老漠
Open Trade
Occasional Trader
2.4 Months
公众号：老漠财经说
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The next decade belongs to hard asset holders
As global fiat currency continues to be overissued, purchasing power keeps shrinking, and the traditional monetary system is bound to come to an end. History has proven many times that what is devalued is not 'money,' but the time you have worked hard to earn.
The scarcity, decentralization, and cross-border attributes of Bitcoin make it increasingly solidify its title as 'digital gold.'
In this era, being a long-term holder of physical assets means you don't need to predict daily price fluctuations. The real winners are not the ones who trade most frequently, but those who hold the longest.
Don't forget:
Sovereign debt crises are frequent, and the need for asset hedging will only increase.
The younger generation trusts technology more than central bank promises.
AI and blockchain are reconstructing the global value system.
Time and trends are on the side of BTC; the real question is: Are you still hesitating? Even if this is a long-term Ponzi scheme, its upper limit is definitely not 120,000.
Do not be like your current self, looking back in ten years filled with regret.
#BTC再创新高 #比特币生态
As global fiat currency continues to be overissued, purchasing power keeps shrinking, and the traditional monetary system is bound to come to an end. History has proven many times that what is devalued is not 'money,' but the time you have worked hard to earn.
The scarcity, decentralization, and cross-border attributes of Bitcoin make it increasingly solidify its title as 'digital gold.'
In this era, being a long-term holder of physical assets means you don't need to predict daily price fluctuations. The real winners are not the ones who trade most frequently, but those who hold the longest.
Don't forget:
Sovereign debt crises are frequent, and the need for asset hedging will only increase.
The younger generation trusts technology more than central bank promises.
AI and blockchain are reconstructing the global value system.
Time and trends are on the side of BTC; the real question is: Are you still hesitating? Even if this is a long-term Ponzi scheme, its upper limit is definitely not 120,000.
Do not be like your current self, looking back in ten years filled with regret.
#BTC再创新高 #比特币生态
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The script has already been provided, it's up to you to seize the opportunity 😇
There's not much to say about the weekend fluctuations; Lao Mo is here to predict a long-term forecast.
Currently, Bitcoin is in a consolidation period after a rise, with steady trading volume and no large-scale long liquidations, so there’s no rush to dump. The bullish momentum is still present, and there’s a high probability that it will first leverage the momentum to test around 108,500, attracting trend-following traders; after a slight surge, it will dip back to around 106,000 to wash out short-term floating positions, using the support level to control the market; after the pullback, it will rise again, breaking through previous highs with increased volume, pushing towards 109,500 and 110,000, attracting latecomers for a good exit. If it stabilizes above 110,000, we can look for even higher levels, but it needs to be supported by news; we must avoid sudden negative news disrupting the rhythm.
Of course, this is just a forecast; I am not a fortune teller or insider; everyone can just enjoy for fun 🤪
$BTC #美国加征关税
Currently, Bitcoin is in a consolidation period after a rise, with steady trading volume and no large-scale long liquidations, so there’s no rush to dump. The bullish momentum is still present, and there’s a high probability that it will first leverage the momentum to test around 108,500, attracting trend-following traders; after a slight surge, it will dip back to around 106,000 to wash out short-term floating positions, using the support level to control the market; after the pullback, it will rise again, breaking through previous highs with increased volume, pushing towards 109,500 and 110,000, attracting latecomers for a good exit. If it stabilizes above 110,000, we can look for even higher levels, but it needs to be supported by news; we must avoid sudden negative news disrupting the rhythm.
Of course, this is just a forecast; I am not a fortune teller or insider; everyone can just enjoy for fun 🤪
$BTC #美国加征关税
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Precise bottom fishing in the early morning, Bitcoin at 13,000 points and Ethereum at 70 points successfully exited. Fortunately, I managed to sleep through it 😂
The market sentiment is hot at the end of July, and another 10,000🔪 dropped overnight!
$BTC $ETH
#山寨季來了？ #Strategy增持比特币
The market sentiment is hot at the end of July, and another 10,000🔪 dropped overnight!
$BTC $ETH
#山寨季來了？ #Strategy增持比特币
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7.24 Midday Bitcoin and Ethereum Outlook
The overall market rhythm has shifted from the strong one-sided trend of the past two weeks to sideways fluctuations and differentiated turnover. After a pullback, mainstream coins have stabilized, while altcoins are showing significant weakness, indicating that current funds are leaning towards defense rather than chasing highs.
Bitcoin rebounded quickly from 117,300 to around 118,800 yesterday but is still constrained by the resistance level of 120,000, showing that the pressure of trapped positions above has not been resolved. Ethereum's trend is in sync, oscillating repeatedly in the range of 3,600-3,700, with signs of main funds protecting the price but not launching a strong attack.
Overall, the bullish trend has not completely dissipated, but short-term upward momentum is insufficient, with fund concentration still on mainstream coins, and altcoins have not yet taken over, resulting in a slower rotation rhythm.
Trading Suggestions:
Bitcoin: Focus on support in the 117,800-118,300 range for low buys, with an upper target of 119,500-120,000. If it cannot hold, prioritize short-term profits.
Ethereum: You can try to buy at 3,600-3,620, aiming for 3,700-3,750, and if it breaks through, look at 3,850.
$BTC $ETH #Strategy增持比特币 #山寨季來了？ #NFT板块领涨 #加密立法新纪元
The overall market rhythm has shifted from the strong one-sided trend of the past two weeks to sideways fluctuations and differentiated turnover. After a pullback, mainstream coins have stabilized, while altcoins are showing significant weakness, indicating that current funds are leaning towards defense rather than chasing highs.
Bitcoin rebounded quickly from 117,300 to around 118,800 yesterday but is still constrained by the resistance level of 120,000, showing that the pressure of trapped positions above has not been resolved. Ethereum's trend is in sync, oscillating repeatedly in the range of 3,600-3,700, with signs of main funds protecting the price but not launching a strong attack.
Overall, the bullish trend has not completely dissipated, but short-term upward momentum is insufficient, with fund concentration still on mainstream coins, and altcoins have not yet taken over, resulting in a slower rotation rhythm.
Trading Suggestions:
Bitcoin: Focus on support in the 117,800-118,300 range for low buys, with an upper target of 119,500-120,000. If it cannot hold, prioritize short-term profits.
Ethereum: You can try to buy at 3,600-3,620, aiming for 3,700-3,750, and if it breaks through, look at 3,850.
$BTC $ETH #Strategy增持比特币 #山寨季來了？ #NFT板块领涨 #加密立法新纪元
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7.24 Midnight Bitcoin and Ethereum Analysis
Bitcoin has retreated from a high of 120300, hitting a low of 117300 before a slight rebound. The short-term trend remains volatile.
On the four-hour chart, the price has broken below the middle Bollinger Band, with the latest candlestick being a solid bearish candle with no upper shadow. The bearish advantage is evident, and the trading volume has increased, indicating a clear selling pressure signal. The overall structure has entered a downward testing phase, with the focus continuously shifting downward. Although the hourly chart shows a reduced volume bullish candle rebound, it has not changed the trend, and the market remains in a wide consolidation between the middle and lower Bollinger Bands, with alternating bullish and bearish candles forming a volatile range.
The strategy is to focus on short positions:
Place short orders as Bitcoin rebounds to around 118800-119300, targeting 117500-117000;
Place short orders as Ethereum rebounds to around 3680-3730, targeting 3500-3470.
$BTC $ETH
#山寨季來了？ #Strategy增持比特币 #加密立法新纪元
Bitcoin has retreated from a high of 120300, hitting a low of 117300 before a slight rebound. The short-term trend remains volatile.
On the four-hour chart, the price has broken below the middle Bollinger Band, with the latest candlestick being a solid bearish candle with no upper shadow. The bearish advantage is evident, and the trading volume has increased, indicating a clear selling pressure signal. The overall structure has entered a downward testing phase, with the focus continuously shifting downward. Although the hourly chart shows a reduced volume bullish candle rebound, it has not changed the trend, and the market remains in a wide consolidation between the middle and lower Bollinger Bands, with alternating bullish and bearish candles forming a volatile range.
The strategy is to focus on short positions:
Place short orders as Bitcoin rebounds to around 118800-119300, targeting 117500-117000;
Place short orders as Ethereum rebounds to around 3680-3730, targeting 3500-3470.
$BTC $ETH
#山寨季來了？ #Strategy增持比特币 #加密立法新纪元
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The 1175 mentioned in the evening has now reached around 1184, creating a space of 1000 points. Next, we will see if 1183 can be smoothly broken. If it breaks through successfully, it will continue to challenge 1193; if the bulls are weak, we will have to look for a pullback.
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币
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If you don't strive and fight, life is wasted. If you don't earn and take risks, time is empty 🚀🔥
Earlier, I reminded everyone to take a small defensive bet; how many people got the chance to get on board? If 11750 breaks, the worst case is losing 300 points and turning around. Currently, 1000 points have been successfully secured!
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币
Earlier, I reminded everyone to take a small defensive bet; how many people got the chance to get on board? If 11750 breaks, the worst case is losing 300 points and turning around. Currently, 1000 points have been successfully secured!
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币
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Breaking: 🇺🇸 The U.S. government will release a report on Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies on July 30.
Combining a monthly visit to the European Union and upcoming tariff negotiations, it is expected that the market will experience a significant wave of volatility, with risks and opportunities coexisting.
$BTC $ETH
#稳定币监管风暴 #加密立法新纪元
Combining a monthly visit to the European Union and upcoming tariff negotiations, it is expected that the market will experience a significant wave of volatility, with risks and opportunities coexisting.
$BTC $ETH
#稳定币监管风暴 #加密立法新纪元
8月初牛抬头
8月初牛见尾
12 hr(s) left
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SOL short-term breaks below 200, but the structure remains robust, the bullish trend is unbroken.
From a technical perspective, the daily and hourly moving averages are maintaining an upward trend, indicating that the current situation is just a healthy pullback. The price is still operating within the rising channel since April, with a complete rhythm and clear trend.
Recently, the market has shown low volatility fluctuations, which is a common accumulation pattern before a rise. Once a breakout occurs with increased volume, it may quickly surge to 215, or even test higher levels of 218 or the 252-264 range.
What’s more critical is that the 50-day moving average is approaching the 200-day moving average, likely forming a "golden crossover" — a classic signal for a mid-term bull market.
Currently, key support levels to watch are the 187-185 range, 163 (50-day moving average), and 145.
Resistance levels: 215, 218, 252-264
$SOL #山寨季來了？ #稳定币监管风暴
From a technical perspective, the daily and hourly moving averages are maintaining an upward trend, indicating that the current situation is just a healthy pullback. The price is still operating within the rising channel since April, with a complete rhythm and clear trend.
Recently, the market has shown low volatility fluctuations, which is a common accumulation pattern before a rise. Once a breakout occurs with increased volume, it may quickly surge to 215, or even test higher levels of 218 or the 252-264 range.
What’s more critical is that the 50-day moving average is approaching the 200-day moving average, likely forming a "golden crossover" — a classic signal for a mid-term bull market.
Currently, key support levels to watch are the 187-185 range, 163 (50-day moving average), and 145.
Resistance levels: 215, 218, 252-264
$SOL #山寨季來了？ #稳定币监管风暴
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Evening Old Desert Team Duo Dan Snacks 800 points space, the market has been declining for a day, and one should not be greedy with long positions; timely profit-taking is the key 😇
$BTC $ETH #Strategy增持比特币 #Metaplanet增持比特币
$BTC $ETH #Strategy增持比特币 #Metaplanet增持比特币
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7.24 Early Morning Bitcoin and Ethereum Analysis
The white plate's surge and subsequent pullback indicates a temporary halt in the short-term consecutive bullish trend. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum encountered resistance at previous highs, and bearish forces have begun to manifest, leading to a shift towards weak volatility in the evening. During the downward movement, the BOLL middle track was tested for the first time, and the technical aspect has entered a critical confirmation stage.
At this moment, it is not advisable to blindly go long or short, as the main force is more inclined to wash out positions through repeated fluctuations, creating an illusion of direction. It is very likely that the early morning will continue this tug-of-war state, and the trading rhythm needs to be flexible, prioritizing buying on dips rather than chasing after rises.
Trading Suggestions:
For Bitcoin:
Support on pullback: The 117000-117500 range is a short-term buying window
Upper target: 118300 is the first resistance, if strong, can look to 119300
Stop loss: Exit if it falls below 116800
For Ethereum:
Support range: 3540-3560
Rebound target: 3640-3660, adjust take-profit rhythm based on strength
If it falls below 3520, there may be a second bottom test below
$BTC $ETH
#Strategy增持比特币 #山寨季來了？
The white plate's surge and subsequent pullback indicates a temporary halt in the short-term consecutive bullish trend. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum encountered resistance at previous highs, and bearish forces have begun to manifest, leading to a shift towards weak volatility in the evening. During the downward movement, the BOLL middle track was tested for the first time, and the technical aspect has entered a critical confirmation stage.
At this moment, it is not advisable to blindly go long or short, as the main force is more inclined to wash out positions through repeated fluctuations, creating an illusion of direction. It is very likely that the early morning will continue this tug-of-war state, and the trading rhythm needs to be flexible, prioritizing buying on dips rather than chasing after rises.
Trading Suggestions:
For Bitcoin:
Support on pullback: The 117000-117500 range is a short-term buying window
Upper target: 118300 is the first resistance, if strong, can look to 119300
Stop loss: Exit if it falls below 116800
For Ethereum:
Support range: 3540-3560
Rebound target: 3640-3660, adjust take-profit rhythm based on strength
If it falls below 3520, there may be a second bottom test below
$BTC $ETH
#Strategy增持比特币 #山寨季來了？
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BTC is currently in a key liquidity zone, with market-making funds looking for trading opportunities around high-density order areas.
There are a large number of long position liquidation orders near 118,000 USD below. If the price reaches this level, it may trigger concentrated stop-losses, leading to a short-term acceleration. However, this area may also become a rebound starting point after liquidity absorption.
Above, the 122,000 USD area is gathering stop-loss orders for short positions. Once the price breaks through, it may trigger proactive liquidation buying, driving the market to extend above 125,000 USD.
Overall, this is a typical liquidity-driven pattern. In terms of operation, attention should be paid to the trading reactions in these two key zones mentioned above, avoiding premature entry before confirmation.
$BTC #保护您的资产 #Strategy增持比特币
There are a large number of long position liquidation orders near 118,000 USD below. If the price reaches this level, it may trigger concentrated stop-losses, leading to a short-term acceleration. However, this area may also become a rebound starting point after liquidity absorption.
Above, the 122,000 USD area is gathering stop-loss orders for short positions. Once the price breaks through, it may trigger proactive liquidation buying, driving the market to extend above 125,000 USD.
Overall, this is a typical liquidity-driven pattern. In terms of operation, attention should be paid to the trading reactions in these two key zones mentioned above, avoiding premature entry before confirmation.
$BTC #保护您的资产 #Strategy增持比特币
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What is most common in a bull market is not losing money, but the "regret after selling too early".
Many people, once they sell too early, get trapped in their mindset. It's not that they are afraid of losing, but rather afraid of "the price rising after they have sold". Thus, they start to tie themselves to a cost price, watching the market continue to soar, yet hesitating to re-enter the battlefield. What is missed is not the market itself, but the initiative in direction.
However, in reality, what truly makes you money is never about "how low you bought", but whether you followed the right trend.
Cost is merely a process, not a value. Those who anchor themselves to cost will ultimately be repeatedly educated by the market.
My own strategy is as follows:
A portion for long-term positions, only buying coins that I truly believe in, and not making any moves until the target price is reached;
Another portion for ultra-short trades, focusing on strong trends, catching rhythms, and making waves; if it's time to switch, then switch, and if I miss it, I won’t dwell on it, opportunities always cycle.
A truly mature trader does not always buy at the lowest or sell at the highest, but is courageous enough to admit they "are getting back in" and act decisively.
Let go of right or wrong, focus on the trend; this is the way to navigate a bull market.
$BTC $ETH $XRP
#RWA热潮 #山寨季來了？ #稳定币监管风暴 #Strategy增持比特币 #特朗普马斯克分歧
Many people, once they sell too early, get trapped in their mindset. It's not that they are afraid of losing, but rather afraid of "the price rising after they have sold". Thus, they start to tie themselves to a cost price, watching the market continue to soar, yet hesitating to re-enter the battlefield. What is missed is not the market itself, but the initiative in direction.
However, in reality, what truly makes you money is never about "how low you bought", but whether you followed the right trend.
Cost is merely a process, not a value. Those who anchor themselves to cost will ultimately be repeatedly educated by the market.
My own strategy is as follows:
A portion for long-term positions, only buying coins that I truly believe in, and not making any moves until the target price is reached;
Another portion for ultra-short trades, focusing on strong trends, catching rhythms, and making waves; if it's time to switch, then switch, and if I miss it, I won’t dwell on it, opportunities always cycle.
A truly mature trader does not always buy at the lowest or sell at the highest, but is courageous enough to admit they "are getting back in" and act decisively.
Let go of right or wrong, focus on the trend; this is the way to navigate a bull market.
$BTC $ETH $XRP
#RWA热潮 #山寨季來了？ #稳定币监管风暴 #Strategy增持比特币 #特朗普马斯克分歧
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7.23 Big Pie Mid-Line Trading Strategy
BTC market enters the expanding triangle phase, with intense emotional hedging and structure seeking direction amidst expansion.
Recently, prices have been tugging back and forth between the upward resistance line and the downward support line, reflecting increased short-term market volatility, an uncertain trend, and oscillating long and short positions with extremely unstable emotions.
This type of structure often indicates that a major direction has yet to be chosen, but there is considerable room for short-term operations. The main players are repeatedly harvesting without setting stop losses in chasing highs and selling lows, while smart capital has been repeatedly positioning itself at both ends.
In terms of operations:
The upper resistance levels are around 121000 and 122000, and one can go short when approaching resistance;
The lower support levels are around 116300 and 115000, and one can go long if it retraces without breaking.
Currently, hesitation is most undesirable; when the trend is unclear, one should act around the range, making money on volatility without fantasizing about a one-sided move.
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币 #RWA热潮 #加密立法新纪元
BTC market enters the expanding triangle phase, with intense emotional hedging and structure seeking direction amidst expansion.
Recently, prices have been tugging back and forth between the upward resistance line and the downward support line, reflecting increased short-term market volatility, an uncertain trend, and oscillating long and short positions with extremely unstable emotions.
This type of structure often indicates that a major direction has yet to be chosen, but there is considerable room for short-term operations. The main players are repeatedly harvesting without setting stop losses in chasing highs and selling lows, while smart capital has been repeatedly positioning itself at both ends.
In terms of operations:
The upper resistance levels are around 121000 and 122000, and one can go short when approaching resistance;
The lower support levels are around 116300 and 115000, and one can go long if it retraces without breaking.
Currently, hesitation is most undesirable; when the trend is unclear, one should act around the range, making money on volatility without fantasizing about a one-sided move.
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币 #RWA热潮 #加密立法新纪元
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7.23 BNB Analysis
BNB today strongly refreshed its phase high, peaking at 810, breaking through last week's consolidation range and releasing a clear trend signal. Currently, the market is fluctuating, and BNB is rising against the trend, indicating that there is clear driving force behind this wave of increase, and the sentiment has turned positive.
However, it is important to note that after consecutive rises, there is indeed a possibility of a short-term pullback for consolidation, especially against the backdrop of intensified fluctuations around the 800 level, and we cannot rule out the possibility of the main force washing out before pushing higher.
In terms of operations, as long as it does not break the 795-800 range during a pullback, it presents a buying opportunity; set the stop-loss below 785;
If it directly breaks through 815, it indicates a strong acceleration, and one can lightly follow the trend to add to positions, targeting 835-850.
$BNB #山寨季來了？ #BNB创新高 #加密立法新纪元
BNB today strongly refreshed its phase high, peaking at 810, breaking through last week's consolidation range and releasing a clear trend signal. Currently, the market is fluctuating, and BNB is rising against the trend, indicating that there is clear driving force behind this wave of increase, and the sentiment has turned positive.
However, it is important to note that after consecutive rises, there is indeed a possibility of a short-term pullback for consolidation, especially against the backdrop of intensified fluctuations around the 800 level, and we cannot rule out the possibility of the main force washing out before pushing higher.
In terms of operations, as long as it does not break the 795-800 range during a pullback, it presents a buying opportunity; set the stop-loss below 785;
If it directly breaks through 815, it indicates a strong acceleration, and one can lightly follow the trend to add to positions, targeting 835-850.
$BNB #山寨季來了？ #BNB创新高 #加密立法新纪元
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🇺🇸 The Trump Foundation WLF has just purchased 3,473 $ETH , with a total value of approximately 13 million dollars.
Next, it's the useful coins' turn to take off; the utility sector is about to explode, and ETH is leading the way.
$ETH #wlf #以太坊突破3700 #山寨季來了？
Next, it's the useful coins' turn to take off; the utility sector is about to explode, and ETH is leading the way.
$ETH #wlf #以太坊突破3700 #山寨季來了？
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This is not a good thing, it's 'Li Hai'—AI, public chains, and RWA all in one pot, topped off with a national team label, targeting those who take news as a meal.
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ADA broke through $0.86 in the early stage, but is clearly under pressure at high levels, currently retesting to confirm support. The bull-bear dividing line has appeared, and a direction will soon be chosen.
It is recommended to consider entering after confirming support, with a focus on the range of 0.86-0.83; if it does not break, a light position long order can be attempted; the upper targets look sequentially towards 0.94 and 1.02, with a strong situation likely to challenge 1.17.
$ADA #山寨季來了？
It is recommended to consider entering after confirming support, with a focus on the range of 0.86-0.83; if it does not break, a light position long order can be attempted; the upper targets look sequentially towards 0.94 and 1.02, with a strong situation likely to challenge 1.17.
$ADA #山寨季來了？
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