失业率
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$BTC
This dog market, the short position opened last night is still at my average price of 957, what is your average price?
五哥专属群，进来一起聊聊行情
Brothers, tonight the news will release the unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls. Based on the current situation, the previous value and expectations are consistent. According to the dog dealer's usual style, it will likely be a double kill for both longs and shorts.
There is a great possibility that tonight's unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls will be favorable. Tonight, there is a high chance of a spike first, then waiting for the US stock market to open for a bit before pushing up. Remember to keep an eye on your positions.
#失业率
This dog market, the short position opened last night is still at my average price of 957, what is your average price?
五哥专属群，进来一起聊聊行情
Brothers, tonight the news will release the unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls. Based on the current situation, the previous value and expectations are consistent. According to the dog dealer's usual style, it will likely be a double kill for both longs and shorts.
There is a great possibility that tonight's unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls will be favorable. Tonight, there is a high chance of a spike first, then waiting for the US stock market to open for a bit before pushing up. Remember to keep an eye on your positions.
#失业率
倒在黎明前:
10.5 liquidation
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At 20:30 Beijing time tomorrow, the U.S. April unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data will be released. Remember to pay attention in advance, as tomorrow's data will definitely cause significant market fluctuations.
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绣虎Anal
--
Inferring tomorrow's non-farm payroll and unemployment rate from some small economic data from yesterday and today!
The rise in unemployment rate and decrease in non-farm employment are almost a foregone conclusion!
While favorable interest rate cut expectations increase the risk of economic downturn, that's just how it is, that's the situation!$BTC
#非农就业数据 #美联储何时降息？
The rise in unemployment rate and decrease in non-farm employment are almost a foregone conclusion!
While favorable interest rate cut expectations increase the risk of economic downturn, that's just how it is, that's the situation!$BTC
#非农就业数据 #美联储何时降息？
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The non-farm payroll data was clearly positive, but unexpectedly, the U.S. stock market plummeted, and suddenly there was negative GDP news! The U.S. first quarter GDP data has also come out, and it's negative...
Sigh, now we can only hope that the PCE can bring some good news to offset the bad news; otherwise, on May 1st, we have the weekly initial unemployment claims data, the U.S. April ISM manufacturing PMI data, and on May 2nd, the unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data will be released! It is very likely that there will be a continuous decline for 2-3 days! For friends who are heavily invested, those with high leverage should be extra cautious! Make sure to set stop-loss and take-profit levels!
For Bitcoin, watch around 90,000 to 89,000, for Ethereum 1685 to around 1650.
Overall, it shouldn’t drop too deeply at the moment; a pullback might happen, but it will continue to move upwards. The real big drop is likely to happen around May 19th, before the interest rate cut in June, for a deeper washout.
The above is only my personal opinion and for reference only! It should not be used as a basis for investment trading! Everyone should weigh their decisions!
Follow me to stay updated on the latest developments and market trends in the crypto world!
#币安Alpha上新 #BTC走势分析 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #非农就业数据 #失业率
Sigh, now we can only hope that the PCE can bring some good news to offset the bad news; otherwise, on May 1st, we have the weekly initial unemployment claims data, the U.S. April ISM manufacturing PMI data, and on May 2nd, the unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data will be released! It is very likely that there will be a continuous decline for 2-3 days! For friends who are heavily invested, those with high leverage should be extra cautious! Make sure to set stop-loss and take-profit levels!
For Bitcoin, watch around 90,000 to 89,000, for Ethereum 1685 to around 1650.
Overall, it shouldn’t drop too deeply at the moment; a pullback might happen, but it will continue to move upwards. The real big drop is likely to happen around May 19th, before the interest rate cut in June, for a deeper washout.
The above is only my personal opinion and for reference only! It should not be used as a basis for investment trading! Everyone should weigh their decisions!
Follow me to stay updated on the latest developments and market trends in the crypto world!
#币安Alpha上新 #BTC走势分析 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #非农就业数据 #失业率
飞机1031:
19 号是怎么日子？
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US unemployment rate sets off market, interest rate cut expectations reversed, where will the market go?
Did you feel the small earthquake in the financial circle last Friday? When the unemployment rate data of the United States came out, it was like throwing a big stone into a calm lake, causing ripples everywhere and making it very lively!
Originally, we were thinking that a higher unemployment rate was good, and a rate cut was just around the corner. As a result, the plot turned around faster than a TV show, and the rate cut in September was a foregone conclusion, but the market had a look of "that's it?" What's even more amazing is that the non-farm data played a game of "hide and seek", far below everyone's expectations. Now, the small happiness of the rate cut has instantly turned into a big worry about the economic recession. The friends in the market, one by one, as if they had discussed it, began to sell risky assets, and the US dollar became everyone's new favorite, as if they could safely ride out this storm by holding on to it.
Originally, we were thinking that a higher unemployment rate was good, and a rate cut was just around the corner. As a result, the plot turned around faster than a TV show, and the rate cut in September was a foregone conclusion, but the market had a look of "that's it?" What's even more amazing is that the non-farm data played a game of "hide and seek", far below everyone's expectations. Now, the small happiness of the rate cut has instantly turned into a big worry about the economic recession. The friends in the market, one by one, as if they had discussed it, began to sell risky assets, and the US dollar became everyone's new favorite, as if they could safely ride out this storm by holding on to it.
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Today's focus is on two key economic data in the United States in July: first, the unemployment rate, which will reveal the health of the labor market
Second, the seasonally adjusted non-agricultural employment growth (in 10,000 people), which has an important impact on assessing economic growth potential and monetary policy trends
#美联储何时降息？
#失业率
#非农数据
Second, the seasonally adjusted non-agricultural employment growth (in 10,000 people), which has an important impact on assessing economic growth potential and monetary policy trends
#美联储何时降息？
#失业率
#非农数据
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#非农就业数据即将公布
《Heavy news! Non-farm data is coming, where is the economic trend going》
The latest non-farm data previous value is 27.2, the expected value is 19, and the announced value is 20.6. The announced value is higher than the expected value.
[The US unemployment rate rises above 4%] On July 5, the US unemployment rate in June was 4.1%, the highest since November 2021.
One positive, one negative, offset each other, continue to wait
In the adult world, there is no direct acceptance, it is rejection. Since there is no data that is good for the market, it is bad, and it will go down. Stay rational. The direction is unclear and it is the best choice to stop.
#非农就业数据即将公布
#失业率
#BTC走势分析
#Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划
《Heavy news! Non-farm data is coming, where is the economic trend going》
The latest non-farm data previous value is 27.2, the expected value is 19, and the announced value is 20.6. The announced value is higher than the expected value.
[The US unemployment rate rises above 4%] On July 5, the US unemployment rate in June was 4.1%, the highest since November 2021.
One positive, one negative, offset each other, continue to wait
In the adult world, there is no direct acceptance, it is rejection. Since there is no data that is good for the market, it is bad, and it will go down. Stay rational. The direction is unclear and it is the best choice to stop.
#非农就业数据即将公布
#失业率
#BTC走势分析
#Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划
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Crypto Market Analysis 6.07 The risk of Asian exchange market crash is high, wait until night
According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 97.6%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.4%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by August is 78.5%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 21.1%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 0.5%.
The intraday divergence between long and short Bitcoin is relatively large, and the background derivatives push the price position to around 70100, so the competition for thousands of points around 71000 will be particularly obvious. The stable bulls at the daily level can wait for the decline to around 70100 to see the situation. Friday's Asian session is destined not to make it particularly easy for bulls, and the main target of bulls is the defense around 69800.
The unemployment rate will be announced at 8:30 p.m., with a previous value of 3.9% and a forecast value of 3.9%. If the unemployment rate exceeds expectations and is higher than 3.9%, the market will directly usher in a wave of news pull-ups due to the expectation of a rate cut. As long as it is not lower than 3.9%, the market is still in an upward trend.
Daily level market
- The daily level is a breakthrough upward trend, with the upper middle rail pressure near 71000 and the upper rail pressure near 71300. The most important pressure is the previous high near 71900, and the bottom support is near 70500. The daily level market is narrowly converging and changing.
4-hour level market
The 4-hour level is upward, with the upper key pressure near 71700-71400, and the lower large support position near 70100.
Intraday level analysis
-----Bitcoin is mainly biased towards gains during the day, but Bitcoin is changing at the hourly level, with the bottom near 70500. If it does not fall below, it will continue to see a slow increase and continue to rush to the previous high position. The bottom falls below the support level and is viewed step by step, which are around 70100 and 69800 respectively.
The Asian market during the day is destined to be difficult for people. It is recommended not to move Bitcoin during the day, or consider entering the long level around 70100. The position around 70500 is also good, but there are risks after all. The exchanges in the Asian market are ruthless. It is also possible to consider ambush the cottage after the unemployment rate comes out at night.
There are too many positive factors recently. I don’t know how to start. At least the trend is still there. Many tokens will rise. Ambush for a wave and then see the situation. Safety first.
The market has changed very quickly recently. If you want to adjust your position or don’t understand the trend, you are welcome to communicate and learn. #山寨季何时到来？ #失业率
According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 97.6%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.4%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by August is 78.5%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 21.1%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 0.5%.
The intraday divergence between long and short Bitcoin is relatively large, and the background derivatives push the price position to around 70100, so the competition for thousands of points around 71000 will be particularly obvious. The stable bulls at the daily level can wait for the decline to around 70100 to see the situation. Friday's Asian session is destined not to make it particularly easy for bulls, and the main target of bulls is the defense around 69800.
The unemployment rate will be announced at 8:30 p.m., with a previous value of 3.9% and a forecast value of 3.9%. If the unemployment rate exceeds expectations and is higher than 3.9%, the market will directly usher in a wave of news pull-ups due to the expectation of a rate cut. As long as it is not lower than 3.9%, the market is still in an upward trend.
Daily level market
- The daily level is a breakthrough upward trend, with the upper middle rail pressure near 71000 and the upper rail pressure near 71300. The most important pressure is the previous high near 71900, and the bottom support is near 70500. The daily level market is narrowly converging and changing.
4-hour level market
The 4-hour level is upward, with the upper key pressure near 71700-71400, and the lower large support position near 70100.
Intraday level analysis
-----Bitcoin is mainly biased towards gains during the day, but Bitcoin is changing at the hourly level, with the bottom near 70500. If it does not fall below, it will continue to see a slow increase and continue to rush to the previous high position. The bottom falls below the support level and is viewed step by step, which are around 70100 and 69800 respectively.
The Asian market during the day is destined to be difficult for people. It is recommended not to move Bitcoin during the day, or consider entering the long level around 70100. The position around 70500 is also good, but there are risks after all. The exchanges in the Asian market are ruthless. It is also possible to consider ambush the cottage after the unemployment rate comes out at night.
There are too many positive factors recently. I don’t know how to start. At least the trend is still there. Many tokens will rise. Ambush for a wave and then see the situation. Safety first.
The market has changed very quickly recently. If you want to adjust your position or don’t understand the trend, you are welcome to communicate and learn. #山寨季何时到来？ #失业率
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Bitcoin fell 15% in three weeks, will US data determine the market bottom?
In the past three weeks, Bitcoin has experienced a correction of about 15%, with prices falling from a range of around $70,000 to around $60,000.
In recent weeks, open interest has dropped by almost $3 billion. The financing rate for perpetual contracts has dropped to almost zero, which makes the power between buyers and sellers more balanced.
For short-term holders, the current price exceeds their realization price. At present, the average profit of short-term holders is slightly negative, which has always supported local adjustments in the past.
US GDP and unemployment data will be released on Thursday, and inflation data (PCE) will be released on Friday. However, judging from the current structure, there may be a local bottom.
#Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #美国PCE数据将公布 #通胀 #失业率 #通胀数
$ORN $WIF $BONK
In the past three weeks, Bitcoin has experienced a correction of about 15%, with prices falling from a range of around $70,000 to around $60,000.
In recent weeks, open interest has dropped by almost $3 billion. The financing rate for perpetual contracts has dropped to almost zero, which makes the power between buyers and sellers more balanced.
For short-term holders, the current price exceeds their realization price. At present, the average profit of short-term holders is slightly negative, which has always supported local adjustments in the past.
US GDP and unemployment data will be released on Thursday, and inflation data (PCE) will be released on Friday. However, judging from the current structure, there may be a local bottom.
#Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #美国PCE数据将公布 #通胀 #失业率 #通胀数
$ORN $WIF $BONK
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CNM, both employment and unemployment are rising? Are you kidding me! Is the fabrication starting again, you little trash?
The simultaneous rise in unemployment rate and employment is a problem; a drop in wages while employment increases is even more of a problem. Logically, how can employment possibly rise when wages are falling? This is my personal understanding, so I believe the data is too fake! #非农就业数据 #失业率 #美国加征关税 $ETH
The simultaneous rise in unemployment rate and employment is a problem; a drop in wages while employment increases is even more of a problem. Logically, how can employment possibly rise when wages are falling? This is my personal understanding, so I believe the data is too fake! #非农就业数据 #失业率 #美国加征关税 $ETH
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There will be news released in the evening, please set your stop loss and protect your bullets #失业率
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#失业率 Why is the increase in unemployment in the United States good for the cryptocurrency market?
Employment data is bad data regardless of whether it is good or bad, but some are very bad now, and some will be very bad in the future. The unemployment data is the latter.
Why did the risk market including #BTC rise when unemployment rose? It is because one of the conditions for the Fed to cut interest rates is that the unemployment rate in the United States rises to more than 4%. This is also the reason why the risk market rose sharply after the last non-agricultural data. The unemployment rate rose from 3.8% to 3.9% in the last data. This is the traditional "funeral celebration".
In fact, the unemployment data is not important. It is really not very useful. It will be updated once a week, but the current market needs data guidance too much. Therefore, as long as the relevant data is expected, the number of people applying for relief benefits is high, and many friends think that the unemployment rate has risen. In fact, the application for unemployment benefits and the unemployment rate are not very strongly bound.
But the market's expectations are fine, the market is always right, which is why we should pay more attention to macro data when liquidity is tight. Even unemployment benefits can cause large market fluctuations, and tomorrow's PCE will have a greater impact.
#BTC走勢分析
Employment data is bad data regardless of whether it is good or bad, but some are very bad now, and some will be very bad in the future. The unemployment data is the latter.
Why did the risk market including #BTC rise when unemployment rose? It is because one of the conditions for the Fed to cut interest rates is that the unemployment rate in the United States rises to more than 4%. This is also the reason why the risk market rose sharply after the last non-agricultural data. The unemployment rate rose from 3.8% to 3.9% in the last data. This is the traditional "funeral celebration".
In fact, the unemployment data is not important. It is really not very useful. It will be updated once a week, but the current market needs data guidance too much. Therefore, as long as the relevant data is expected, the number of people applying for relief benefits is high, and many friends think that the unemployment rate has risen. In fact, the application for unemployment benefits and the unemployment rate are not very strongly bound.
But the market's expectations are fine, the market is always right, which is why we should pay more attention to macro data when liquidity is tight. Even unemployment benefits can cause large market fluctuations, and tomorrow's PCE will have a greater impact.
#BTC走勢分析
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#ADP #失业率 #降息
This week will see the release of a series of key data:
Wednesday: July ADP employment will be released, which is an important indicator for measuring private sector employment.
Thursday morning: The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, which is one of the most watched events in the market and may clarify the future direction of monetary policy.
Thursday night: The weekly initial jobless claims will be released, reflecting the real-time dynamics of the labor market.
Thursday: The ISM manufacturing PMI will also be released, which is a key indicator for measuring manufacturing activity.
Friday: The July unemployment rate and seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls will be disclosed.
Every time important data is released, it will have some impact on the market, especially for short-term and happy players, and they should pay special attention. Regarding the Fed's interest rate cut, my personal opinion is that it will still not let up, so don't have too much expectation.
This week will see the release of a series of key data:
Wednesday: July ADP employment will be released, which is an important indicator for measuring private sector employment.
Thursday morning: The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, which is one of the most watched events in the market and may clarify the future direction of monetary policy.
Thursday night: The weekly initial jobless claims will be released, reflecting the real-time dynamics of the labor market.
Thursday: The ISM manufacturing PMI will also be released, which is a key indicator for measuring manufacturing activity.
Friday: The July unemployment rate and seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls will be disclosed.
Every time important data is released, it will have some impact on the market, especially for short-term and happy players, and they should pay special attention. Regarding the Fed's interest rate cut, my personal opinion is that it will still not let up, so don't have too much expectation.
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#今日市场观点
So many Americans are unemployed
The number of initial unemployment claims in the United States for the week ending July 13 was 243,000
The number of initial unemployment claims in the United States for the week ending July 13 was 243,000, the highest since the week ending June 8, with an expected number of 230,000 and a previous value of 222,000. #失业率 #山寨季何时到来？ #美联储何时降息？ #美国6月非农数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $BNB
So many Americans are unemployed
The number of initial unemployment claims in the United States for the week ending July 13 was 243,000
The number of initial unemployment claims in the United States for the week ending July 13 was 243,000, the highest since the week ending June 8, with an expected number of 230,000 and a previous value of 222,000. #失业率 #山寨季何时到来？ #美联储何时降息？ #美国6月非农数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $BNB
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Cryptocurrency evening summary
1. Dudley, former president of the New York Fed, said that due to the slowdown in labor market conditions and the continued existence of inflation risks, speculation of a 50 basis point rate cut in September has heated up again, and the US dollar will face selling pressure
2. So far, core CPI inflation has been above the Fed's 2% target for 3.5 consecutive years and has shown no signs of slowing down, although the overall CPI has fallen to a three-year low.
From the COVID-19 crisis to now, six of the ten top central banks have started to cut interest rates this year, and the Federal Reserve will announce its first rate cut next week (September 18, 2024), but premature rate cuts may trigger inflation and worsen affordability, while spending cuts may lead to further increases in unemployment, as the current #失业率 is close to a three-year high (Figure 1)
2. So far, core CPI inflation has been above the Fed's 2% target for 3.5 consecutive years and has shown no signs of slowing down, although the overall CPI has fallen to a three-year low.
From the COVID-19 crisis to now, six of the ten top central banks have started to cut interest rates this year, and the Federal Reserve will announce its first rate cut next week (September 18, 2024), but premature rate cuts may trigger inflation and worsen affordability, while spending cuts may lead to further increases in unemployment, as the current #失业率 is close to a three-year high (Figure 1)
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The smell of the calf rushes straight to my head. I thought the unemployment rate would rise, but I never expected that the non-farm payrolls would be so positive this time. I tweeted this morning that the correction would be much more before the results came out tonight. The old guys are scolding me, saying that it can't be much more. In fact, it's useless to look for a sword in a boat. You have to combine it with the present. Follow the blogger. I will update the points and analysis frequently. $BTC $ETH #4月非农数据即将公布 #失业率
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Brothers, don't get excited, let's talk about this data:
1. The decline in the unemployment rate is quite surprising, this is a real negative factor. 2. The non-farm data is below expectations, which is considered a positive, but the recent wildfires in California caused many unexpected job losses, which is an unexpected factor. Generally, such situations rebound during the next non-farm report, so it's considered a positive but not very strong.
3. Both the monthly and annual wage growth exceeded expectations, which is a negative factor.
Conclusion: The Federal Reserve also wants to take a wait-and-see approach, so let's not get excited, let's observe how the market behaves.
1. The decline in the unemployment rate is quite surprising, this is a real negative factor. 2. The non-farm data is below expectations, which is considered a positive, but the recent wildfires in California caused many unexpected job losses, which is an unexpected factor. Generally, such situations rebound during the next non-farm report, so it's considered a positive but not very strong.
3. Both the monthly and annual wage growth exceeded expectations, which is a negative factor.
Conclusion: The Federal Reserve also wants to take a wait-and-see approach, so let's not get excited, let's observe how the market behaves.
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