ETH

兄弟们，昨天川普被屌了，
佐治亚州那个叫奥索夫的参议员直接开喷，
说川狗明码标价卖总统访问权，
在国会山扯着嗓子喊"这他m够得上弹劾标准了！"
旁边希夫和沃伦两个老油条赶紧跟上节奏，
嚷嚷着要查老特的加密账户，
怀疑这货搞"付费游戏"捞黑钱。

但咱们懂王是谁啊？人家早把玩法摸透了，
总量10亿枚的TRUMP现在才放出来2亿，
价格跟过山车似的。白天砸盘晚上拉盘，
狗庄玩得那叫一个溜，近期又因“晚宴营销”
单日涨幅达50%-70%，价格从9刀飙升至16刀，
交易量激增至38亿刀。
这波trump能涨起来大鳄认为有几点：
1、名人效应与稀缺性绑定，
通过“持仓排名前220名可参与晚宴”的机制，
将政治资源与代币持有量挂钩，刺激投机需求。
2、解锁期的拉盘掩护：
4月18日项目方解锁4000万枚代币，总价值约3亿刀，
市场担忧抛压于是通过“晚宴叙事”转移注意力并拉高价格，
然后掩护出货来个神不知鬼不觉的釜底抽薪。

兄弟们，trump已经进入高风险阶段，
目前持币高度集中，前10大地址控制82%的流通量，
项目方保留80%代币未解锁，
庄家仅需2000万美元即可操控价格。
而TRUMP期货未平仓合约达7亿刀，
远超莱特等主流币种，高杠杆加剧爆仓风险，
比如在4月23日就爆仓3.7亿刀，
还想追进去的兄弟悠着点。

这边川普刚被屌完，那边孙割又出来搞事情。
咱孙割掐指一算，自己生日和以太坊十周年撞车，
直接放话"以太年底必冲5000刀"。
更骚的是以太基金还配合着撒钱，
搞什么注册送500刀空投。
现在推特上全是"ETH5000"的洗脑标语，
不知道的还以为进了传销窝点。
最近以太短短两周从1385刀飙到1750刀，涨幅2.6%，
空头被干爆了1.2亿刀，背后一堆狗屁理由，
什么CME期货基差崩了，套利佬撤退；
川普喊话逼美联储降息，韭菜们又嗨了；
还有那个Pectra升级，吹逼说要把交易费砍到0.001刀，
TPS冲到2万，DeFi锁仓量蹭蹭涨18%，看起来牛逼哄哄？

但是，兄弟们这货骨子里毛病一堆，
燃烧了73亿刀，结果供应量还在通胀，年增0.8%！
主网交易费被Layer2抢了生意，分片技术还他m延期，
TPS卡在45，被Solana的9000TPS吊打25。
更惨的是机构都跑去买大饼ETF，
以太质押收益率才3.2%，谁他m理你？
今年能不能上5000？得看1810撑不撑得住，
空头在2000刀埋伏了1.1万张看跌期权。
5000？分片技术真落地了可能翻身，
但现在这逼样，跌穿1777刀直接爆仓3.35亿，
崩到1500刀也不是没可能，
一句话：涨得猛，跌得狠，玩的就是心跳！

再看大饼这边，减完半跟没吃饭似的，
涨幅连前几次零头都够不上。
但交易所突然流出5亿刀的大饼，
这他m是要搞大事情的节奏啊！
大饼早上这波冲上95000刀，
表面看是ETF机构狂吸货、交易所筹码被搬空。
但别被狗庄忽悠瘸了，95000刀这位置全是之前高位接盘侠，
空头在这埋了1.2万张看跌期权，操盘手就等你冲进来爆仓，
短期能不能干上10万？得看负融资利率的空头挤压给不给力，
历史上一旦资金费率倒挂，分分钟拉出30%的狂暴行情。
但要是撑不住回调，90,000刀就是多空绞肉机，
跌破直接引发一波超级爆仓，
现在机构锁仓加减半后矿工躺平，
真要突破前高109500刀也不是没戏，
但关键点还是要看降息能不能到来。

昨天鲍威尔这老狐狸突然松口，
说传统银行可以搞加密业务了。
表面看着是要开闸放水，
结果被议员指着鼻子骂"净整些虚头巴脑的"。
大鳄觉得这就是典型的华盛顿太极，
既不想得罪加密新贵，又怕惹毛传统金融大佬。

现在最鸡贼的玩法是盯着USDC价格波动。
美国佬但凡要进场扫货，肯定先拿USDC换USDT，
这时候USDC就得跌，反过来要是USDC突然涨价，
八成是那帮机构狗在偷偷出货。
这年头炒币不比当特工轻松，
得24小时盯着稳定币汇率当风向标。

好了今天就到这里，觉得大鳄的分析对你有帮助的可以点赞评论加关注。
#币安Alpha积分 #热门内容 #ETH #孙割 #鲍威尔谈话后市场调整降息预期

Technical Analysis based on the chart (1D)
Current price: $1,809.26
EMA (Exponential Moving Averages):
📉 EMA(7) = 1,760.90
📉 EMA(25) = 1,728.49
📉 EMA(99) = 2,173.63
Conclusion:
The price is trading above EMA(7) and EMA(25), indicating a local bullish momentum. However, EMA(99) remains much higher, meaning the global trend is still bearish.
RSI(6) = 71.43
😀 Right at the overbought zone (>70). A pullback or consolidation is possible.
Stochastic RSI = 96.29
⚠️ Extremely overbought — a short-term correction is likely.
Williams %R(14) = -15.06
📉 Almost in the extreme overbought zone (closer to 0%).
MACD:
😀 DIF = -5.85
😀 DEA = -47.23
😀 MACD = 41.38
MACD lines have crossed upward + the histogram is positive, confirming a bullish impulse starting.
OBV (On-Balance Volume) = -6,361,306.36
📉 Volume doesn’t show a strong inflow of liquidity yet — the rise is happening on relatively weak volume.
Asset State Evaluation:
Ethereum has entered a local rebound phase after a long downtrend. Overbought indicators suggest a possible small pullback in the coming hours/days.
Globally the trend is still weak (EMA(99) far above), but short-term sentiment is bullish.
Potential Entry Points:
Long:
After a local pullback to support zones:
🔑 First long zone: $1,780 – $1,760 (around EMA(7))
🔑 Safer long: $1,740 – $1,730 (EMA(25) zone)
Short:
🚨 Aggressive shorting right now is risky.
Short scenario — if the price fails to hold above $1,800 – $1,820 and starts falling:
🔑 Break below EMA(7) + MACD bearish crossover — a signal for short entry.
Potential Profit-Taking Targets:
For a long:
😀 $1,857 — local 24h high
😀 $1,950 — next strong resistance level
😀 $2,170 — EMA(99), very strong resistance (maximum target for current trend)
For a short:
📉 $1,760 — EMA(7) support
📉 $1,730 — EMA(25) support
📉 $1,385 — previous major low, strong daily support
Brief Summary:
Trend: Locally bullish, globally still bearish.
Risks: High overbought conditions — correction risk is elevated.
What to do: Watch for pullbacks to support zones for possible longs. Shorts only after a clear breakdown confirmation.
$ETH 👇👇👇
#Ethereum #ETH #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #cryptotrading

#here's a comprehensive analysis to help you decide whether to hold, sell, or buy ETH:

### **Key Observations:**
1. **Price Trend**:
- Current ETH price: **$1,787.04** (down **-0.39%** to **-0.42%**).
- The price is below the 99-day moving average (**MA(99): 2269.12**), indicating a long-term downtrend.
- Short-term MAs (MA(7): 1756.15, MA(25): 1660.14) suggest some support levels, but the overall trend is weak.

2. **24-Hour Performance**:
- **High**: $1,857.47 | **Low**: $1,780.10.
- The current price is near the 24h low, signaling bearish pressure.

3. **Volume and Money Flow**:
- **24h Volume**: 335,588.64 ETH / $608.59M USDT.
- **Large Inflows (5 days)**: **+123,562.32%** (significant buying interest from large players).
- **Recent 24h Net Inflow**: Negative (**-14,992.6022 ETH**), with selling pressure outweighing buying.

4. **Order Book Analysis**:
- Large buyers: **192,138.10 ETH** vs. sellers: **176,776.16 ETH** (slight dominance of large buyers).
- Medium/Small orders show net selling (**-19,683.57 ETH and -10,670.98 ETH** respectively).

5. **Market Sentiment**:
- Vitalik Buterin’s discussion on Ethereum’s progress could be a positive catalyst, but short-term price action remains bearish.

---

### **Recommendation:**
- **Short-Term Traders (Risk-On)**:
- **Buy**: If you believe in a bounce from the $1,780 support level, consider a small buy with tight stop-loss (~$1,770).
- **Sell**: If the price breaks below $1,780, a short-term sell could capitalize on further downside.

- **Long-Term Holders (Risk-Off)**:
- **Hold**: Ethereum’s fundamentals (Layer 1/Layer 2 growth, institutional interest) remain strong. The current dip may be a buying opportunity for accumulation.
- **Wait**: If unsure, monitor the $1,780 support and MA(7) (~$1,756) for confirmation of a reversal.

- **Caution**:
- The high 5-day large inflow suggests "smart money" accumulation, but short-term volatility is likely.
- Use stop-loss orders to manage risk.

### **Final Verdict**:
- **Aggressive**: Buy near $1,780 (if holding support) for a quick rebound play.
- **Neutral**: Hold and wait for clearer trend confirmation (e.g., break above MA(25) or MA(99)).
- **Defensive**: Sell partial holdings if $1,780 breaks, re-enter lower.

Always align your decision with your risk tolerance and investment goals.
#ETH #ETHETFsApproved #BinanceAlphaAlert #Ethereum $ETH