polymarket
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ترجمة
Polymarket is where narratives trade first.
▸ 250–500k monthly traders
▸ 17M+ monthly visits
▸ On track for ~$18B in volume in 2025
No KYC
Just connect Phantom or MetaMask and start trading real-world outcomes across politics, AI, sports, culture, and more.
People who understand events early can outperform.
#polymarket
▸ 250–500k monthly traders
▸ 17M+ monthly visits
▸ On track for ~$18B in volume in 2025
No KYC
Just connect Phantom or MetaMask and start trading real-world outcomes across politics, AI, sports, culture, and more.
People who understand events early can outperform.
#polymarket
JEENNA:
🔥🔥
ترجمة
𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐲𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐌𝐨𝐧𝐞𝐭𝐢𝐳𝐞𝐬 𝐆𝐥𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐥 𝐍𝐚𝐫𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬
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Polymarket has evolved into the ultimate real-time information layer, capturing the pulse of every major global event before it hits mainstream news. It transforms headlines into liquid markets where users directly capitalize on their understanding of unfolding narratives.
From high-stakes geopolitical shifts to viral pop culture moments, the platform aggregates diverse signals into a single, tradable ecosystem. This is where news turns into price action, allowing traders to profit from their foresight on critical topics.
The platform's true power lies in monetizing specific knowledge across any vertical, whether it is AI advancements, sports outcomes, or economic policy. Users are not limited to standard financial assets; they can leverage deep expertise in niche sectors to gain a distinct trading edge.
This flexibility creates a unique environment where a music industry insider or a tech enthusiast can outperform by trading on what they know best. With millions of visitors and high liquidity, the platform proves that specialized insight is valuable.
#poly #polymarket
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Polymarket has evolved into the ultimate real-time information layer, capturing the pulse of every major global event before it hits mainstream news. It transforms headlines into liquid markets where users directly capitalize on their understanding of unfolding narratives.
From high-stakes geopolitical shifts to viral pop culture moments, the platform aggregates diverse signals into a single, tradable ecosystem. This is where news turns into price action, allowing traders to profit from their foresight on critical topics.
The platform's true power lies in monetizing specific knowledge across any vertical, whether it is AI advancements, sports outcomes, or economic policy. Users are not limited to standard financial assets; they can leverage deep expertise in niche sectors to gain a distinct trading edge.
This flexibility creates a unique environment where a music industry insider or a tech enthusiast can outperform by trading on what they know best. With millions of visitors and high liquidity, the platform proves that specialized insight is valuable.
#poly #polymarket
ترجمة
𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐲𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐌𝐨𝐧𝐞𝐭𝐢𝐳𝐞𝐬 𝐆𝐥𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐥 𝐍𝐚𝐫𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬
-
Polymarket has evolved into the ultimate real-time information layer, capturing the pulse of every major global event before it hits mainstream news. It transforms headlines into liquid markets where users directly capitalize on their understanding of unfolding narratives.
From high-stakes geopolitical shifts to viral pop culture moments, the platform aggregates diverse signals into a single, tradable ecosystem. This is where news turns into price action, allowing traders to profit from their foresight on critical topics.
The platform's true power lies in monetizing specific knowledge across any vertical, whether it is AI advancements, sports outcomes, or economic policy. Users are not limited to standard financial assets; they can leverage deep expertise in niche sectors to gain a distinct trading edge.
This flexibility creates a unique environment where a music industry insider or a tech enthusiast can outperform by trading on what they know best. With millions of visitors and high liquidity, the platform proves that specialized insight is valuable.
#poly #polymarket
-
Polymarket has evolved into the ultimate real-time information layer, capturing the pulse of every major global event before it hits mainstream news. It transforms headlines into liquid markets where users directly capitalize on their understanding of unfolding narratives.
From high-stakes geopolitical shifts to viral pop culture moments, the platform aggregates diverse signals into a single, tradable ecosystem. This is where news turns into price action, allowing traders to profit from their foresight on critical topics.
The platform's true power lies in monetizing specific knowledge across any vertical, whether it is AI advancements, sports outcomes, or economic policy. Users are not limited to standard financial assets; they can leverage deep expertise in niche sectors to gain a distinct trading edge.
This flexibility creates a unique environment where a music industry insider or a tech enthusiast can outperform by trading on what they know best. With millions of visitors and high liquidity, the platform proves that specialized insight is valuable.
#poly #polymarket
ترجمة
一个挺有意思的数据。
去年在 Polymarket 上，居然有用户围绕「耶稣基督是否会再次降临」这个问题，累计下注了 330 万美元。
更离谱的是收益结果：
4 月份选择“不会发生”的那一侧，最后算下来，年化收益大约 5.5%。
你说这是信仰问题吧，它又被做成了金融产品；
你说是玩笑吧，参与的人还真不少，收益也不算低。
预测市场有时候就是这样：
看起来荒诞，但本质上，大家押的从来不是答案本身，而是共识的方向。#polymarket
去年在 Polymarket 上，居然有用户围绕「耶稣基督是否会再次降临」这个问题，累计下注了 330 万美元。
更离谱的是收益结果：
4 月份选择“不会发生”的那一侧，最后算下来，年化收益大约 5.5%。
你说这是信仰问题吧，它又被做成了金融产品；
你说是玩笑吧，参与的人还真不少，收益也不算低。
预测市场有时候就是这样：
看起来荒诞，但本质上，大家押的从来不是答案本身，而是共识的方向。#polymarket
ترجمة
Polymarket $18B Volume IMPENDING 🤯
Polymarket is the narrative engine. This platform captures market narratives before they hit the charts. Massive user engagement proves it. 250k+ monthly traders. 17M+ monthly visits. This is predicting nearly $18B in volume by 2025. Real-world outcomes drive alpha. Politics, AI, culture. Early access is the edge. No KYC needed. Connect Phantom or MetaMask. Frictionless access fuels rapid adoption. This is the future of market intelligence.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#Polymarket #CryptoAlpha #DeFi 🚀
Polymarket is the narrative engine. This platform captures market narratives before they hit the charts. Massive user engagement proves it. 250k+ monthly traders. 17M+ monthly visits. This is predicting nearly $18B in volume by 2025. Real-world outcomes drive alpha. Politics, AI, culture. Early access is the edge. No KYC needed. Connect Phantom or MetaMask. Frictionless access fuels rapid adoption. This is the future of market intelligence.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#Polymarket #CryptoAlpha #DeFi 🚀
ترجمة
Polymarket: $18B VOLUME IMPENDING 🤯
This isn't just a platform. It's the narrative engine. Polymarket captures market sentiment before it explodes. 250k+ monthly traders. 17M+ monthly visits. This is massive growth. Volume projected to hit $18B by 2025. Get ahead of the curve. Understand real-world outcomes first. Politics, AI, culture. The edge is here. Zero KYC. Connect Phantom or MetaMask. Frictionless adoption is fueling this rocket.
#Polymarket #CryptoAlpha #DeFi 🚀
This isn't just a platform. It's the narrative engine. Polymarket captures market sentiment before it explodes. 250k+ monthly traders. 17M+ monthly visits. This is massive growth. Volume projected to hit $18B by 2025. Get ahead of the curve. Understand real-world outcomes first. Politics, AI, culture. The edge is here. Zero KYC. Connect Phantom or MetaMask. Frictionless adoption is fueling this rocket.
#Polymarket #CryptoAlpha #DeFi 🚀
ترجمة
POLYMARTKET EXPLOSION IMMINENT $18 BILLION VOLUME COMING
250k+ traders are already here. 17M+ visits monthly. 2025 volume on track for $18 BILLION. This is where narratives break first. No KYC needed. Connect Phantom or MetaMask. Trade politics, AI, sports, culture. Get ahead of the curve. Outperform the market. Act now before it's too late.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk.
#Polymarket #Crypto #Trading #FOMO 🚀
250k+ traders are already here. 17M+ visits monthly. 2025 volume on track for $18 BILLION. This is where narratives break first. No KYC needed. Connect Phantom or MetaMask. Trade politics, AI, sports, culture. Get ahead of the curve. Outperform the market. Act now before it's too late.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk.
#Polymarket #Crypto #Trading #FOMO 🚀
ترجمة
Tennessee orders Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com to halt sports event contracts
#Tennessee ’s sports betting regulator has issued cease-and-desist letters to #Kalshi , #Polymarket and #Cryptocom , directing the platforms to stop offering sports event contracts to state residents.
The Sports Wagering Council argued the products qualify as unlicensed sports wagering under state law and ordered the companies to void existing contracts and refund Tennessee users by Jan. 31, 2026.
#Tennessee ’s sports betting regulator has issued cease-and-desist letters to #Kalshi , #Polymarket and #Cryptocom , directing the platforms to stop offering sports event contracts to state residents.
The Sports Wagering Council argued the products qualify as unlicensed sports wagering under state law and ordered the companies to void existing contracts and refund Tennessee users by Jan. 31, 2026.
ترجمة
Polymarket Just Unleashed THE NEXT 1000X PLATFORM TOKEN.
250k+ ACTIVE TRADERS MONTHLY. 17M+ SITE VISITS. $18 BILLION PROJECTED VOLUME FOR 2025. This is not a drill. $POLYX token is launching. Early adopters are not just trading markets; they are capturing future platform value. Web3 information moves at lightspeed. Polymarket moves FASTER. This is your moment.
DYOR. Not financial advice.
#Polymarket #Web3 #CryptoGems #PlatformToken 🚀
250k+ ACTIVE TRADERS MONTHLY. 17M+ SITE VISITS. $18 BILLION PROJECTED VOLUME FOR 2025. This is not a drill. $POLYX token is launching. Early adopters are not just trading markets; they are capturing future platform value. Web3 information moves at lightspeed. Polymarket moves FASTER. This is your moment.
DYOR. Not financial advice.
#Polymarket #Web3 #CryptoGems #PlatformToken 🚀
ترجمة
Alpha Daily 09/01/2026: Versus Prediction
Versus is a competitive social layer built on top of existing prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi.
Instead of anonymous bets, Versus turns predictions into direct challenges between people head-to-head matchups on real world events where status, rivalry, and reputation matter as much as being right.
What Versus is about:
🟣 1v1 challenges on real events (politics, sports, macro, etc.)
🟣 Picking an opponent, setting stakes, and sending a challenge
🟣 Predictions become personal competitions, not passive positions
🟣 Focus on status and wins, not just PnL
While traditional prediction markets are accurate but impersonal, Versus adds a social game layer making outcomes public, competitive, and identity driven.
Product direction:
🟣 Live events feed
🟣 Simple challenge creation (amount, opponent, confirmation)
🟣 Dark, game like UI built around competition
🟣 Designed to sit on top of existing liquidity, not replace it
Versus positions itself as a way to humanize prediction markets, turning them into something closer to skill-based competition than silent trading.
Updates and demos are shared via @predictionversus on X.
Early stage, no standalone market or site yet but if you’re tracking prediction markets, social trading layers, or competitive DeFi primitives, this is a very clean watchlist project.
#predictons #polymarket
Versus is a competitive social layer built on top of existing prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi.
Instead of anonymous bets, Versus turns predictions into direct challenges between people head-to-head matchups on real world events where status, rivalry, and reputation matter as much as being right.
What Versus is about:
🟣 1v1 challenges on real events (politics, sports, macro, etc.)
🟣 Picking an opponent, setting stakes, and sending a challenge
🟣 Predictions become personal competitions, not passive positions
🟣 Focus on status and wins, not just PnL
While traditional prediction markets are accurate but impersonal, Versus adds a social game layer making outcomes public, competitive, and identity driven.
Product direction:
🟣 Live events feed
🟣 Simple challenge creation (amount, opponent, confirmation)
🟣 Dark, game like UI built around competition
🟣 Designed to sit on top of existing liquidity, not replace it
Versus positions itself as a way to humanize prediction markets, turning them into something closer to skill-based competition than silent trading.
Updates and demos are shared via @predictionversus on X.
Early stage, no standalone market or site yet but if you’re tracking prediction markets, social trading layers, or competitive DeFi primitives, this is a very clean watchlist project.
#predictons #polymarket
Web3 Daily Research
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صاعد
Alpha Daily 08/01/2026: VApps
Description: incubated by BaseICCM
Segment: AI / Launchpad
Network: Base
VApps: an under-the-radar project coming from BaseICCM.
There are rumors that VApps could become a launchpad for vibe coders nothing confirmed yet, but the direction fits Base’s current builder narrative.
Why it’s worth watching:
🔵 Strong execution history from BaseICCM
🔵 Successful NFT mint via Interniccm
🔵 A wide range of high-quality partnerships
🔵 Clear alignment with Base native builder culture
So far, there’s no public product, no detailed docs, and no formal announcement, this is pure early signal, not a launched platform.
That said, given BaseICCM’s track record, VApps feels like a project you don’t want to miss early.
No assumptions.
Just follow and wait for confirmation.
#Base #Aİ #AILaunchpad
Description: incubated by BaseICCM
Segment: AI / Launchpad
Network: Base
VApps: an under-the-radar project coming from BaseICCM.
There are rumors that VApps could become a launchpad for vibe coders nothing confirmed yet, but the direction fits Base’s current builder narrative.
Why it’s worth watching:
🔵 Strong execution history from BaseICCM
🔵 Successful NFT mint via Interniccm
🔵 A wide range of high-quality partnerships
🔵 Clear alignment with Base native builder culture
So far, there’s no public product, no detailed docs, and no formal announcement, this is pure early signal, not a launched platform.
That said, given BaseICCM’s track record, VApps feels like a project you don’t want to miss early.
No assumptions.
Just follow and wait for confirmation.
#Base #Aİ #AILaunchpad
ترجمة
Polymarket Under Fire: Tennessee Issues First State Order Against Prediction Markets
📅 January 10 | United States
Polymarket's return to the United States was just beginning to take shape when it received its first direct blow from the states. What for years was presented as a technical battle between federal regulators and crypto platforms is now escalating to much more dangerous territory: state criminal law.
📖The Tennessee Sports Wagering Council (SWC) issued cease and desist orders on January 9 against Polymarket, Kalshi, and Crypto.com's North American Derivatives Exchange, escalating the national clash between state gambling authorities and federally regulated event contract platforms.
According to The Block, the regulator is requiring the three platforms to immediately suspend offering sports contracts to Tennessee residents, void all existing contracts, and refund user deposits by January 31, 2026. In her letter to Polymarket, SWC Executive Director Mary Beth Thomas stated that these products pose “an immediate and significant threat to the public interest” of the state by failing to comply with the protections required by state law.
The regulatory clash occurs despite the fact that all three platforms are registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as designated contract markets, a federal designation that, according to the companies, allows them to operate nationally without being subject to state gambling licenses. However, this interpretation has yielded mixed results in federal courts, leaving the legal landscape far from settled.
The case is especially delicate for Polymarket, which recently re-entered the US market after acquiring the exchange and clearinghouse QCX for $112 million. Although the platform has not yet publicly relaunched its app in the US, it had already begun enabling access for users on a waiting list and, for now, only offers domestic sports contracts.
Topic Opinion:
This is no longer just a regulatory debate, but a direct clash between two power models: states defending their monopoly on gambling and federal platforms presenting themselves as financial infrastructure.
💬 Are we witnessing the beginning of the end for Polymarket in the US?
Leave your comment...
#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #CFTC #BTC #CryptoNews $BTC
Polymarket's return to the United States was just beginning to take shape when it received its first direct blow from the states. What for years was presented as a technical battle between federal regulators and crypto platforms is now escalating to much more dangerous territory: state criminal law.
📖The Tennessee Sports Wagering Council (SWC) issued cease and desist orders on January 9 against Polymarket, Kalshi, and Crypto.com's North American Derivatives Exchange, escalating the national clash between state gambling authorities and federally regulated event contract platforms.
According to The Block, the regulator is requiring the three platforms to immediately suspend offering sports contracts to Tennessee residents, void all existing contracts, and refund user deposits by January 31, 2026. In her letter to Polymarket, SWC Executive Director Mary Beth Thomas stated that these products pose “an immediate and significant threat to the public interest” of the state by failing to comply with the protections required by state law.
The regulatory clash occurs despite the fact that all three platforms are registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as designated contract markets, a federal designation that, according to the companies, allows them to operate nationally without being subject to state gambling licenses. However, this interpretation has yielded mixed results in federal courts, leaving the legal landscape far from settled.
The case is especially delicate for Polymarket, which recently re-entered the US market after acquiring the exchange and clearinghouse QCX for $112 million. Although the platform has not yet publicly relaunched its app in the US, it had already begun enabling access for users on a waiting list and, for now, only offers domestic sports contracts.
Topic Opinion:
This is no longer just a regulatory debate, but a direct clash between two power models: states defending their monopoly on gambling and federal platforms presenting themselves as financial infrastructure.
💬 Are we witnessing the beginning of the end for Polymarket in the US?
Leave your comment...
#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #CFTC #BTC #CryptoNews $BTC
ترجمة
🇺🇸 DONALD TRUMP SAYS:
WE ARE GOING TO END THE TAX ON ALL GAMBLING WINNINGS!
YOU WIN ON #POLYMARKET , YOU KEEP THE #CASH .
- NO MORE IRS
- NO MORE TAXES
IT’S YOUR #MONEY , NOT THEIRS 🔥
WE ARE GOING TO END THE TAX ON ALL GAMBLING WINNINGS!
YOU WIN ON #POLYMARKET , YOU KEEP THE #CASH .
- NO MORE IRS
- NO MORE TAXES
IT’S YOUR #MONEY , NOT THEIRS 🔥
ترجمة
加密市场又一历史时刻
在我看来，这件事的分量，已经足够写进加密行业的发展年表。
2026 年 1 月 8 日，道琼斯公司正式宣布：
旗下《华尔街日报》与 Polymarket 达成独家预测市场合作关系。
随后，彭博社、金融时报等顶级财经媒体也相继报道了这一消息。
这不是一次普通的“出圈”，
而可能是预测市场乃至整个加密行业，迄今为止最重要的一次主流融合事件。
⸻
过去很长一段时间里，加密公司与传统世界的合作，大多停留在“花钱买曝光”的层面。
逻辑很简单：
你有钱，我给你流量，但彼此的业务并不真正发生关系。
类似的案例并不少见：
• Polkadot 曾豪掷千万美元赞助梅西所在的迈阿密国际
• Crypto.com 斥资约 7 亿美元，拿下湖人主场的冠名权
这些合作足够吸睛，却很难改变传统金融对加密行业的根本认知。
但 Polymarket 这次不一样。
⸻
这次合作的本质，是业务层面的深度融合。
首先，Polymarket 的角色发生了变化：
它不再是“赞助方”，而是数据提供方。
《华尔街日报》引用 Polymarket 的预测结果，是为了获取具备新闻与金融价值的市场数据。
这意味着什么？
意味着加密市场中，由真实资金博弈产生的数据，第一次被主流财经媒体视为与股票、债券同等级别的金融信号。
其次，是信誉背书。
道琼斯体系以审慎、保守著称，合作门槛极高。
被接纳，本身就意味着 Polymarket 通过了极其严格的合规与尽职调查。
⸻
放在整个行业历史中看，
能与全球顶级、非 Crypto 机构在业务或数据层面实现深度集成的项目，其实屈指可数。
同一量级的案例，可能只有：
• Chainlink 与 SWIFT（环球银行金融电信协会）的跨链互操作性实验
• Coinbase 接入 BlackRock 的 Aladdin 系统，为机构资金提供加密资产服务
而 Polymarket，如今站在了同一张桌子上。
⸻
这次合作，真正打开的是想象空间。
它向外界证明了一件长期被忽视的事实：
Web3 并不只是在制造资产泡沫。
在真实资金、真实激励下形成的预测市场，
可以为现实世界提供一种高度有效、去偏见的未来事件定价机制。
当这种定价被华尔街接受，
预测市场，已经不再只是加密圈的“边缘玩法”了。
#预测市场将如何发展？ #Polymarket
2026 年 1 月 8 日，道琼斯公司正式宣布：
旗下《华尔街日报》与 Polymarket 达成独家预测市场合作关系。
随后，彭博社、金融时报等顶级财经媒体也相继报道了这一消息。
这不是一次普通的“出圈”，
而可能是预测市场乃至整个加密行业，迄今为止最重要的一次主流融合事件。
⸻
过去很长一段时间里，加密公司与传统世界的合作，大多停留在“花钱买曝光”的层面。
逻辑很简单：
你有钱，我给你流量，但彼此的业务并不真正发生关系。
类似的案例并不少见：
• Polkadot 曾豪掷千万美元赞助梅西所在的迈阿密国际
• Crypto.com 斥资约 7 亿美元，拿下湖人主场的冠名权
这些合作足够吸睛，却很难改变传统金融对加密行业的根本认知。
但 Polymarket 这次不一样。
⸻
这次合作的本质，是业务层面的深度融合。
首先，Polymarket 的角色发生了变化：
它不再是“赞助方”，而是数据提供方。
《华尔街日报》引用 Polymarket 的预测结果，是为了获取具备新闻与金融价值的市场数据。
这意味着什么？
意味着加密市场中，由真实资金博弈产生的数据，第一次被主流财经媒体视为与股票、债券同等级别的金融信号。
其次，是信誉背书。
道琼斯体系以审慎、保守著称，合作门槛极高。
被接纳，本身就意味着 Polymarket 通过了极其严格的合规与尽职调查。
⸻
放在整个行业历史中看，
能与全球顶级、非 Crypto 机构在业务或数据层面实现深度集成的项目，其实屈指可数。
同一量级的案例，可能只有：
• Chainlink 与 SWIFT（环球银行金融电信协会）的跨链互操作性实验
• Coinbase 接入 BlackRock 的 Aladdin 系统，为机构资金提供加密资产服务
而 Polymarket，如今站在了同一张桌子上。
⸻
这次合作，真正打开的是想象空间。
它向外界证明了一件长期被忽视的事实：
Web3 并不只是在制造资产泡沫。
在真实资金、真实激励下形成的预测市场，
可以为现实世界提供一种高度有效、去偏见的未来事件定价机制。
当这种定价被华尔街接受，
预测市场，已经不再只是加密圈的“边缘玩法”了。
#预测市场将如何发展？ #Polymarket
ترجمة
🇺🇸 美国拟立法禁止官员利用政治预测市场获利：因有人靠“马杜罗下台”净赚 40 选票 $400k
由于预测市场（如 Polymarket）的火爆，华盛顿的官员们可能要和这项“赚外快”的生意说再见了。众议员里奇·托雷斯（Ritchie Torres）正式提交了《2026年预测市场公共诚信保护法案》。
重点摘要：
起因： 一名用户在 Polymarket 上押注委内瑞拉总统马杜罗（Maduro）下台，最终精准获利超过 40 万美元。这引发了监管层对“内幕信息交易”的强烈担忧。法案核心： 严禁联邦民选官员及政府工作人员在预测市场上交易政治合同。支持率： 目前已有超过 30 名民主党众议员联署支持。
为什么值得关注？
打击内幕交易： 决策者拥有普通人接触不到的非公开信息（Non-public information）。如果他们一边制定外交政策，一边在链上押注，这无异于开了“上帝视角”割韭菜。Polymarket 的合规压力： 预测市场已成为 2024-2025 年加密行业最大的黑马，但其带来的监管挑战也愈发尖锐。
思考：
当政客们被禁止参与预测市场，这究竟是维护了公平，还是说明预测市场的准确性已经让传统权力机构感到“害怕”了？
你认为这项禁令能阻止内幕交易吗？还是官员们会通过匿名钱包继续操作？ 👇
#Polymarket #加密货币监管 #内幕交易 #预测市场 #热门话题
由于预测市场（如 Polymarket）的火爆，华盛顿的官员们可能要和这项“赚外快”的生意说再见了。众议员里奇·托雷斯（Ritchie Torres）正式提交了《2026年预测市场公共诚信保护法案》。
重点摘要：
起因： 一名用户在 Polymarket 上押注委内瑞拉总统马杜罗（Maduro）下台，最终精准获利超过 40 万美元。这引发了监管层对“内幕信息交易”的强烈担忧。法案核心： 严禁联邦民选官员及政府工作人员在预测市场上交易政治合同。支持率： 目前已有超过 30 名民主党众议员联署支持。
为什么值得关注？
打击内幕交易： 决策者拥有普通人接触不到的非公开信息（Non-public information）。如果他们一边制定外交政策，一边在链上押注，这无异于开了“上帝视角”割韭菜。Polymarket 的合规压力： 预测市场已成为 2024-2025 年加密行业最大的黑马，但其带来的监管挑战也愈发尖锐。
思考：
当政客们被禁止参与预测市场，这究竟是维护了公平，还是说明预测市场的准确性已经让传统权力机构感到“害怕”了？
你认为这项禁令能阻止内幕交易吗？还是官员们会通过匿名钱包继续操作？ 👇
#Polymarket #加密货币监管 #内幕交易 #预测市场 #热门话题
ترجمة
$SOL $GOAT Ganador apuesta por el colapso del régimen iraní 🚨
Un trader que anteriormente obtuvo una ganancia de 2,07 millones de dólares en $GOAT ha creado una nueva billetera, "captainbigballs", en Polymarket, y ha realizado una apuesta geopolítica de alto riesgo.
La billetera gastó aproximadamente 10,5 mil dólares apostando SÍ a la pregunta: "¿Caerá el régimen iraní antes del 31 de enero?"
En el momento de la apuesta, el mercado valoraba la probabilidad de ese resultado en solo un 14 %, lo que indica una postura agresiva y contraria a la opinión general, más que una visión consensuada.
La posición se construyó mediante múltiples compras en un corto período de tiempo, lo que indica convicción, no experimentación.
El rastreo en cadena muestra que los fondos provienen de una billetera que anteriormente obtuvo 2,07 millones de dólares en #GOAT , vinculando directamente esta apuesta en Polymarket con un trader comprobado y altamente rentable.
Hasta ahora, la posición está ligeramente por debajo del punto de equilibrio, pero sigue intacta.
¿Se trata simplemente de otra apuesta arriesgada y asimétrica de un trader de alto riesgo, o es una señal digna de atención a medida que se acerca enero? 👀🛑
#Polymarket #SmartMoney
Un trader que anteriormente obtuvo una ganancia de 2,07 millones de dólares en $GOAT ha creado una nueva billetera, "captainbigballs", en Polymarket, y ha realizado una apuesta geopolítica de alto riesgo.
La billetera gastó aproximadamente 10,5 mil dólares apostando SÍ a la pregunta: "¿Caerá el régimen iraní antes del 31 de enero?"
En el momento de la apuesta, el mercado valoraba la probabilidad de ese resultado en solo un 14 %, lo que indica una postura agresiva y contraria a la opinión general, más que una visión consensuada.
La posición se construyó mediante múltiples compras en un corto período de tiempo, lo que indica convicción, no experimentación.
El rastreo en cadena muestra que los fondos provienen de una billetera que anteriormente obtuvo 2,07 millones de dólares en #GOAT , vinculando directamente esta apuesta en Polymarket con un trader comprobado y altamente rentable.
Hasta ahora, la posición está ligeramente por debajo del punto de equilibrio, pero sigue intacta.
¿Se trata simplemente de otra apuesta arriesgada y asimétrica de un trader de alto riesgo, o es una señal digna de atención a medida que se acerca enero? 👀🛑
#Polymarket #SmartMoney
ترجمة
🔥 BREAKING: Dow Jones Partners With Polymarket
Dow Jones & Company has officially named Polymarket as its exclusive market-forecasting partner across The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, and MarketWatch. $BTC
The partnership signals a major step toward integrating prediction markets into mainstream financial media, $LINK highlighting growing confidence in crowd-sourced probability markets as a tool for gauging economic, political, and market outcomes in real time.$ZEC
#DowJones #polymarket #FOMCWatch
Dow Jones & Company has officially named Polymarket as its exclusive market-forecasting partner across The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, and MarketWatch. $BTC
The partnership signals a major step toward integrating prediction markets into mainstream financial media, $LINK highlighting growing confidence in crowd-sourced probability markets as a tool for gauging economic, political, and market outcomes in real time.$ZEC
#DowJones #polymarket #FOMCWatch
ترجمة
GM Binancians,
According to many data sources these are the most traded niche on Polymarket in 2025 YTD
With ~$21.5B cumulative across:
• 🏈 Sports: 39% → $8.4B (highest)
• 🏛️ Politics: 34% → $7.3B (event-driven spikes)
• 🪙 Crypto: 18% → $3.9B (degens)
Why sports wins?
Because of nonstop events like (NFL, NBA, soccer, etc), deep liquidity, tight spreads & perfect for short-term trades, arbitrage opportunity., & High Frequency edges.
If you’re trading prediction markets purely off data, sports > everything else.
Volume doesn’t lie, with sports as king.
#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets
According to many data sources these are the most traded niche on Polymarket in 2025 YTD
With ~$21.5B cumulative across:
• 🏈 Sports: 39% → $8.4B (highest)
• 🏛️ Politics: 34% → $7.3B (event-driven spikes)
• 🪙 Crypto: 18% → $3.9B (degens)
Why sports wins?
Because of nonstop events like (NFL, NBA, soccer, etc), deep liquidity, tight spreads & perfect for short-term trades, arbitrage opportunity., & High Frequency edges.
If you’re trading prediction markets purely off data, sports > everything else.
Volume doesn’t lie, with sports as king.
#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets
ترجمة
Дослідники: За переможним акаунтом на Polymarket може стояти спецпредставник Трампа.
Недавні дослідження виявили надзвичайно цікавий зв'язок між акаунтом, який виграв значну суму на децентралізованій платформі прогнозів Polymarket, та спецпредставником Дональда Трампа. Це відкриття викликало неабиякий резонанс у політичних та крипто-колах, адже може свідчити про несподівані маніпуляції або інсайдерську інформацію в контексті політичних ставок.
Polymarket — це платформа, де користувачі роблять ставки на результат майбутніх подій, від виборів до економічних показників. Акаунт, про який йдеться, зробив надзвичайно точні прогнози щодо низки політичних подій, що призвело до значних виграшів. Дослідники, аналізуючи дані блокчейну та пов’язані з ними цифрові сліди, припустили, що цей акаунт може належати або бути пов'язаним з особою, наближеною до колишнього президента США Дональда Трампа.
Ця ситуація підіймає важливі питання про етику, прозорість та потенційні зловживання на децентралізованих ринках прогнозів. Якщо виявиться, що інсайдерська інформація використовувалася для отримання прибутку, це може підірвати довіру до подібних платформ та викликати нові дискусії щодо регулювання крипто-активів у політичній сфері. Розслідування триває, і громадськість з нетерпінням очікує на подальші результати.
Не пропустіть важливі оновлення! Підписуйтесь на @Mining Updates #MiningUpdates !
#Polymarket #CryptoNews #TRUMP #Blockchain #Politics #PredictionMarkets #CryptoEthics
Polymarket — це платформа, де користувачі роблять ставки на результат майбутніх подій, від виборів до економічних показників. Акаунт, про який йдеться, зробив надзвичайно точні прогнози щодо низки політичних подій, що призвело до значних виграшів. Дослідники, аналізуючи дані блокчейну та пов’язані з ними цифрові сліди, припустили, що цей акаунт може належати або бути пов'язаним з особою, наближеною до колишнього президента США Дональда Трампа.
Ця ситуація підіймає важливі питання про етику, прозорість та потенційні зловживання на децентралізованих ринках прогнозів. Якщо виявиться, що інсайдерська інформація використовувалася для отримання прибутку, це може підірвати довіру до подібних платформ та викликати нові дискусії щодо регулювання крипто-активів у політичній сфері. Розслідування триває, і громадськість з нетерпінням очікує на подальші результати.
Не пропустіть важливі оновлення! Підписуйтесь на @Mining Updates #MiningUpdates !
#Polymarket #CryptoNews #TRUMP #Blockchain #Politics #PredictionMarkets #CryptoEthics
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