is nothing more than that you can stand in the right team every time the financial world version is updated
Multi-army assembly...
If you want to know more about the relevant knowledge of the cryptocurrency circle and first-hand cutting-edge information, click on the avatar to follow Caishen. Qunli publishes market analysis and recommends high-quality potential currencies every day.
#现货以太坊ETF获美SEC批准 #MegadropLista #5月非农数据即将公布 #加拿大联储降息 #欧洲央行降息
The bull has seen red, and we will soon see its power and madness
The current major mainstream narratives are all landing or on the way to landing
The ETFs of BTC and ETH in the United States have been successfully passed, allowing Wall Street to officially enter the game
Hong Kong, Australia, Thailand and other countries have passed ETFs, gradually forming a wave sweeping the world
The halving of BTC has been completed, increasing the imbalance between supply and demand and raising the actual value of Bitcoin
The crises of Binance and FTX have been perfectly resolved, and the mines in Mentougou will also be cleared this year, reducing the risk of encryption
The Canadian and European Central Banks fired the first shot of global interest rate cuts, and the United States expects that market liquidity will increase by the end of the year
The pressure of the US election has begun to affect the government, and it has compromised with encryption for votes and formulated more relaxed laws and policies
Therefore, it is not just that encryption wants to fly, but the macro trend forces encryption to fly
The essence of finance follows a law, if there is more money, it will rise, and if there is less money, it will fall
As long as the wind is strong enough, pigs can be blown away
The secret of wealth growth is nothing more than that you can stand in the right team every time the financial world version is updated
Multi-army assembly...
If you want to know more about the relevant knowledge of the cryptocurrency circle and first-hand cutting-edge information, click on the avatar to follow Caishen. Qunli publishes market analysis and recommends high-quality potential currencies every day.
#现货以太坊ETF获美SEC批准 #MegadropLista #5月非农数据即将公布 #加拿大联储降息 #欧洲央行降息
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The European Central Bank took interest rate cuts, lowering all three key interest rates by 25 basis points. The main refinancing interest rate was reduced to 4.25%, the marginal lending rate was reduced to 4.50%, and the deposit mechanism interest rate was reduced to 3.75%. This adjustment is in line with market expectations. The central bank emphasized its determination to return inflation to its 2% target and made no specific commitments on the future path of interest rates.
The central bank also reiterated its plan to gradually reduce the asset portfolio of the Emergency Epidemic Purchase Program (PEPP) in the second half of 2024. Since the September 2023 meeting, inflation has fallen by more than 2.5 percentage points, and the outlook for inflation has improved significantly.
Regarding future inflation expectations, the European Central Bank predicts inflation rates of 2.5% in 2024, 2.2% in 2025, and 1.9% in 2026, showing that inflation expectations have decreased at all levels.
Market participants expect that the European Central Bank may further cut interest rates this year, totaling about 40 basis points. After the interest rate cut decision was announced, the 10-year government bond yields of Germany and Italy both increased, reaching 2.549% and 3.849% respectively. This shows that the market responded positively to the European Central Bank's decision to cut interest rates.
Good news!
$PEPE
$FLOKI
$PEOPLE
#第55期新币挖矿IO
#泰国批准首个比特币现货ETF
#欧洲央行降息
The central bank also reiterated its plan to gradually reduce the asset portfolio of the Emergency Epidemic Purchase Program (PEPP) in the second half of 2024. Since the September 2023 meeting, inflation has fallen by more than 2.5 percentage points, and the outlook for inflation has improved significantly.
Regarding future inflation expectations, the European Central Bank predicts inflation rates of 2.5% in 2024, 2.2% in 2025, and 1.9% in 2026, showing that inflation expectations have decreased at all levels.
Market participants expect that the European Central Bank may further cut interest rates this year, totaling about 40 basis points. After the interest rate cut decision was announced, the 10-year government bond yields of Germany and Italy both increased, reaching 2.549% and 3.849% respectively. This shows that the market responded positively to the European Central Bank's decision to cut interest rates.
Good news!
$PEPE
$FLOKI
$PEOPLE
#第55期新币挖矿IO
#泰国批准首个比特币现货ETF
#欧洲央行降息
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