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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Marilee Biffer ZY75:
Where do you see 59k because it didn't go beyond 83
See original
11.4 Night market rebound can be short.
Let's briefly review.
On November 3, the large pie rebounded to 108000 during the night market and was shot down by bears, crashing down to the support of 105200 at eleven o'clock in the evening. As of noon today, the consolidation has been running around the range of this bearish candle. The first two K-lines rebounded quickly, while the following hours showed a mix of bullish and bearish movements with varying sizes, presenting a purely confrontational trend.
The KDJ, RSI, and MACD lines are all consistently sticky at low levels, indicating a significant divergence in the market, which has been hesitant. Until the three indicators aligned and formed a death cross at noon, the large pie directly dropped from 106500 to around 103800. If you saw yesterday's thought process, you should have an impression; isn't this exactly the position Jiangxin provided yesterday?
Therefore, we still prioritize short positions in the future,
suggesting to short at 105200, add at 106500, and stop loss at 107459.
The current consolidation range of the large pie is around 101200-106500. A new round of rebound can be entered at 102500-102800, with an add around 101800. Let's focus on making waves around the consolidation.
If we follow the rebound layout from yesterday, the afternoon's operation can be done without loss. Let's proceed this way for now. Still, let's be a bit conservative. The short positions from yesterday performed very well; everyone should be aware of that. As for the positions considered earlier, those who entered too early without consideration should have been hit hard. #btc #eth
Let's briefly review.
On November 3, the large pie rebounded to 108000 during the night market and was shot down by bears, crashing down to the support of 105200 at eleven o'clock in the evening. As of noon today, the consolidation has been running around the range of this bearish candle. The first two K-lines rebounded quickly, while the following hours showed a mix of bullish and bearish movements with varying sizes, presenting a purely confrontational trend.
The KDJ, RSI, and MACD lines are all consistently sticky at low levels, indicating a significant divergence in the market, which has been hesitant. Until the three indicators aligned and formed a death cross at noon, the large pie directly dropped from 106500 to around 103800. If you saw yesterday's thought process, you should have an impression; isn't this exactly the position Jiangxin provided yesterday?
Therefore, we still prioritize short positions in the future,
suggesting to short at 105200, add at 106500, and stop loss at 107459.
The current consolidation range of the large pie is around 101200-106500. A new round of rebound can be entered at 102500-102800, with an add around 101800. Let's focus on making waves around the consolidation.
If we follow the rebound layout from yesterday, the afternoon's operation can be done without loss. Let's proceed this way for now. Still, let's be a bit conservative. The short positions from yesterday performed very well; everyone should be aware of that. As for the positions considered earlier, those who entered too early without consideration should have been hit hard. #btc #eth
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Now we see that at $103–106K for BTC, exits are already happening and large players are buying Altcoins
$BTC got stuck in the corridor $103–106K, and this is always the area where large capital starts to ask the question: what to do next with the risk. At strong highs, some long-term holders prefer to lock in part of the profit rather than wait for the next round of volatility. At the same time, very few are ready to completely exit the market, so a logical step looks like this: part of Bitcoin turns into stablecoins, part flows into more dynamic stories, primarily into selected Altcoins. On the charts, this is seen as a sluggish sideways movement for Bitcoin and simultaneously more sharp movements in the second tier.
Feed-Creator-b36ba0070:
....Ржу не могу🤣🤣🤣
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Whales Under Pressure: What the Nighttime Drop of Bitcoin and the Crypto Market as a Whole Hides?
In one night, $BTC it dropped by about 3.5%, $ETH almost by 5%, and around half a billion dollars of margin positions were liquidated across the market as a whole. For the average investor, this looks like yet another chaos without logic: prices are falling, charts are red, and the feed is filled only with panic and disputes about who is to blame. But if you look deeper, it becomes clear that the market is simply reacting to a combination of aggressive leveraged risk and major shifts among long-term players.
$BTC Slips Below $100K: Bears Regain Control
Bitcoin breaks under the key $100,000 level, signaling renewed bearish momentum. Sellers are pressing hard, and a deeper correction could follow if price fails to reclaim support soon.
Short Targets:
• TP1: $98,500
• TP2: $97,200
• TP3: $95,800
Stop-Loss: $101,200
#Write2Earn #btc #FOMCMeeting #GENIUSAct #StablecoinLaw
Bitcoin breaks under the key $100,000 level, signaling renewed bearish momentum. Sellers are pressing hard, and a deeper correction could follow if price fails to reclaim support soon.
Short Targets:
• TP1: $98,500
• TP2: $97,200
• TP3: $95,800
Stop-Loss: $101,200
#Write2Earn #btc #FOMCMeeting #GENIUSAct #StablecoinLaw
$BTC Bears Tighten Grip: Next Target $99,000–$97,800 (Strong Downtrend)
$BTC has broken below key intraday support near $101,000, confirming sustained bearish momentum. With sellers dominating, a deeper correction looks likely as the market loses confidence above six figures.
Short Targets:
• TP1: $99,800
• TP2: $98,600
• TP3: $97,800
Stop-Loss: $102,400
#btc #Write2Earn #MarketPullback #FOMCMeeting #AITokensRally
$BTC has broken below key intraday support near $101,000, confirming sustained bearish momentum. With sellers dominating, a deeper correction looks likely as the market loses confidence above six figures.
Short Targets:
• TP1: $99,800
• TP2: $98,600
• TP3: $97,800
Stop-Loss: $102,400
#btc #Write2Earn #MarketPullback #FOMCMeeting #AITokensRally
See original
$BTC
Bitcoin has also reached the area we specified yesterday ..
We are following up 👀
A week ago, I was the first to inform you that I would exit the market because I was seeing this drop with my own eyes ..
God is the helper ..
I will update you continuously
#btc
Bitcoin has also reached the area we specified yesterday ..
We are following up 👀
A week ago, I was the first to inform you that I would exit the market because I was seeing this drop with my own eyes ..
God is the helper ..
I will update you continuously
#btc
Okey lets face it ! BTC bullmarket has ended , bitcoik syock to flow model is clearly painting the first blue candle of the bearmarket season , wether you likenitnor not thats the reality ! 75k BTC 5 to 7 months if not earlier
#btc $BTC
#btc $BTC
See original
Good evening everyone! Today's market trends completely align with our predictions, with the price of the currency continuing to decline, having precisely broken below the critical level of 103000, perfectly hitting the expected target! However, this is by no means the end of the downward trend—judging from the current volume situation, there is still ample potential for release below. Throughout the day, we focused on a high short strategy, achieving significant gains; friends who kept pace must have returned fully loaded. Moving forward, let’s continue to exert effort together and create more achievements!
As early as when the currency price broke below the 106000 level, I clearly indicated: in the short term, bears will dominate the market direction. Previously, Bitcoin stabilized briefly in the range of 103500-103800 (recent lower bound of fluctuations and resonance with previous lows), primarily due to a large influx of bullish funds seeking to buy at the bottom. However, it must be clear that if this support level is lost, the next key level to watch is 102000—this is both the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level and an important barrier at the round number of 100000. Should the bears continue to increase volume, a price impact on 100000 will be a high probability event.
However, at the current juncture, evening operations should not blindly chase shorts, and it’s necessary to remain calm and rational: if the currency price stabilizes above 103500, one can take the opportunity to grasp a rebound, setting up short positions near 105000; if bullish rebounds are weak and there is no obvious upward momentum, then simply continue with the short strategy.
• Evening Bitcoin: Short in the range of 104500-105000, target towards 102000#btc #ETH
• Evening Ethereum: Short in the range of 3550-3580, target towards 3400
As early as when the currency price broke below the 106000 level, I clearly indicated: in the short term, bears will dominate the market direction. Previously, Bitcoin stabilized briefly in the range of 103500-103800 (recent lower bound of fluctuations and resonance with previous lows), primarily due to a large influx of bullish funds seeking to buy at the bottom. However, it must be clear that if this support level is lost, the next key level to watch is 102000—this is both the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level and an important barrier at the round number of 100000. Should the bears continue to increase volume, a price impact on 100000 will be a high probability event.
However, at the current juncture, evening operations should not blindly chase shorts, and it’s necessary to remain calm and rational: if the currency price stabilizes above 103500, one can take the opportunity to grasp a rebound, setting up short positions near 105000; if bullish rebounds are weak and there is no obvious upward momentum, then simply continue with the short strategy.
• Evening Bitcoin: Short in the range of 104500-105000, target towards 102000#btc #ETH
• Evening Ethereum: Short in the range of 3550-3580, target towards 3400
📉 Trade Alert: Short $BTC
Market: BTC / USD
Entry Zone: ~ $116,000 (or thereabouts)
Short Targets:
• Target 1: ~$103500
• Target 2: ~$100,000
• Target 3 (stretch): ~$92,000
Stop-Loss: > ~$108300
Rationale: Technicals show weakening momentum (MACD turning negative, RSI in neutral-to-bearish) for BTC.
Risk: If BTC breaks above $108K strongly it may invalidate the short.
Recommended Leverage: Moderate (given high volatility).
Good luck — trade smart.
#btc #BinanceLiveFutures
Market: BTC / USD
Entry Zone: ~ $116,000 (or thereabouts)
Short Targets:
• Target 1: ~$103500
• Target 2: ~$100,000
• Target 3 (stretch): ~$92,000
Stop-Loss: > ~$108300
Rationale: Technicals show weakening momentum (MACD turning negative, RSI in neutral-to-bearish) for BTC.
Risk: If BTC breaks above $108K strongly it may invalidate the short.
Recommended Leverage: Moderate (given high volatility).
Good luck — trade smart.
#btc #BinanceLiveFutures
See original
Don't FUD, don't panic.
When Bitcoin was flat at 40,000, I advised you that the bull market had arrived, don't miss out.
When Bitcoin first reached 100,000, I advised you not to FOMO too much.
When Ethereum dropped to 1,500, I advised you not to panic.
Don't FUD, you'll thank your present self today 🐒
The people still in the market are all "chosen ones"
Keep it up 🍱🍦🥟🍟🍷🏂🪂
$BTC $ETH #btc #eth
When Bitcoin was flat at 40,000, I advised you that the bull market had arrived, don't miss out.
When Bitcoin first reached 100,000, I advised you not to FOMO too much.
When Ethereum dropped to 1,500, I advised you not to panic.
Don't FUD, you'll thank your present self today 🐒
The people still in the market are all "chosen ones"
Keep it up 🍱🍦🥟🍟🍷🏂🪂
$BTC $ETH #btc #eth
maxwellQ:
随便一跌，山寨死完了
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30-40% this is exactly how much btc is corrected after the peak, it's approximately 80-87000, this is where I expect the correction, and after that a new accumulation phase, the worst case is 73000 (unlikely). It is precisely after this correction that altcoins should start to rise (but not all), only those that represent something meaningful. This is roughly how I see the current situation. People are already screaming and jumping off the ship, which means everything is going as it should.
Don't rush to average out, always keep a small reserve.
#btc #bnb #solana $BTC $SOL $BNB
Don't rush to average out, always keep a small reserve.
#btc #bnb #solana $BTC $SOL $BNB
See original
🚀 Analysis of the buying opportunity after the drop: $BTC ₿ (Bitcoin)
ـــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــ
The Bitcoin currency ($BTC ) is considered the leader in the cryptocurrency market and a reference for traders and investors. The current decline may provide an opportunity for gradual buying and taking advantage of the drop, while monitoring support areas and the next movements.
💰 Current price: 101,760 dollars
🔹 Support: 100,000 – 101,200 dollars
🔹 Resistance: 104,000 – 105,500 dollars
🎯 Potential targets:
• First target: 110,000 dollars
• Second target: 115,000 dollars
• Third target: 120,000 dollars
🛑 Stop loss: closing below 99,500 dollars
✨ Technical outlook:
Staying above the current support provides an opportunity to take advantage of the drop with gradual entry. Any breach of resistance may push the price to achieve higher targets.
⚠️ Note:
This analysis is just a personal opinion and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Follow the market yourself and make your investment decisions carefully ✅
#btc
ـــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــ
The Bitcoin currency ($BTC ) is considered the leader in the cryptocurrency market and a reference for traders and investors. The current decline may provide an opportunity for gradual buying and taking advantage of the drop, while monitoring support areas and the next movements.
💰 Current price: 101,760 dollars
🔹 Support: 100,000 – 101,200 dollars
🔹 Resistance: 104,000 – 105,500 dollars
🎯 Potential targets:
• First target: 110,000 dollars
• Second target: 115,000 dollars
• Third target: 120,000 dollars
🛑 Stop loss: closing below 99,500 dollars
✨ Technical outlook:
Staying above the current support provides an opportunity to take advantage of the drop with gradual entry. Any breach of resistance may push the price to achieve higher targets.
⚠️ Note:
This analysis is just a personal opinion and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Follow the market yourself and make your investment decisions carefully ✅
#btc
$BTC
A massive whale just opened a high-leverage Long position on Hyperliquid, and the data reveals this is not a retail move — it’s a calculated institutional-level bet.
📊 Position Details:
Exchange: Hyperliquid
Position Type: Long (Perpetual)
Position Value: $12.86M
Account Total Value: $299.77K
Leverage: 42.89x
Position Size: 123.23 BTC
Entry Price: $104,692.10
Liquidation Price: $103,185.29
Unrealized P&L: –$44.87K (–13.96%)
Free Margin: $0 (Fully utilized)
🔍 Quick Analysis:
This whale is betting on a strong BTC rebound from the $104K zone, a region packed with liquidity between $103K–$105K.
Interestingly, the entire margin has been deployed — signaling high conviction, or a “go big or go broke” mindset.
💡 With a $12.8M position, this trade can directly influence short-term liquidity on Hyperliquid. If Bitcoin bounces just above $106K, this position could flip into heavy profit within minutes. But if BTC dips below $103K, liquidation will trigger, likely causing a cascade of forced sells across similar leveraged longs.
In short, this is a bold but surgical Long setup — a whale’s attempt to front-run a reversal while everyone else panics. If it plays out, turning $299K into millions isn’t far-fetched.
💬 Follow for real-time whale tracking, liquidity zone analysis, and entry signals before the market even realizes what’s happening...
$BTC $BTC #btc
A massive whale just opened a high-leverage Long position on Hyperliquid, and the data reveals this is not a retail move — it’s a calculated institutional-level bet.
📊 Position Details:
Exchange: Hyperliquid
Position Type: Long (Perpetual)
Position Value: $12.86M
Account Total Value: $299.77K
Leverage: 42.89x
Position Size: 123.23 BTC
Entry Price: $104,692.10
Liquidation Price: $103,185.29
Unrealized P&L: –$44.87K (–13.96%)
Free Margin: $0 (Fully utilized)
🔍 Quick Analysis:
This whale is betting on a strong BTC rebound from the $104K zone, a region packed with liquidity between $103K–$105K.
Interestingly, the entire margin has been deployed — signaling high conviction, or a “go big or go broke” mindset.
💡 With a $12.8M position, this trade can directly influence short-term liquidity on Hyperliquid. If Bitcoin bounces just above $106K, this position could flip into heavy profit within minutes. But if BTC dips below $103K, liquidation will trigger, likely causing a cascade of forced sells across similar leveraged longs.
In short, this is a bold but surgical Long setup — a whale’s attempt to front-run a reversal while everyone else panics. If it plays out, turning $299K into millions isn’t far-fetched.
💬 Follow for real-time whale tracking, liquidity zone analysis, and entry signals before the market even realizes what’s happening...
$BTC $BTC #btc
See original
🚨 The internal whale of Bitcoin returns and opens a buy order at the bottom! 🚨
That famous wallet known for timing the drops accurately has opened new buy positions on Bitcoin and Ethereum...
📈 Value: approximately 32 million dollars
⚡ Leverage: 3x
🎯 Entry: was at the bottom again 🤯
Does it know something big is coming? Or is this just an advanced game in the market? 🐳🔥
What do you think?
$BTC $ETH #btc #ETH #Whale.Alert #LONG✅
That famous wallet known for timing the drops accurately has opened new buy positions on Bitcoin and Ethereum...
📈 Value: approximately 32 million dollars
⚡ Leverage: 3x
🎯 Entry: was at the bottom again 🤯
Does it know something big is coming? Or is this just an advanced game in the market? 🐳🔥
What do you think?
$BTC $ETH #btc #ETH #Whale.Alert #LONG✅
Im closing my long term trade.. Entered at $1,25,500 every one commented, you will loose it..
From the time when ever im expecting to earn 1X return in a year then im so happy to make profits..
Until you make profits, never risk your capital with higher leverage. Make some profits with patience without risking higher when you get profits, you can risk the profit amount but never your capital amount which earned so hard. $BTC
Never lost any money by trading BTC. #BTCDown100k #btc #MarketPullback
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The pancake rebounds in the evening, first looking at 105500-106650. If it can't break through, it will face a downward movement towards the second or even third target. Pay attention to the breakthrough situation of the second pancake at 3580. If it can't go up, it has to continue going down. The NASDAQ still needs to fill the gap. #btc #ETH
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The bear market is here, everyone go deliver food!!
Finally going to walk the bear, right? The cycles of bull and bear markets in the cryptocurrency world are driven by technological innovation and market sentiment. The hacker incident in 2011 triggered the first crash, and in 2013, the bull market ended due to China's regulatory policies. The ICO boom in 2017 propelled the bull market, but subsequent tightening of regulations led to a collapse. The black swan events of 2022, such as the LUNA crash and the FTX bankruptcy, severely impacted the market. From the historical candlestick charts, regardless of the news, I believe there will always be cycles; it's impossible for prices to keep rising or falling indefinitely. Bitcoin's price has been at a high for quite some time now, so why do so many newcomers think they should buy the dip when it drops a few percent? Have they never seen what a real drop looks like? 🤣🤣#btc $BTC
$BTC
BTC tried to hold the 107k-108k zone but ended up closing below it. Now, the 107k-108k zone may act as strong resistance as long as BTC is trading below it. If the momentum continues, then we may see BTC at the 99k-101k zone before the next move towards a higher level. Also, if BTC reclaims the 107k-108k zone, then we may see bullish momentum continue yet again.
We will try to keep updating accordingly !!!
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
BTC tried to hold the 107k-108k zone but ended up closing below it. Now, the 107k-108k zone may act as strong resistance as long as BTC is trading below it. If the momentum continues, then we may see BTC at the 99k-101k zone before the next move towards a higher level. Also, if BTC reclaims the 107k-108k zone, then we may see bullish momentum continue yet again.
We will try to keep updating accordingly !!!
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
Make Long position on BTC . If you want to survive this moments . #btc
BTCUSDT
Perp
22X
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
-5.45USDT
Markets crash to teach patience. The ones still here today will celebrate the loudest tomorrow.
Buy the dip, now!#btc $BTC
Buy the dip, now!#btc $BTC
BTCUSDT
Perp
10X
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
-7,245.65USDT
Charlie Filsinger aoDB:
Tui đang chờ mail báo cháy đây :))
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