mark.dca
512 Beiträge
mark.dca
DCA advocate. Dollar-cost-averaging works. I buy consistently, weather the storms, and let compound interest do its thing. Boring but profitable. Let's do this together.
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Übersetzung ansehen
Sam Altman's 3 calls on AGI by 2028:
1. Data centers will hold more intelligence than all humans combined
First time in history we're not the smartest thing on the planet.
2. Humans have 2 years of work left
AGI will outperform top CEOs in running companies and top scientists in research. Not assist them. Replace them.
3. Power redistribution incoming
The real question: will a few control AGI, or will it be accessible to everyone?
This isn't sci-fi anymore. The timeline is 2028. Position accordingly.
1. Data centers will hold more intelligence than all humans combined
First time in history we're not the smartest thing on the planet.
2. Humans have 2 years of work left
AGI will outperform top CEOs in running companies and top scientists in research. Not assist them. Replace them.
3. Power redistribution incoming
The real question: will a few control AGI, or will it be accessible to everyone?
This isn't sci-fi anymore. The timeline is 2028. Position accordingly.
Übersetzung ansehen
Sleep on $OUSD and you'll miss the biggest use case play of 2025.
Blackrock ✅
Mastercard ✅
Visa ✅
Coinbase ✅
Stripe ✅
JP Morgan incoming (they always chase Blackrock's shadow in this space)
Meanwhile $CRCL is moving today. Connect the dots.
Blackrock ✅
Mastercard ✅
Visa ✅
Coinbase ✅
Stripe ✅
JP Morgan incoming (they always chase Blackrock's shadow in this space)
Meanwhile $CRCL is moving today. Connect the dots.
Übersetzung ansehen
$BTC holding $58K even with JPMorgan and the White House pushing for regulatory clarity.
Price action says it all—market doesn't care about institutional cheerleading when macro headwinds are this strong. Rate cuts still priced out, liquidity's tight, and ETF inflows have cooled off.
Clarity is bullish long-term, but short-term? We're grinding. Don't confuse narrative with price discovery.
Price action says it all—market doesn't care about institutional cheerleading when macro headwinds are this strong. Rate cuts still priced out, liquidity's tight, and ETF inflows have cooled off.
Clarity is bullish long-term, but short-term? We're grinding. Don't confuse narrative with price discovery.
AI Stock Alpha Drop 🧵
1. Südkorea geht voll degen auf KI — 1,3 T$ über 10 Jahre. Samsung & SK Hynix fressen -1-3% nach der Nachricht. Makro-Play kommt.
2. Speicher & Photonik wird zerschossen: $LITE $COHR $MRVL $MU $SNDK runter 4-8%. Was pumpt, lässt härtere Dumps folgen.
3. $SPCX $TSLA schießen +7% nach Index-Aufnahme. Starlink x Charter $CHTR mobile Kollab bestätigt. Elon bleibt Sieger.
4. $GOOGL +5% nach dem Tausch von $VZ im Dow Jones. Tech-Gewicht in etablierten Indizes steigt. Die Rotation geht weiter.
5. $MSTR Mond +13% — angekündigtes digitales Credit-Framework. Sie verkaufen 20k+ $BTC (~12,5 Mrd. $), um $STRC-Dividenden zu finanzieren. Saylors Spielbuch entwickelt sich.
1. Südkorea geht voll degen auf KI — 1,3 T$ über 10 Jahre. Samsung & SK Hynix fressen -1-3% nach der Nachricht. Makro-Play kommt.
2. Speicher & Photonik wird zerschossen: $LITE $COHR $MRVL $MU $SNDK runter 4-8%. Was pumpt, lässt härtere Dumps folgen.
3. $SPCX $TSLA schießen +7% nach Index-Aufnahme. Starlink x Charter $CHTR mobile Kollab bestätigt. Elon bleibt Sieger.
4. $GOOGL +5% nach dem Tausch von $VZ im Dow Jones. Tech-Gewicht in etablierten Indizes steigt. Die Rotation geht weiter.
5. $MSTR Mond +13% — angekündigtes digitales Credit-Framework. Sie verkaufen 20k+ $BTC (~12,5 Mrd. $), um $STRC-Dividenden zu finanzieren. Saylors Spielbuch entwickelt sich.
Übersetzung ansehen
Binance Japan just announced a major leadership shakeup 🔥
New GM: Arisa stepping in
Chino-san moving to Honorary Chairman & Board Director
This could signal a push for deeper Japan market penetration. Watch how this impacts local liquidity and potential JPY on-ramps for Asian degen flows.
Bullish for $BNB adoption in Japan? 👀
New GM: Arisa stepping in
Chino-san moving to Honorary Chairman & Board Director
This could signal a push for deeper Japan market penetration. Watch how this impacts local liquidity and potential JPY on-ramps for Asian degen flows.
Bullish for $BNB adoption in Japan? 👀
Übersetzung ansehen
$RKLB dropping $8B to acquire satellite comms giant $IRDM — looks like they're gearing up for a direct face-off with $SPCX.
Iridium brings 2.5M users and ~$830M annual revenue. Sure, that's only 1/15th of Starlink's scale, but don't sleep on the OG. Iridium's L-band spectrum gives it edge in weather resistance and polar coverage — areas where Starlink still has gaps.
This isn't just M&A noise. It's a positioning play. $RKLB is betting on niche dominance over mass market spray. Watch how this shifts the satellite infra narrative.
Iridium brings 2.5M users and ~$830M annual revenue. Sure, that's only 1/15th of Starlink's scale, but don't sleep on the OG. Iridium's L-band spectrum gives it edge in weather resistance and polar coverage — areas where Starlink still has gaps.
This isn't just M&A noise. It's a positioning play. $RKLB is betting on niche dominance over mass market spray. Watch how this shifts the satellite infra narrative.
RKLBUS+1,75%
IRDMUS+0,47%
SPCXUS+4,67%
Übersetzung ansehen
AI/Tech Stock Alpha Drop 🧵
$SPCX just got added to Russell 1000. Nasdaq 100 & S&P 500 inclusion incoming — liquidity wave about to hit.
$Ansem ripped to 130M mcap, 708x from bottom. Top holder sitting on $1.1M unrealized. Meanwhile $PUMP down 80%, but Ansem's dropping airdrops to holders anyway. That's conviction.
Samsung & SK Hynix tanked 3-5% today ahead of 1PM announcement: $1.3T joint fab deal. Market's spooked by the capex burn.
Yi Lihua calling the generational bottom: July-Aug window, $43K-$51K range. Says it's the best 3-year entry we'll see.
Geopolitics heating up: Iran droned a Panamanian vessel in the strait, breaking ceasefire. Trump ordered airstrikes in response. Risk-off mode loading.
$SPCX just got added to Russell 1000. Nasdaq 100 & S&P 500 inclusion incoming — liquidity wave about to hit.
$Ansem ripped to 130M mcap, 708x from bottom. Top holder sitting on $1.1M unrealized. Meanwhile $PUMP down 80%, but Ansem's dropping airdrops to holders anyway. That's conviction.
Samsung & SK Hynix tanked 3-5% today ahead of 1PM announcement: $1.3T joint fab deal. Market's spooked by the capex burn.
Yi Lihua calling the generational bottom: July-Aug window, $43K-$51K range. Says it's the best 3-year entry we'll see.
Geopolitics heating up: Iran droned a Panamanian vessel in the strait, breaking ceasefire. Trump ordered airstrikes in response. Risk-off mode loading.
Übersetzung ansehen
The biggest bottleneck right now? HBM, no question.
Musk's Terafab is planning to produce DRAM and HBM too.
Micron's new US fab won't ramp fast though—project hit environmental roadblocks. They need to fill wetlands, reroute streams, protect endangered species. Already got sued by environmental groups and paused 😂
Building a fab in 2025 = nightmare mode
Musk's Terafab is planning to produce DRAM and HBM too.
Micron's new US fab won't ramp fast though—project hit environmental roadblocks. They need to fill wetlands, reroute streams, protect endangered species. Already got sued by environmental groups and paused 😂
Building a fab in 2025 = nightmare mode
Übersetzung ansehen
Musk just dropped a timeline: 30-36 months until AI goes orbital. Mark it.
Here's the thesis:
1. Bottleneck shifts from chips to POWER
Forget $NVDA supply chains. The real constraint? Power plants, transformers, grid infrastructure. Silicon abundance means nothing without juice.
2. Space solar = 5x efficiency vs Earth
Once launch costs crater (Starship economies kicking in), AI datacenters migrate to orbit. Physics don't lie.
3. Within 5 years, majority of NEW AI compute deploys in space
Musk's calling it: annual space-based AI compute will EXCEED all of Earth's historical AI compute combined.
Implications:
- Energy infrastructure plays become critical
- Space logistics/launch providers print
- Terrestrial datacenter REITs? Probably cooked long-term
This isn't sci-fi. This is capex rotation at planetary scale. 30-36 months. Set your reminders.
Here's the thesis:
1. Bottleneck shifts from chips to POWER
Forget $NVDA supply chains. The real constraint? Power plants, transformers, grid infrastructure. Silicon abundance means nothing without juice.
2. Space solar = 5x efficiency vs Earth
Once launch costs crater (Starship economies kicking in), AI datacenters migrate to orbit. Physics don't lie.
3. Within 5 years, majority of NEW AI compute deploys in space
Musk's calling it: annual space-based AI compute will EXCEED all of Earth's historical AI compute combined.
Implications:
- Energy infrastructure plays become critical
- Space logistics/launch providers print
- Terrestrial datacenter REITs? Probably cooked long-term
This isn't sci-fi. This is capex rotation at planetary scale. 30-36 months. Set your reminders.
Übersetzung ansehen
Would you buy $ANSEM?
Simple question. No fluff. What's your conviction level here? Are you aping in or sitting this one out?
Drop your take below 👇
Simple question. No fluff. What's your conviction level here? Are you aping in or sitting this one out?
Drop your take below 👇
Übersetzung ansehen
Altcoin market rn: everyone's complaining while we're literally in the thick of it.
This mentality? Not gonna end well for most.
While you're crying about chop, smart money's positioning. The ones whining loudest are usually the ones who miss the next leg up.
$ANSEM
This mentality? Not gonna end well for most.
While you're crying about chop, smart money's positioning. The ones whining loudest are usually the ones who miss the next leg up.
$ANSEM
Übersetzung ansehen
Altcoin market rn is pure chaos and degens are already complaining 🤡
This never ends well. When retail starts whining before the real pump, you know we're early or about to get rekt harder.
Watch the liquidity. If $BTC dominance keeps climbing while alts bleed, we're not in alt season—we're in alt purgatory.
Position accordingly or get farmed.
This never ends well. When retail starts whining before the real pump, you know we're early or about to get rekt harder.
Watch the liquidity. If $BTC dominance keeps climbing while alts bleed, we're not in alt season—we're in alt purgatory.
Position accordingly or get farmed.
$MU zu $4000? Hier ist die tatsächliche Alpha:
1. Der 25-jährige Rückgang der DRAM-Preise wurde gerade umgekehrt. KI-Verträge steigen um 700% im Jahresvergleich. HBM4-Stacking = ein Mangel an Wafern steht bevor. Die Liefermenge kann nicht mithalten.
2. Die Wettbewerber haben $MU die Krone wieder abgenommen. Speicher macht jetzt 48% der Rechenzentrums-Capex aus, gegenüber 8% im Jahr 2023. GPU-zu-Vera-Rubin-Speicherkosten steigen um 435%. Samsung & SK Hynix stellen auf HBM um = Micron gewinnt auf beiden Seiten.
3. Margen nähern sich 90%. Q3 übertrifft die Prognose um 800 Mio. $, 85% Bruttomarge. Q4 prognostiziert 50 Mrd. $ Umsatz, 86% Marge. Die FY2027-EPS-Schätzungen werden gerade kräftig nach oben angepasst. Bei 35x PE ist $4000 kein Meme.
1. Der 25-jährige Rückgang der DRAM-Preise wurde gerade umgekehrt. KI-Verträge steigen um 700% im Jahresvergleich. HBM4-Stacking = ein Mangel an Wafern steht bevor. Die Liefermenge kann nicht mithalten.
2. Die Wettbewerber haben $MU die Krone wieder abgenommen. Speicher macht jetzt 48% der Rechenzentrums-Capex aus, gegenüber 8% im Jahr 2023. GPU-zu-Vera-Rubin-Speicherkosten steigen um 435%. Samsung & SK Hynix stellen auf HBM um = Micron gewinnt auf beiden Seiten.
3. Margen nähern sich 90%. Q3 übertrifft die Prognose um 800 Mio. $, 85% Bruttomarge. Q4 prognostiziert 50 Mrd. $ Umsatz, 86% Marge. Die FY2027-EPS-Schätzungen werden gerade kräftig nach oben angepasst. Bei 35x PE ist $4000 kein Meme.
MUonAlpha
MUUS-0,59%
Übersetzung ansehen
Technically worst case $30k on $BTC but somehow looks too obvious
I have my own doubts
I have my own doubts
Übersetzung ansehen
AI & Tech Alpha Drop 🧵
SpaceX joining Nasdaq-100 on July 7th. $SPCX tracking $80B inflows first month, $300B passive total. S&P 500 entry by '27.
OpenAI drops 3 new models: GPT-5.6 Sol, Terra & Luna. Hard geo-fence on China access per Trump regs. They're paranoid about model distillation leaks.
Musk flagging memory chip shortage for 2-3 years. Robotaxi + Optimus + Dojo demand exploding. Terafab ramping HBM & DRAM capacity NOW.
Anthropic's Mythos model live but gated to ~100 US orgs only. China & Russia blacklisted.
Former Google/YouTube tech lead Patrick just rage-quit crypto. Liquidated all $BTC after getting rekt on high leverage. Full exit.
SpaceX joining Nasdaq-100 on July 7th. $SPCX tracking $80B inflows first month, $300B passive total. S&P 500 entry by '27.
OpenAI drops 3 new models: GPT-5.6 Sol, Terra & Luna. Hard geo-fence on China access per Trump regs. They're paranoid about model distillation leaks.
Musk flagging memory chip shortage for 2-3 years. Robotaxi + Optimus + Dojo demand exploding. Terafab ramping HBM & DRAM capacity NOW.
Anthropic's Mythos model live but gated to ~100 US orgs only. China & Russia blacklisted.
Former Google/YouTube tech lead Patrick just rage-quit crypto. Liquidated all $BTC after getting rekt on high leverage. Full exit.
Übersetzung ansehen
Tom Lee calling the bottom—here's the play:
1. Crypto today = memory chips (Micron/SK Hynix) in 2024-25
Memory stocks were dead money through 2024-25, sideways forever. Then 2026 hit—AI demand exploded, stocks ripped.
2. Crypto is at that exact inflection point
2026 looks weak on the surface, but fundamentals haven't changed. This is the accumulation phase before the breakout.
3. Tokenization is accelerating
More TradFi institutions adopting blockchain infrastructure. When liquidity flows back in, this could mirror the memory chip supercycle.
TL;DR: If you believe in the infrastructure thesis, this is your entry. Market structure > short-term noise.
1. Crypto today = memory chips (Micron/SK Hynix) in 2024-25
Memory stocks were dead money through 2024-25, sideways forever. Then 2026 hit—AI demand exploded, stocks ripped.
2. Crypto is at that exact inflection point
2026 looks weak on the surface, but fundamentals haven't changed. This is the accumulation phase before the breakout.
3. Tokenization is accelerating
More TradFi institutions adopting blockchain infrastructure. When liquidity flows back in, this could mirror the memory chip supercycle.
TL;DR: If you believe in the infrastructure thesis, this is your entry. Market structure > short-term noise.
MUonAlpha
MUUS-0,59%
Übersetzung ansehen
FTX unlock hitting in July and degens are trying to pump $SOL season right now?
This is peak exit liquidity behavior. 🤮
That unlock is gonna dump on everyone who's buying these tops. Don't be the one holding bags when those tokens flood the market.
This is peak exit liquidity behavior. 🤮
That unlock is gonna dump on everyone who's buying these tops. Don't be the one holding bags when those tokens flood the market.
Übersetzung ansehen
Ansem calling it: $SOL ran $20 → $297 last cycle.
This time? $60 → $600.
The bet: Solana will birth a Hyperliquid-level killer app.
A-shares by day. US equities at night. Sports betting past midnight. Crypto on weekends.
If you're not printing with this degen schedule, who is?
This time? $60 → $600.
The bet: Solana will birth a Hyperliquid-level killer app.
A-shares by day. US equities at night. Sports betting past midnight. Crypto on weekends.
If you're not printing with this degen schedule, who is?
Übersetzung ansehen
Why I'd bet on SpaceX over OpenAI or Anthropic?
Simple. SpaceX is still underpriced by consensus.
Most people still don't get it.
Anthropic? Enterprise AI wrapper. That's it.
OpenAI? Consumer AI play with ChatGPT. Single revenue stream.
SpaceX? Multi-vector empire:
• Rocket launches (monopoly-tier margins)
• Starlink (global internet infra)
• xAI integration (data + compute at scale)
• Space tourism (luxury TAM)
• Space manufacturing (zero-G production)
• Resource mining (asteroid economics)
• Mars colonization (generational narrative)
More optionality. More asymmetric upside. More conviction.
Simple. SpaceX is still underpriced by consensus.
Most people still don't get it.
Anthropic? Enterprise AI wrapper. That's it.
OpenAI? Consumer AI play with ChatGPT. Single revenue stream.
SpaceX? Multi-vector empire:
• Rocket launches (monopoly-tier margins)
• Starlink (global internet infra)
• xAI integration (data + compute at scale)
• Space tourism (luxury TAM)
• Space manufacturing (zero-G production)
• Resource mining (asteroid economics)
• Mars colonization (generational narrative)
More optionality. More asymmetric upside. More conviction.
OPENAI-0,75%
SPCXUS+4,67%
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