关税谈判
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No matter how excited the market is, don't overlook one key date: August 1st, the resumption of tariff negotiations.
This marks not only the return of macro risks but may also become a watershed moment for market sentiment. Will it extend the bull market, or trigger a correction? It's hard to say, but managing expectations is crucial.
As July comes to a close, the variables of August are approaching. Those with a strong sense of timing may have already begun to position themselves. If you are still hesitating and watching, it might be worthwhile to listen to Lao Mo's insights; it could be enlightening.
#关税谈判
This marks not only the return of macro risks but may also become a watershed moment for market sentiment. Will it extend the bull market, or trigger a correction? It's hard to say, but managing expectations is crucial.
As July comes to a close, the variables of August are approaching. Those with a strong sense of timing may have already begun to position themselves. If you are still hesitating and watching, it might be worthwhile to listen to Lao Mo's insights; it could be enlightening.
#关税谈判
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Intraday short positions made a small profit; continue to ambush short at high positions! 5.10 Bitcoin and Ethereum evening strategy
Today, three rounds of short positions were made on Ethereum, and the last order was lightly entered and swept. The intraday short position for Bitcoin has finally turned profitable. Ethereum's intraday rebound belongs to a fluctuating upward trend, and the pullbacks have not broken below the hourly 10-day moving average, which is currently moving up to around 2400. After Bitcoin broke through 104000 intraday, it has slowly retreated and has now broken below the hourly 20-day moving average, with the two major cryptocurrencies diverging!
This situation is because after Bitcoin rose, the market believes Ethereum has not reached its peak. The funds involved have increased, thus driving the coin price up. After all, during the last round when Bitcoin was at 100,000, Ethereum was close to 4,000. But as Bitcoin falls, Ethereum rebounds against the trend, and there is a possibility of being dragged down by the big brother later. Therefore, everyone should be cautious about chasing the rise; only when Bitcoin remains stable can Ethereum continue to rebound! Plus, it’s the weekend, and the funds in the spot ETF market cannot flow in!
So for evening operations, Conan suggests primarily ambushing short positions at high levels! Pay attention to resistance at 104000, 104500, 105000, and 106000 above, and support at 102200, 101000, 100,000, and 99000 below.
5.10 Bitcoin midnight strategy: Short at 103500-104000, defend above 104500, aim for around 102500-102200, if broken, aim for around 101500-101000, hold if broken based on the situation!
5.10 Ethereum operation strategy: Short at 2440-2470, defend near 2500, aim for around 2400-2370-2350, if broken, aim for 2320-2300, continue to hold if broken based on the situation!
Long position strategy: For Bitcoin, consider entering long at 101000-101300, defend near 100,000, aim for around 102000-102500-103000, hold if broken based on the situation!
For Ethereum, consider entering at 2250-2280, defend below 2220, aim for around 2320-2350-2380-2400, hold if broken based on the situation!
The Sino-U.S. negotiations have officially begun, but currently, there is no news, and it seems to be at an impasse. Unless the U.S. side backs down, it is difficult to have a good outcome! Everyone stay tuned! #关税谈判 #山寨币交易
Today, three rounds of short positions were made on Ethereum, and the last order was lightly entered and swept. The intraday short position for Bitcoin has finally turned profitable. Ethereum's intraday rebound belongs to a fluctuating upward trend, and the pullbacks have not broken below the hourly 10-day moving average, which is currently moving up to around 2400. After Bitcoin broke through 104000 intraday, it has slowly retreated and has now broken below the hourly 20-day moving average, with the two major cryptocurrencies diverging!
This situation is because after Bitcoin rose, the market believes Ethereum has not reached its peak. The funds involved have increased, thus driving the coin price up. After all, during the last round when Bitcoin was at 100,000, Ethereum was close to 4,000. But as Bitcoin falls, Ethereum rebounds against the trend, and there is a possibility of being dragged down by the big brother later. Therefore, everyone should be cautious about chasing the rise; only when Bitcoin remains stable can Ethereum continue to rebound! Plus, it’s the weekend, and the funds in the spot ETF market cannot flow in!
So for evening operations, Conan suggests primarily ambushing short positions at high levels! Pay attention to resistance at 104000, 104500, 105000, and 106000 above, and support at 102200, 101000, 100,000, and 99000 below.
5.10 Bitcoin midnight strategy: Short at 103500-104000, defend above 104500, aim for around 102500-102200, if broken, aim for around 101500-101000, hold if broken based on the situation!
5.10 Ethereum operation strategy: Short at 2440-2470, defend near 2500, aim for around 2400-2370-2350, if broken, aim for 2320-2300, continue to hold if broken based on the situation!
Long position strategy: For Bitcoin, consider entering long at 101000-101300, defend near 100,000, aim for around 102000-102500-103000, hold if broken based on the situation!
For Ethereum, consider entering at 2250-2280, defend below 2220, aim for around 2320-2350-2380-2400, hold if broken based on the situation!
The Sino-U.S. negotiations have officially begun, but currently, there is no news, and it seems to be at an impasse. Unless the U.S. side backs down, it is difficult to have a good outcome! Everyone stay tuned! #关税谈判 #山寨币交易
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The tariff level of the United States on China is determined to be: the basic tariff of 10% set on April 2 remains unchanged, the additional 10% tariffs added on February 1 and March 3 remain unchanged, and the 20% tariffs added during the first round of the trade war in 2018 remain unchanged, which equals a 50% tariff.
The tariff level of China on the United States is determined to be: 10%, only 10%, no other.
A 50% tariff level is an unbearable burden for Chinese export enterprises; most of China's export enterprises will face severe situations, and it depends on whether negotiations can continue in the next 90 days #关税谈判 .
The tariff level of China on the United States is determined to be: 10%, only 10%, no other.
A 50% tariff level is an unbearable burden for Chinese export enterprises; most of China's export enterprises will face severe situations, and it depends on whether negotiations can continue in the next 90 days #关税谈判 .
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The exciting news is here, the China-US talks have ended, the old Chinese side has not yet made a statement, on the American side, both Trump and Bessent said the talks went well, details will be released by the US on Monday, what can we say, this wave should still rise significantly?
#关税谈判 $BTC
#关税谈判 $BTC
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The New Chess Game of China-U.S. Rivalry: A Battle of Underlying Interests
The economic calculations behind tariff magic:
The U.S. cut tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 50%, with some consumer goods dropping by 25%. It seems like a drastic move, but it is actually a precise defusing — targeting inflation-heavy areas such as household goods and medical equipment, urgently releasing price pressures ahead of the midterm elections. China, on the other hand, seizes the opportunity to tear open the regulatory iron curtain on technology transfers, making further strides in financial opening, yet quietly puts a stop on Boeing's order book.
The silent game of strategic materials:
The absence of rare earths in the agreement text is precisely the most exquisite blank space — the U.S. side's attempt to lift export controls encounters China's countermeasure of 'semiconductor lifting in exchange for rare earths'. Ultimately, a delicate balance is reached in the ambiguous territory of AI chips and data sovereignty: U.S. companies are allowed to export specific computing power chips, while China builds a digital moat with algorithm transparency clauses.
The U.S. cut tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 50%, with some consumer goods dropping by 25%. It seems like a drastic move, but it is actually a precise defusing — targeting inflation-heavy areas such as household goods and medical equipment, urgently releasing price pressures ahead of the midterm elections. China, on the other hand, seizes the opportunity to tear open the regulatory iron curtain on technology transfers, making further strides in financial opening, yet quietly puts a stop on Boeing's order book.
The silent game of strategic materials:
The absence of rare earths in the agreement text is precisely the most exquisite blank space — the U.S. side's attempt to lift export controls encounters China's countermeasure of 'semiconductor lifting in exchange for rare earths'. Ultimately, a delicate balance is reached in the ambiguous territory of AI chips and data sovereignty: U.S. companies are allowed to export specific computing power chips, while China builds a digital moat with algorithm transparency clauses.
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