Bitcoin reaches +1 SD above short-term holder cost basis.
$120K level could act as resistance during strong rallies.
$136K is the next potential resistance at +2 SD.
Bitcoin has surged to a key technical milestone, according to data from Glassnode. The leading cryptocurrency is now trading at a level that is +1 standard deviation above the short-term holder (STH) cost basis, which currently sits around $120,000.
Historically, this level has acted as a major resistance point during bullish phases, where price momentum is strong but prone to pauses or corrections. The short-term holder cost basis is an important on-chain metric, reflecting the average acquisition price of recently bought coins (held for less than 155 days).
This recent move suggests a continued wave of bullish sentiment among traders. However, it also signals a possible hurdle if previous patterns hold true.
$120K Resistance in Sight – What’s Next?
Reaching +1 SD above the STH cost basis often coincides with peak enthusiasm and strong inflows, but it doesn’t guarantee smooth sailing. In past cycles, this threshold has frequently marked local tops or temporary pullbacks, as traders take profits and market momentum cools down.
If Bitcoin manages to break above this resistance convincingly, Glassnode notes the next technical barrier lies at +2 standard deviations — around the $136,000 mark. This level has historically served as a significant resistance during parabolic rallies.
For now, all eyes are on Bitcoin’s ability to sustain its strength above $120K. A successful retest and hold could open the door to a new all-time high, while failure may lead to a short-term correction or consolidation phase.
Glassnode noted that Bitcoin ($BTC) has reached +1 standard deviation above the short-term holder cost basis (~$120K), a level that historically acts as resistance during strong momentum phases. If the trend continues, the next resistance lies at +2 SD, around $136K.… pic.twitter.com/Hh5HOc3OK2
— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) July 18, 2025
Why This Matters for Traders
Understanding the behavior of short-term holders offers insights into the broader market psychology. When the price moves well above the average cost basis of these traders, emotions like FOMO (fear of missing out) often intensify — but so does the temptation to sell.
Investors and traders should closely monitor this level and watch for signs of either a breakout or a pullback, as it could define Bitcoin’s path for the next few weeks.
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