The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in December has reached 96%. The European Central Bank has also decided to adopt a loose monetary policy, stimulating economic growth through interest rate cuts. The Bank of Canada has also lowered rates by 50 basis points to respond to future economic uncertainties. As the world's second-largest economy, China has recently made it clear that it will adopt a loose monetary policy to counter the high tariff policies that Trump is about to implement. Global liquidity is gradually being released, and 2021 was driven by a surge in liquidity that led Bitcoin to reach new highs, triggering that year's bull market. This round of capital inflow is already brewing.

According to the latest news, MicroStrategy has been included in the NASDAQ 100 index. MicroStrategy has always purchased Bitcoin through the issuance of convertible bonds, making Bitcoin a core part of the company's strategic asset allocation. Being formally included in the NASDAQ index means that more traditional investment funds will passively increase their holdings of MSTR stock, thereby indirectly holding Bitcoin assets. Coinbase believes this could bring MicroStrategy an indirect Bitcoin purchase fund worth $1 billion.

Coinbase is optimistic about the market outlook for the first quarter of 2015, expecting that important events in the U.S. and global markets next year will drive Bitcoin prices further up.

The market generally believes that after Trump officially takes office as president next year and the new SEC chairman assumes office, staking of ETH in spot ETFs will be allowed. Previously, the capital inflow for ETH spot ETFs was always below market expectations. If staking restrictions can be lifted next year, the institutions that opened ETFs will shift their promotional focus from Bitcoin to Ethereum for profit, leading to an explosive price surge for ETH. Those who have been holding ETH for so long should make sure not to fall before dawn. 😉

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